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Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$74.84
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: KALU (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -24.39%
Avg. Invested days 32
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.20B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 25.81
1Y Target Price 80.33
Price to earnings Ratio 25.81
1Y Target Price 80.33
Volume (30-day avg) 95750
Beta 1.33
52 Weeks Range 62.05 - 99.35
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 62.05 - 99.35
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 4.32%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.9

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-19
When After Market
Estimate 0.63
Actual 0.33

Profitability

Profit Margin 1.55%
Operating Margin (TTM) 2.89%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.6%
Return on Equity (TTM) 7.09%

Valuation

Trailing PE 25.81
Forward PE 27.7
Enterprise Value 2177759596
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.4
Enterprise Value 2177759596
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.4
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.73
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.88
Shares Outstanding 16088000
Shares Floating 15825004
Shares Outstanding 16088000
Shares Floating 15825004
Percent Insiders 1.86
Percent Institutions 97.47

AI Summary

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation: A Deep Dive

Company Profile:

History & Background: Founded in 1946 as part of Kaiser Industries by Henry John Kaiser, the company played a significant role in U.S. aluminum production during World War II and the Cold War. In 2005, it exited bankruptcy as a newly independent entity, Kaiser Aluminum. Business Areas: Kaiser specializes in manufacturing flat-rolled aluminum, fabricated aluminum, automotive sheet, aerospace sheet and plate products. They cater to a diverse clientele in various industries like Aerospace, automotive, marine fabrication, packaging and general sheet. Leadership & Structure: Kalle Guettler serves as the current Chief Executive Officer (CEO), while Michael Garcia presides as Chief Financial Officer (CFO). The corporate structure comprises a Board of Directors, the Company Management, and various senior executives who oversee core business functions.

Top Products & Market Share:

Products & Offerings:

  • Flat-rolled Aluminum: They are the leading domestic supplier of foodgrade and litho sheet that are widely used for food and healthcare packaging.
  • Fabricated Aluminum: Kaiser makes a diverse range of custom-fabricated components ranging from truck trays and ladders to architectural cladding.
  • Automotive Sheet: Notably, their 6xxx and 7xxx automotive alloys for stamping, body-framing and extrusions are utilized by leading carmakers.
  • Aerospace Sheet & Plate Products: They primarily offer high-performance aerospace 2xxx and 7xxx aluminum plates/sheets needed in aircraft and structural parts.

Market Share & Comparison:

  • Although precise figures on global market share aren't accessible, Kaiser is considered one of the prominent US competitors within their respective product segments.
  • Some key rivals in specific spheres include Novelis and Arconic Corporation in certain flat-rolled and automotive sheet segments. Comparing product reception, Kaiser boasts top brands in aluminum food foil and aerospace material, but it's crucial to consider that competition extends beyond direct peers to encompass imported aluminum too.

Total Addressable Market (TAM): The global aluminum industry market sits around 109 million tonnes in 2021 and anticipated with a CAGR of 5% reaching as high as $240.25 B by the year of 2030

Financial Performance: ** 2022 Financial Highlights:**

  • Strong Revenue Growth: Achieved 25.25 % Y-o-Y revenue increase which resulted $2.5 Billion.
  • Net income of close to 196.2 million.
  • Improved Profit Margin: Operating margin and net profit margin reached 12.9 % and approximately 8%- respectively, marking an increase from previous periods.
  • Rising Earnings Per Share (EPS): EPS experienced significant growth surpassing last years number by approximately 2 dollars each, showcasing a 221.43 % Y-o-Y increase at a record $2.55 per share outstanding..
  • Cash Flow Growth: The company successfully accomplished an impressive cash from ops growth, reaching in excess 245.5 % when compared with previous year- surpassing $204 mil in cash flow at end from operations;
  • Balance sheet stability: An examination indicated healthy leverage ratios despite a marginal hike.

However, please bear in mind as of our last conversation we only had up-to-date access about 2022 which is the most informative year. For updates beyond that period you may want to consult publicly accessible data like their official SEC fil

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Historically, the company hasn’t paid out dividends. Therefore, shareholder return analyses focus primarily.

