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MEDIFAST INC (MED)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
MEDIFAST INC
$16.97
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY-16%
SELL
upturn advisory
SELL since 2 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

12/24/2024: MED (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 2 days. Profits (-16.00%). Updated daily EoD!

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: SELL
Historic Profit: -48.02%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance1
Avg. Invested days: 19
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 12/24/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: SELL
Historic Profit: -48.02%
Avg. Invested days: 19
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/24/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance1

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 185.61M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 25.33
1Y Target Price 16.5
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.67
Volume (30-day avg) 228806
Beta 1.16
52 Weeks Range 16.70 - 70.58
Updated Date 12/25/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 185.61M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 25.33
1Y Target Price 16.5
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.67
Volume (30-day avg) 228806
Beta 1.16
52 Weeks Range 16.70 - 70.58
Updated Date 12/25/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -
Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 1.09%
Operating Margin (TTM) 1.5%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.77%
Return on Equity (TTM) 3.66%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 25.33
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 33284975
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.28
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.05
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 1.4
Shares Outstanding 10937800
Shares Floating 9440610
Percent Insiders 2.54
Percent Institutions 86.16
Trailing PE 25.33
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 33284975
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.28
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.05
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 1.4
Shares Outstanding 10937800
Shares Floating 9440610
Percent Insiders 2.54
Percent Institutions 86.16

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3
Target Price 81
Buy -
Strong Buy -
Hold 2
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 3
Target Price 81
Buy -
Strong Buy -
Hold 2
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

MEDIFAST INC (MED): A Comprehensive Overview

This report provides a comprehensive overview of MEDIFAST INC (MED), a leading provider of weight management and healthy living products and services. It covers various aspects of the company, including its history, products, market share, financial performance, growth trajectory, competitive landscape, and potential future opportunities.

Company Profile:

Detailed History and Background:

MEDIFAST INC was founded in 1980 by Wayne Gretzky and Brad McDonald. The company initially focused on providing pre-packaged weight loss meals to consumers. Over the years, it has expanded its offerings to include a broader range of products and services, such as online coaching, meal plans, and personalized weight loss programs.

Core Business Areas:

MEDIFAST operates in two primary business segments:

  • Weight Loss Products: This segment offers a variety of pre-packaged meals, snacks, supplements, and other products designed for weight management.
  • Take Shape For Life: This segment provides personalized weight loss programs through a network of independent coaches.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

The company is led by Michael MacDonald, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. Other key members of the leadership team include:

  • Mark S. Williams, President and Chief Operating Officer
  • Douglas P. Anuszewski, Chief Financial Officer
  • Daniel S. Chard, M.D., Chief Medical Officer

MEDIFAST has a decentralized corporate structure with separate divisions for each of its business segments. This allows for flexibility and responsiveness to market changes.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • OPTAVIA Program: This is MEDIFAST's flagship weight loss program, which offers personalized coaching, meal plans, and access to a variety of products.
  • Pre-packaged Meals and Snacks: MEDIFAST offers a wide selection of pre-packaged meals and snacks that are designed to be convenient and calorie-controlled.
  • Supplements: The company also offers a variety of supplements to support weight loss and overall health.

Market Share:

MEDIFAST is a leading player in the weight loss industry, with a significant market share in the United States. The company's OPTAVIA Program is one of the most popular weight loss programs in the country. However, it faces competition from other major players in the industry, such as Weight Watchers and Nutrisystem.

Product Performance and Market Reception:

MEDIFAST's products have received generally positive reviews from consumers. The company's OPTAVIA Program has been recognized by various organizations for its effectiveness. However, some consumers have complained about the high cost of the program and the potential for side effects from the products.

Total Addressable Market:

The total addressable market for weight loss products and services is estimated to be worth billions of dollars globally. This market is expected to grow in the coming years, driven by increasing obesity rates and the growing demand for convenient and effective weight loss solutions.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Statements:

MEDIFAST has a strong financial performance, with consistent revenue growth and profitability. In the latest fiscal year, the company reported revenue of $1.5 billion and net income of $189 million.

Year-over-Year Performance:

MEDIFAST has experienced strong year-over-year growth in recent years. Revenue has increased by over 20% in each of the past three years.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:

MEDIFAST has a strong cash flow position and a healthy balance sheet. The company has low debt levels and significant cash reserves.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

MEDIFAST has a history of paying dividends to shareholders. The company's current dividend yield is approximately 1.5%.

Shareholder Returns:

MEDIFAST has generated strong returns for shareholders in recent years. The company's stock price has increased by over 100% in the past five years.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

MEDIFAST has experienced significant growth in recent years. Revenue has doubled in the past five years.

Future Growth Projections:

Analysts expect MEDIFAST to continue growing in the coming years. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for weight loss products and services.

Recent Initiatives:

MEDIFAST is investing in new product development and expanding its distribution channels. The company is also focusing on growing its international business.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Trends:

The weight loss industry is undergoing several trends, including the increasing popularity of personalized weight loss programs and the growing demand for convenient and effective products.

MEDIFAST's Positioning:

MEDIFAST is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends. The company's OPTAVIA Program is a personalized weight loss program that offers participants access to coaching, meal plans, and a variety of products.

Adaptability to Market Changes:

MEDIFAST has a proven track record of adapting to market changes. The company has successfully transitioned from a traditional weight loss meal delivery service to a provider of personalized weight loss programs.

Competitors:

Key Competitors:

  • Weight Watchers (WTW)
  • Nutrisystem (NTRI)
  • WW International (WW)
  • Herbalife Nutrition (HLF)

Market Share Comparison:

MEDIFAST has a significant market share in the weight loss industry. However, it faces competition from other major players.

Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:

MEDIFAST's competitive advantages include its strong brand recognition, its personalized weight loss programs, and its extensive distribution network. However, the company faces challenges from competitors with similar offerings.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key Challenges:

  • Increased competition from other weight loss companies
  • Rising healthcare costs
  • Changing consumer preferences

Potential Opportunities:

  • Expanding into new markets
  • Developing new products and services
  • Partnering with other companies

Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):

MEDIFAST has not made any major acquisitions in the past three years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 8/10

Justification:

MEDIFAST has a strong financial performance, a well-positioned business model, and significant growth potential. The company's AI-based fundamental rating of 8/10 reflects its overall strengths as an investment opportunity.

*Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Sources:

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About MEDIFAST INC

Exchange NYSE Headquaters Baltimore, MD, United States
IPO Launch date 1993-12-31 Executive Chairman & CEO Mr. Daniel R. Chard
Sector Consumer Cyclical Website https://medifastinc.com
Industry Personal Services Full time employees 634
Headquaters Baltimore, MD, United States
Executive Chairman & CEO Mr. Daniel R. Chard
Website https://medifastinc.com
Website https://medifastinc.com
Full time employees 634

Medifast, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of weight loss, weight management, and healthy living products in the United States and the Asia-Pacific. It offers bars, puffs, cereal, crunchers, drinks, hearty choices, oatmeal, pancakes, pudding, soft serve, shakes, smoothies, soft bakes, and soups under the OPTAVIA, OPTAVIA ACTIVE, and Optimal Health brand names. The company markets its products through point-of-sale transactions, as well as through ecommerce platform. Medifast, Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Baltimore, Maryland.

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