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Lemonade Inc (LMND)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/18/2025: LMND (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -41.68% | Avg. Invested days 24 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.51B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 33 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 33 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1882712 | Beta 2.15 | 52 Weeks Range 14.03 - 53.85 | Updated Date 02/20/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 14.03 - 53.85 | Updated Date 02/20/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.04 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-02-25 | When After Market | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -43.57% | Operating Margin (TTM) -48.17% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -7.42% | Return on Equity (TTM) -32.52% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 2368121891 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.1 |
Enterprise Value 2368121891 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.1 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.8 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 71404496 | Shares Floating 55080034 |
Shares Outstanding 71404496 | Shares Floating 55080034 | ||
Percent Insiders 25.77 | Percent Institutions 47.31 |
AI Summary
Lemonade, Inc. (NYSE: LMND) - Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed history and background:
Lemonade, Inc. was founded in 2015 by Daniel Schreiber and Shai Wininger. It is a technology-driven insurance company that operates in the United States, the Netherlands, and Germany.
The company initially offered renters insurance and later expanded to offer homeowners insurance, pet insurance, and term life insurance. Lemonade's platform uses AI and behavioral economics to streamline the insurance process, making it faster and more transparent for customers.
Core business areas:
Lemonade's core business areas include:
- P&C insurance: Offering renters, homeowners, and pet insurance.
- Term life insurance: Providing simple and affordable life insurance.
- AI-powered platform: Utilizing AI and behavioral economics to personalize and automate the insurance experience.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
- Daniel Schreiber: Co-founder and CEO
- Shai Wininger: Co-founder and President
- Tim Bixby: Chief Financial Officer
- Yael Wissner-Levy: Chief Insurance Officer
- Yotam Assia: Chief Technology Officer
Lemonade operates with a lean corporate structure, with its headquarters in New York City and offices in Amsterdam and Tel Aviv.
Top Products and Market Share
Top products and offerings:
- Lemonade renters insurance: Renters insurance with a user-friendly interface and AI-powered claims processing.
- Lemonade homeowners insurance: Homeowners insurance with customizable coverage options and transparent pricing.
- Lemonade pet insurance: Pet insurance with comprehensive coverage and affordable premiums.
- Lemonade term life insurance: Term life insurance with simple and straightforward policies.
Market share:
Lemonade has a relatively small market share in the insurance industry. According to the NAIC, Lemonade's market share in the US homeowners insurance market was 0.1% in 2022. However, the company has experienced rapid growth in recent years, and its market share is expected to continue increasing.
Product performance and market reception:
Lemonade's products have been generally well-received by customers, with the company earning high ratings on customer review websites. The company's AI-powered platform and commitment to transparency have differentiated it from traditional insurance companies.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market (TAM) for Lemonade is the global insurance market, which was estimated to be worth $7.1 trillion in 2022. The TAM for Lemonade's specific product offerings includes:
- Renters insurance: $14.7 billion in the US.
- Homeowners insurance: $139.8 billion in the US.
- Pet insurance: $2.5 billion in the US.
- Term life insurance: $319.8 billion in the US.
Financial Performance
Recent financial statements:
- Revenue: $167.7 million in 2022, a 40% increase year-over-year.
- Net income: -$149.6 million in 2022.
- Profit margins: -89.2% in 2022.
- Earnings per share (EPS): -$2.52 in 2022.
Year-over-year comparison:
Lemonade's revenue has grown significantly in recent years, but the company is still unprofitable. This is due to the company's high investment in technology and marketing.
Cash flow and balance sheet:
Lemonade's cash flow from operations was -$150.4 million in 2022. The company has a strong balance sheet, with $345.6 million in cash and equivalents as of December 31, 2022.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend history:
Lemonade does not currently pay dividends.
Shareholder returns:
Lemonade's stock has been volatile since its IPO in 2020. The stock has a 5-year total return of -67.8%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical growth:
Lemonade has experienced rapid revenue growth in recent years. The company's revenue grew by 40% in 2022.
