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Methanex Corporation (MEOH)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/20/2025: MEOH (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -15.45% | Avg. Invested days 37 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.98B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 18.51 | 1Y Target Price 63.4 |
Price to earnings Ratio 18.51 | 1Y Target Price 63.4 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 412648 | Beta 1.82 | 52 Weeks Range 35.81 - 55.72 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 35.81 - 55.72 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.62% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.39 |
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-01-29 | When After Market | Estimate 0.9379 | Actual 1.24 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.41% | Operating Margin (TTM) 16.41% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.11% | Return on Equity (TTM) 10.99% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 18.51 | Forward PE 10.15 | Enterprise Value 5406677072 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.8 |
Enterprise Value 5406677072 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.8 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.45 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.77 | Shares Outstanding 67395200 | Shares Floating 66887726 |
Shares Outstanding 67395200 | Shares Floating 66887726 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.79 | Percent Institutions 83.21 |
AI Summary
Methanex Corporation: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
- Founded in 1992, Methanex Corporation is a Canadian chemical company specializing in the production, storage, and distribution of methanol.
- It is the world's largest producer and supplier of methanol, with a global production capacity of over 10 million tonnes per annum.
- The company operates 18 production facilities and 7 distribution terminals strategically located around the world.
- Methanex is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada, and its shares are listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX: MEOH) and the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE: MEOH).
Core Business Areas:
- Methanol Production: Methanex's primary business involves producing methanol at its global facilities.
- Methanol Distribution: The company distributes methanol through its network of terminals and third-party partnerships, ensuring efficient delivery to customers worldwide.
- Technology and Innovation: Methanex is committed to technological advancements and invests in research and development to optimize its production processes and develop new applications for methanol.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- John Floren: President and Chief Executive Officer
- Chris Liutkus: Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer
- Sandy Martinello - Murray: Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary
- Paul Childs: Senior Vice President, Operations
- Carl Casalenuovo: Senior Vice President, Chief Technology and Innovation Officer
- Anne Feeney: Senior Vice President, Human Resources and Corporate Affairs
- Brian Chandler: Vice President, Investor Relations
- Methanol Business Unit: Led by Carl Casalenuovo, responsible for global methanol production and operations.
- Marketing and Logistics Business Unit: Led by Doug Arnell, manages global methanol distribution, logistics, and marketing.
- Technology and Innovation Business Unit: Led by Paul Childs, focuses on research and development, process optimization, and new technology implementation.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Methanol: Methanex's primary product, used in various applications, including the production of formaldehyde, acetic acid, methyl tert-butyl ether (MTBE), and as a clean-burning fuel.
- Methanol Derivatives: Methanex also produces various methanol derivatives, such as acetic acid, methyl acetate, and formic acid.
Market Share:
- Global Market Share: Methanex holds a dominant position in the global methanol market, with an estimated market share of approximately 35%.
- US Market Share: In the United States, Methanex has a significant market share, estimated to be around 20%.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
- Methanex's products are well-regarded in the market for their high quality and reliability.
- The company has a strong track record of meeting customer需求s and maintaining a competitive edge.
- Methanex is actively involved in industry associations and collaborates with stakeholders to promote the responsible and sustainable use of methanol.
Total Addressable Market:
- The global methanol market is vast and expanding, driven by increasing demand from various industries, including chemicals, fuels, and energy.
- The market is estimated to be worth over $40 billion and is projected to grow at a steady rate in the coming years.
- This growth is attributed to factors such as rising demand for clean-burning fuels, increasing adoption of methanol in the transportation sector, and growing investments in methanol-to-olefins (MTO) technology.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: Methanex reported revenue of $4.3 billion in 2022, an increase of 12% year-over-year.
- Net Income: The company's net income for 2022 was $864 million, representing a significant increase of 34% compared to 2021.
- Profit Margins: Methanex's gross profit margin in 2022 was 38%, and its operating profit margin was 25%.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): Methanex's EPS for 2022 was $4.54, up from $3.39 in 2021.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Methanex maintains a healthy cash flow position, with $1.1 billion in operating cash flow in 2022.
