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Grand Canyon Education Inc (LOPE)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/27/2025: LOPE (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -1.89% | Avg. Invested days 39 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.03B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 22.63 | 1Y Target Price 203 |
Price to earnings Ratio 22.63 | 1Y Target Price 203 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 167476 | Beta 0.79 | 52 Weeks Range 126.17 - 192.18 | Updated Date 03/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 126.17 - 192.18 | Updated Date 03/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.73 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 21.9% | Operating Margin (TTM) 34.84% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 17.79% | Return on Equity (TTM) 30.13% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 22.63 | Forward PE 20.24 | Enterprise Value 4809019384 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.86 |
Enterprise Value 4809019384 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.86 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.66 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.67 | Shares Outstanding 28724800 | Shares Floating 27677523 |
Shares Outstanding 28724800 | Shares Floating 27677523 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.14 | Percent Institutions 98.21 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.33 | Target Price 182.33 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 1 |
Buy 2 | Strong Buy 1 | ||
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Grand Canyon Education Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (GCE) was founded in 1949 as Grand Canyon College, a non-profit institution. It transitioned to a for-profit model and went public in 2008. In 2018, GCE sold its campus and related assets to Grand Canyon University (GCU), a non-profit institution, and now provides services to GCU and other institutions. The transition to a program enabler model has been a major evolution.
Core Business Areas
- University Services: GCE provides a range of services, including technology, academic counseling, and marketing to Grand Canyon University (GCU) under a long-term services agreement. This is the primary revenue driver.
- Other University Partners: GCE offers similar services to other universities, although GCU remains the largest client.
Leadership and Structure
Brian Mueller is the Chairman and CEO. The organizational structure includes various departments responsible for technology, marketing, student services, and finance. They have a board of directors overseeing the overall strategy.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Technology Platform & Services: GCE's technology platform supports online learning, student management, and academic operations. Market share is difficult to define in pure percentages as many Universities have their own or rely on larger companies like 2U, but GCE powers over 100,000 students via its platform through its major client GCU. Competitors include 2U (TWOU) and Coursera (COUR).
- Marketing & Enrollment Management: GCE provides marketing and enrollment management services to attract and retain students. These services are primarily for GCU, allowing the University to enroll a large online student base. Competitors include companies that specialize in marketing and enrollment solutions for higher education institutions.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The higher education market is experiencing increased competition and scrutiny, particularly in the for-profit sector and online education. There's a growing demand for flexible and accessible education options, leading to increased online enrollment. Legislative and regulatory pressures are prevalent.
Positioning
GCE positions itself as a service provider to universities, enabling them to grow their online presence and improve student outcomes. Their competitive advantage lies in their established relationship with GCU and their expertise in managing online education programs.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for higher education support services, including online program management and technology solutions, is estimated to be in the billions of dollars. GCE is positioned to capture a portion of this market by expanding its services to other universities. TAM is difficult to fully assess as it depends on how far GCE chooses to expand. However, a conservative estimate places TAM at USD 5 Billion for the education services they currently provide.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong relationship with GCU
- Proven track record in online education
- Scalable technology platform
- Experienced management team
Weaknesses
- High dependence on GCU for revenue
- Reputation risk associated with the for-profit education sector
- Regulatory scrutiny
- Limited diversification outside of GCU
Opportunities
- Expanding partnerships with other universities
- Developing new educational programs
- Leveraging technology to improve student outcomes
- Acquiring smaller education service providers
Threats
- Changes in regulations affecting online education
- Increased competition from other service providers
- Negative publicity related to GCU
- Economic downturn impacting student enrollment
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- TWOU
- COUR
- STRA
Competitive Landscape
GCE's advantage lies in its established relationship with GCU. Its disadvantage is the dependency on GCU. Competitors like 2U and Coursera have a broader client base but may not offer the same level of customized services as GCE.
Major Acquisitions
Orbis Education Services
- Year: 2019
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 360
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded GCE's offerings into healthcare education and provided access to new university partners.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been primarily driven by the expansion of GCU's online programs and student enrollment. GCE aims to diversify revenue streams by adding new university partners.
Future Projections: Future growth depends on GCE's ability to secure new university partners and expand its service offerings. Analyst estimates would be found on the financial statements of outside news agencies.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investing in technology and infrastructure to support online education and expanding its marketing efforts to attract new university partners.
Summary
Grand Canyon Education is a stable company due to its strong relationship with GCU, and this has allowed it to expand. GCE needs to diversify its client base to reduce its reliance on GCU. Regulatory changes and competitive pressures in the online education market pose potential risks. The company has a good track record in providing educational services.
Similar Companies
- TWOU
- COUR
- STRA
- CVET
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Publications
- Grand Canyon Education Website
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Market share estimates are approximate.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Grand Canyon Education Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Phoenix, AZ, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2008-11-20 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Brian E. Mueller | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Education & Training Services | Full time employees 4092 | Website https://www.gce.com |
Full time employees 4092 | Website https://www.gce.com |
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. operates as an education services company in the United States. The company provides technology services, including learning management system, internal administration, infrastructure, and support services; and academic services, such as program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling, and skills and simulation lab sites. It also offers counseling services and support, which includes admission services, financial aid, counseling services, and field experience counseling; marketing and communication services, including lead acquisition, digital communications strategy, brand identity, media planning and strategy, video, business intelligence and data science, and market research; and back-office services, such as finance and accounting, human resources, audit, and procurement services. In addition, it provides education services to 22 university partners. The company was formerly known as Significant Education, Inc. and changed its name to Grand Canyon Education, Inc. in August 2005. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
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