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Lipocine Inc (LPCN)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: LPCN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -2.72% | Avg. Invested days 22 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 17.90M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.75 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.75 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 12261 | Beta 1.42 | 52 Weeks Range 2.91 - 11.79 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.91 - 11.79 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) - |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-03-05 | When Before Market | Estimate -0.4 | Actual 0.33 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 0.08% | Operating Margin (TTM) 44.27% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -3.17% | Return on Equity (TTM) 0.04% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value -4779690 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.6 |
Enterprise Value -4779690 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.6 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.62 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 0.65 | Shares Outstanding 5350360 | Shares Floating 5194982 |
Shares Outstanding 5350360 | Shares Floating 5194982 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.9 | Percent Institutions 9.16 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 5 | Target Price 21.5 | Buy - | Strong Buy 2 |
Buy - | Strong Buy 2 | ||
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Lipocine Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Lipocine Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing innovative treatments for conditions related to hormone deficiencies. Founded in 2002, they've concentrated on oral delivery of testosterone and other hormones, aiming to improve patient convenience and adherence. Their focus is on developing therapies to address unmet needs in men's health.
Core Business Areas
- Endocrinology: Focuses on developing and commercializing pharmaceutical products for treating endocrine disorders, particularly related to testosterone deficiency.
- Oral Drug Delivery: Specializes in formulating and delivering drugs orally, aiming to improve patient convenience and adherence compared to traditional injectable or topical therapies.
Leadership and Structure
Lipocine's leadership team typically includes a CEO, CFO, CMO, and other key executives responsible for strategy, finance, clinical development, and commercialization. The organizational structure is typically based on functional departments such as R&D, clinical operations, regulatory affairs, and commercial operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Tlando: Tlando is Lipocine's oral testosterone replacement therapy (TRT). It is designed to offer a more convenient and potentially safer alternative to injectable testosterone. While specific market share is difficult to pinpoint due to the competitive TRT market dominated by injectables (like Depo-Testosterone from Pharmacia) and topical gels (like AndroGel from AbbVie), Tlando aims to capture a portion of the oral TRT market. Competitors include other TRT formulations like Jatenzo (Clarus Therapeutics) and Kyzatrex (Sandoz), as well as generic testosterone products. Tlando revenue is dependent on sales volume and pricing strategy.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The pharmaceutical industry focusing on hormone therapies is competitive, with established players and ongoing research into new treatments. The TRT market, in particular, is driven by an aging male population and increasing awareness of testosterone deficiency. There are regulatory hurdles and payer reimbursement challenges.
Positioning
Lipocine is a smaller player focusing on niche areas within hormone therapy, particularly oral TRT. Their competitive advantage lies in their proprietary oral drug delivery technology, which aims to offer a more convenient alternative to existing treatments.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global testosterone replacement therapy market is projected to reach billions of dollars. Lipocine's positioning is aimed at capturing a portion of this market through its oral formulation Tlando, which offers potential benefits in terms of convenience and administration compared to traditional methods.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary oral drug delivery technology
- Focus on unmet needs in hormone therapy
- Potential for improved patient convenience with oral formulations
- Experienced management team
Weaknesses
- Limited financial resources compared to larger pharmaceutical companies
- Dependence on successful commercialization of a limited number of products
- Regulatory hurdles and potential for clinical trial setbacks
- Market competition from established TRT products
Opportunities
- Expanding indications for oral hormone therapies
- Strategic partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies
- Increasing awareness and diagnosis of hormone deficiencies
- Penetration into new markets (e.g., international expansion)
Threats
- Competition from generic and branded TRT products
- Changes in regulatory requirements for hormone therapies
- Patent challenges to proprietary technology
- Pricing pressures from payers and healthcare providers
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- AbbVie (ABBV)
- Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)
- Clarus Therapeutics (No Public Symbol)
- Sandoz (SDZ)
Competitive Landscape
Lipocine faces significant competition from larger, more established pharmaceutical companies. Their advantage lies in their oral drug delivery technology. Their disadvantage lies in their limited financial resources and smaller sales force.
Major Acquisitions
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Lipocine's historical growth has been dependent on clinical trial progress and regulatory approvals for Tlando. The company's growth has been characterized by periods of high volatility.
Future Projections: Future growth projections are dependent on the success of Tlando and any future product candidates. Analyst estimates vary widely based on assumptions about market penetration and regulatory outcomes.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include efforts to increase Tlando sales and market share, pursue additional clinical trials for expanded indications, and secure financing for ongoing operations.
Summary
Lipocine is a smaller biopharmaceutical company with a focus on oral hormone therapies, primarily Tlando for testosterone replacement. Their success hinges on Tlando's market penetration, which faces strong competition. The company needs to carefully manage its financial resources and navigate regulatory hurdles to achieve sustainable growth, and expand into more markets. It is a high-risk, high-reward investment due to the volatility of the clinical trial and regulatory approval process.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company website
- SEC filings
- Third-party financial databases
- Analyst reports
- Industry publications
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. The information provided is based on publicly available data and may not be entirely accurate or complete. Investing in biopharmaceutical companies is inherently risky.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Lipocine Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Salt Lake City, UT, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2013-10-22 | Co-Founder, Interim Principal Financial Officer, Director, President & CEO Dr. Mahesh V. Patel Ph.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 16 | Website https://www.lipocine.com |
Full time employees 16 | Website https://www.lipocine.com |
Lipocine Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research and development for the delivery of drugs for the treatment of central nervous system (CNS) disorders. Its lead product candidate is TLANDO, an oral testosterone replacement therapy (TRT) comprising testosterone undecanoate. The company's pipeline candidates also include TLANDO XR a candidate for oral TRT for once daily dosing, which has completed Phase 2b clinical study; LPCN 1148, an oral prodrug of bioidentical testosterone, being developed for the treatment of cirrhosis, currently under Phase 2 clinical studies; LPCN 1154, An oral neurosteroid, being developed for the treatment of postpartum depression, currently under Phase 2 studies; LPCN 2101, a NAS candidate, for women with epilepsy; and LPCN 2203 for essential tremor. It is also involved in the development of LPCN 1144, an oral prodrug of bioidentical testosterone for the treatment of pre-cirrhotic non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, which has completed Phase 2 testing; and LPCN 1107, an oral product candidate of 17-alpha-hydroxy progesterone caproate product, currently under Phase 3 studies for the prevention of recurrent preterm birth. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah.
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