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Medpace Holdings Inc (MEDP)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$344.85
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY-5.76%
upturn advisory
SELL
SELL since 4 days
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  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: MEDP (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 4 days. Profits (-5.76%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 12.47%
Avg. Invested days 47
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 10.51B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 27.33
1Y Target Price 342.93
Price to earnings Ratio 27.33
1Y Target Price 342.93
Volume (30-day avg) 286152
Beta 1.36
52 Weeks Range 302.01 - 459.77
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 302.01 - 459.77
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 12.62

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-10
When Before Market
Estimate 3.1167
Actual 3.6813

Profitability

Profit Margin 19.17%
Operating Margin (TTM) 23.37%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 14.86%
Return on Equity (TTM) 58.42%

Valuation

Trailing PE 27.33
Forward PE 27.55
Enterprise Value 9936160591
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.98
Enterprise Value 9936160591
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.98
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.71
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 20.87
Shares Outstanding 30466800
Shares Floating 24909356
Shares Outstanding 30466800
Shares Floating 24909356
Percent Insiders 18.95
Percent Institutions 87.01

AI Summary

Medpace Holdings Inc. (MEDP): A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History:

  • Founded in 1992 in Cincinnati, Ohio, Medpace Holdings Inc. (MEDP) is a global clinical research organization (CRO) supporting the development of pharmaceutical and biotech products.
  • Initially offering consulting services, they now provide a full range of services spanning Phase I-IV clinical trials, data management, and statistical analysis.
  • Medpace went public in 2021, raising US$649 million at a US$4.2 billion valuation.

Core Business Areas:

  • Full-service CRO: Offers comprehensive development services for diverse therapeutic areas.
  • Functional Service Providers (FSPs): Focuses on specific therapeutic areas like oncology, central nervous system, and cardiovascular diseases.
  • Integrated Data Solutions (IDS): Provides data collection, management, and analysis services.

Leadership & Corporate Structure:

  • CEO: August Troendle (extensive experience in healthcare & pharmaceuticals)
  • President & COO: Dr. Glenn Sichtung (over 20 years of experience in the CRO industry)
  • Strong leadership team with diverse and relevant experience across clinical research & development.
  • Corporate structure comprises 5 segments: US CRO Solutions, International CRO Solutions, Functional Service Providers, Data Solutions, and Other.

Top Products & Market Share:

  • Clinical trial design & conduct: Leading expertise in complex trials, rare diseases, and innovative therapies.
  • FSP offerings in oncology, CNS, & cardiovascular: Holds leading positions in these high-demand areas.
  • Data solutions (IDS): Growing service line with increasing adoption.
  • Market share:
    • CRO Industry: Holds ~3% global share, competing against larger rivals like IQVIA and Syneos Health.
    • Niche areas (FSPs): Leading positions with significant shares in respective therapeutic segments.
  • Product/Market Reception: Well-regarded for efficient study conduct, expertise in complex trials, and data-driven solutions.

Total Addressable Market:

  • Global CRO market size currently exceeds US$59 billion and is projected to reach US$94 billion by 2028.
  • Significant growth driven by rising drug development needs, outsourcing trends, and increasing clinical trial complexity.

Financial Performance:

  • Revenue: 2022 Revenue of US$2.15 billion, up 17.8% YoY.
  • Net Income: Net Income of US$231.3 million in 2022, up 21.9% YoY.
  • Profit Margins: Gross margin stood at 41.8% in 2022, while operating margin reached 17.7%, indicating healthy profitability.
  • EPS: Non-GAAP EPS for 2022 reached US$3.45, up 21.4% YoY.
  • Cash Flow & Balance Sheet: Strong cash flow from operations (US$304.8 million in 2022)
  • Debt-to-equity ratio: at 0.38x, showcasing a healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels.

Dividends & Shareholder Returns:

  • Dividend History: Paysquarterly dividends with recent annualized yield hovering around 1%.
  • Shareholder Returns: Strong historical returns; stock price rose over 1,200% since their 2021 IPO.

Growth Trajectory:

  • Historical Growth: Revenue experienced significant growth of almost 20% YoY in 2022 while expanding geographically and acquiring specialized companies.
  • Future Growth Projections: Expected continued industry growth along with acquisitions and expanding services should drive positive performance.
  • Product Launches & Initiatives: Recent strategic acquisitions and launching services like IDS indicate an active growth-seeking strategy focusing on FSP offerings and cutting-edge data services.

Market Dynamics:

  • Challenges: Intense competition, rising complexity of clinical trials, potential market saturation are some challenges.
  • Opportunities: Expanding into emerging markets, adopting new technologies like AI in drug development, and fostering strategic partnerships offer growth avenues.
  • Industry Trends: Increased investments in R&D, growing focus on patient-centric trials, and demand for personalized medicine are shaping theCRO industry.

Competitors:

  • IQVIA (IQV), Syneos Health (SYNH), Parexel International Corp. (PRXL), Pharmaceutical Product Development (PPD), Wuxi AppTec (WXA), Charles River Laboratories International (CRL)
  • Share Market Percentages: IQVIA and Syneos Health are the biggest players with global shares exceeding 10% each, while Medpace holds a smaller share around 3%. Their niche focus positions them distinctively from giants

Potential Challenges & Opportunities:

Key Challenges:

  • Managing operational complexities and execution across diverse, global operations.
  • Competing with larger rivals with broader service portfolios and global reach.
  • Keeping pace with rapid technological advancements like AI and data automation in clinical research.

Key Opportunities:

  • Capitalizing on the growing demand for FSP offerings in lucrative therapeutic areas.
  • Expanding services towards data-driven insights and AI integration for faster, cheaper trials.
  • Entering emerging markets like Asia-Pacific to tap into new growth pockets.

Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):

  1. ClinX (January 2021): Expanded data collection solutions and real-world evidence generation capabilities; aligns with their data-driven focus.
  2. Certara Strategic Consulting Business (January 2023): Enhanced data analytics and consultancy offering for deeper research insights
  3. The Data Group and HealthEconomics.Com Inc. (July 2023): Strengthened real-world data (RWD) and health economics expertise, strategically placed across crucial data domains.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

  • Rating: 8.5/10
  • Justification: Strong financial performance, positive future growth outlook backed by industry tailwinds, competitive niche markets, and strategic acquisitions with potential for continued success.

Sources & Disclaimers:

Sources: Medpace website, SEC filings, Google Finance, Yahoo Finance, industry articles.

Disclaimer: This analysis offers informative content without constituting individual investment advice. Conduct further research and consult a financial professional for personal guidance.

About Medpace Holdings Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Cincinnati, OH, United States
IPO Launch date 2016-08-11
Chairman & CEO Dr. August James Troendle M.D.
Sector Healthcare
Industry Diagnostics & Research
Full time employees 5900
Full time employees 5900

Medpace Holdings, Inc. provides clinical research-based drug and medical device development services in North America, Europe, and Asia. The company offers a suite of services supporting the clinical development process from Phase I to Phase IV in various therapeutic areas. It provides clinical development services to the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and medical device industries; and development plan design, coordinated central laboratory, project management, regulatory affairs, clinical monitoring, data management and analysis, pharmacovigilance new drug application submissions, and post-marketing clinical support services. In addition, the company offers bio-analytical laboratory services, clinical human pharmacology, imaging services, and electrocardiography reading support for clinical trials. Medpace Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1992 and is based in Cincinnati, Ohio.

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