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LGI Homes (LGIH)LGIH
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/15/2024: LGIH (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 1.58% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 38 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/15/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 1.58% | Avg. Invested days: 38 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/15/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.38B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 12.1 | 1Y Target Price 117.5 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 8.36 |
Volume (30-day avg) 177947 | Beta 1.98 |
52 Weeks Range 84.00 - 136.89 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.38B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 12.1 | 1Y Target Price 117.5 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 8.36 | Volume (30-day avg) 177947 | Beta 1.98 |
52 Weeks Range 84.00 - 136.89 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-05 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate 2.54 | Actual 2.95 |
Report Date 2024-11-05 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate 2.54 | Actual 2.95 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8.75% | Operating Margin (TTM) 12.5% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.02% | Return on Equity (TTM) 10.39% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 12.1 | Forward PE 10.72 |
Enterprise Value 3900310409 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.06 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.73 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.01 |
Shares Outstanding 23513500 | Shares Floating 20612394 |
Percent Insiders 12.89 | Percent Institutions 87.74 |
Trailing PE 12.1 | Forward PE 10.72 | Enterprise Value 3900310409 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.06 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.73 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.01 | Shares Outstanding 23513500 | Shares Floating 20612394 |
Percent Insiders 12.89 | Percent Institutions 87.74 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 2.67 | Target Price 128.25 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy - | Hold 3 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell 1 |
Rating 2.67 | Target Price 128.25 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy - |
Hold 3 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell 1 |
AI Summarization
LGI Homes: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH) is a Texas-based homebuilder incorporated in 2003 and headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas. The company focuses on building and selling affordable homes in major metropolitan areas across the United States. LGIH went public in 2013 and has grown rapidly, becoming one of the largest homebuilders in the country.
Core Business Areas:
LGIH's primary business is the construction and sale of new homes. The company operates in 36 markets across 19 states, concentrating on entry-level and move-up homes. LGIH also offers mortgage financing and closing services through its LGI Mortgage division.
Leadership:
LGIH's leadership team comprises experienced professionals with extensive backgrounds in the homebuilding industry. David O'Brien serves as Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, leading the company since 2003. Brad Hunter is the President and Chief Operating Officer, responsible for day-to-day operations. The executive team brings a wealth of knowledge and expertise to LGIH.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
LGIH's top products are its entry-level and move-up homes. These homes are typically single-family detached houses with two to four bedrooms and one to two stories. LGIH offers a variety of floor plans and elevations to cater to different buyer preferences.
Market Share:
LGIH is one of the largest homebuilders in the United States, with a market share of approximately 1.5% in 2022. The company's market share varies across different regions, with a stronger presence in the Southeast and Southwest.
Product Performance and Competitor Comparison:
LGIH's homes are generally priced below the median price in their respective markets, making them attractive to first-time homebuyers and value-conscious consumers. The company's focus on affordability and operational efficiency has helped it achieve strong sales growth and profitability. Compared to competitors, LGIH's homes may have slightly less square footage or fewer features, but they offer a competitive value proposition.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for LGIH is the new home construction market in the United States. This market is estimated to be worth over $400 billion annually. With a growing population and increasing urbanization, the demand for new homes is expected to remain strong in the coming years.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
LGIH's financial performance has been strong in recent years. The company's revenue has grown steadily, and its net income and profit margins have expanded. In 2022, LGIH reported revenue of $2.5 billion, net income of $469 million, and a gross profit margin of 25.9%.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
LGIH's financial performance has been consistently improving over the past five years. The company's revenue, net income, and earnings per share (EPS) have all grown at double-digit rates during this period.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
LGIH has a strong cash flow position and a healthy balance sheet. The company has significant cash reserves and low debt levels. This financial strength provides LGIH with flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and weather industry downturns.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
LGIH has a history of paying dividends to shareholders. The company's current annual dividend yield is approximately 1.5%. The dividend payout ratio is around 20%, indicating that LGIH has room to increase its dividend in the future.
