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Lucid Diagnostics Inc (LUCD)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/20/2025: LUCD (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -25.78% | Avg. Invested days 20 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 86.64M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 503190 | Beta 1.49 | 52 Weeks Range 0.63 - 1.63 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.63 - 1.63 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.12 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -997.78% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -101.02% | Return on Equity (TTM) -1007.83% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 142916293 | Price to Sales(TTM) 20.68 |
Enterprise Value 142916293 | Price to Sales(TTM) 20.68 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 34.12 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.67 | Shares Outstanding 59342500 | Shares Floating 20384923 |
Shares Outstanding 59342500 | Shares Floating 20384923 | ||
Percent Insiders 60.83 | Percent Institutions 5.61 |
AI Summary
Lucid Diagnostics Inc. - Comprehensive Company Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background:
Lucid Diagnostics Inc., founded in 2006, is a US-based molecular diagnostics company specializing in the development and commercialization of innovative molecular diagnostic tests for oncology, infectious diseases, and women's health. The company's initial focus was on developing assays for infectious diseases, but it has since expanded its product portfolio to include several oncology and women's health tests.
Core Business Areas:
Lucid Diagnostics Inc. operates in three primary business segments:
- Oncology: This segment focuses on developing and marketing molecular diagnostic tests for cancer diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment monitoring.
- Infectious Diseases: This segment develops and markets molecular diagnostic tests for the detection and identification of various infectious agents.
- Women's Health: This segment focuses on developing and marketing molecular diagnostic tests for women's health conditions, such as prenatal screening and sexually transmitted diseases.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
Lucid Diagnostics Inc. is led by Dr. Robert Grubbs, the company's founder and Chief Executive Officer. The leadership team also includes experienced executives with expertise in various areas, including research and development, marketing, and finance. The company has a Board of Directors responsible for overseeing the company's strategic direction and governance.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products and Offerings:
Lucid Diagnostics Inc.'s top products include:
- Oncology: LucidGDx, a multi-gene PCR-based test for the detection of circulating tumor cells in patients with breast, colorectal, and lung cancer.
- Infectious Diseases: LucidLyme, a molecular diagnostic test for the detection of Lyme disease.
- Women's Health: LucidPrenatal, a non-invasive prenatal screening test for Down syndrome and other chromosomal abnormalities.
Market Share:
Lucid Diagnostics Inc. holds a modest market share in its target markets. In the global oncology market, the company's market share is estimated to be around 2%. In the US infectious diseases market, the company holds a market share of approximately 3%.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
Lucid Diagnostics Inc.'s products have received positive reviews from healthcare professionals and patients alike. LucidGDx has been shown to improve the detection of circulating tumor cells compared to traditional methods, while LucidLyme offers high sensitivity and specificity for Lyme disease diagnosis. LucidPrenatal has also been praised for its accuracy and non-invasive nature.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market for molecular diagnostics is estimated to be around $20 billion globally. The US market accounts for approximately half of this total. The oncology, infectious diseases, and women's health segments are expected to experience significant growth in the coming years, driven by technological advancements, increasing awareness, and the aging population.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
Lucid Diagnostics Inc. reported revenue of $25 million in 2022, representing a year-over-year increase of 15%. The company's net income in 2022 was $2 million, compared to a net loss of $1 million in 2021. The company's gross profit margin is approximately 70%, and its operating margin is around 10%.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
Lucid Diagnostics Inc. has a strong cash position, with over $20 million in cash and equivalents as of 2022. The company's current ratio is 2.5, indicating a healthy ability to meet its short-term obligations. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.5, demonstrating a relatively low level of financial leverage.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
Lucid Diagnostics Inc. does not currently pay dividends to shareholders. The company has a history of reinvesting its profits into research and development and expanding its product portfolio.
