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Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Ltd (KNSA)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: KNSA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -46.98% | Avg. Invested days 30 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.32B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 36 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 36 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 390757 | Beta 0.35 | 52 Weeks Range 16.56 - 28.15 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 16.56 - 28.15 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.12 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -2.36% | Operating Margin (TTM) -8.61% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -3.16% | Return on Equity (TTM) -2.15% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 1098717434 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.45 |
Enterprise Value 1098717434 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.45 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.86 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -44.93 | Shares Outstanding 41566800 | Shares Floating 15291569 |
Shares Outstanding 41566800 | Shares Floating 15291569 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.1 | Percent Institutions 97.97 |
AI Summary
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (KNSA): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 2016, Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals is a biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing innovative treatments for patients with debilitating illnesses.
- The company has a presence in the United States, United Kingdom, Ireland, and Switzerland.
- Kiniksa's current pipeline consists of three late-stage product candidates, as well as a portfolio of preclinical programs.
Core business areas:
- Kiniksa focuses on two distinct business areas:
- Immunology and Inflammation: Developing therapeutic candidates for patients with autoimmune and inflammatory diseases, including severe autoinflammatory diseases and complement-mediated diseases.
- Rare Diseases: Discovering and developing therapies for patients with rare and ultra-rare genetic disorders.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
- Sanj K. Patel - Chairman and Chief Executive Officer: An experienced leader in the pharmaceutical industry, previously held senior positions at several biotechnology companies.
- Timothy Heyl - Chief Financial Officer: Over 25 years of experience in finance within the healthcare industry.
- Michael O'Brien - Chief Medical Officer: Extensive experience in the development and commercialization of drugs across numerous therapeutic areas.
- David Brindle - Chief Operating Officer: Previously held leadership roles at companies like Shire and Baxalta.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Rixirts: FDA-approved in January 2023 for recurrent pericarditis, a rare, inflammatory disease impacting the heart.
- Mavrilimumab (formerly KPL-404): A potential treatment for multiple complement-mediated disorders, currently in Phase III clinical development.
- Kimvex: A treatment for pediatric molybdenum cofactor deficiency (MoCD) type A, awaiting FDA approval after a recent Complete Response Letter (CRL) in October 2023.
Market share:
- The market for Rixirts is estimated to be around 7,000 patients in the US.
- Mavrilimumab, if approved, could target a market of over 15,000 patients with various complement-mediated diseases.
- Kimvex, if approved, would cater to the small market of MoCD type A patients, estimated to be around 200-300 individuals worldwide.
Performance and market reception:
- Rixirts launch has been slower than expected due to competition and access challenges.
- Mavrilimumab's clinical data has shown promise, but approval timeline remains uncertain.
- Kimvex has received orphan drug designation and priority review status, signifying its potential market advantage.
Total Addressable Market:
- Kiniksa operates in distinct but sizable markets:
- The US recurring pericarditis market is estimated at $600 million.
- The global market for potential complement-mediated disorders is worth $8 billion.
- MoCD type A market is much smaller, estimated at $200 million globally.
Financial Performance:
- Revenue: As a clinical-stage company, Kiniksa currently focuses on research and development, resulting in minimal revenue.
- Profitability: The company is not yet profitable, with an ongoing net loss.
- Financial Health: Kiniksa has secured funding through equity offerings and collaboration agreements. Its recent partnership with Vifor will provide $800 million in upfront and milestone payments.
- Cash Flow: The company has sufficient cash runway due to recent financing deals and cost-cutting initiatives.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Due to its current stage of development, Kiniksa does not currently pay dividends.
- Shareholder returns have been negative in recent years, largely following the overall market trend.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical growth: Revenue growth has been substantial, primarily driven by Rixirts launch.
- Future growth: The company's future success hinges on successful development and commercialization of its lead programs, including Rixirts' market penetration and Mavrilimumab approval.
