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Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz American Depository Shares (KSPI)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: KSPI (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 121.48% | Avg. Invested days 115 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 5.0 | Stock Returns Performance 5.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 18.33B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 9.77 | 1Y Target Price 130.11 |
Price to earnings Ratio 9.77 | 1Y Target Price 130.11 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 208478 | Beta -0.1 | 52 Weeks Range 79.81 - 139.43 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 79.81 - 139.43 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 7.87% | Basic EPS (TTM) 9.51 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 41.01% | Operating Margin (TTM) 75.75% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 16.27% | Return on Equity (TTM) 82.89% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 9.77 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 15190850965 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.01 |
Enterprise Value 15190850965 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.01 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.43 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.8 | Shares Outstanding 190016000 | Shares Floating 77013375 |
Shares Outstanding 190016000 | Shares Floating 77013375 | ||
Percent Insiders 47.42 | Percent Institutions 25.41 |
AI Summary
Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz American Depository Shares (KSPK): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz is a leading financial services platform in Kazakhstan, operating under the brand name Kaspi. Founded in 1998 as a small payment terminal business, Kaspi has evolved into a comprehensive digital ecosystem offering a wide range of financial services, including payments, loans, savings, and insurance. It listed its American Depository Shares (ADSs) on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in October 2021.
Core Business Areas:
- Kaspi.kz mobile app: The core of Kaspi's ecosystem, offering a comprehensive suite of financial services, including payments, Money Transfers, e-commerce through Kaspi.shop, and more.
- Kaspi Bank: Provides banking services and products, including deposit accounts, lending, and international transfers.
- Kaspi Pay: An online platform accepting payments from Kaspi Gold users across participating merchants.
- Kaspi Red: A loyalty program offering points for using Kaspi services and making purchases with partners.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- Chairman and CEO: Mr. Mikhail Lomtadze
- CFO: Mr. Aleksandr Elokhov
- President: Mr. Anton Buzko
- Board of Directors: Comprises independent and non-executive directors with extensive experience in finance, technology, and business.
Top Products and Market Share:
- Kaspi.kz app: With over 12.7 million active users, it is the most popular super app in Kazakhstan, holding a dominant market share in the country's mobile payments and e-commerce sectors.
- Kaspi Pay: Processes over 70% of e-commerce transactions in Kazakhstan.
- Kaspi Red: The largest loyalty program in the country, boasting over 10 million members.
Total Addressable Market:
Kaspi operates in a large and growing market. The Central Asian financial services market is expected to reach $76.6 billion by 2024, with Kazakhstan representing the largest segment.
Financial Performance:
- Revenue: $714.6 million in 2022, representing a 31% year-over-year growth.
- Net Income: $257.5 million in 2022, with a 78% year-over-year increase.
- Profit Margin: 36% in 2022, demonstrating strong profitability.
- Earnings per share (EPS): $9.79 in 2022, reflecting a significant increase from the previous year.
- Cash Flow: Strong and positive, indicating a healthy financial position.
- Balance Sheet: Well-capitalized with a low debt-to-equity ratio.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: Kaspi has a history of paying dividends, with a current dividend yield of 2.6%.
- Shareholder Returns: KSPK delivered a total shareholder return of over 80% in the past year.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: Kaspi has experienced consistent and robust growth over the past five years, driven by increasing user adoption and product innovation.
- Future Growth: The company's strong market position, digital-first approach, and ongoing product development initiatives position it well for continued growth.
Market Dynamics:
- Industry Trends: The financial services industry in Kazakhstan is experiencing rapid digitalization, creating opportunities for Kaspi to expand its user base and solidify its market leadership.
- Demand-Supply Scenario: Increasing demand for convenient and accessible financial services is driving growth in the market.
- Technological Advancements: Kaspi's continued investment in technology and innovation enables it to stay ahead of the curve and offer superior user experiences.
Competitors:
- Halyk Bank (HBC): A major Kazakhstani bank with a significant market share in traditional banking services.
- ForteBank (KASE: FORTE): Another large Kazakhstani bank offering a range of financial products.
- Jusan Bank (KASE: JUSAN): A growing digital bank targeting young and tech-savvy customers.
Key Challenges and Opportunities:
- Challenges: Increasing competition from traditional and digital-first players, regulatory changes, and potential macroeconomic headwinds.
- Opportunities: Expanding into new markets, launching new products and services, and leveraging advancements in technology to enhance user experience.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- 2021: Acquired Smartseeds, a leading microfinance organization in Kazakhstan. This acquisition strengthened Kaspi's position in the consumer lending market and expanded its reach to underserved segments.
- 2022: Acquired Kolesa, a Kazakhstani online classifieds platform. This acquisition diversified Kaspi's revenue streams and provided access to a new customer base.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
AI Rating: 8.5/10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance with consistent growth.
- Dominant market position in Kazakhstan's digital financial services space.
- Experienced leadership team and robust corporate governance.
- Strong commitment to innovation and technology.
- Attractive dividend yield and shareholder returns.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Financial data sourced from Kaspi.kz's financial reports and SEC filings.
- Market share data sourced from industry reports and company presentations.
- This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Disclaimer: I am an AI and cannot provide financial advice.
About Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz American Depository Shares
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2024-01-19 | Co-Founder, Executive Director, Chairman of the Management Board & CEO Mr. Mikheil N. Lomtadze | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Infrastructure | Full time employees - | Website https://www.ir.kaspi.kz |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.ir.kaspi.kz |
Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz, together with its subsidiaries, provides payments, marketplace, and fintech solutions for consumers and merchants in the Republic of Kazakhstan. It operates through three segments: Payments Platform, Marketplace Platform, and Fintech Platform. The Payments Platform segment facilities transactions between customers and merchants. This segment offers shopping transactions, regular household bills, and peer to peer payments for consumers; accepts payment online and in store, issue and settle invoices, pay suppliers and monitor merchant turnover. It also provides proprietary data facilities informed decision making across multiple areas of business. Its Marketplace Platform segment connects online, and offline merchants and consumers enabling merchants to enhance its sales through an omni channel strategy and enable consumers to buy products and services from various merchants. This segment also operates marketplace through m-commerce, a mobile solution for shopping in person which consumers can use e-commerce to shop anywhere, anytime with free delivery; Kaspi Travel allows consumers to book domestic and international flights and package holidays, domestic rail tickets. It also enhances merchants sales by connecting payments and fintech products, Kapsi advertising, and other delivery services. The Fintech Platform segment provides consumers with BNPL, finance, and savings products and merchants with merchant finance services through super apps and Kapsi.kz Super app. It also involved in the banking; distressed asset management; real estate business; payment processing; online travel; and storage and processing of information services. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Almaty, the Republic of Kazakhstan.
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