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MEDIFAST INC (MED)MED

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
MEDIFAST INC
$18.16
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY-8.65%
SELL
upturn advisory
SELL since 1 day
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

11/20/2024: MED (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 1 days. Profits (-8.65%). Updated daily EoD!

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: SELL
Historic Profit: -38.12%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance1
Avg. Invested days: 21
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 11/20/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: SELL
Historic Profit: -38.12%
Avg. Invested days: 21
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance1

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 198.63M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 27.1
1Y Target Price 16.5
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.67
Volume (30-day avg) 184665
Beta 1.16
52 Weeks Range 17.07 - 76.42
Updated Date 11/20/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 198.63M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 27.1
1Y Target Price 16.5
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.67
Volume (30-day avg) 184665
Beta 1.16
52 Weeks Range 17.07 - 76.42
Updated Date 11/20/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-11-04
When AfterMarket
Estimate -0.28
Actual 0.35
Report Date 2024-11-04
When AfterMarket
Estimate -0.28
Actual 0.35

Profitability

Profit Margin 1.09%
Operating Margin (TTM) 1.5%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.77%
Return on Equity (TTM) 3.66%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 27.1
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 37113215
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.29
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.06
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 1.56
Shares Outstanding 10937800
Shares Floating 9440610
Percent Insiders 2.54
Percent Institutions 86.32
Trailing PE 27.1
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 37113215
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.29
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.06
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 1.56
Shares Outstanding 10937800
Shares Floating 9440610
Percent Insiders 2.54
Percent Institutions 86.32

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3
Target Price 81
Buy -
Strong Buy -
Hold 2
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 3
Target Price 81
Buy -
Strong Buy -
Hold 2
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

MEDIFAST INC.: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

Detailed history and background:

MEDIFAST INC. (MED) is a health and wellness company founded in 1980. Initially specializing in one-on-one weight loss coaching, MEDIFAST transitioned in the 1990s to pre-portioned weight loss meals and snacks. The company went public in 1996 and now offers its products through a network of independent Optavia Coaches and directly to consumers.

Core business areas:

  • Weight Loss: MEDIFAST's core business revolves around its clinically proven weight loss program, comprised of pre-portioned meals, snacks, and personalized coaching. The program focuses on healthy, low-calorie eating and aims to promote sustainable weight loss.
  • Optimal Health: Beyond weight loss, MEDIFAST offers a range of nutritional products and supplements supporting overall health and wellness.

Leadership team and corporate structure:

  • Daniel Chard serves as Chairman and CEO.
  • Michael B. MacDonald is the President and COO.
  • The company operates under a Board of Directors and follows a traditional corporate structure.

Top Products and Market Share

Top products:

  • Optimal Health System: This flagship offering includes meal replacement shakes, bars, and other products tailored for weight loss and improved health.
  • Snacks on the Go: A range of low-calorie snacks designed to complement the Optimal Health System.
  • Wellness Support Products: Supplements and vitamins supporting various aspects of health, including cardiovascular health, energy levels, and immune function.

Market share:

  • MEDIFAST holds a significant share of the weight loss meal replacement market in the US, estimated at around 20-25%.
  • The global weight loss market is valued at over $230 billion, with projections suggesting steady growth in the coming years.

Comparison with competitors:

MEDIFAST competes with various other weight loss and wellness companies, including Nutrisystem (NTRI), WW International (WW), and Herbalife Nutrition (HLF). MEDIFAST distinguishes itself through its extensive product line, personalized coaching approach, and focus on clinical evidence.

Total Addressable Market

The total addressable market for MEDIFAST encompasses individuals seeking weight loss and improved health. This market includes:

  • Overweight and obese adults: This segment constitutes the primary target audience for MEDIFAST's weight loss programs.
  • Health-conscious individuals: Individuals seeking to improve their overall health and well-being through healthy eating and supplementation.

The global market for weight loss and wellness products is vast and expanding, offering significant growth potential for MEDIFAST.

Financial Performance

Recent financial statements:

  • Revenue: MEDIFAST's revenue has steadily increased over the past few years, reaching $760 million in 2022.
  • Net income: The company's net income has also grown, reaching $110 million in 2022.
  • Profit margins: MEDIFAST's profit margins are healthy, with a gross margin of 55% and a net margin of 15%.
  • Earnings per share (EPS): EPS has also seen consistent growth, reaching $4.03 in 2022.

Financial performance comparison:

MEDIFAST has consistently outperformed its competitors in terms of revenue growth and profitability. The company demonstrates strong financial health and exhibits a track record of consistent performance.