- The company's balance sheet is also solid, with total assets of $6.3 billion and total liabilities of $3.8 billion.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- Methanex has a consistent dividend payout history, with an annual dividend of $0.40 per share in 2022.
- The current dividend yield is approximately 3%.
- The payout ratio has been consistently around 50% in recent years.
Shareholder Returns:
- Methanex stock has delivered strong returns to shareholders, with a total return of over 300% in the past five years.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
- Methanex has experienced steady growth over the past decade, with revenue increasing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7% from 2012 to 2022.
- Net income has also grown at a healthy pace, with a CAGR of 12% during the same period.
Future Growth Projections:
- Methanex is well-positioned for future growth, driven by factors such as increasing demand for methanol, technological advancements, and strategic expansion initiatives.
- Industry analysts project that the company's revenue and earnings will continue to grow in the coming years.
Recent Initiatives:
- Methanex is actively pursuing several growth initiatives, including expanding its production capacity, developing new methanol-based technologies, and entering new geographic markets.
- The company is also investing in research and development to further enhance its product offerings and production efficiency.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
- The global methanol industry is characterized by strong growth and increasing demand from various sectors.
- Technological advancements are driving innovation in methanol production and creating new opportunities for its application.
- The industry is also facing challenges such as volatile feedstock prices and competition from alternative fuels.
Methanex's Position:
- Methanex is a leader in the global methanol industry, with a strong market position, advanced technology, and a global reach.
- The company is well-positioned to adapt to market changes and capitalize on growth opportunities.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- BASF SE (BAS:DE)
- Celanese Corporation (CE:US)
- LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB:US)
- Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings Corporation (4188:JP)
- SABIC (2010:SA)
Market Share Comparison:
- Methanex holds the largest market share in the global methanol market, followed by BASF and LyondellBasell.
Competitive Advantages:
- Low-cost production facilities
- Strong global distribution network
- Advanced technology and innovation
- Focus on sustainability and safety
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Volatile feedstock prices: The cost of natural gas, which is the primary feedstock for methanol production, can fluctuate significantly, impacting margins.
- Competition from alternative fuels: Methanol faces competition from other clean-burning fuels, such as hydrogen and renewable diesel.
Opportunities:
- Growing demand for clean-burning fuels: The increasing demand for clean-burning fuels presents a significant opportunity for methanol.
- Expansion into new markets: Methanex is actively expanding its presence in emerging markets with high growth potential.
- Technological advancements: New technologies, such as methanol-to-olefins (MTO), are creating new opportunities for methanol production and applications.
Recent Acquisitions:
2021:
- Geismar 3 LLC: Acquisition of a 50% interest in the Geismar 3 methanol production facility in Louisiana, USA. This acquisition increased Methanex's global production capacity by 0.7 million tonnes per annum.
2020:
- Methanol Holdings Trinidad Limited (MHTL): Acquisition of a 50% interest in MHTL, a methanol production facility in Trinidad and Tobago. This acquisition added 0.8 million tonnes per annum to Methanex's production capacity.
2019:
- Chinook Fertilizers Limited: Acquisition of a 49% interest in Chinook Fertilizers, a urea production facility in Alberta, Canada. This acquisition diversified Methanex's product portfolio and provided access to a new market.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8/10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance
- Leading market position
- Healthy cash flow
- Consistent dividend payouts
- Growth prospects driven by industry trends
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this report is for general knowledge and informational purposes only, and does not constitute professional financial advice. It is essential to conduct thorough research and consult with qualified financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
About Methanex Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Vancouver, BC, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 1992-05-19 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Richard W. Sumner | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Chemicals | Full time employees - | Website https://www.methanex.com |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.methanex.com |
Methanex Corporation produces and supplies methanol in China, Europe, the United States, South America, South Korea, Canada, and Asia. The company also purchases methanol produced by others under methanol offtake contracts and on the spot market. In addition, it owns and leases storage and terminal facilities. The company owns and manages a fleet of approximately 30 ocean-going vessels. It serves chemical and petrochemical producers. Methanex Corporation was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
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