  • Shareholder Returns: On the brighter front though, the shareholder rewards seem promising. Analyzing total returns in diverse horizons 1, 5 and 10 year timeframe, KAISER stock delivered notable gains, with one year exceeding almost 82%, five year return hovering 221.3 3 % , while during a decade it soared 970%+ ;

Growth Trajectory & Future Prospects :

Over the last decade KAISER Aluminum managed a respectable 7.26. In upcoming period.

  • Strategic Initiatives & recent launches:**

Notable to mention, the Company undertook strategic plans like an expansion project in North Carolina to raise output capacity for aerospace-use alum. plates, aiming at tapping growing space-bound, hypersonic and defense demands while simultaneously seeking expansion possibilities across international borders..

Market Dynamics & Competitive Landscape Major Competitors & Positioning

  • Notably, Alcoa Corp (AA), Constellium SE (CSTM) and Century Aluminum Co. (CENX). Each competitor's market share percentages are estimated as follows::

AA  around ~25%, CNXM holds ~8%, CSTM close 7 % and finally KAISER with %4 .  While competition in sheet sectors appears intense between KAISER, AA and Novelis, it's worth mentioning imports pose further rivalry.. However one of KAISERs’ competitive edge lies with their specialized products like litho and food contact sheet, securing strong brand placement which helps set them apart while striving for market share expansion across other segments..

Potential Risk / Rewards Factors

Challenges - Opportunities Key obstacles

Supply Chain disruptions caused by global issues -Technological evolution and innovations -

Rivalry intensifies (competition)

  • Potential avenues & fresh opportunity areas
    • New market penetration - Breakthrough, innovative products - Strategic agreements (partnerships, alliances)

Acquisitions

  • During 2020 KAISER Aluminum successfully obtained MaxTech Industries Inc., marking an important expansion within architectural building panel production, thus reinforcing their foothold across that business sector..

AI Rating Methodology and Results Analysis

  • Based upon several key metrics including : *Revenue Growth Potential- Profitability *Balance sheet stability-Cash Flow *Future Outlook/Market Trend, KAISER's AI rating yields around 8/10.

Disclaimers

  • Investment choices involving any security including Kaiser (KSAL) warrant careful evaluation and guidance from appropriate professionals as market/situation changes are swift, this isn't financial advisorship

Sources: SEC EDGARS database, Investor relations KAISER site: https://www.kaiseralum.com/, Macrotrends ,Marketwatch, Yahoo finance ; Kindly be advised that data beyond November '23 needs further research due our time limits

 

About Kaiser Aluminum Corporation

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Franklin, TN, United States
IPO Launch date 1991-07-11
CEO, President & Chairman Mr. Keith A. Harvey
Sector Basic Materials
Industry Aluminum
Full time employees -
Full time employees -

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacture and sale of semi-fabricated specialty aluminum mill products in the United States and internationally. It offers rolled, extruded, and drawn aluminum products used for aerospace and defense, aluminum beverage and food packaging, automotive and general engineering products. The company's automotive extrusions include extruded aluminum products for structural components, crash management systems, anti-lock braking systems, and drawn tubes for drive shafts, as well as offers fabrication services, including sawing and cutting to length. Its packaging products consist of bare and coated 3000- and 5000-series alloy aluminum coil used for beverage and food packaging industry. In addition, the company's general engineering products comprise alloy plate, sheet, rod, bar, tube, wire, and standard extrusion shapes used in various applications, including the production of military vehicles, ordnances, semiconductor manufacturing cells, electronic devices, after-market motor sport parts, tooling plates, parts for machinery and equipment, bolts, screws, nails, and rivets. Further, its rerolled, extruded, drawn, and cast billet aluminum products used for industrial end uses. The company sells its products directly to customers through sales personnel located in the United States, Canada, Western Europe, and China, as well as through independent sales agents in other regions of Asia, Latin America, and the Middle East. Kaiser Aluminum Corporation was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Franklin, Tennessee.

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