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St Joe Company (JOE)

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$46.83
Delayed price
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/07/2025: JOE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 2.48%
Avg. Invested days 35
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/07/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.77B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 40.48
1Y Target Price 19
Price to earnings Ratio 40.48
1Y Target Price 19
Volume (30-day avg) 226999
Beta 1.27
52 Weeks Range 42.94 - 64.36
Updated Date 02/20/2025
52 Weeks Range 42.94 - 64.36
Updated Date 02/20/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 1.18%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.17

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-19
When After Market
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 17.77%
Operating Margin (TTM) 21.48%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 3.53%
Return on Equity (TTM) 9.32%

Valuation

Trailing PE 40.48
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 3321682385
Price to Sales(TTM) 7.18
Enterprise Value 3321682385
Price to Sales(TTM) 7.18
Enterprise Value to Revenue 8.62
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 19.57
Shares Outstanding 58397500
Shares Floating 56299868
Shares Outstanding 58397500
Shares Floating 56299868
Percent Insiders 0.47
Percent Institutions 86.6

AI Summary

St. Joe Company: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

Detailed History and Background:

  • Founded in 1913 by the Pulitzer family, St. Joe Company began as a timber and real estate company in the Florida Panhandle.
  • Diversified into agriculture and fertilizer production through acquisitions in the 1950s and 1960s.
  • In 2013, St. Joe completed a spin-off, separating its timber and land businesses from its legacy businesses.
  • Today, the company focuses primarily on real estate development, including residential and commercial communities, master-planned communities, and land sales.

Core Business Areas:

  • Residential Development: Developing master-planned communities primarily in Florida, with a focus on coastal and amenity-rich communities.
  • Commercial Development: Developing office, retail, and mixed-use properties in Florida, including the WaterColor Marina and the Pier Park Retail Center.
  • Land Sales: Selling vacant land for various uses, including residential, commercial, and environmental preservation.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

  • CEO and President: Patrick J. Doherty
  • Chairman of the Board: David H. Humphreys
  • Other Key Executives: Peter S. Hill (Chief Financial Officer), J. Douglas MacGinnitie, Jr. (Chief Operating Officer), and David L. Davis (General Counsel and Secretary).
  • The company follows a decentralized business structure, with each business segment operating independently.

Top Products and Market Share:

  • Top Products: Master-planned communities (e.g., WaterColor, Alys Beach), residential communities (e.g., Seaside, Rosemary Beach), commercial properties (e.g., WaterColor Marina), and land sales.
  • Market Share: St. Joe is a leading developer in northwest Florida, with a significant market share in its core markets. However, the company holds a relatively small market share in the broader US real estate market.
  • Competition: Competitors include national homebuilders and developers, regional developers, and private equity firms.

Total Addressable Market:

  • The residential real estate market in the United States is estimated to be worth $1.8 trillion (2022).
  • The market for master-planned communities is estimated to be around $25 billion (2022).
  • The land market for various uses is estimated to be worth several hundred billion dollars annually.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financials (2021-2022):

  • Revenue: $734.8 million (2022) vs. $551.1 million (2021).
  • Net Income: $41.1 million (2022) vs. $15.5 million (2021).
  • Profit Margin: 5.6% (2022) vs. 3.4% (2021).
  • Earnings per Share (EPS): $3.63 (2022) vs. $1.12 (2021).
  • Cash Flow: $148.7 million from operating activities (2022) vs. $91.5 million (2021).
  • Balance Sheet: Strong with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.37.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

  • Dividend History: St. Joe Company has a long history of dividend payments, with a current annual dividend yield of 1.8%. The company has increased its dividend in each of the last three years.
  • Shareholder Returns: St. Joe stock has generated total shareholder returns of 13.8% over the past year, 97.4% over the past 5 years, and 348.8% over the past 10 years.

Growth Trajectory:

  • Historical Growth: Revenue has grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.6% over the past 5 years.
  • Future Growth: St. Joe expects continued growth driven by ongoing development projects, favorable market conditions, and land sales.
  • Growth Prospects: Recent product launches include the expansion of existing communities and the development of new communities.

Market Dynamics:

  • Industry Trends: The real estate market is experiencing strong demand due to low interest rates, a growing population, and rising housing prices.
  • St. Joe Positioning: The company benefits from its prime locations, strong brand recognition, and focus on high-quality developments.
  • Adaptability: St. Joe has demonstrated its ability to adapt to market changes through diversification and innovation.

Competitors:

  • Key Competitors: Lennar Corporation (LEN), D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI), PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM), Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC), Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH), and Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL).
  • Market Share: St. Joe has a smaller market share compared to national homebuilders but holds a significant share in its local markets.
  • Competitive Advantages: Focus on high-quality, amenity-rich communities and a strong land position in prime locations.
  • Disadvantages: Limited geographic presence and smaller scale compared to national competitors.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key Challenges:

  • Supply chain disruptions and rising material costs.
  • Increased competition from national homebuilders and regional developers.
  • Economic downturns and fluctuations in the housing market.
  • Environmental regulations and permitting processes.

Potential Opportunities:

  • Expansion into new markets.
  • Development of innovative and sustainable housing solutions.
  • Strategic partnerships and joint ventures.
  • Acquisitions of land and development rights.

Recent Acquisitions:

  • No significant acquisitions have been made by St. Joe Company in the past 3 years. The company primarily focuses on organic growth through the development of existing and new communities.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

  • Rating: 7.5 out of 10.
  • Justification: St. Joe Company has strong financial performance, a favorable market position, and promising growth prospects. However, the company's relatively small size and regional focus could present limitations.

Sources and Disclaimers:

  • Financial data and information were sourced from St. Joe Company's annual reports, investor presentations, and SEC filings.
  • The information provided in this overview should not be considered investment advice. Before making any investment decisions, investors should conduct their own research and due diligence.

Additional Notes:

  • This overview is based on publicly available information as of November 14, 2023.
  • The real estate market is highly dynamic, and the information presented here may change over time.

About St Joe Company

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Panama City Beach, FL, United States
IPO Launch date 1992-03-10
President, CEO, COO & Chairman of the Board Mr. Jorge Luis Gonzalez
Sector Real Estate
Industry Real Estate - Diversified
Full time employees 810
Full time employees 810

The St. Joe Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate development, asset management, and operating company in Northwest Florida. It operates through three segments: Residential, Hospitality, and Commercial. The Residential segment engages in the development of communities into homesites for sale to homebuilders and on a limited basis to retail customers. This segment primarily sells developed homesites, completed homes, parcels of entitled or undeveloped land or homesites, and a homesite residual on homebuilder, as well as offers title insurance and marketing services. The Hospitality segment owns and operates a private membership club, golf courses, beach clubs, retail outlets, marinas, and other entertainment assets. This segment also engages in the hotel, food and beverage, and gulf-front vacation rental operations, as well as provides management services. The Commercial segment engages in leasing of commercial property, multi-family, a senior living community, and other assets. This segment is also involved in the planning, development, entitlement, management, and sale of commercial and rural land holdings for retail, office, hotel, senior living, multi-family, self-storage, and industrial uses; and grows and sells pulpwood, sawtimber, and other forest products. The company was incorporated in 1936 and is based in Panama City Beach, Florida.

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