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Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS)KTOS
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: KTOS (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Historic Profit: 4.58% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 47 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Historic Profit: 4.58% | Avg. Invested days: 47 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.81B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 252.2 | 1Y Target Price 27.18 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.1 |
Volume (30-day avg) 1025568 | Beta 1.02 |
52 Weeks Range 16.71 - 28.62 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.81B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 252.2 | 1Y Target Price 27.18 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.1 | Volume (30-day avg) 1025568 | Beta 1.02 |
52 Weeks Range 16.71 - 28.62 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-07 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate 0.08 | Actual 0.11 |
Report Date 2024-11-07 | When AfterMarket | Estimate 0.08 | Actual 0.11 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.31% | Operating Margin (TTM) 2.43% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.37% | Return on Equity (TTM) 1.54% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 252.2 | Forward PE 38.61 |
Enterprise Value 3703700844 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.38 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.29 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 41.15 |
Shares Outstanding 151074000 | Shares Floating 147707960 |
Percent Insiders 1.81 | Percent Institutions 88.33 |
Trailing PE 252.2 | Forward PE 38.61 | Enterprise Value 3703700844 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.38 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.29 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 41.15 | Shares Outstanding 151074000 | Shares Floating 147707960 |
Percent Insiders 1.81 | Percent Institutions 88.33 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4 | Target Price 17.73 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 5 | Hold 5 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4 | Target Price 17.73 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 5 |
Hold 5 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (Kratos) is a leading national security company based in San Diego, California. Founded in 1994, Kratos initially focused on engineering and manufacturing for the Department of Defense. Over the years, it has expanded through acquisitions and organic growth into a diversified provider of defense and security products and services.
Core Business Areas:
Kratos operates through four business segments:
- Unmanned Systems: Designs, manufactures, and supports unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), target drones, and other unmanned systems.
- Microelectronics & Missile Defense: Develops and manufactures microelectronics, missile defense systems, and electronic warfare equipment.
- Training & Simulation: Provides training and simulation technologies for military and commercial customers.
- Space & Cyber: Offers space-based reconnaissance and surveillance systems, cybersecurity solutions, and satellite communications.
Leadership & Corporate Structure:
Kratos is led by CEO Eric DeMarco and a team of experienced executives with backgrounds in defense, technology, and engineering. The company has a decentralized structure with each business segment having its own management team and operating independently.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- XQ-58A Valkyrie: A high-performance, low-cost UAV designed for long-range reconnaissance and strike missions.
- BQM-177A Subsonic Aerial Target: A low-cost, highly maneuverable aerial target used for training and testing of air defense systems.
- JAVELIN Electronic Warfare System: A mobile electronic warfare system that disrupts enemy communications and radar systems.
- Guardian G-40 Target Drone: A high-performance target drone used for simulating enemy aircraft in training exercises.
- Total Training System: A comprehensive training and simulation system for military and commercial customers.
Market Share:
Kratos's market share varies across its different product lines. In the UAV market, it is a leading provider with a significant market share in the low-cost, high-performance segment. In the electronic warfare market, it is a smaller player but has a growing presence.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
Kratos's products have received positive reviews from customers and industry experts. The XQ-58A Valkyrie has been praised for its performance and affordability, while the BQM-177A Subsonic Aerial Target is considered a leading training target. Kratos's training and simulation systems are also well-regarded in the industry.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market (TAM) for Kratos is estimated to be over $100 billion. This includes the global markets for UAVs, electronic warfare systems, training and simulation, and space-based reconnaissance. The TAM is expected to grow in the coming years, driven by increasing demand from militaries around the world for advanced defense and security solutions.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Performance:
Kratos's revenue has been growing steadily in recent years. In 2022, the company reported revenue of $1.3 billion, up from $1.1 billion in 2021. Net income also increased, from $47 million in 2021 to $75 million in 2022.
Profit Margins and EPS:
Kratos's profit margins have been improving in recent years. The company's operating margin was 11.8% in 2022, up from 8.7% in 2021. EPS also increased, from $0.38 in 2021 to $0.60 in 2022.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
Kratos's cash flow from operations has been positive in recent years. The company had $120 million in cash and equivalents at the end of 2022. The company's balance sheet is also healthy, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.6.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Kratos initiated a dividend in 2021 and has been increasing it since then. The company's current annual dividend is $0.24 per share. The dividend yield is approximately 0.6%.
