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Grand Canyon Education Inc (LOPE)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$178.18
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY4.47%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 73 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
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Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
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Time period over
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/27/2025: LOPE (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -1.89%
Avg. Invested days 39
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/27/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 5.03B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 22.63
1Y Target Price 203
Price to earnings Ratio 22.63
1Y Target Price 203
Volume (30-day avg) 167476
Beta 0.79
52 Weeks Range 126.17 - 192.18
Updated Date 03/30/2025
52 Weeks Range 126.17 - 192.18
Updated Date 03/30/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 7.73

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 21.9%
Operating Margin (TTM) 34.84%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 17.79%
Return on Equity (TTM) 30.13%

Valuation

Trailing PE 22.63
Forward PE 20.24
Enterprise Value 4809019384
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.86
Enterprise Value 4809019384
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.86
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.66
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.67
Shares Outstanding 28724800
Shares Floating 27677523
Shares Outstanding 28724800
Shares Floating 27677523
Percent Insiders 2.14
Percent Institutions 98.21

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.33
Target Price 182.33
Buy 2
Strong Buy 1
Buy 2
Strong Buy 1
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Grand Canyon Education Inc

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Company Overview

History and Background

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (GCE) was founded in 1949 as Grand Canyon College, a non-profit institution. It transitioned to a for-profit model and went public in 2008. In 2018, GCE sold its campus and related assets to Grand Canyon University (GCU), a non-profit institution, and now provides services to GCU and other institutions. The transition to a program enabler model has been a major evolution.

Core Business Areas

  • University Services: GCE provides a range of services, including technology, academic counseling, and marketing to Grand Canyon University (GCU) under a long-term services agreement. This is the primary revenue driver.
  • Other University Partners: GCE offers similar services to other universities, although GCU remains the largest client.

Leadership and Structure

Brian Mueller is the Chairman and CEO. The organizational structure includes various departments responsible for technology, marketing, student services, and finance. They have a board of directors overseeing the overall strategy.

Top Products and Market Share

Key Offerings

  • Technology Platform & Services: GCE's technology platform supports online learning, student management, and academic operations. Market share is difficult to define in pure percentages as many Universities have their own or rely on larger companies like 2U, but GCE powers over 100,000 students via its platform through its major client GCU. Competitors include 2U (TWOU) and Coursera (COUR).
  • Marketing & Enrollment Management: GCE provides marketing and enrollment management services to attract and retain students. These services are primarily for GCU, allowing the University to enroll a large online student base. Competitors include companies that specialize in marketing and enrollment solutions for higher education institutions.

Market Dynamics

Industry Overview

The higher education market is experiencing increased competition and scrutiny, particularly in the for-profit sector and online education. There's a growing demand for flexible and accessible education options, leading to increased online enrollment. Legislative and regulatory pressures are prevalent.

Positioning

GCE positions itself as a service provider to universities, enabling them to grow their online presence and improve student outcomes. Their competitive advantage lies in their established relationship with GCU and their expertise in managing online education programs.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for higher education support services, including online program management and technology solutions, is estimated to be in the billions of dollars. GCE is positioned to capture a portion of this market by expanding its services to other universities. TAM is difficult to fully assess as it depends on how far GCE chooses to expand. However, a conservative estimate places TAM at USD 5 Billion for the education services they currently provide.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong relationship with GCU
  • Proven track record in online education
  • Scalable technology platform
  • Experienced management team

Weaknesses

  • High dependence on GCU for revenue
  • Reputation risk associated with the for-profit education sector
  • Regulatory scrutiny
  • Limited diversification outside of GCU

Opportunities

  • Expanding partnerships with other universities
  • Developing new educational programs
  • Leveraging technology to improve student outcomes
  • Acquiring smaller education service providers

Threats

  • Changes in regulations affecting online education
  • Increased competition from other service providers
  • Negative publicity related to GCU
  • Economic downturn impacting student enrollment

Competitors and Market Share

Key Competitors

  • TWOU
  • COUR
  • STRA

Competitive Landscape

GCE's advantage lies in its established relationship with GCU. Its disadvantage is the dependency on GCU. Competitors like 2U and Coursera have a broader client base but may not offer the same level of customized services as GCE.

Major Acquisitions

Orbis Education Services

  • Year: 2019
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 360
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded GCE's offerings into healthcare education and provided access to new university partners.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical growth has been primarily driven by the expansion of GCU's online programs and student enrollment. GCE aims to diversify revenue streams by adding new university partners.

Future Projections: Future growth depends on GCE's ability to secure new university partners and expand its service offerings. Analyst estimates would be found on the financial statements of outside news agencies.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investing in technology and infrastructure to support online education and expanding its marketing efforts to attract new university partners.

Summary

Grand Canyon Education is a stable company due to its strong relationship with GCU, and this has allowed it to expand. GCE needs to diversify its client base to reduce its reliance on GCU. Regulatory changes and competitive pressures in the online education market pose potential risks. The company has a good track record in providing educational services.

Similar Companies

  • TWOU
  • COUR
  • STRA
  • CVET

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings
  • Analyst Reports
  • Industry Publications
  • Grand Canyon Education Website

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Market share estimates are approximate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Grand Canyon Education Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Phoenix, AZ, United States
IPO Launch date 2008-11-20
Chairman & CEO Mr. Brian E. Mueller
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Education & Training Services
Full time employees 4092
Full time employees 4092

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. operates as an education services company in the United States. The company provides technology services, including learning management system, internal administration, infrastructure, and support services; and academic services, such as program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling, and skills and simulation lab sites. It also offers counseling services and support, which includes admission services, financial aid, counseling services, and field experience counseling; marketing and communication services, including lead acquisition, digital communications strategy, brand identity, media planning and strategy, video, business intelligence and data science, and market research; and back-office services, such as finance and accounting, human resources, audit, and procurement services. In addition, it provides education services to 22 university partners. The company was formerly known as Significant Education, Inc. and changed its name to Grand Canyon Education, Inc. in August 2005. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.

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