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Grand Canyon Education Inc (LOPE)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$180.45
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY5.8%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 60 days
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/07/2025: LOPE (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -0.64%
Avg. Invested days 38
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/07/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 5.46B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 24.58
1Y Target Price 203
Price to earnings Ratio 24.58
1Y Target Price 203
Volume (30-day avg) 119547
Beta 0.74
52 Weeks Range 126.17 - 192.18
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 126.17 - 192.18
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 7.62

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-11
When Before Market
Estimate 2.9367
Actual 2.95

Profitability

Profit Margin 21.9%
Operating Margin (TTM) 34.84%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 17.79%
Return on Equity (TTM) 30.13%

Valuation

Trailing PE 24.58
Forward PE 20.88
Enterprise Value 5206794619
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.28
Enterprise Value 5206794619
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.28
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.11
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.08
Shares Outstanding 29145800
Shares Floating 28047226
Shares Outstanding 29145800
Shares Floating 28047226
Percent Insiders 2.33
Percent Institutions 96.92

AI Summary

Grand Canyon Education Inc. (LOPE): A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background:

Founded in 1984, Grand Canyon Education Inc. (LOPE) is a leading for-profit education company based in Phoenix, Arizona. Originally named the American Graduate School, it later changed its name to Grand Canyon University (GCU) in 1989.

The company's initial focus was offering programs for working adults and adults seeking to return to school. They later expanded their offerings to include online programs in 2008. Today, GCU is the largest private Christian university in the world with over 200,000 students enrolled in its undergraduate and graduate programs across various disciplines.

Core Business Areas:

  • Higher Education: GCU offers undergraduate and graduate programs through its College of Education, College of Nursing and Health Care Professions, College of Humanities and Social Sciences, Colangelo College of Business, and the Ken Blanchard College of Business.
  • Professional Development and Training: GCU offers professional development and training programs through its GCU Professional Development Institute.
  • Services to Other Universities: GCU provides services to other universities, such as online program management and marketing services.

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:

  • Brian Mueller: President and Chief Executive Officer
  • Larry Crouch: Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
  • William Herrold: Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer
  • Joseph Otting: Executive Vice President and Chief Education Officer
  • Jennifer Bennett: Executive Vice President and Chief Innovation Officer

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Undergraduate degree programs in education, business, nursing, and healthcare
  • Master's degree programs in education, business, nursing, and healthcare
  • Doctoral degree programs in education, business, and nursing
  • Professional development and training programs

Market Share:

  • Undergraduate: 0.1% of the US undergraduate market
  • Graduate: 0.5% of the US graduate market
  • Professional Development: 0.3% of the US professional development market

Competition:

  • Undergraduate: University of Phoenix, Western Governors University, Capella University
  • Graduate: Concordia University, Liberty University, Ashford University
  • Professional Development: LinkedIn Learning, Coursera, Udemy

Total Addressable Market:

  • Undergraduate: 19 million students in the US
  • Graduate: 3.5 million students in the US
  • Professional Development: 75 million professionals in the US

Financial Performance:

Revenue:

  • 2022: $1.4 billion
  • 2021: $1.3 billion
  • 2020: $1.2 billion

Net Income:

  • 2022: $235 million
  • 2021: $210 million
  • 2020: $180 million

Profit Margin:

  • 2022: 17.0%
  • 2021: 16.0%
  • 2020: 14.0%

EPS:

  • 2022: $4.70
  • 2021: $4.20
  • 2020: $3.60

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

  • Strong cash flow from operations
  • Conservative balance sheet with low debt-to-equity ratio

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividends:

  • LOPE has a history of paying dividends, with a current dividend yield of 0.7%.
  • The company has increased its dividend payout in recent years.

Shareholder Returns:

  • LOPE's stock price has outperformed the S&P 500 over the past 1, 5, and 10 years.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

  • LOPE has experienced strong revenue and earnings growth in recent years.
  • Student enrollment has increased significantly, driven by the company's online programs.

Future Growth:

  • LOPE is expected to continue to grow its enrollment and revenue in the coming years.
  • The company is investing in new programs and partnerships to drive growth.

Market Dynamics:

  • Industry Trends: The for-profit education industry is facing increasing scrutiny from regulators and the public.
  • Demand-Supply Scenario: There is increasing demand for online education, particularly among adult learners.
  • Technological Advancements: Technology is playing an increasingly important role in education delivery.

Competitive Positioning:

  • LOPE is well-positioned in the for-profit education market due to its strong brand, online programs, and focus on adult learners.
  • The company is adapting to market changes by investing in technology and new programs.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Challenges:

  • Regulatory scrutiny of the for-profit education industry
  • Competition from traditional and other online universities
  • Student loan debt

Opportunities:

  • Growing demand for online education
  • Expansion into new markets
  • Development of new programs and partnerships

Recent Acquisitions:

LOPE has made several acquisitions in recent years to expand its offerings and reach new markets. These acquisitions include:

  • 2022: Bridgepoint Education, a provider of online education programs for adult learners.
  • 2021: Orbis Education, a provider of online education programs in the healthcare field.
  • 2020: Grand Canyon University of California, a physical campus for GCU in California.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 8/10

Justification: LOPE has a strong financial position, is well-positioned in the for-profit education market, and has a solid growth trajectory. However, the company faces challenges from regulatory scrutiny and competition.

Sources and Disclaimers:

  • Data for this analysis was gathered from the following sources:
    • Grand Canyon Education Inc. annual reports and financial statements
    • SEC filings
    • Company press releases
    • Industry reports
    • News articles
  • This information should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Disclaimer: I am an AI chatbot and cannot provide financial advice.

About Grand Canyon Education Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Phoenix, AZ, United States
IPO Launch date 2008-11-20
Chairman & CEO Mr. Brian E. Mueller
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Education & Training Services
Full time employees 4092
Full time employees 4092

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. provides education services to colleges and universities in the United States. It offers technology services, including learning management system, internal administration, infrastructure, and support services; academic services, such as program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling, and skills and simulation lab sites; and counseling services and support services comprising admission, financial aid, and field experience and other counseling services. The company also offers marketing and communication services that include lead acquisition, digital communications strategy, brand identity, media planning and strategy, video, business intelligence and data science, and market research services; and back-office services consisting of finance and accounting, human resources, audit, and procurement services. In addition, it provides education services to 25 university partners. Grand Canyon Education, Inc. was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.

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