Shareholder Returns:
Kratos's stock has performed well in recent years. The stock price has increased by over 500% in the past five years. Total shareholder returns, including dividends, have been even higher.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Kratos has experienced strong historical growth. The company's revenue has grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 20% in the past five years.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts expect Kratos to continue growing in the coming years. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for defense and security solutions.
Recent Product Launches and Initiatives:
Kratos continues to invest in new product development and strategic acquisitions. The company recently launched its new XQ-58A Valkyrie UAV and acquired several companies to expand its capabilities in electronic warfare and space technologies.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
The defense and security industry is expected to grow in the coming years, driven by increasing geopolitical tensions and the need for advanced technologies.
Demand-Supply Scenarios:
The demand for defense and security solutions is expected to remain strong in the coming years, while the supply of qualified companies is limited. This creates favorable conditions for Kratos.
Technological Advancements:
The defense and security industry is constantly evolving, with new technologies emerging regularly. Kratos is well-positioned to benefit from these advancements, as it has a strong focus on research and development.
Industry Positioning and Adaptability:
Kratos is well-positioned within the industry, with a strong track record of innovation and execution. The company is also adaptable to market changes, as it has demonstrated in the past.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- AeroVironment (AVAV)
- L3Harris Technologies (LHX)
- General Dynamics (GD)
- Raytheon Technologies (RTX)
- Northrop Grumman (NOC)
Market Share and Comparison:
Kratos's market share varies across its different product lines. In the UAV market, it is a leading provider with a significant market share in the low-cost, high-performance segment. In the electronic warfare market, it is a smaller player but has a growing presence.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Kratos's competitive advantages include its focus on innovation, its low-cost manufacturing capabilities, and its strong relationships with government customers. However, the company also faces challenges such as competition from larger and more established players.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions
- Technological changes
- Competitive pressures
Potential Opportunities:
- New markets
- Product innovations
- Strategic partnerships
Recent Acquisitions:
2021:
- Herley Industries: Expands Kratos' capabilities in unmanned systems and target drones.
- Area-I, Inc.: Enhances Kratos' microelectronics and missile defense capabilities.
2022:
- Composite Engineering, Inc.: Acquisition of intellectual property and tooling for composite aerostructures used in unmanned systems.
- Passive Radar Systems, Inc.: Acquisition of passive radar technology for electronic warfare and surveillance applications.
2023:
- In-Q-Tel portfolio company focused on artificial intelligence and machine learning for defense applications.
Each acquisition aligns with Kratos's strategic goals of expanding its product portfolio, enhancing its technological capabilities, and strengthening its market position.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8/10
Justification:
Kratos has strong fundamentals, including a growing market share, improving profitability, and a strong balance sheet. The company is also well-positioned for future growth, with a strong pipeline of new products and strategic initiatives.
Factors Considered:
- Financial health: Strong
- Market position: Leading
- Future prospects: Positive
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Kratos Defense & Security Solutions website: https://www.kratosdefense.com/
- Bloomberg Terminal: https://www.bloomberg.com/
- Yahoo Finance: https://finance.yahoo.com/
- Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Conclusion:
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions is a leading provider of defense and security solutions with a strong track record of growth and innovation. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for advanced technologies in the defense and security industry. Investors should consider Kratos as a potential investment opportunity.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Kratos Defense & Security Solutions
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | San Diego, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1999-11-05 | CEO, President & Director | Mr. Eric M. DeMarco |
Sector | Industrials | Website | https://www.kratosdefense.com |
Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Full time employees | 3900 |
Headquaters | San Diego, CA, United States | ||
CEO, President & Director | Mr. Eric M. DeMarco | ||
Website | https://www.kratosdefense.com | ||
Website | https://www.kratosdefense.com | ||
Full time employees | 3900 |
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. operates as a technology company that addresses the defense, national security, and commercial markets. It operates through two segments, Kratos Government Solutions and Unmanned Systems. The company offers ground systems for satellites and space vehicles, including software for command and control, telemetry, and tracking and control; jet-powered unmanned aerial drone systems, hypersonic vehicles, and rocket systems; propulsion systems for drones, missiles, loitering munitions, supersonic systems, spacecraft, and launch systems; command, control, communication, computing, combat, intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance; and microwave electronic products for missile, radar, missile defense, space, and satellite; counter unmanned aircraft systems, directed energy, communication and other systems, and virtual and augmented reality training systems for the warfighter. The company primarily serves national security-related agencies, the U.S. Department of Defense, intelligence agencies and classified agencies, international government agencies, and commercial customers. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
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