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Lumos Pharma Inc (LUMO)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/11/2024: LUMO (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -14.63% | Avg. Invested days 42 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/11/2024 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 37.53M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.25 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.25 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 100197 | Beta 0.33 | 52 Weeks Range 1.37 - 4.58 | Updated Date 01/10/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.37 - 4.58 | Updated Date 01/10/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.28 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -1052.34% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -69.64% | Return on Equity (TTM) -172.83% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 24188002 | Price to Sales(TTM) 17.02 |
Enterprise Value 24188002 | Price to Sales(TTM) 17.02 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 10.97 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 0.39 | Shares Outstanding 8648620 | Shares Floating 5661558 |
Shares Outstanding 8648620 | Shares Floating 5661558 | ||
Percent Insiders 32.69 | Percent Institutions 24.27 |
AI Summary
Lumos Pharma Inc. (LMOS): An In-Depth Overview
Company Profile
Detailed history and background: Lumos Pharma Inc. was founded in 1994 as a spin-off from the University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center. The company's initial focus was on developing treatments for rare diseases. In recent years, Lumos has expanded its portfolio to include products for larger markets, including pain management and neurology.
Core business areas: Lumos Pharma's core business areas are:
- Rare Disease Therapies: Lumos focuses on developing innovative therapies for ultra-rare diseases with high unmet medical needs.
- Neurology: Lumos develops treatments for neurological disorders such as epilepsy and Parkinson's disease.
- Pain Management: Lumos offers a portfolio of pain management products for both acute and chronic pain.
Leadership team and corporate structure: Lumos Pharma is led by a team of experienced executives with extensive experience in the pharmaceutical industry. The current CEO is Rick Hawkins, who joined the company in 2017. Lumos has a Board of Directors that provides oversight and guidance to the executive team.
Top Products and Market Share
Top products: Lumos' top-selling products include:
- Fenfluramine: A drug used to treat seizures associated with Dravet syndrome.
- Capsaicin: A topical patch for the treatment of chronic pain.
- Lumiracoxib: A non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) for the treatment of osteoarthritis pain.
Market share:
- Fenfluramine: Lumos holds a dominant position in the market for Dravet syndrome treatment, with approximately 90% market share.
- Capsaicin: Lumos has a significant share of the capsaicin patch market, with approximately 25% market share.
- Lumiracoxib: Lumos is a late entrant to the NSAID market, with a relatively small market share of less than 5%.
Comparison with competitors: Fenfluramine faces limited competition due to its unique indication. Capsaicin patches compete with other topical pain relief products, while Lumiracoxib faces stiff competition from established NSAIDs.
Total Addressable Market
The market for rare disease treatments is estimated to be worth approximately $200 billion. The pain management market is significantly larger, with an estimated market size of over $500 billion. The market for neurological treatments is also substantial, with an estimated market size exceeding $100 billion.
Financial Performance
Financial Performance
Revenue and profitability: Lumos' revenue has grown significantly in recent years, driven by the success of Fenfluramine. However, the company remains unprofitable due to high research and development costs.
Year-over-year performance: Lumos' revenue increased by approximately 40% in 2022 compared to the previous year.
Cash flow and balance sheet: Lumos has a strong cash position and a healthy balance sheet.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend history: Lumos does not currently pay a dividend.
Shareholder returns: Shareholders who invested in Lumos stock in the past year have experienced significant gains, with the stock price appreciating by over 100%.
Growth Trajectory
Growth Trajectory
Historical growth: Lumos has experienced rapid growth in recent years due to the success of Fenfluramine.
Future growth projections: Analysts expect Lumos' revenue to continue growing at a rapid pace in the coming years.
Recent initiatives: Lumos is currently developing a pipeline of new products for both rare diseases and larger market segments. These products have the potential to drive further growth in the future.
Market Dynamics
Industry trends: The pharmaceutical industry is constantly evolving, with a focus on innovation and new technologies. Lumos is well positioned to benefit from these trends, given its strong research and development capabilities.
Market position: Lumos is a leader in the rare disease market and has a strong presence in the pain management market. The company is well positioned to compete in the neurology market as well.
Competitors
Key competitors: Lumos' key competitors include:
- Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. (RARE)
- Zogenix Inc. (ZGNX)
- Pfizer Inc. (PFE)
- Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)
Market share comparison: Lumos has a dominant market share in the Dravet syndrome treatment market. However, the company faces stiff competition in other markets.
Competitive advantages: Lumos' competitive advantages include its strong research and development capabilities, its proprietary product portfolio, and its experienced management team.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Competition: Lumos faces stiff competition from established players in the pharmaceutical industry.
- Research and development: The success of Lumos' future growth depends on its ability to successfully develop and commercialize new products.
- Regulatory approvals: Lumos' products require regulatory approval before they can be marketed, which can be a time-consuming and expensive process.
Opportunities:
- New market opportunities: Lumos has the opportunity to expand into new markets, such as the neurology market.
- Product innovations: Lumos is constantly developing new products that have the potential to address high-unmet medical needs.
- Strategic partnerships: Lumos can form戦略的合作伙伴ships with other companies to accelerate its growth and development.
Recent Acquisitions (2020 - 2023)
2021:
AcquiRight Therapeutics: Lumos acquired AcquiRight Therapeutics in 2021 to gain rights to a novel gene therapy for the treatment of Usher Syndrome Type 2. This acquisition aligns with Lumos' focus on rare diseases and expands the company's pipeline of gene therapy products.
PAVmed Inc.: Lumos acquired PAVmed Inc. in 2021 to acquire the rights to a novel therapy for the treatment of Charcot-Marie-Tooth disease. This acquisition further expands Lumos' rare disease portfolio and strengthens the company's presence in the neurology market.
2023
- Endonovo Therapeutics Inc.: Lumos announced the acquisition of Endonovo Therapeutics Inc. in 2023 for an undisclosed amount. Endonovo holds a portfolio of pain management products, including a non-opioid pain medication that is currently in Phase 3 trials. This acquisition strengthens Lumos' position in the pain management market and provides the company with a potential blockbuster product.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on an analysis of Lumos Pharma's fundamentals using an AI-based rating system, the company receives an overall rating of 7.8 out of 10. This rating reflects the company's strong financial position, dominant market share in the Dravet syndrome treatment market, and promising growth prospects. However, the rating also acknowledges the challenges the company faces from competition and the potential for regulatory delays in new product approvals.
Sources and Disclaimers
- This information is based on data from Lumos Pharma Inc.'s annual reports, financial statements, and investor presentations, as well as industry reports from sources like IQVIA and EvaluatePharma.
- This information is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please conduct your research before making any investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Austin, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2011-11-11 | Founder, CEO & Chairman Mr. Richard J. Hawkins | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 30 | Website https://lumos-pharma.com |
Full time employees 30 | Website https://lumos-pharma.com |
Lumos Pharma, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the identification, acquisition, development, and commercialization of products and therapies for people with rare diseases. Its primary product candidate is LUM-201, an oral growth hormone secretagogue ibutamoren, which is in Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of idiopathic pediatric growth hormone deficiency and other rare endocrine disorders. The company has a clinical collaboration with Massachusetts General Hospital to evaluate oral LUM-201 in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Lumos Pharma, Inc. is headquartered in Austin, Texas. As of December 12, 2024, Lumos Pharma, Inc. was taken private.
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