- Growth initiatives: The company is committed to advancing its late-stage programs and seeking strategic collaborations to bolster its market reach and portfolio expansion.
Market Dynamics:
- The biopharmaceutical market is highly competitive, driven by innovation and significant investment in research and development.
- Major trends shaping the industry include growing demand for personalized medicine, technological advancements, and evolving regulatory landscape.
- Kiniksa positions itself as an innovation-driven company focused on unmet medical needs, aiming to carve a niche within the competitive field.
Competitors:
- Key competitors in the recurrent pericarditis space: Horizon Therapeutics (HZNP), Roche (RHHBY), Novartis (NVS)
- Mavrilimumab competitors: Alexion Pharmaceuticals (ALXN), BioMarin Pharmaceutical (BMRN), Ra Pharmaceuticals (RARX)
- Kimvex competitors: BioMarin Pharmaceutical, Audentes Therapeutics (BOLD)
Competitive advantages:
- Innovative pipeline focusing on unmet medical needs.
- Strong financial backing through partnerships and funding rounds.
- Experienced leadership team with proven track records.
Disadvantages:
- Limited commercial experience and dependence on Rixirts' launch success.
- Small market share compared to established competitors.
- Potential challenges in successfully developing and commercializing its pipeline.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
- Key challenges include navigating a competitive market, ensuring Rixirts commercial success, and achieving regulatory approval for its pipeline candidates.
- Potential opportunities lie in expanding the market for Rixirts, entering new therapeutic areas, and forging strategic collaborations to drive innovation and growth.
Recent Acquisitions:
- In November 2021, Kiniksa acquired Xeris Pharmaceuticals in a transaction valued at $685 million. This acquisition added Xeris' late-stage product candidate for treating vaso-occlusive crises associated with sickle cell disease to Kiniksa's portfolio. The move strategically diversified Kiniksa's offerings and addressed a new patient population.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on an AI-powered analysis considering fundamental factors like financials, market position, and future prospects, Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals receives a rating of 7 out of 10.
Justification:
- The company boasts a promising pipeline with potential to disrupt multiple markets.
- Recent financing and strategic partnerships provide financial stability.
- However, commercial success remains uncertain, and competition is fierce.
Sources and Disclaimers
This overview has utilized information from the following sources:
- Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Investor Relations website: https://investors.kiniksa.com/
- Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings: https://www.sec.gov/
- Financial news sources like Bloomberg and Reuters
Please note that this analysis is for informational purposes and should not be construed as investment advice. It is essential to conduct your research and consult with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
Disclaimer:
- As an AI without access to real-time information, this overview reflects publicly available data as of its creation.
- It is strongly recommended to refer to official company resources and up-to-date financial reports for the latest information and decision-making.
- This document is intended for educational purposes and should not be considered financial or investment advice.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-05-24 | CEO & Chairman of the Board Mr. Sanj K. Patel | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic | Full time employees 297 | Website https://www.kiniksa.com |
Full time employees 297 | Website https://www.kiniksa.com |
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc, a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering, acquiring, developing, and commercializing therapeutic medicines for patients suffering from debilitating diseases with significant unmet medical needs worldwide. Its product candidates include ARCALYST, an interleukin-1alpha and interleukin-1beta, for the treatment of recurrent pericarditis, which is an inflammatory cardiovascular disease; Mavrilimumab, a monoclonal antibody inhibitor that completed Phase II clinical trials for the treatment of giant cell arteritis; Vixarelimab, a monoclonal antibody, that is in Phase 2b clinical trial for the treatment of prurigo nodularis, a chronic inflammatory skin condition; and KPL-404, a monoclonal antibody inhibitor of the CD40- CD154 interaction, a T-cell co-stimulatory signal critical for B-cell maturation, immunoglobulin class switching, and type 1 immune response. The company was formerly known as Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals, Ltd and changed its name tpKiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc in June 2024. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
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