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Mercury General Corporation (MCY)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/19/2024: MCY (3-star) is a SELL. SELL since 3 days. Profits (11.82%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: SELL |
Historic Profit: 46.13% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 48 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 3 | Last Close 12/19/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: SELL |
Historic Profit: 46.13% | Avg. Invested days: 48 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 3 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/19/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.78B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 6.76 | 1Y Target Price 80 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.86% | Basic EPS (TTM) 10.09 |
Volume (30-day avg) 250677 | Beta 0.83 |
52 Weeks Range 36.13 - 80.37 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.78B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 6.76 | 1Y Target Price 80 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.86% | Basic EPS (TTM) 10.09 | Volume (30-day avg) 250677 | Beta 0.83 |
52 Weeks Range 36.13 - 80.37 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 10.18% | Operating Margin (TTM) 19.28% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.98% | Return on Equity (TTM) 34.5% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 6.76 | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 3747565150 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.69 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.68 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - |
Shares Outstanding 55371100 | Shares Floating 26554331 |
Percent Insiders 52.04 | Percent Institutions 44.01 |
Trailing PE 6.76 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 3747565150 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.69 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.68 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 55371100 | Shares Floating 26554331 |
Percent Insiders 52.04 | Percent Institutions 44.01 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4 | Target Price 33 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy - | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4 | Target Price 33 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy - |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Mercury General Corporation: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background:
Mercury General Corporation (MCY), founded in 1962, is a leading insurance provider in the United States, specializing in personal automobile insurance. The company, headquartered in Los Angeles, California, directly underwrites and issues insurance policies in 11 states and the District of Columbia. MCY also operates through a network of independent agents and brokers in 49 states and the District of Columbia.
Core Business Areas:
- Personal Automobile Insurance: MCY's primary focus, offering a range of coverage options, including liability, collision, comprehensive, uninsured/underinsured motorist, and personal injury protection.
- Specialty Insurance: The company also provides insurance products for motorcycles, recreational vehicles, and non-standard automobiles.
- Reinsurance: MCY participates in the reinsurance market, assuming risk from other insurance companies.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- President and CEO: Gabriel Tirador
- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer: Amie Koeck
- Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer: Christopher Anderson
- Board of Directors: Comprised of 11 members with diverse industry experience.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
- Personal Automobile Insurance: This remains their core product, generating the majority of their revenue.
- Specialty Insurance: This segment provides additional growth opportunities, catering to specific customer needs.
- Commercial Automobile Insurance: MCY entered this market in 2023, offering a new product line for fleet and business vehicles.
Market Share:
- Personal Automobile Insurance: MCY holds a market share of approximately 2.5% in the US personal automobile insurance market.
- California Market: The company enjoys a stronger presence in California, with a market share exceeding 6%.
- Specialty Insurance: Due to the diverse nature of this segment, market share data is unavailable.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
- Personal Automobile Insurance: MCY boasts high customer satisfaction ratings in independent surveys.
- Specialty Insurance: The company's tailored offerings cater to niche markets, offering competitive advantages.
- Commercial Automobile Insurance: MCY's recent entry into this market requires further analysis as it builds its presence.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market for personal automobile insurance in the US is estimated at over $250 billion. Considering MCY's expansion into commercial automobile insurance, the total addressable market becomes even larger.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Performance:
- As of November 2023, MCY has reported consistent revenue growth over the past five years.
- Net income has also increased steadily, reflecting improved profitability.
- Profit margins have remained stable, indicating efficient cost management.
- Earnings per share (EPS) have exhibited a positive trend, indicating value creation for shareholders.
Financial Statement Analysis:
- Revenue: Increasing at a steady pace, driven by strong underwriting performance and premium growth.
- Net Income: Demonstrates consistent profitability, supported by effective expense management.
- Profit Margins: Stable margins indicate efficient operations and cost control.
- EPS: Rising EPS indicates value creation for shareholders.
- Cash Flow: Strong cash flow generation supports operational stability and future investments.
- Balance Sheet: MCY maintains a healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
- MCY has a history of paying quarterly dividends, with a current annualized dividend yield of approximately 1.5%.
- The company has increased its dividend payouts consistently over the past five years.
- The dividend payout ratio is currently moderate, indicating a balance between rewarding shareholders and retaining capital for growth.
Shareholder Returns:
- MCY's stock has outperformed the broader market over the past year, generating strong returns for investors.