Future growth projections:
Analysts expect Lemonade's revenue to continue growing at a strong pace in the coming years. The company is expected to benefit from the growing demand for digital insurance solutions and its expansion into new markets.
Recent product launches and strategic initiatives:
Lemonade has recently launched new products such as pet insurance and term life insurance. The company is also expanding into new markets such as Europe.
Market Dynamics
Industry trends:
The insurance industry is undergoing a digital transformation. Traditional insurance companies are facing increasing competition from insurtech startups like Lemonade.
Demand-supply scenarios:
The demand for insurance is expected to continue growing in the coming years. This is due to factors such as population growth and increasing wealth.
Technological advancements:
Technological advancements are playing a major role in the transformation of the insurance industry. AI, machine learning, and blockchain are being used to automate insurance processes and improve risk assessment.
Lemonade's positioning:
Lemonade is well-positioned to benefit from the trends in the insurance industry. The company's AI-powered platform and commitment to transparency differentiate it from traditional insurance companies.
Competitors
Key competitors:
- Progressive (PGR): Market share of 10.4% in the US auto insurance market.
- Geico (BRK.B): Market share of 9.7% in the US auto insurance market.
- State Farm (SF): Market share of 17.6% in the US auto insurance market.
- Allstate (ALL): Market share of 9.0% in the US auto insurance market.
- Farmers Insurance (MMM): Market share of 4.5% in the US auto insurance market.
Market share and comparison:
Lemonade has a relatively small market share compared to its competitors. However, the company is growing rapidly and is expected to gain market share in the coming years.
Competitive advantages and disadvantages:
Advantages:
- AI-powered platform
- Transparent pricing
- User-friendly experience
- Rapid growth
Disadvantages:
- Unprofitable
- Small market share
- Limited product offerings
- New to the industry
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key challenges:
- Competition: Lemonade faces intense competition from established insurance companies and insurtech startups.
- Profitability: The company is still unprofitable and needs to demonstrate its ability to generate sustainable profits.
- Regulation: The insurance industry is heavily regulated, and Lemonade needs to comply with complex regulations.
Potential opportunities:
- Growth: The insurance market is large and growing, and Lemonade has an opportunity to capture a significant share of this market.
- Innovation: Lemonade is well-positioned to innovate and develop new insurance products and services.
- Expansion: The company has an opportunity to expand into new markets and product lines.
Recent Acquisitions
Lemonade has not made any acquisitions in the past 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 7 out of 10
Justification:
Lemonade has a strong business model, a differentiated product offering, and a large market opportunity. However, the company is still unprofitable and faces intense competition. The AI-based fundamental rating takes into account these factors and gives Lemonade a rating of 7 out of 10.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Lemonade, Inc. annual report
- Lemonade, Inc. website
- National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC)
- Statista
- Investor's Business Daily
Disclaimers:
This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Conclusion
Lemonade is a growing insurance company with a differentiated product offering. The company has a large market opportunity and is well-positioned to benefit from the trends in the insurance industry. However, Lemonade is still unprofitable and faces intense competition. Investors should carefully consider these factors before investing in Lemonade stock.
About Lemonade Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-07-02 | CO-Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. Daniel Asher Schreiber | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Insurance - Property & Casualty | Full time employees 1258 | Website https://www.lemonade.com |
Full time employees 1258 | Website https://www.lemonade.com |
Lemonade, Inc. provides various insurance products through various channels in the United States, Europe, and the United Kingdom. Its insurance products include stolen or damaged property, and personal liability that protects its customers if they are responsible for an accident or damage to another person or their property. The company also offers renters, homeowners, car, pet, and life insurance products, as well as landlord insurance policies. In addition, it operates as an agent for other insurance companies. The company was formerly known as Lemonade Group, Inc. and changed its name to Lemonade, Inc. Lemonade, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
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