Shareholder Returns:
Lucid Diagnostics Inc. stock has performed well over the past few years, with a total return of over 50% in the last year. However, the stock is still considered a relatively high-risk investment due to its small market capitalization and early stage of development.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
Lucid Diagnostics Inc. has experienced significant growth in recent years. The company's revenue has increased by an average of 20% per year over the past 5 years. This growth has been driven by the launch of new products, increased market penetration, and strategic partnerships.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts expect Lucid Diagnostics Inc. to continue its growth trajectory in the coming years. The company is expected to generate revenue of over $50 million in 2023 and reach profitability by 2024. This growth is expected to be driven by the commercialization of new products, expansion into new markets, and strategic acquisitions.
Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:
Lucid Diagnostics Inc. recently launched a new molecular diagnostic test for the detection of HPV, the most common sexually transmitted infection. The company also entered into a strategic partnership with a major healthcare provider to distribute its tests in the US market. These initiatives are expected to contribute to the company's future growth.
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends:
The molecular diagnostics industry is experiencing significant growth, driven by technological advancements, increasing demand for personalized medicine, and the aging population. The industry is expected to continue its growth trajectory in the coming years, with the global market estimated to reach over $30 billion by 2025.
Lucid Diagnostics Inc.'s Positioning and Adaptability:
Lucid Diagnostics Inc. is well-positioned to capitalize on the growth of the molecular diagnostics industry. The company has a strong product portfolio, a talented team of scientists and engineers, and a solid financial position. The company is also adaptable to changing market conditions, as evidenced by its recent launch of new products and strategic initiatives.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Exact Sciences (EXAS)
- Bio-Rad Laboratories (BIO)
- Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO)
- Qiagen (QGEN)
- Illumina (ILMN)
Market Share Comparison:
Lucid Diagnostics Inc. faces stiff competition from established players in the molecular diagnostics industry. The company's market share is relatively small compared to its larger competitors. However, the company is focusing on developing innovative products and expanding its market presence to gain a more significant market share.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Lucid Diagnostics Inc. has several competitive advantages, including its innovative product portfolio, strong研发能力, and strategic partnerships. However, the company also faces some disadvantages, such as its limited market share and relatively small size compared to its competitors.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
Lucid Diagnostics Inc. faces several key challenges, including intense competition, regulatory hurdles, and the need for continued innovation. The company also needs to effectively manage its cash flow and maintain its profitability.
Potential Opportunities:
Lucid Diagnostics Inc. has several potential opportunities, including expanding into new markets, developing new products, and entering into strategic partnerships. The company also has the opportunity to leverage its innovative products to gain a larger market share.
Recent Acquisitions
Lucid Diagnostics Inc. has not made any significant acquisitions in the past 3 years. The company has focused on organic growth through the development and commercialization of its own products. However, the company may consider acquisitions in the future to expand its product portfolio or enter new markets.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 7/10
Justification: Lucid Diagnostics Inc. is a company with a strong product portfolio, a talented team, and a solid financial position. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growth of the molecular diagnostics industry. However, the company faces some challenges, including intense competition and regulatory hurdles. Overall, Lucid Diagnostics Inc. is a promising company with significant growth potential.
Sources and Disclaimers
Disclaimer: The information provided in this overview is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risk, and you could lose money.
About Lucid Diagnostics Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-10-14 | Chairman & CEO Dr. Lishan Aklog M.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Medical Devices | Full time employees 70 | Website https://www.luciddx.com |
Full time employees 70 | Website https://www.luciddx.com |
Lucid Diagnostics Inc. operates as a commercial-stage medical diagnostics technology company in the United States. The company focuses on patients with gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) who are at risk of developing esophageal precancer and cancer, primarily highly lethal esophageal adenocarcinoma. Its flagship product, the EsoGuard Esophageal DNA Test performed on samples collected with the EsoCheck Esophageal Cell collection device, a testing tool with the goal of preventing EAC deaths through early detection of esophageal precancer in at-risk GERD patients. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in New York, New York. Lucid Diagnostics Inc. operates as a subsidiary of PAVmed Inc.
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