Shareholder Returns:
LGIH's stock has delivered strong returns to shareholders over the past several years. The stock price has more than doubled since the company's IPO in 2013. Total shareholder returns, including dividends, have exceeded 200% during this period.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
LGIH has experienced significant growth over the past decade. The company's revenue, earnings, and home closings have all increased substantially. This growth has been driven by LGIH's expansion into new markets, its focus on affordability, and its execution of its business plan.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts expect LGIH to continue its growth trajectory in the coming years. The company is expected to benefit from favorable housing market conditions and its strong financial position. LGIH's management team is targeting revenue growth of 10-15% annually over the next few years.
Recent Initiatives:
LGIH is pursuing several strategic initiatives to drive future growth. These initiatives include expanding into new markets, introducing new product offerings, and improving operational efficiency. The company is also investing in technology and innovation to enhance its customer experience and streamline its construction process.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
The homebuilding industry is cyclical, influenced by economic conditions, interest rates, and consumer confidence. The industry is currently experiencing a strong period, driven by low-interest rates and a housing shortage in many parts of the country. However, rising interest rates and affordability concerns could pose challenges in the future.
LGIH's Position:
LGIH is well-positioned to navigate the industry's dynamics. The company's focus on affordability, operational efficiency, and geographic diversification helps mitigate risks and capitalize on growth opportunities. LGIH's strong financial position also provides a buffer against industry downturns.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
LGIH's key competitors include other large national homebuilders such as D.R. Horton (DHI), Lennar (LEN), and PulteGroup (PHM). These companies offer similar products and services, but they may have different geographic footprints, product mixes, and pricing strategies.
Competitive Advantages:
LGIH's competitive advantages include its focus on affordability, its land acquisition strategy, and its operational efficiency. The company's homes are typically priced below the competition, making them attractive to value-conscious buyers. LGIH also has a strong track record of acquiring land at attractive prices, which helps to control costs and improve profitability. Finally, the company's focus on efficiency allows it to build homes quickly and at a lower cost than its competitors.
Competitive Disadvantages:
LGIH's competitive disadvantages include its limited product mix and its geographic concentration. The company primarily focuses on entry-level and move-up homes, which may limit its appeal to higher-end buyers. Additionally, LGIH's operations are concentrated in the Southeast and Southwest, which makes it vulnerable to regional economic downturns.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
LGIH faces several potential challenges, including rising interest rates, affordability concerns, supply chain disruptions, and labor shortages. These factors could impact the company's sales and profitability in the future.
Opportunities:
LGIH also has several potential opportunities, including expanding into new markets, introducing new product offerings, and growing its mortgage business. The company's strong financial position and experienced management team position it well to capitalize on these opportunities.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
AI-Based Rating:
An AI-based analysis of LGIH's stock fundamentals assigns a rating of 8 out of 10. This rating is based on the company's strong financial performance, growth prospects, and competitive positioning.
Justification:
LGIH has a strong track record of financial performance, with consistent revenue growth, expanding profit margins, and a healthy balance sheet. The company is well-positioned for future growth, driven by favorable housing market conditions and strategic initiatives. LGIH also has competitive advantages, including its focus on affordability and operational efficiency. However, the company faces some challenges, such as rising interest rates and affordability concerns.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- LGI Homes, Inc. Investor Relations
- S&P Global Market Intelligence
- Yahoo Finance
- SEC filings
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About LGI Homes
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | The Woodlands, TX, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2013-11-07 | Chairman & CEO | Mr. Eric Thomas Lipar |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.lgihomes.com |
Industry | Residential Construction | Full time employees | 1089 |
Headquaters | The Woodlands, TX, United States | ||
Chairman & CEO | Mr. Eric Thomas Lipar | ||
Website | https://www.lgihomes.com | ||
Website | https://www.lgihomes.com | ||
Full time employees | 1089 |
LGI Homes, Inc. designs, constructs, and sells homes. It offers entry-level homes, such as attached and detached homes, and active adult homes under the LGI Homes brand name; and luxury series homes under the Terrata Homes brand name. The company also engages in the wholesale business, which include building and selling homes to large institutions looking to acquire single-family rental properties. It serves customers in Texas, Arizona, Florida, Georgia, New Mexico, Colorado, North Carolina, South Carolina, Washington, Tennessee, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Alabama, California, Oregon, Nevada, West Virginia, Virginia, Pennsylvania, Maryland, and Utah. LGI Homes, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas.
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