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INNV
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating

InnovAge Holding Corp (INNV)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$3.32
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

02/21/2025: INNV (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -8.48%
Avg. Invested days 50
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/21/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 403.03M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 5.25
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 5.25
Volume (30-day avg) 62574
Beta 0.39
52 Weeks Range 2.94 - 6.69
Updated Date 04/1/2025
52 Weeks Range 2.94 - 6.69
Updated Date 04/1/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.19

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -3.19%
Operating Margin (TTM) -1.94%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -2.32%
Return on Equity (TTM) -9.52%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 13.66
Enterprise Value 423934803
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.5
Enterprise Value 423934803
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.5
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.53
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 724.6
Shares Outstanding 135244000
Shares Floating 21310357
Shares Outstanding 135244000
Shares Floating 21310357
Percent Insiders 85.19
Percent Institutions 11.86

Analyst Ratings

Rating 2.75
Target Price 5.5
Buy -
Strong Buy -
Buy -
Strong Buy -
Hold 3
Sell 1
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

InnovAge Holding Corp

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

InnovAge Holding Corp. was founded in 1990 as a non-profit called Senior Community Care Options (SCCO). It transitioned to a for-profit model and rebranded as InnovAge in 2016, going public in 2021. It focuses on providing healthcare and support services to seniors through the Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly (PACE).

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • PACE Program: The Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly (PACE) model provides comprehensive, coordinated care to seniors with chronic conditions, allowing them to remain in their homes and communities. It includes medical care, social services, rehabilitation, transportation, and other support services.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Patrick Blair serves as the President and CEO. The organization has a hierarchical structure with regional and center-level management teams reporting to the corporate leadership.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • PACE Program Enrollment: InnovAge's core offering is enrollment in its PACE programs. This involves providing comprehensive medical, social, and support services to frail seniors. Exact market share data is difficult to pinpoint due to the fragmented nature of the PACE market and regional variations, but the total PACE enrollment across all organizations is around 60,000 participants. Competitors include other PACE organizations like Kaiser Permanente and smaller regional providers.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The industry is characterized by increasing demand due to the aging population and a growing preference for home-based care. It's also heavily regulated and reliant on government funding (primarily Medicare and Medicaid).

Positioning

InnovAge is a significant player in the PACE market, with a focus on expanding its geographic footprint and enhancing its service offerings. Competitive advantages include its experience in managing PACE programs and its ability to integrate medical and social services.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for PACE is significant and expected to grow due to the aging population. Estimates suggest a multi-billion dollar market, with InnovAge positioned to capture a share through expansion and increasing enrollment.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Established PACE Provider
  • Integrated Care Model
  • Experience in Government Regulations
  • Scalable Platform
  • Experienced Management Team

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on Government Funding
  • Regulatory Scrutiny
  • Operational Challenges in New Markets
  • High Capital Expenditure for Center Expansion
  • Potential for Increased Competition

Opportunities

  • Expansion into New Geographic Markets
  • Increasing Enrollment in Existing Centers
  • Partnerships with Healthcare Providers
  • Development of New Service Offerings
  • Leveraging Technology to Improve Care Delivery

Threats

  • Changes in Government Regulations
  • Reduced Funding for PACE Programs
  • Increased Competition from Other Providers
  • Cybersecurity Threats
  • Economic Downturn affecting Enrollment

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • CVS (CVS)
  • UnitedHealth Group (UNH)
  • Humana (HUM)

Competitive Landscape

InnovAge competes with large healthcare providers and smaller regional PACE organizations. Its competitive advantages include its experience in managing PACE programs and its integrated care model. Disadvantages include its smaller size and dependence on government funding.

Major Acquisitions

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: InnovAge's historical growth has been driven by expansion into new markets and increasing enrollment in existing centers.

Future Projections: Future growth is expected to be driven by continued expansion into new markets, increasing enrollment, and potential acquisitions. Analyst estimates are not provided but generally expect continued growth in revenue and earnings.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding into new states, enhancing technology platforms, and focusing on improving care quality.

Summary

InnovAge operates in a growing market due to the aging population but faces regulatory and funding challenges. Its integrated care model is a strength, but its dependence on government funding is a risk. The company's future growth depends on successful expansion and effective cost management. Given the relatively small market share and dependence on a regulated industry, the risk profile is higher than average.

Similar Companies

  • CVS
  • UNH
  • HUM
  • Alignment Healthcare (ALHC)

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • SEC Filings
  • Company Website
  • Industry Reports
  • Analyst Estimates (general trends)

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share data is based on general estimates and may vary. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About InnovAge Holding Corp

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Denver, CO, United States
IPO Launch date 2021-03-04
CEO -
Sector Healthcare
Industry Medical Care Facilities
Full time employees 2350
Full time employees 2350

InnovAge Holding Corp. manages and provides a range of medical and ancillary services for seniors in need of care and support to live independently in its homes and communities. The company manages its business through Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly (PACE) approach. It also offers in-home care services consisting of skilled, unskilled, and personal care; in-center services, such as primary care, physical therapy, occupational therapy, speech therapy, dental services, mental health and psychiatric services, meals, and activities; transportation to the PACE center and third-party medical appointments; and care management. The company serves participants in the United States; and operates PACE centers in Colorado, California, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, Florida, and Virginia. The company was formerly known as TCO Group Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to InnovAge Holding Corp. in January 2021. InnovAge Holding Corp. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

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