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InnovAge Holding Corp (INNV)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/21/2025: INNV (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -8.48% | Avg. Invested days 50 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 403.03M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.25 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.25 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 62574 | Beta 0.39 | 52 Weeks Range 2.94 - 6.69 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.94 - 6.69 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.19 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -3.19% | Operating Margin (TTM) -1.94% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -2.32% | Return on Equity (TTM) -9.52% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 13.66 | Enterprise Value 423934803 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.5 |
Enterprise Value 423934803 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.5 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.53 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 724.6 | Shares Outstanding 135244000 | Shares Floating 21310357 |
Shares Outstanding 135244000 | Shares Floating 21310357 | ||
Percent Insiders 85.19 | Percent Institutions 11.86 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 2.75 | Target Price 5.5 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Buy - | Strong Buy - | ||
Hold 3 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
InnovAge Holding Corp
Company Overview
History and Background
InnovAge Holding Corp. was founded in 1990 as a non-profit called Senior Community Care Options (SCCO). It transitioned to a for-profit model and rebranded as InnovAge in 2016, going public in 2021. It focuses on providing healthcare and support services to seniors through the Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly (PACE).
Core Business Areas
- PACE Program: The Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly (PACE) model provides comprehensive, coordinated care to seniors with chronic conditions, allowing them to remain in their homes and communities. It includes medical care, social services, rehabilitation, transportation, and other support services.
Leadership and Structure
Patrick Blair serves as the President and CEO. The organization has a hierarchical structure with regional and center-level management teams reporting to the corporate leadership.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- PACE Program Enrollment: InnovAge's core offering is enrollment in its PACE programs. This involves providing comprehensive medical, social, and support services to frail seniors. Exact market share data is difficult to pinpoint due to the fragmented nature of the PACE market and regional variations, but the total PACE enrollment across all organizations is around 60,000 participants. Competitors include other PACE organizations like Kaiser Permanente and smaller regional providers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The industry is characterized by increasing demand due to the aging population and a growing preference for home-based care. It's also heavily regulated and reliant on government funding (primarily Medicare and Medicaid).
Positioning
InnovAge is a significant player in the PACE market, with a focus on expanding its geographic footprint and enhancing its service offerings. Competitive advantages include its experience in managing PACE programs and its ability to integrate medical and social services.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for PACE is significant and expected to grow due to the aging population. Estimates suggest a multi-billion dollar market, with InnovAge positioned to capture a share through expansion and increasing enrollment.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Established PACE Provider
- Integrated Care Model
- Experience in Government Regulations
- Scalable Platform
- Experienced Management Team
Weaknesses
- Dependence on Government Funding
- Regulatory Scrutiny
- Operational Challenges in New Markets
- High Capital Expenditure for Center Expansion
- Potential for Increased Competition
Opportunities
- Expansion into New Geographic Markets
- Increasing Enrollment in Existing Centers
- Partnerships with Healthcare Providers
- Development of New Service Offerings
- Leveraging Technology to Improve Care Delivery
Threats
- Changes in Government Regulations
- Reduced Funding for PACE Programs
- Increased Competition from Other Providers
- Cybersecurity Threats
- Economic Downturn affecting Enrollment
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- CVS (CVS)
- UnitedHealth Group (UNH)
- Humana (HUM)
Competitive Landscape
InnovAge competes with large healthcare providers and smaller regional PACE organizations. Its competitive advantages include its experience in managing PACE programs and its integrated care model. Disadvantages include its smaller size and dependence on government funding.
Major Acquisitions
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: InnovAge's historical growth has been driven by expansion into new markets and increasing enrollment in existing centers.
Future Projections: Future growth is expected to be driven by continued expansion into new markets, increasing enrollment, and potential acquisitions. Analyst estimates are not provided but generally expect continued growth in revenue and earnings.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding into new states, enhancing technology platforms, and focusing on improving care quality.
Summary
InnovAge operates in a growing market due to the aging population but faces regulatory and funding challenges. Its integrated care model is a strength, but its dependence on government funding is a risk. The company's future growth depends on successful expansion and effective cost management. Given the relatively small market share and dependence on a regulated industry, the risk profile is higher than average.
Similar Companies
- CVS
- UNH
- HUM
- Alignment Healthcare (ALHC)
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC Filings
- Company Website
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates (general trends)
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share data is based on general estimates and may vary. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About InnovAge Holding Corp
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Denver, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-03-04 | CEO - | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Medical Care Facilities | Full time employees 2350 | Website https://www.innovage.com |
Full time employees 2350 | Website https://www.innovage.com |
InnovAge Holding Corp. manages and provides a range of medical and ancillary services for seniors in need of care and support to live independently in its homes and communities. The company manages its business through Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly (PACE) approach. It also offers in-home care services consisting of skilled, unskilled, and personal care; in-center services, such as primary care, physical therapy, occupational therapy, speech therapy, dental services, mental health and psychiatric services, meals, and activities; transportation to the PACE center and third-party medical appointments; and care management. The company serves participants in the United States; and operates PACE centers in Colorado, California, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, Florida, and Virginia. The company was formerly known as TCO Group Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to InnovAge Holding Corp. in January 2021. InnovAge Holding Corp. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
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