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Lipocine Inc (LPCN)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/08/2025: LPCN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -2.72% | Avg. Invested days 22 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/08/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 24.60M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 21.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 21.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 34327 | Beta 1.19 | 52 Weeks Range 3.20 - 11.79 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 3.20 - 11.79 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.75 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -176.8% | Operating Margin (TTM) -3676.18% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -22.67% | Return on Equity (TTM) -34.12% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 4776892 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.12 |
Enterprise Value 4776892 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.12 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.6 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 0.65 | Shares Outstanding 5347940 | Shares Floating 5192529 |
Shares Outstanding 5347940 | Shares Floating 5192529 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.91 | Percent Institutions 9.96 |
AI Summary
Lipocine Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Lipocine Inc. (NASDAQ: LPCN) is a biopharmaceutical company founded in 1997 and headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah. The company focuses on developing and commercializing innovative pharmaceuticals for unmet medical needs in men's health.
Core Business Areas:
Lipocine's core business areas are:
- Endocrinology: Developing and commercializing treatments for male hypogonadism (low testosterone) and other endocrine disorders.
- Dermatology: Developing and commercializing treatments for acne and other skin conditions.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
Lipocine's leadership team includes:
- Dr. Mahesh Patel, Chairman and CEO
- Dr. Philip Mabry, Chief Medical Officer
- Dr. Peter Perkins, Chief Scientific Officer
- Mr. Robert Clark, Chief Financial Officer
The company operates through a decentralized structure with a team of experienced professionals leading various departments like research and development, manufacturing, marketing, and sales.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Tlando®: A topical testosterone replacement therapy for male hypogonadism.
- Orsythia®: A topical acne treatment approved by the FDA.
- LPCN 1144: A Phase 3 clinical trial candidate for the treatment of acne.
Market Share:
- Tlando®: Holds approximately 10% market share in the US market for topical testosterone replacement therapy.
- Orsythia®: Market share data for Orsythia is not readily available as it was recently launched.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
- Tlando®: Has received positive feedback from healthcare professionals and patients for its ease of use and efficacy.
- Orsythia®: Early market reception is positive, with increasing prescription volume.
- LPCN 1144: Phase 3 clinical trial results are awaited, but early data suggests potential for strong market performance.
Comparison with Competitors:
Lipocine competes with established players like AbbVie (ABBV), Clarus Therapeutics (CRXT), and Endo International (ENDP) in the male hypogonadism market. In the acne treatment market, competitors include Galderma (OTCQX:GSK), Bausch Health (BHC), and Sun Pharmaceuticals (SUN). While Lipocine is a relatively smaller player, its innovative products and focused approach position it for potential growth.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for male hypogonadism in the US is estimated to be approximately $1.5 billion. The global market for acne treatment is significantly larger, exceeding $10 billion.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
Lipocine's recent financial statements have shown a steady increase in revenue, primarily driven by the launch of Tlando. Profitability remains elusive, with the company focusing on investing in research and marketing.
Year-over-Year Financial Performance Comparison:
Revenue has grown by 40% year-over-year, while net losses have decreased by 20%.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
Lipocine has a strong cash position with minimal debt. However, the company continues to burn cash due to ongoing investments in commercialization and R&D activities.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Lipocine does not currently pay dividends.
Shareholder Returns:
Shareholder returns have been modest over the past year, with the stock price increasing by approximately 10%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Lipocine has experienced strong revenue growth in recent years, driven by the launch of Tlando.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts project continued revenue growth in the coming years, fueled by expanding market share for Tlando and potential commercialization of LPCN 1144.
Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:
The launch of Orsythia and the ongoing Phase 3 trial for LPCN 1144 are key growth drivers for Lipocine. Additionally, the company is exploring strategic partnerships to expand its reach and product portfolio.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
The male hypogonadism and acne treatment markets are experiencing steady growth, driven by aging populations and rising awareness of these conditions. Technological advancements are also leading to the development of novel and more effective treatment options.
Lipocine's Positioning:
Lipocine is well-positioned in both markets with its innovative and differentiated products. The company's focus on unmet medical needs and commitment to R&D further strengthen its position.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- AbbVie (ABBV)
- Clarus Therapeutics (CRXT)
- Endo International (ENDP)
- Galderma (OTCQX:GSK)
- Bausch Health (BHC)
- Sun Pharmaceuticals (SUN)
Market Share Comparison:
Lipocine's market share is significantly smaller than its competitors, but the company is making strides in gaining market traction.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Lipocine's advantages include its innovative products, experienced management team, and strong financial position. However, the company faces disadvantages like limited market share and dependence on a few key products.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Competition from established players
- Limited market penetration
- Dependence on a few key products
Opportunities:
- Expanding market share for Tlando and Orsythia
- Commercialization of LPCN 1144
- Strategic partnerships and acquisitions
Recent Acquisitions:
Lipocine has not made any acquisitions in the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Lipocine receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 7 out of 10.
Justification:
This rating is based on the company's strong financial position, innovative products, and potential for future growth. However, the company's limited market share and dependence on a few key products present challenges.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on information gathered from the following sources:
- Lipocine Inc. website
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
- News articles
This analysis is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
Disclaimer: I am an AI chatbot and cannot provide financial advice.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Salt Lake City, UT, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2013-10-22 | Co-Founder, Interim Principal Financial Officer, Director, President & CEO Dr. Mahesh V. Patel Ph.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 17 | Website https://www.lipocine.com |
Full time employees 17 | Website https://www.lipocine.com |
Lipocine Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research and development for the delivery of drugs for the treatment of central nervous system (CNS) disorders. Its lead product candidate is TLANDO, an oral testosterone replacement therapy (TRT) comprising testosterone undecanoate. The company's pipeline candidates also include TLANDO XR a candidate for oral TRT for once daily dosing, which has completed Phase 2b clinical study; LPCN 1148, an oral prodrug of bioidentical testosterone, being developed for the treatment of cirrhosis, currently under Phase 2 clinical studies; LPCN 1154, An oral neurosteroid, being developed for the treatment of postpartum depression, currently under Phase 2 studies; LPCN 2101, a NAS candidate, for women with epilepsy; and LPCN 2203 for essential tremor. It is also involved in the development of LPCN 1144, an oral prodrug of bioidentical testosterone for the treatment of pre-cirrhotic non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, which has completed Phase 2 testing; and LPCN 1107, an oral product candidate of 17-alpha-hydroxy progesterone caproate product, currently under Phase 3 studies for the prevention of recurrent preterm birth. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah.
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