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LPCN
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating

Lipocine Inc (LPCN)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$3.34
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

04/01/2025: LPCN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -2.72%
Avg. Invested days 22
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 04/01/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 17.90M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 6.75
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 6.75
Volume (30-day avg) 12261
Beta 1.42
52 Weeks Range 2.91 - 11.79
Updated Date 04/1/2025
52 Weeks Range 2.91 - 11.79
Updated Date 04/1/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-03-05
When Before Market
Estimate -0.4
Actual 0.33

Profitability

Profit Margin 0.08%
Operating Margin (TTM) 44.27%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -3.17%
Return on Equity (TTM) 0.04%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value -4779690
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.6
Enterprise Value -4779690
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.6
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.62
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 0.65
Shares Outstanding 5350360
Shares Floating 5194982
Shares Outstanding 5350360
Shares Floating 5194982
Percent Insiders 2.9
Percent Institutions 9.16

Analyst Ratings

Rating 5
Target Price 21.5
Buy -
Strong Buy 2
Buy -
Strong Buy 2
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Lipocine Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Lipocine Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing innovative treatments for conditions related to hormone deficiencies. Founded in 2002, they've concentrated on oral delivery of testosterone and other hormones, aiming to improve patient convenience and adherence. Their focus is on developing therapies to address unmet needs in men's health.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Endocrinology: Focuses on developing and commercializing pharmaceutical products for treating endocrine disorders, particularly related to testosterone deficiency.
  • Oral Drug Delivery: Specializes in formulating and delivering drugs orally, aiming to improve patient convenience and adherence compared to traditional injectable or topical therapies.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Lipocine's leadership team typically includes a CEO, CFO, CMO, and other key executives responsible for strategy, finance, clinical development, and commercialization. The organizational structure is typically based on functional departments such as R&D, clinical operations, regulatory affairs, and commercial operations.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Tlando: Tlando is Lipocine's oral testosterone replacement therapy (TRT). It is designed to offer a more convenient and potentially safer alternative to injectable testosterone. While specific market share is difficult to pinpoint due to the competitive TRT market dominated by injectables (like Depo-Testosterone from Pharmacia) and topical gels (like AndroGel from AbbVie), Tlando aims to capture a portion of the oral TRT market. Competitors include other TRT formulations like Jatenzo (Clarus Therapeutics) and Kyzatrex (Sandoz), as well as generic testosterone products. Tlando revenue is dependent on sales volume and pricing strategy.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The pharmaceutical industry focusing on hormone therapies is competitive, with established players and ongoing research into new treatments. The TRT market, in particular, is driven by an aging male population and increasing awareness of testosterone deficiency. There are regulatory hurdles and payer reimbursement challenges.

Positioning

Lipocine is a smaller player focusing on niche areas within hormone therapy, particularly oral TRT. Their competitive advantage lies in their proprietary oral drug delivery technology, which aims to offer a more convenient alternative to existing treatments.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global testosterone replacement therapy market is projected to reach billions of dollars. Lipocine's positioning is aimed at capturing a portion of this market through its oral formulation Tlando, which offers potential benefits in terms of convenience and administration compared to traditional methods.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Proprietary oral drug delivery technology
  • Focus on unmet needs in hormone therapy
  • Potential for improved patient convenience with oral formulations
  • Experienced management team

Weaknesses

  • Limited financial resources compared to larger pharmaceutical companies
  • Dependence on successful commercialization of a limited number of products
  • Regulatory hurdles and potential for clinical trial setbacks
  • Market competition from established TRT products

Opportunities

  • Expanding indications for oral hormone therapies
  • Strategic partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies
  • Increasing awareness and diagnosis of hormone deficiencies
  • Penetration into new markets (e.g., international expansion)

Threats

  • Competition from generic and branded TRT products
  • Changes in regulatory requirements for hormone therapies
  • Patent challenges to proprietary technology
  • Pricing pressures from payers and healthcare providers

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • AbbVie (ABBV)
  • Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)
  • Clarus Therapeutics (No Public Symbol)
  • Sandoz (SDZ)

Competitive Landscape

Lipocine faces significant competition from larger, more established pharmaceutical companies. Their advantage lies in their oral drug delivery technology. Their disadvantage lies in their limited financial resources and smaller sales force.

Major Acquisitions

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Lipocine's historical growth has been dependent on clinical trial progress and regulatory approvals for Tlando. The company's growth has been characterized by periods of high volatility.

Future Projections: Future growth projections are dependent on the success of Tlando and any future product candidates. Analyst estimates vary widely based on assumptions about market penetration and regulatory outcomes.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include efforts to increase Tlando sales and market share, pursue additional clinical trials for expanded indications, and secure financing for ongoing operations.

Summary

Lipocine is a smaller biopharmaceutical company with a focus on oral hormone therapies, primarily Tlando for testosterone replacement. Their success hinges on Tlando's market penetration, which faces strong competition. The company needs to carefully manage its financial resources and navigate regulatory hurdles to achieve sustainable growth, and expand into more markets. It is a high-risk, high-reward investment due to the volatility of the clinical trial and regulatory approval process.

Similar Companies

  • ABBV
  • LLY
  • AGN
  • PRGO

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company website
  • SEC filings
  • Third-party financial databases
  • Analyst reports
  • Industry publications

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. The information provided is based on publicly available data and may not be entirely accurate or complete. Investing in biopharmaceutical companies is inherently risky.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Lipocine Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Salt Lake City, UT, United States
IPO Launch date 2013-10-22
Co-Founder, Interim Principal Financial Officer, Director, President & CEO Dr. Mahesh V. Patel Ph.D.
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees 16
Full time employees 16

Lipocine Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research and development for the delivery of drugs for the treatment of central nervous system (CNS) disorders. Its lead product candidate is TLANDO, an oral testosterone replacement therapy (TRT) comprising testosterone undecanoate. The company's pipeline candidates also include TLANDO XR a candidate for oral TRT for once daily dosing, which has completed Phase 2b clinical study; LPCN 1148, an oral prodrug of bioidentical testosterone, being developed for the treatment of cirrhosis, currently under Phase 2 clinical studies; LPCN 1154, An oral neurosteroid, being developed for the treatment of postpartum depression, currently under Phase 2 studies; LPCN 2101, a NAS candidate, for women with epilepsy; and LPCN 2203 for essential tremor. It is also involved in the development of LPCN 1144, an oral prodrug of bioidentical testosterone for the treatment of pre-cirrhotic non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, which has completed Phase 2 testing; and LPCN 1107, an oral product candidate of 17-alpha-hydroxy progesterone caproate product, currently under Phase 3 studies for the prevention of recurrent preterm birth. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah.

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