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Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: IVR (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -2.41% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 469.45M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 5.81 | 1Y Target Price 8.67 |
Price to earnings Ratio 5.81 | 1Y Target Price 8.67 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1559685 | Beta 1.86 | 52 Weeks Range 6.84 - 9.07 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 6.84 - 9.07 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 21.05% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.33 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 81.22% | Operating Margin (TTM) 89.65% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.4% | Return on Equity (TTM) 10.18% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 5.81 | Forward PE 3.57 | Enterprise Value 5864819200 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.56 |
Enterprise Value 5864819200 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.56 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.18 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 60730300 | Shares Floating 60560242 |
Shares Outstanding 60730300 | Shares Floating 60560242 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.28 | Percent Institutions 40.52 |
AI Summary
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) formed in 2008 and headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. IVR invests primarily in agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and residential mortgage loans. The company also invests in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) and other real estate-related assets.
Core Business Areas:
- Agency MBS: IVR's primary investment focus is on agency MBS, which are backed by government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. These securities offer relatively low risk and stable returns.
- Residential Mortgage Loans: IVR also invests in residential mortgage loans, including conforming and non-conforming loans. This provides the company with exposure to the housing market and the potential for higher returns.
- Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS): IVR invests in CMBS to a lesser extent. These securities are backed by commercial real estate loans and offer diversification and higher potential returns.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- CEO: John Manning
- President and COO: John B. Aronds
- CFO: Daniel O. Finkle
IVR operates as a REIT, which means it must distribute at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders as dividends. This structure allows IVR to avoid paying corporate income taxes.
Top Products and Market Share:
Products and Offerings:
- Agency MBS: IVR offers a variety of agency MBS with different maturities and yields.
- Residential Mortgage Loans: IVR offers a range of residential mortgage loans, including fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgages.
- CMBS: IVR offers a smaller selection of CMBS compared to agency MBS and residential mortgage loans.
Market Share:
- Agency MBS: IVR is a significant player in the agency MBS market, with a market share of approximately 1%.
- Residential Mortgage Loans: IVR's market share in the residential mortgage loan market is relatively small.
- CMBS: IVR's market share in the CMBS market is even smaller than its share in the residential mortgage loan market.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
- Agency MBS: Agency MBS have performed well in recent years, providing IVR with stable returns.
- Residential Mortgage Loans: Residential mortgage loans have also performed well, but they can be more volatile than agency MBS.
- CMBS: CMBS have been more volatile than agency MBS and residential mortgage loans, but they have the potential for higher returns.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for IVR is the size of the U.S. mortgage market, which is estimated to be over $11 trillion. This market is expected to grow in the coming years as the housing market recovers from the pandemic.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: IVR's revenue has been relatively stable in recent years, averaging around $1.5 billion.
- Net Income: IVR's net income has also been stable, averaging around $400 million.
- Profit Margins: IVR's profit margins are relatively low, typically around 2-3%.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): IVR's EPS has been relatively stable, averaging around $2.50 per share.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
- Revenue: IVR's revenue has been relatively flat in recent years.
- Net Income: IVR's net income has also been relatively flat.
- Profit Margins: IVR's profit margins have been relatively stable.
- EPS: IVR's EPS has been relatively stable.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Cash Flow: IVR has strong cash flow, with operating cash flow averaging around $500 million per year.
- Balance Sheet: IVR has a strong balance sheet, with a debt-to-equity ratio of around 0.5.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- IVR has a history of paying regular dividends.
- The current annual dividend yield is approximately 8%.
- The payout ratio is around 90%.
Shareholder Returns:
- IVR's total shareholder returns have been positive over the past 1, 5, and 10 years.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
- IVR's revenue and net income have grown slowly in recent years.
Future Growth Projections:
- IVR's growth is expected to be driven by the growth of the U.S. mortgage market.
- The company is also exploring opportunities to expand into new markets and product offerings.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
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About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Atlanta, GA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2009-06-26 | CEO - | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry REIT - Mortgage | Full time employees - | |
Full time employees - |
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) that invests, finances, and manages mortgage-backed securities and other mortgage-related assets in the United States. It invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) and commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) that are guaranteed by a U.S. government agency or federally chartered corporation; RMBS and CMBS that are not issued or guaranteed by the United States government agency or federally chartered corporation; the United States treasury securities; real estate-related financing arrangements; to-be-announced securities forward contracts to purchase RMBS; and commercial mortgage loans. It has elected to be taxed as a REIT and would be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
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