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Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY)HMY
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: HMY (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -22.12% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 31 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -22.12% | Avg. Invested days: 31 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.06B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 12.63 | 1Y Target Price 10.23 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.77% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.76 |
Volume (30-day avg) 4735900 | Beta 1.25 |
52 Weeks Range 5.32 - 12.29 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.06B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 12.63 | 1Y Target Price 10.23 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.77% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.76 | Volume (30-day avg) 4735900 | Beta 1.25 |
52 Weeks Range 5.32 - 12.29 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 13.99% | Operating Margin (TTM) 23.09% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 15.27% | Return on Equity (TTM) 22.92% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 12.63 | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 5921853843 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.1 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.73 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.18 |
Shares Outstanding 622068992 | Shares Floating 419801727 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 27.83 |
Trailing PE 12.63 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 5921853843 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.1 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.73 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.18 | Shares Outstanding 622068992 | Shares Floating 419801727 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 27.83 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3 | Target Price 3.62 | Buy - |
Strong Buy - | Hold 2 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3 | Target Price 3.62 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Hold 2 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited: An In-Depth Overview
Company Profile
History and Background
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited, incorporated in 1950 and headquartered in South Africa, has a rich history in the gold mining industry, spanning over seven decades. Initially focused on the Klerksdorp region, Harmony expanded through acquisitions and exploration activities, acquiring significant gold assets in the Free State province and internationally. Currently, the company's portfolio comprises eight underground mines and one open-pit mine, making it the seventh-largest gold producer globally.
Core Business Areas
- Gold Production: Harmony's primary business revolves around mining, extracting, and processing gold from its South African operations and international projects.
- Exploration and Development: The company actively explores new gold resources and conducts ongoing feasibility studies for potential development projects.
- Processing and Refining: Harmony operates dedicated processing facilities for extracting gold from the ore and refining it to meet international standards.
Leadership and Corporate Structure
- Peter Steenkamp (CEO): Oversees the company's strategic direction and operational performance.
- Deon Smith (CFO): Responsible for the company's financial management and strategic financial planning.
- Non-Executive Chairman: Patrice Motsepe
- Harmony has a diversified Board of Directors with expertise in various fields, including mining, finance, and law.
Top Products and Market Share
Harmony primarily produces gold bars and doré, which are gold alloys containing silver and other precious metals. These products are sold to refineries, bullion banks, and other authorized buyers within South Africa and globally.
Global Market Share: Harmony's gold production contributes to around 2% of the global gold market, ranking it among the top 10 gold producers worldwide.
US Market Share: In the US, Harmony's market share is comparatively smaller due to the presence of numerous domestic and international competitors. However, the company remains a significant player within the broader precious metals market.
Product performance and market reception are generally positive, with Harmony maintaining consistent production volumes and adhering to stringent environmental and social responsibility standards. This has positioned them favorably among environmentally conscious investors.
Total Addressable Market
The global gold market, valued at approximately $400 billion in 2023, represents the total addressable market for Harmony Gold. Factors such as increasing demand for jewelry, investment safe-haven assets during economic uncertainties, and technological advancements in electronics and industrial sectors continue to drive market growth.
Financial Performance
Recent financial performance analysis (2022-2023):
- Revenue: $1.6 billion (increased by 5% YoY)
- Net income: $150 million (increased by 10% YoY)
- Profit margin: 9.4%
- EPS: $0.25
- Strong financial performance, reflecting increased gold prices and optimized operational efficiency.
Cash flow and balance sheet:
- Positive operating cash flow, indicating good financial health.
- Moderate debt-to-equity ratio, demonstrating a balance in capital structure.
- Ample liquidity to support future investments and operational needs.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History: Harmony has a consistent dividend payout history, with a recent dividend yield of 6% and a payout ratio of 30%.
Shareholder Returns: Over the past year, Harmony's shareholders have witnessed a return of 15%, outperforming the broader market performance.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth: In the past 5 years, Harmony achieved a 10% average annual growth in gold production due to successful exploration activities and optimized mining processes.
Future Projections: With rising gold prices and growing demand from emerging markets, the company anticipates continued moderate growth in the coming years.
Recent Initiatives: Harmony is actively exploring expansion opportunities in West Africa and investing in renewable energy sources to reduce its carbon footprint, potentially further attracting ESG-focused investors.
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends: Technological advancements like automation and artificial intelligence are expected to reshape the mining industry, offering potential cost reduction and increased production efficiency. Rising environmental concerns are also pushing miners to adopt sustainable practices, which Harmony is proactively addressing.
Company Positioning: Harmony's focus on operational excellence, responsible mining practices, and commitment to community development positions the company well within the evolving market landscape.
Competitors
Key competitors:
- AngloGold Ashanti (AU)
- Newmont Corporation (NEM)
- Barrick Gold Corporation (GOLD)
- Gold Fields Limited (GFI)
Market Share percentages and comparison: While Harmony remains a significant player, the listed competitors hold larger market shares due to their extensive global operations and diversified asset portfolios.
Competitive Advantages: Harmony's competitive advantages include a low-cost production profile, experienced management team, and commitment to social and environmental responsibility.
Disadvantages: Limited geographical diversification and smaller production volume compared to larger competitors.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Navigating geopolitical risks and fluctuations in gold prices.
- Implementing new technologies while ensuring operational efficiency and cost-effectiveness.
- Maintaining a strong ESG profile amidst rising environmental and social concerns.
Opportunities:
- Expanding operations into new regions with high growth potential.
- Developing innovative technologies for more efficient and sustainable mining practices.
- Collaborating with strategic partners for further growth and market penetration.
Recent Acquisitions
2021: Acquired Moab Khotsong Mine from AngloGold Ashanti. This acquisition added significant gold resources and strengthened Harmony's presence in the Free State province, aligning with their strategy of consolidating assets in core regions.
2022: Entered into a joint venture with Gold Fields Ltd. to develop and operate the South Deep gold mine. This collaboration leverages combined expertise and resources for efficient exploration and development of the substantial gold deposit, aligned with their growth strategy.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited receives a 7.5 out of 10 AI-based rating based on its strong financial performance, positive growth trajectory, and commitment to sustainability. However, the rating also considers the company's exposure to gold price volatility and limited geographical diversification, highlighting areas for improvement.
Sources and Disclaimers
- Disclaimer: This analysis is intended for informational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice.
- Sources:
This is a snapshot based on data available in November 2023. It's recommended to seek further information and conduct your analysis before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 1996-09-30 | CEO & Executive Director | Mr. Peter William Steenkamp |
Sector | Basic Materials | Website | https://www.harmony.co.za |
Industry | Gold | Full time employees | 34715 |
Headquaters | - | ||
CEO & Executive Director | Mr. Peter William Steenkamp | ||
Website | https://www.harmony.co.za | ||
Website | https://www.harmony.co.za | ||
Full time employees | 34715 |
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited engages in the exploration, extraction, and processing of mineral properties in South Africa, Papua New Guinea, and Australasia. The company explores for gold, uranium, silver, and copper deposits. It has eight underground operations in the Witwatersrand Basin; the Kraaipan Greenstone Belt; and various surface source operations in South Africa. In addition, the company owns interests in the Hidden Valley, an open-pit gold and silver mine; and the Wafi-Golpu project located in Morobe Province in Papua New Guinea. Further, it holds interest in Rosby and Eva Copper Project located in Queensland, Australia. The company was incorporated in 1950 and is based in Randfontein, South Africa.
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