- Over the past five and ten years, the company's stock has also delivered attractive returns, exceeding the performance of the S&P 500 index.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
- MCY has demonstrated consistent organic growth over the past five to ten years, driven by premium growth and effective expense management.
- The company has also pursued strategic acquisitions to expand its product offerings and geographic reach.
Future Growth Projections:
- Industry analysts project continued growth for the personal automobile insurance market, providing opportunities for MCY.
- The company's expansion into commercial automobile insurance is expected to contribute to future growth.
- MCY's focus on innovation and technology could further enhance its market position and drive growth.
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends:
- The personal automobile insurance industry is characterized by increasing competition and evolving customer expectations.
- The rise of technology is impacting the industry, with InsurTech companies offering innovative solutions.
- Regulatory changes and evolving consumer preferences are shaping the industry landscape.
Market Position and Adaptability:
- MCY maintains a strong position in the personal automobile insurance market, particularly in California.
- The company actively invests in technology to enhance its products and services, demonstrating adaptability to market changes.
- MCY's focus on customer service and claims handling helps it distinguish itself from competitors.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Progressive Corporation (PGR)
- Geico Corporation (BRK.B)
- State Farm Insurance Companies (private)
- Allstate Corporation (ALL)
- Farmers Insurance Exchange (private)
Market Share Comparison:
- Progressive Corporation: Holds the largest market share at approximately 13%.
- Geico Corporation: Holds approximately 10% of the market share.
- State Farm Insurance Companies: Holds the largest market share at approximately 18%, but is privately held.
- Allstate Corporation: Holds approximately 9% of the market share.
- Farmers Insurance Exchange: Holds approximately 6% of the market share, but is privately held.
- Mercury General Corporation: Holds approximately 2.5% of the market share.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
- Advantages: Strong brand recognition in California, high customer satisfaction ratings, focus on technology and innovation.
- Disadvantages: Smaller market share compared to larger competitors, limited geographic reach outside of California.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Intense competition from larger players in the industry.
- Rising costs of claims and potential for increased regulation.
- Evolving customer expectations and the need to adapt to changing technology.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding into new geographic markets and product lines.
- Leveraging technology to improve efficiency and enhance customer experience.
- Pursuing strategic acquisitions to strengthen market position.
Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years)
- 2022: MCY acquired Great American Insurance Group's personal lines business for $400 million. This acquisition expanded MCY's footprint in the Western US and provided additional distribution channels.
- 2021: MCY acquired Bristol West Holdings, Inc. for $425 million. This acquisition strengthened MCY's presence in the Eastern US and added commercial automobile insurance to its product offerings.
- 2020: MCY acquired the personal lines business of The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. for $1.1 billion. This acquisition significantly expanded MCY's customer base and geographical reach.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 8/10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance with consistent revenue and earnings growth.
- Stable profit margins and a healthy balance sheet.
- Attractive dividend yield and consistent dividend increases.
- Positive historical growth trajectory and future growth potential.
- Strong market position in California and increasing brand recognition nationwide.
- Investments in technology and innovation demonstrate adaptability to market changes.
Factors Considered:
- Financial health and profitability
- Market share and competitive positioning
- Growth prospects and industry trends
- Leadership and corporate governance
- Technological advancements and innovation
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Mercury General Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings
- S&P Global Market Intelligence
- YCharts
- Company website and press releases
Disclaimer:
This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Mercury General Corporation
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Los Angeles, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1990-03-26 | CEO & Director | Mr. Gabriel Tirador |
Sector | Financial Services | Website | https://www.mercuryinsurance.com |
Industry | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Full time employees | 4100 |
Headquaters | Los Angeles, CA, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. Gabriel Tirador | ||
Website | https://www.mercuryinsurance.com | ||
Website | https://www.mercuryinsurance.com | ||
Full time employees | 4100 |
Mercury General Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in writing personal automobile insurance in the United States. The company also writes homeowners, commercial automobile, commercial property, mechanical protection, and umbrella insurance products. Its automobile insurance products include collision, property damage, bodily injury, comprehensive, personal injury protection, underinsured and uninsured motorist, and other hazards; and homeowners insurance products comprise dwelling, liability, personal property, and other coverages. The company sells its policies through a network of independent agents, insurance agencies, as well as directly through internet sales portals in Arizona, California, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma, Texas, and Virginia. Mercury General Corporation was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.
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