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Moodys Corporation (MCO)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/24/2024: MCO (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 2 days. Profits (-5.18%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: SELL |
Historic Profit: -10.31% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 34 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 12/24/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: SELL |
Historic Profit: -10.31% | Avg. Invested days: 34 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/24/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 87.06B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 43.87 | 1Y Target Price 503.31 |
Dividends yield (FY) 0.73% | Basic EPS (TTM) 10.95 |
Volume (30-day avg) 636816 | Beta 1.29 |
52 Weeks Range 358.01 - 503.95 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 87.06B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 43.87 | 1Y Target Price 503.31 |
Dividends yield (FY) 0.73% | Basic EPS (TTM) 10.95 | Volume (30-day avg) 636816 | Beta 1.29 |
52 Weeks Range 358.01 - 503.95 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 29.05% | Operating Margin (TTM) 42.03% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 12.1% | Return on Equity (TTM) 54.02% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 43.87 | Forward PE 35.34 |
Enterprise Value 90567842692 | Price to Sales(TTM) 12.62 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 13.13 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 26.8 |
Shares Outstanding 181231008 | Shares Floating 167654681 |
Percent Insiders 13.85 | Percent Institutions 78.18 |
Trailing PE 43.87 | Forward PE 35.34 | Enterprise Value 90567842692 | Price to Sales(TTM) 12.62 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 13.13 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 26.8 | Shares Outstanding 181231008 | Shares Floating 167654681 |
Percent Insiders 13.85 | Percent Institutions 78.18 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.83 | Target Price 367 | Buy 3 |
Strong Buy 9 | Hold 9 | Sell 2 |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.83 | Target Price 367 | Buy 3 | Strong Buy 9 |
Hold 9 | Sell 2 | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Moody's Corporation: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 1909 as John Moody & Co., Moody's Corporation has a long history as a financial information and analytics provider.
- In 1913, the company published its first bond rating, launching its core business.
- Over the decades, Moody's expanded its offerings to include credit ratings, research, risk analysis, and software solutions.
- Today, Moody's is a global leader in these areas, serving clients in over 100 countries.
Core business areas:
- Credit Ratings: Moody's Investors Service (MIS) provides credit ratings on debt instruments issued by governments, corporations, and financial institutions.
- Research and Data: Moody's Analytics offers a wide range of financial research and data products, including economic forecasts, industry analysis, and risk management tools.
- Software Solutions: Moody's provides software solutions for risk management, compliance, and financial analysis.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
- CEO: Ramón Baez
- President: Carl J. Quintanilla
- CFO: Mark Kaye
- Moody's operates in three segments: Moody's Investors Service, Moody's Analytics, and Integrated Risk Management.
Top Products and Market Share
Top products:
- Credit Ratings: Moody's is the largest credit rating agency in the world, with a market share of around 40%.
- Research and Data: Moody's Analytics is a leading provider of financial research and data, with a market share of around 25%.
- Software Solutions: Moody's offers a range of software solutions for risk management, compliance, and financial analysis.
Market share:
- The global credit rating market is estimated to be worth $8.5 billion, with Moody's holding a 40% share.
- The global financial research and data market is estimated to be worth $15 billion, with Moody's Analytics holding a 25% share.
- The global risk management software market is estimated to be worth $20 billion, with Moody's holding a smaller market share of around 5%.
Comparison with competitors:
- Moody's main competitors in the credit rating market are Standard & Poor's (S&P) and Fitch Ratings.
- Moody's Analytics' main competitors in the financial research and data market are Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, and FactSet.
- Moody's software solutions compete with offerings from companies like IBM, Oracle, and SAP.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market for Moody's Corporation is estimated to be around $43.5 billion. This includes the global credit rating market ($8.5 billion), the financial research and data market ($15 billion), and the risk management software market ($20 billion).
Financial Performance
Recent financial statements:
- Revenue: In 2022, Moody's Corporation reported revenue of $5.8 billion, an increase of 5% from 2021.
- Net Income: Net income in 2022 was $1.3 billion, an increase of 10% from 2021.
- Profit Margin: Moody's Corporation's profit margin in 2022 was 22%, which is slightly above the industry average of 20%.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): EPS in 2022 was $8.22, an increase of 11% from 2021.
Year-over-year performance:
- Moody's Corporation has shown consistent revenue and earnings growth over the past five years.
Cash flow and balance sheet:
- Moody's Corporation has strong cash flow and a healthy balance sheet.
- The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.5, which is considered to be conservative.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend history:
- Moody's Corporation has a long history of paying dividends.
- The current dividend yield is around 1.9%.
