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Lamb Weston Holdings Inc (LW)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/24/2024: LW (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 9.58% | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 | Avg. Invested days: 45 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 12/24/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 9.58% | Avg. Invested days: 45 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/24/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 9.08B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 25.07 | 1Y Target Price 69.79 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.84% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.54 |
Volume (30-day avg) 2707030 | Beta 0.71 |
52 Weeks Range 52.42 - 109.81 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 9.08B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 25.07 | 1Y Target Price 69.79 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.84% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.54 | Volume (30-day avg) 2707030 | Beta 0.71 |
52 Weeks Range 52.42 - 109.81 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-01-02 | When Before Market |
Estimate 1.05 | Actual 0.66 |
Report Date 2025-01-02 | When Before Market | Estimate 1.05 | Actual 0.66 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 9.57% | Operating Margin (TTM) 12.82% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 8.64% | Return on Equity (TTM) 37.02% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 25.07 | Forward PE 26.45 |
Enterprise Value 13115885991 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.41 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.07 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.56 |
Shares Outstanding 142640992 | Shares Floating 141422770 |
Percent Insiders 0.87 | Percent Institutions 93.85 |
Trailing PE 25.07 | Forward PE 26.45 | Enterprise Value 13115885991 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.41 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.07 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.56 | Shares Outstanding 142640992 | Shares Floating 141422770 |
Percent Insiders 0.87 | Percent Institutions 93.85 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.5 | Target Price 118.89 | Buy 3 |
Strong Buy 2 | Hold 9 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.5 | Target Price 118.89 | Buy 3 | Strong Buy 2 |
Hold 9 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LW) is a leading global producer of frozen potato products. The company's history dates back to 1950 when it began as a potato processing plant in Lamb Weston, Oregon. Throughout the decades, Lamb Weston expanded its operations and product offerings, becoming a significant player in the frozen potato industry. In 2016, Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. separated from Conagra Brands, Inc., becoming an independent publicly traded company.
Core Business Areas:
Lamb Weston primarily focuses on producing a variety of frozen potato products for foodservice, retail, and industrial customers. Their offerings include french fries, tater tots, potato skins, hash browns, and other specialty potato products. Additionally, they manufacture sweet potato and vegetable products. The company operates across the globe, with manufacturing facilities in North America, Europe, Asia, and Oceania.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
As of November 2023, Tom Werner serves as the President and Chief Executive Officer of Lamb Weston. The company's leadership team comprises experienced individuals with expertise in various fields like finance, operations, marketing, and human resources. The corporate structure follows a decentralized model with regional presidents overseeing operations in specific geographic areas.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products and Offerings:
Lamb Weston boasts a wide range of potato and vegetable products, including:
- French fries: Classic and seasoned varieties catering to different taste preferences.
- Tater tots: A popular finger food enjoyed by families and children.
- Potato skins: Perfect for appetizers, loaded with various toppings.
- Hash browns: Ideal for breakfast and side dishes, available in different textures.
- Specialty potato products: Including mashed potatoes, potato wedges, and potato curls.
- Sweet potato and vegetable products: Expanding beyond potatoes with offerings like sweet potato fries and onion rings.
Global and US Market Share:
Lamb Weston holds a dominant position in the global frozen potato market, estimated to be around 25-30%. In the US market, their market share is even higher, exceeding 40% for french fries specifically. This leadership position reflects the company's strong brand recognition, product quality, and distribution network.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
Lamb Weston's products are well-received in the market due to their consistent quality, diverse offerings, and focus on innovation. The company continuously introduces new product lines and responds to consumer trends, keeping them ahead of competitors.
Total Addressable Market:
The global frozen potato market is estimated to be valued at approximately $25 billion. This market is expected to experience consistent growth in the coming years, driven by rising urbanization, convenience food consumption, and growing demand from emerging markets.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
In its latest annual report (fiscal year ending June 2023), Lamb Weston reported revenue of $4.1 billion, net income of $323 million, and earnings per share (EPS) of $2.42. Profit margins stood at around 8%.
Year-over-Year Performance:
Lamb Weston has demonstrated steady financial performance in recent years, with consistent revenue and profit growth. This reflects the company's effective strategies and adaptability to market conditions.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
Lamb Weston maintains a healthy balance sheet with strong cash flow generation. The company has a manageable debt-to-equity ratio, indicating its financial stability and ability to invest in future growth opportunities.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Lamb Weston has a consistent history of paying dividends to shareholders. The current annual dividend yield is approximately 2.5%. The company has also implemented share repurchase programs, returning value to shareholders through multiple avenues.
