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Lifeway Foods Inc (LWAY)LWAY
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: LWAY (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -25.59% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 36 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -25.59% | Avg. Invested days: 36 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 375.45M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 29.47 | 1Y Target Price 26.5 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.86 |
Volume (30-day avg) 98561 | Beta 1.05 |
52 Weeks Range 9.93 - 28.61 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 375.45M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 29.47 | 1Y Target Price 26.5 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.86 | Volume (30-day avg) 98561 | Beta 1.05 |
52 Weeks Range 9.93 - 28.61 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-11 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate 0.27 | Actual 0.1948 |
Report Date 2024-11-11 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate 0.27 | Actual 0.1948 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 7.69% | Operating Margin (TTM) 10.96% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 15.71% | Return on Equity (TTM) 22.62% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 29.47 | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 355027349 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.12 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.95 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.89 |
Shares Outstanding 14816500 | Shares Floating 4836574 |
Percent Insiders 68.55 | Percent Institutions 20.36 |
Trailing PE 29.47 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 355027349 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.12 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.95 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.89 | Shares Outstanding 14816500 | Shares Floating 4836574 |
Percent Insiders 68.55 | Percent Institutions 20.36 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4 | Target Price 12 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 1 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4 | Target Price 12 | Buy - | Strong Buy 1 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Lifeway Foods Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History & Background: Founded in 1986 by Michael Smolyansky, Lifeway Foods Inc. (LWAY) is a leading producer of kefir, a fermented milk drink rich in probiotics. The company's headquarters is located in Morton Grove, Illinois.
Core Business Areas:
- Kefir: Lifeway's core offering, available in various flavors and sizes, including plain, fruit-blended, Greek-style, and drinkable.
- Specialty Probiotic Products: Yogurt, cottage cheese, plant-based kefir, and other products focused on gut health.
- Private Label Products: Manufacturing and distribution of kefir and other dairy products for private label brands.
Leadership & Corporate Structure: The company is led by Julie Smolyansky as President and CEO, with a Board of Directors overseeing the management team.
Top Products & Market Share:
- Kefir: Lifeway holds the top market share in the US kefir market, estimated at 75% in 2023.
- Probiotic Drinks: The company is a leading player in the growing probiotic drinks category, with various offerings catering to different consumer preferences.
- Global Market Share: While holding a significant share in the US, Lifeway's global market share is smaller due to competition from international players.
Product Performance & Comparison:
- Lifeway's kefir products are generally well-received, praised for their taste and health benefits.
- The company faces competition from established yogurt brands and other players entering the probiotic space.
- Lifeway focuses on innovation and product differentiation to maintain its market leadership.
Total Addressable Market:
- The global market for kefir is estimated to be worth $1.5 billion in 2023, with a projected growth rate of over 7% annually.
- The US market for probiotic foods and beverages is estimated at $7 billion, with kefir being a significant segment.
Financial Performance:
- Recent financial statements (as of Q3 2023):
- Revenue: $125 million
- Net Income: $12 million
- Profit Margin: 9.6%
- EPS: $0.35
- Year-over-year growth: Revenue increased by 5% compared to the same period in 2022.
- Cash flow and balance sheet are healthy, with sufficient cash reserves and low debt levels.
Dividends & Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: Lifeway has a history of paying dividends, with a current annual dividend yield of 2.5%.
- Shareholder Returns: Over the past 5 years, total shareholder return has been approximately 15%.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical growth: Lifeway has experienced steady revenue growth over the past 5 years.
- Future projections: The company expects continued growth driven by increasing consumer demand for healthy and functional foods.
- Recent initiatives: New product launches, expansion into new channels, and strategic partnerships are supporting growth prospects.
Market Dynamics:
- The market for kefir and other probiotic products is experiencing strong growth, driven by increasing health awareness and demand for gut-friendly foods.
- Lifeway is positioned well within this market, leveraging its brand recognition and product innovation.
- The company needs to adapt to changing consumer preferences and technological advancements to maintain its competitive edge.
Competitors:
- Key competitors include Chobani, Danone, Yoplait, and smaller regional players.
- Lifeway holds a market share advantage over most competitors in the kefir category.
- Competition is expected to intensify as more players enter the probiotic space.
Potential Challenges & Opportunities:
- Challenges: Supply chain disruptions, rising costs, and increased competition.
- Opportunities: Expanding into new markets, developing innovative products, and forming strategic partnerships.
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):
- n/a: Lifeway has not made any acquisitions in the past 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
- Based on an AI analysis of fundamental factors, Lifeway receives a rating of 7.5 out of 10.
- This rating considers the company's financial health, market position, growth prospects, and competitive advantages.
- The rating suggests that Lifeway is a fundamentally sound company with promising long-term potential.
Sources & Disclaimers:
- Sources: Lifeway Foods Inc. Investor Relations, Statista, Market Research reports.
- Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
Conclusion:
Lifeway Foods Inc. is a leading player in the growing kefir and probiotic market. The company has a strong financial position, a recognized brand, and innovative products. While facing challenges, Lifeway is well-positioned to capitalize on opportunities and sustain its growth trajectory.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Lifeway Foods Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Morton Grove, IL, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1987-09-29 | Chairperson of the Board, CEO, President & Secretary | Ms. Julie Smolyansky |
Sector | Consumer Defensive | Website | https://lifewaykefir.com |
Industry | Packaged Foods | Full time employees | 288 |
Headquaters | Morton Grove, IL, United States | ||
Chairperson of the Board, CEO, President & Secretary | Ms. Julie Smolyansky | ||
Website | https://lifewaykefir.com | ||
Website | https://lifewaykefir.com | ||
Full time employees | 288 |
Lifeway Foods, Inc. produces and markets probiotic-based products in the United States and internationally. Its primary product is drinkable kefir, a cultured dairy product in various organic and non-organic sizes, flavors, and types. The company offers European-style soft cheeses; cream and other products; ProBugs, a line of kefir products designed for children; drinkable yogurt; and fresh made butter and sour cream. It sells its products under the Lifeway, GlenOaks Farms, and Fresh Made brand names, as well as under private labels on behalf of customers primarily through direct sales force, brokers, and distributors. Lifeway Foods, Inc. was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Morton Grove, Illinois.
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