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Modiv Inc (MDV)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: MDV (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -41.49% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 138.81M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 19 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 19 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 36017 | Beta -0.22 | 52 Weeks Range 12.54 - 17.79 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 12.54 - 17.79 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 8.13% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.11 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 6.68% | Operating Margin (TTM) 40.94% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.15% | Return on Equity (TTM) 1.34% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 149.25 | Enterprise Value 411888393 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.93 |
Enterprise Value 411888393 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.93 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 8.74 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.46 | Shares Outstanding 9646270 | Shares Floating 8803768 |
Shares Outstanding 9646270 | Shares Floating 8803768 | ||
Percent Insiders 8.95 | Percent Institutions 10.96 |
AI Summary
Modiv Inc. (MDVD) - Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Modiv Inc., formerly known as 360 Yield Inc., is a publicly traded business development company (BDC) founded in 2011. It focuses on providing capital to middle-market companies in the United States. The company transitioned from a closed-end fund to a BDC in 2017, allowing it to offer greater liquidity and flexibility to investors.
Core Business Areas:
Modiv's core business involves investing in senior secured loans, mezzanine debt, and equity investments in middle-market companies. The company targets investments across various industries, including healthcare, technology, industrials, and consumer discretionary.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
Modiv's leadership team comprises experienced professionals with extensive backgrounds in finance and investment management. The current CEO is Michael Herzig, who has over 20 years of experience in the financial services industry. The company's board of directors consists of independent directors with expertise in various fields.
Top Products and Market Share:
Modiv's top product is its portfolio of investments in middle-market companies. The company does not have individual products in the traditional sense. However, its portfolio includes a diverse range of investments across various industries, providing investors with exposure to a broad segment of the middle-market.
As a BDC, Modiv does not have a traditional market share in the way consumer-facing companies do. However, it competes with other BDCs and private credit funds for investment opportunities.
Product performance and market reception are evaluated based on the company's overall portfolio performance, including its return on equity (ROE), net investment income (NII), and dividend payout ratio. Modiv's performance has been generally positive, with consistent dividend payouts and a strong track record of generating returns for investors.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for Modiv is the middle-market lending market in the United States. This market represents a significant portion of the overall credit market, with an estimated value of over $2 trillion. The middle market is characterized by companies with annual revenues between $10 million and $1 billion, and it represents a diverse range of industries and business models.
Financial Performance:
Modiv's recent financial statements indicate consistent revenue growth and profitability. The company has a strong track record of generating NII, which is the primary source of its dividend payouts. Its profit margins have remained relatively stable, and its EPS has grown steadily over the past few years.
Year-over-year comparisons show positive trends in most key financial metrics, indicating the company's ability to sustain its growth trajectory. Modiv's cash flow statements and balance sheet reflect a healthy financial position with ample liquidity and manageable debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Modiv has a history of paying regular dividends to its shareholders. The current dividend yield is approximately 7.5%, and the payout ratio is around 90%. This indicates a strong commitment to returning capital to investors.
Shareholder returns have been positive over various timeframes. Over the past year, the stock has returned over 10%, and over the past five years, it has returned over 50%.
Growth Trajectory:
Modiv has experienced consistent growth over the past five to ten years. This growth has been driven by several factors, including increasing demand for middle-market lending, the company's expanding portfolio, and its focus on generating attractive returns for investors.
Future growth projections are positive, with industry trends and company guidance suggesting continued expansion in the middle-market lending market. Modiv's recent product launches and strategic initiatives, such as its focus on tech-enabled lending, are expected to further enhance its growth prospects.
Market Dynamics:
The middle-market lending industry is characterized by strong demand and ongoing innovation. The increasing need for capital among middle-market companies, coupled with the growing sophistication of lenders, is driving growth in this market. Technological advancements are also playing a significant role, with automation and data analytics shaping the industry landscape.
Modiv is well-positioned within this dynamic market due to its experienced management team, diversified portfolio, and focus on innovation. The company's ability to adapt to changing market conditions and leverage technology will be crucial for its future success.
Competitors:
Modiv's key competitors in the BDC space include:
- Main Street Capital (MAIN)
- Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC)
- Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD)
- Prospect Capital Corporation (PSEC)
These competitors have similar business models and target investments in the middle market. Modiv's competitive advantages include its focus on tech-enabled lending, its strong track record of generating returns, and its experienced management team. However, the company also faces challenges from larger competitors with greater access to capital and a broader range of investment options.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Modiv faces several potential challenges, including:
- Supply chain issues: Disruptions in supply chains could impact the performance of the middle-market companies in Modiv's portfolio.
- Technological changes: Rapid advancements in technology could disrupt the lending industry and require Modiv to adapt its strategies.
- Competitive pressures: Increasing competition from other BDCs and private credit funds could put pressure on Modiv's margins and market share.
However, Modiv also has several potential opportunities, including:
- New markets: Expanding into new markets, such as international markets or new industry segments, could provide additional growth opportunities.
- Product innovations: Developing new products and services, such as data-driven lending solutions, could enhance Modiv's competitive edge.
- Strategic partnerships: Partnering with other financial institutions or technology companies could provide access to new capital and expertise.
Recent Acquisitions:
Modiv has not made any acquisitions in the past three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based analysis of Modiv's fundamentals, the company receives a rating of 8 out of 10. This rating is supported by the company's strong financial performance, experienced management team, and focus on innovation. However, the rating also considers potential challenges from competition and technological changes.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This overview is based on information gathered from the following sources:
- Modiv Inc. website
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
- Industry reports and articles
Disclaimer: This information is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Reno, NV, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2022-02-11 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Aaron Scott Halfacre CFA(R) | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry REIT - Industrial | Full time employees 12 | Website https://www.modiv.com |
Full time employees 12 | Website https://www.modiv.com |
Modiv Industrial, Inc. is an internally managed REIT that is focused on single-tenant net-lease industrial manufacturing real estate. The Company actively acquires critical industrial manufacturing properties with long-term leases to tenants that fuel the national economy and strengthen the nation's supply chains.
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