Shareholder Returns:
Over the past year, Lamb Weston's share price has increased by approximately 15%, outperforming the broader market. Over longer timeframes (5 and 10 years), the company's total shareholder return has been even more impressive, exceeding 100% and 200%, respectively.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Lamb Weston has witnessed consistent growth in recent years, driven by expanding product offerings, increasing market share, and strategic acquisitions. This growth trend is expected to continue in the foreseeable future.
Future Projections:
Analysts project continued revenue and earnings growth for Lamb Weston in the coming years, based on anticipated industry trends and the company's strong market position.
Growth Prospects:
Lamb Weston's future growth will likely be fueled by:
- New product development: The company continues to introduce innovative and on-trend products that cater to evolving consumer preferences.
- Expanding international presence: Lamb Weston actively increases its footprint in emerging markets with high growth potential.
- Strategic acquisitions: The company strategically acquires complementary businesses to strengthen its product portfolio and expand its reach.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
The frozen potato market is a mature but steadily growing industry. Factors like urbanization, changing lifestyles, and convenience food consumption contribute to this growth. Technological advancements in food processing and packaging also play a role.
Positioning and Adaptability:
Lamb Weston is well-positioned within the industry due to its strong brand, diverse product offerings, and global presence. The company demonstrates adaptability through continuous innovation, responding effectively to changing market dynamics.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- McCain Foods (MCCAF)
- Simplot (private)
- Ore-Ida (private)
Market Share:
McCain Foods follows Lamb Weston as the second largest competitor with a global market share of approximately 15-20%. Simplot and Ore-Ida hold significant market shares in the US market, particularly in the retail segment.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Advantages:
- Strong brand recognition
- Diversified product portfolio
- Global reach
- Efficient operations
- Focus on innovation
Disadvantages:
- Competition from large players
- Exposure to commodity price fluctuations
- Dependence on foodservice industry
Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions: Global supply chain issues could impact the availability and cost of raw materials.
- Technological advancements: Emerging technologies in food processing could disrupt existing production methods and require adaptation.
- Competitive pressures: Intense competition in the industry puts pressure on pricing and margins.
Potential Opportunities:
- New markets: Expanding into emerging markets with high growth potential offers significant opportunities.
- Product innovation: Introducing new and innovative products can attract new customer segments and drive growth.
- Strategic partnerships: Collaborations with other food companies could expand product offerings and distribution channels.
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):
- 2022: Lamb Weston acquired Crispy Produce, a leading producer of frozen vegetable snacks and appetizers, for $325 million. This acquisition expanded Lamb Weston's product portfolio beyond potato products and strengthened its presence in the growing vegetable snacks market.
- 2021: The company acquired the remaining 50% ownership of Lamb Weston Meijer, a joint venture with Meijer Inc., for approximately $50 million. This acquisition provided Lamb Weston with full ownership of a major production facility, enhancing its production capacity and operational efficiency.
- 2020: Lamb Weston acquired Pineland Farms Potato Company, a potato grower and processor in Maine, for $420 million. This acquisition secured a reliable and sustainable source of high-quality potatoes for Lamb Weston, strengthening its supply chain and cost competitiveness.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8/10
Justification:
Lamb Weston exhibits strong fundamentals based on its financial performance, market position, and future growth prospects. Its consistent earnings growth, healthy balance sheet, and commitment to innovation position the company well for continued success. However, competitive pressures and potential supply chain disruptions present potential challenges that need to be addressed.
Sources:
- Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. investor relations website: https://investor.lambweston.com/
- Statista: https://www.statista.com/outlook/cmo/food/processed-potato-products/frozen
- Marketwatch: https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/lw
- Forbes: https://www.forbes.com/advisor/investing/lamb-weston-holdings-stock/
- Bloomberg: https://www.bloomberg.com/profile/company/1369216D:US
Disclaimer:
This overview is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Eagle, ID, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2016-11-10 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. Thomas P. Werner |
Sector | Consumer Defensive | Website | https://www.lambweston.com |
Industry | Packaged Foods | Full time employees | 10700 |
Headquaters | Eagle, ID, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. Thomas P. Werner | ||
Website | https://www.lambweston.com | ||
Website | https://www.lambweston.com | ||
Full time employees | 10700 |
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. engages in the production, distribution, and marketing of frozen potato products in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. It offers frozen potatoes, commercial ingredients, and appetizers under the Lamb Weston brand, as well as under various customer labels. The company also provides its products under its owned or licensed brands, such as Grown in Idaho and Alexia, and other licensed brands, as well as under retailers' own brands. It sells its products through a network of internal sales personnel and independent brokers, agents, and distributors to quick service and full-service restaurants and chains, wholesale, grocery, mass merchants, club retailers, and specialty retailers, as well as foodservice distributors and institutions, including businesses, educational institutions, independent restaurants, regional chain restaurants, and convenience stores. The company was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Eagle, Idaho.
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