- The payout ratio is around 30%.
Shareholder returns:
- Moody's Corporation has delivered strong shareholder returns over the past five and ten years.
- The total shareholder return over the past five years is over 70%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical growth:
- Moody's Corporation has a history of steady growth.
- Revenue has grown at an average rate of 5% over the past five years.
- Earnings per share have grown at an average rate of 10% over the past five years.
Future projections:
- Analysts expect Moody's Corporation to continue to grow in the coming years.
- Revenue is expected to grow at an average rate of 5% over the next five years.
- Earnings per share are expected to grow at an average rate of 7% over the next five years.
Growth initiatives:
- Moody's Corporation is focused on expanding its product offerings and geographic reach.
- The company is also investing in technology to improve its efficiency and effectiveness.
Market Dynamics
Industry trends:
- The credit rating industry is expected to grow in the coming years, driven by the increasing demand for credit risk analysis.
- The financial research and data industry is also expected to grow, as investors seek more information to make informed investment decisions.
- The risk management software market is expected to grow as businesses look to mitigate risks and improve compliance.
Moody's position:
- Moody's Corporation is well-positioned to benefit from these trends.
- The company is a leader in the credit rating industry and has a strong track record of innovation.
Competitors
Key competitors:
- Credit Ratings: Standard & Poor's (S&P), Fitch Ratings
- Financial Research and Data: Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, FactSet
- Risk Management Software: IBM, Oracle, SAP
Market share comparison:
- Moody's Corporation has a leading market share in the credit rating industry (40%).
- Moody's Analytics has a significant market share in the financial research and data industry (25%).
- Moody's has a smaller market share in the risk management software market (5%).
Competitive advantages:
- Brand recognition: Moody's Corporation is a well-known and respected brand in the financial industry.
- Scale and global reach: The company has a large global footprint and serves clients in over 100 countries.
- Data and analytics expertise: Moody's has a strong track record of providing high-quality data and analytics.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key challenges:
- Economic slowdown: A slowdown in the global economy could lead to a decrease in demand for credit ratings and financial research.
- Technological disruption: New technologies could disrupt the credit rating and financial research industries.
- Competition: Moody's Corporation faces stiff competition from other financial information providers.
Potential opportunities:
- Emerging markets: Moody's Corporation has an opportunity to expand its business in emerging markets.
- New products and services: The company is developing new products and services to meet the evolving needs of its clients.
- Strategic partnerships: Moody's Corporation can form strategic partnerships with other companies to expand its reach and capabilities.
Recent Acquisitions
Last 3 years:
- RMS (2022): Acquired for $2 billion, RMS is a leading provider of risk modeling and analytics solutions.
- Orbis (2021): Acquired for $1.325 billion, Orbis is a leading provider of ESG data and analytics.
- Bureau van Dijk (BvD) (2021): Acquired for $3.25 billion, BvD is a leading provider of private company data and analytics.
Strategic fit:
- These acquisitions have helped Moody's Corporation expand its product offerings and geographic reach.
- They have also strengthened the company's position in the ESG and risk management markets.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 8.5 out of 10
Justification:
- Moody's Corporation has strong financial performance, a leading market position, and a clear growth strategy.
- The company is well-positioned to benefit from industry trends and has a track record of innovation.
- However, the company faces some challenges, such as economic slowdown and technological disruption.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Moody's Corporation website
- Bloomberg
- Reuters
- S&P Global Market Intelligence
Disclaimer:
This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Moodys Corporation
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | New York, NY, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2000-10-03 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. Robert Scott Fauber |
Sector | Financial Services | Website | https://www.moodys.com |
Industry | Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | Full time employees | 15776 |
Headquaters | New York, NY, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. Robert Scott Fauber | ||
Website | https://www.moodys.com | ||
Website | https://www.moodys.com | ||
Full time employees | 15776 |
Moody's Corporation operates as an integrated risk assessment firm worldwide. It operates in two segments, Moody's Analytics and Moody's Investors Services. The Moody's Analytics segment develops a range of products and services that support the risk management activities of institutional participants in financial markets. It also offers credit research, credit models and analytics, economics data and models, and structured finance solutions; data sets on companies and securities; and SaaS solutions supporting banking, insurance, and know your customer workflows. The Moody's Investors Service segment publishes credit ratings and provides assessment services on various debt obligations, programs and facilities, and entities that issue such obligations, such as various corporate, financial institution, and governmental obligations, as well as structured finance securities. The company was formerly known as Dun and Bradstreet Company and changed its name to Moody's Corporation in September 2000. Moody's Corporation was founded in 1900 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
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