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Honest Company Inc (HNST)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: HNST (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 85.86% | Avg. Invested days 27 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 4.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 664.32M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.29 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.29 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2817848 | Beta 1.85 | 52 Weeks Range 2.40 - 8.97 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.40 - 8.97 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.04 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -1.13% | Operating Margin (TTM) 0.06% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -1.26% | Return on Equity (TTM) -3.29% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 0.62 | Enterprise Value 634675781 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.8 |
Enterprise Value 634675781 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.8 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.72 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -6.17 | Shares Outstanding 100961000 | Shares Floating 66026713 |
Shares Outstanding 100961000 | Shares Floating 66026713 | ||
Percent Insiders 13.96 | Percent Institutions 60.94 |
AI Summary
Honest Company Inc. Stock Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
The Honest Company Inc. was founded in 2011 by Jessica Alba and Christopher Gavigan. The company initially focused on selling eco-friendly and non-toxic baby products through online subscriptions. Since then, Honest has expanded its product line to include personal care items for adults, household cleaning products, and diapers. It went public in 2021 through a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger.
Core Business Areas:
- Diapers and Wipes: Honest is a leading player in the eco-friendly diaper market, offering plant-based diapers and wipes made without harsh chemicals.
- Personal Care Products: The company offers a wide range of personal care products for babies, adults, and families, including shampoos, lotions, soaps, and sunscreens.
- Household Cleaning Products: Honest's household cleaning products are formulated with natural ingredients and are free of harsh chemicals.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- Jessica Alba: Founder and Chief Creative Officer
- Christopher Gavigan: Co-Founder and Chief Purpose Officer
- Nick Vlahos: Chief Executive Officer
- Michael Lasser: Chief Financial Officer
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Diapers: Honest holds a significant share of the eco-friendly diaper market, competing with brands like Seventh Generation and Bambo Nature.
- Wipes: The company's wipes are also popular, offering a gentle and effective option for parents.
- Personal care products: Honest's shampoos, lotions, and soaps are popular among consumers looking for natural and effective alternatives.
Market Share:
- Global: Honest holds a small share of the global diaper and wipes market, estimated at around 1%.
- US: The company has a larger share of the US market, estimated at around 5%.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
Honest's products are generally well-received by consumers, who appreciate the company's commitment to using natural and sustainable ingredients. However, some consumers find the prices of Honest products to be high compared to conventional brands.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for Honest's products is estimated to be around $400 billion globally. This includes the global market for baby care products, personal care products, and household cleaning products.
Financial Performance:
Financial Statements:
- Revenue: Honest's revenue in 2022 was $347.5 million, a 12% increase from the previous year.
- Net Income: The company reported a net loss of $45.1 million in 2022.
- Profit Margins: Honest's gross profit margin is around 50%, while its operating margin is negative.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): The company's EPS in 2022 was a loss of $0.33 per share.
Financial Performance Comparison:
Honest's revenue has been growing steadily over the past few years, but the company is still unprofitable. The company's stock price has been volatile since its IPO in 2021.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
Honest has a strong cash flow position, with $143 million in cash and equivalents as of December 2022. The company also has a solid balance sheet with low levels of debt.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Honest does not currently pay a dividend. The company's total shareholder returns have been negative since its IPO in 2021.
Growth Trajectory:
Honest has grown significantly since its founding, but the company still has a long way to go to become profitable. The company's future growth will depend on its ability to expand its market share, increase consumer awareness, and improve its profitability.
Market Dynamics:
The market for Honest's products is highly competitive, with major players like Procter & Gamble and Unilever. The market is also growing rapidly, with increasing demand for natural and sustainable products.
Competitors:
Major Competitors:
- Procter & Gamble (PG)
- Unilever (UL)
- Kimberly-Clark (KMB)
- Seventh Generation
- Bambo Nature
Market Share Comparison:
Honest's market share is small compared to its major competitors.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Advantages:
- Strong brand recognition
- Commitment to natural and sustainable ingredients
- Loyal customer base
Disadvantages:
- High prices
- Limited distribution
- Intense competition
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Competition from major players
- Increasing costs of ingredients
- Maintaining profitability
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets
- Launching new product lines
- Increasing brand awareness
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
Honest has not made any acquisitions in the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based analysis of Honest Company Inc.'s fundamentals, the company receives a rating of 6 out of 10.
Justification:
- Financial Health: The company's financial health is strong, with a solid cash flow position and low levels of debt.
- Market Position: Honest has a strong brand reputation and a loyal customer base, but its market share is small compared to its major competitors.
- Future Prospects: The company has several potential growth opportunities, including expanding into new markets and launching new product lines. However, the company's ability to maintain profitability is a concern.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Sources: This analysis used data from Honest Company Inc.'s financial statements, industry reports, and news articles.
- Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
About Honest Company Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Los Angeles, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-05-04 | CEO & Director Ms. Carla Vernon | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Household & Personal Products | Full time employees 176 | Website https://www.honest.com |
Full time employees 176 | Website https://www.honest.com |
The Honest Company, Inc. manufactures and sells diapers and wipes, skin and personal care, and household and wellness products. The company also offers baby clothing and nursery bedding products. It sells its products through digital and retail sales channels, such as its website and third-party ecommerce sites, as well as brick and mortar retailers. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.
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