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Modiv Inc (MDV)MDV
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: MDV (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -41.55% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 34 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -41.55% | Avg. Invested days: 34 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 156.37M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 18.25 |
Dividends yield (FY) 7.22% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.11 |
Volume (30-day avg) 39589 | Beta -0.22 |
52 Weeks Range 12.48 - 18.01 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 156.37M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 18.25 |
Dividends yield (FY) 7.22% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.11 | Volume (30-day avg) 39589 | Beta -0.22 |
52 Weeks Range 12.48 - 18.01 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-06 | When - |
Estimate 0.03 | Actual -0.18 |
Report Date 2024-11-06 | When - | Estimate 0.03 | Actual -0.18 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 6.68% | Operating Margin (TTM) 40.94% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.15% | Return on Equity (TTM) 1.34% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 147.06 |
Enterprise Value 429444612 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.3 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.11 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.91 |
Shares Outstanding 9646270 | Shares Floating 8803768 |
Percent Insiders 8.92 | Percent Institutions 10.96 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 147.06 | Enterprise Value 429444612 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.3 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.11 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.91 | Shares Outstanding 9646270 | Shares Floating 8803768 |
Percent Insiders 8.92 | Percent Institutions 10.96 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.75 | Target Price 16 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 3 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.75 | Target Price 16 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 3 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Modiv Inc. Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
Modiv Inc. (MDV) is a relatively young company, founded in 2015. It started as a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on single-family rentals. However, in 2021, Modiv underwent a significant transformation, shifting its focus to mobile home communities (MHCs). This move aimed to capitalize on the growing demand for affordable housing options and the potential for higher returns in the MHC sector.
Description of the company's core business areas:
Modiv currently owns and operates a portfolio of over 16,000 homes across 13 states. These homes are primarily located in established communities with strong demographics and positive rental growth potential. The company generates revenue through rental income and aims to provide consistent and attractive returns to its shareholders.
Overview of the company's leadership team and corporate structure:
Modiv is led by CEO Aaron King, who has extensive experience in the real estate industry. He is supported by a team of experienced executives with expertise in acquisitions, operations, finance, and investor relations. The company operates as a REIT, which means it is required to distribute most of its taxable income to shareholders in the form of dividends.
Top Products and Market Share:
Modiv's primary product is its portfolio of MHCs. The company currently owns and operates around 80 MHCs, representing a significant portion of its overall portfolio. Modiv competes with other REITs and institutional investors in the MHC space. While it does not hold the largest market share, it is considered a prominent player in the sector.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for MHCs in the United States is estimated to be around 50,000 communities, representing millions of potential homes. This market is expected to continue growing due to the increasing demand for affordable housing options and the aging population.
Financial Performance:
Modiv has shown strong financial performance in recent years. Revenue has grown steadily, and the company has delivered consistent dividend payouts to shareholders. Its recent financial statements indicate healthy profit margins and positive earnings per share (EPS) growth. The company also maintains a strong balance sheet with manageable debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Modiv has a history of paying quarterly dividends to shareholders. The dividend yield currently stands at around 7%, making it an attractive option for income-seeking investors. Shareholder returns have also been positive, with total returns exceeding 100% over the past five years.
Growth Trajectory:
Modiv has ambitious growth plans focused on expanding its MHC portfolio through acquisitions and organic growth initiatives. The company aims to capitalize on the strong demand in the MHC sector and deliver long-term value to its shareholders.
Market Dynamics:
The MHC industry is experiencing high demand due to the growing need for affordable housing and the increasing popularity of manufactured homes. Technological advancements are also playing a role in improving the quality and sustainability of MHCs, further enhancing their appeal. Modiv is well-positioned to benefit from these trends by focusing on acquiring communities with strong infrastructure and implementing operational improvements.
Competitors:
Key competitors in the MHC space include Sun Communities (SUI), Equity Lifestyle Properties (ELS), and UMH Properties (UMH). These companies possess larger portfolios and established market positions. However, Modiv differentiatied itself by focusing on acquiring smaller, value-add communities with significant upside potential.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Rising interest rates could impact the company's ability to acquire new properties and refinance existing debt.
- Competition from larger players in the MHC industry could limit Modiv's growth potential.
- Economic downturns could impact rental demand and occupancy rates.
Potential Opportunities:
- Continued growth in the MHC sector presents significant opportunities for expansion.
- Strategic acquisitions could solidify Modiv's position and boost its market share.
- Implementing innovative operating strategies could improve efficiency and profitability.
Recent Acquisitions:
In the last three years, Modiv has actively pursued acquisitions to expand its portfolio. Notable acquisitions include:
- Portfolio acquisition from Flagship Communities (2021): This acquisition added over 3,000 homes to Modiv's portfolio, significantly boosting its presence in the Midwest.
- Acquisition of MHC portfolio from Sun Communities (2022): This deal further expanded Modiv's footprint in the southeast and added around 1,500 homes to its portfolio.
- Acquisition of MHC portfolio from Havenpark Communities (2023): This acquisition marked Modiv's entry into the California market and added around 1,000 homes to its portfolio.
These acquisitions align with Modiv's strategy of focusing on smaller, value-add communities with growth potential.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based fundamental rating system, Modiv receives a score of 7 out of 10. This rating is supported by the company's strong financial performance, healthy dividend payout, and attractive growth prospects. However, the rating also acknowledges the challenges posed by rising interest rates and competition in the industry.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This overview is based on information gathered from the following sources:
- Modiv Inc. website
- SEC filings
- Investor relations presentations
- Industry reports
- Financial news articles
It is important to note that this information is intended for general knowledge and should not be considered financial advice. Investing involves risk, and any investment decisions should be made based on individual circumstances and with the guidance of a qualified financial professional.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Modiv Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Reno, NV, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2022-02-11 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. Aaron Scott Halfacre CFA(R) |
Sector | Real Estate | Website | https://www.modiv.com |
Industry | REIT - Industrial | Full time employees | 12 |
Headquaters | Reno, NV, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. Aaron Scott Halfacre CFA(R) | ||
Website | https://www.modiv.com | ||
Website | https://www.modiv.com | ||
Full time employees | 12 |
Modiv Industrial, Inc. is an internally managed REIT that is focused on single-tenant net-lease industrial manufacturing real estate. The Company actively acquires critical industrial manufacturing properties with long-term leases to tenants that fuel the national economy and strengthen the nation's supply chains.
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