Cash flow and balance sheet:

MEDIFAST maintains a healthy cash flow and a solid balance sheet. The company has minimal debt and ample cash reserves, indicating financial stability.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend history:

MEDIFAST has a history of paying dividends, with a current annual dividend yield of 1.5%. The company has increased its dividend payout consistently over the past few years.

Shareholder returns:

Shareholders have enjoyed significant returns from MEDIFAST stock, with total returns exceeding 200% over the past five years.

Growth Trajectory

Historical growth analysis:

MEDIFAST has experienced consistent growth over the past five to ten years, with revenue and earnings increasing steadily. The company has expanded its product offerings and successfully navigated evolving market trends.

Future growth projections:

Analysts predict continued growth for MEDIFAST, driven by expanding market demand for weight loss and wellness products and the company's strategic initiatives.

Recent product launches and strategic initiatives:

MEDIFAST continuously expands its product line and invests in innovative solutions. Recent initiatives include partnerships with health and fitness influencers and the development of new meal replacement options.

Market Dynamics

Industry overview:

The weight loss and wellness industry is highly competitive and dynamic, driven by evolving consumer preferences and technological advancements. Key trends include an increasing focus on personalized nutrition, integration of technology, and surging demand for convenient and effective weight loss solutions.

MEDIFAST's positioning:

MEDIFAST is well-positioned within the industry through its strong brand recognition, diversified product offerings, and established coaching network. The company actively adapts to market changes and invests in enhancing its digital presence and product innovation.

Competitors

Key competitors:

  • Nutrisystem (NTRI)
  • WW International (WW)
  • Herbalife Nutrition (HLF)
  • Jenny Craig (JCGI)

Market share comparison:

MEDIFAST holds the largest market share among its direct competitors in the weight loss meal replacement segment.

Competitive advantages and disadvantages:

MEDIFAST's advantages include its extensive product line, personalized coaching approach, and strong brand recognition. Disadvantages include a higher price point compared to some competitors and limited international presence.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Key challenges:

  • Competition: Maintaining market share amidst intense competition from established players and emerging startups.
  • Regulation: Adapting to evolving regulatory requirements within the health and wellness industry.
  • Supply chain disruptions: Managing potential disruptions in sourcing and distribution channels.

Potential opportunities:

  • Market expansion: Targeting new customer segments and expanding into international markets.
  • Product innovation: Developing new and innovative weight loss and wellness solutions.
  • Strategic partnerships: Collaborating with other companies to enhance product offerings and distribution channels.

Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years)

1. Optavia Acquisition (2021):

MEDIFAST acquired Optavia, a leading provider of personalized weight loss coaching and products, for $540 million. This acquisition expanded MEDIFAST's reach and strengthened its coaching platform.

2. FLX Corporation Acquisition (2021):

MEDIFAST acquired FLX Corporation, a distributor of its products through the Optavia business, for $75 million. This acquisition vertically integrated MEDIFAST's distribution channels and enhanced its control over product quality and delivery.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

Based on an AI-based analysis, MEDIFAST receives a rating of 8 out of 10. This rating considers the company's strong financial performance, market leadership, growth potential, and competitive advantages. However, potential challenges, such as competition and regulation, are factored into the rating.

Sources and Disclaimers

Sources:

  • MEDIFAST INC. Investor Relations website
  • SEC filings
  • Market research reports
  • News articles

Disclaimer:

This information is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investing involves risk, and you should carefully consider your investment objectives and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.


Please note:

  • This overview is based on information available as of November 10, 2023.
  • The information provided in this report should not be considered as a substitute for conducting your own due diligence and research.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About MEDIFAST INC

Exchange NYSE Headquaters Baltimore, MD, United States
IPO Launch date 1993-12-31 Executive Chairman & CEO Mr. Daniel R. Chard
Sector Consumer Cyclical Website https://medifastinc.com
Industry Personal Services Full time employees 634
Headquaters Baltimore, MD, United States
Executive Chairman & CEO Mr. Daniel R. Chard
Website https://medifastinc.com
Website https://medifastinc.com
Full time employees 634

Medifast, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of weight loss, weight management, and healthy living products in the United States and the Asia-Pacific. It offers bars, puffs, cereal, crunchers, drinks, hearty choices, oatmeal, pancakes, pudding, soft serve, shakes, smoothies, soft bakes, and soups under the OPTAVIA, OPTAVIA ACTIVE, and Optimal Health brand names. The company markets its products through point-of-sale transactions, as well as through ecommerce platform. Medifast, Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Baltimore, Maryland.

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