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Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
03/27/2025: HLMN (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -12.62% | Avg. Invested days 48 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.75B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 98.44 | 1Y Target Price 12.57 |
Price to earnings Ratio 98.44 | 1Y Target Price 12.57 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1181739 | Beta 1.67 | 52 Weeks Range 8.43 - 12.08 | Updated Date 04/2/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 8.43 - 12.08 | Updated Date 04/2/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.09 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.17% | Operating Margin (TTM) 3.36% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.55% | Return on Equity (TTM) 1.48% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 98.44 | Forward PE 15.43 | Enterprise Value 2496845616 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.19 |
Enterprise Value 2496845616 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.19 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.69 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.51 | Shares Outstanding 197328992 | Shares Floating 195657140 |
Shares Outstanding 197328992 | Shares Floating 195657140 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.21 | Percent Institutions 100.87 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.33 | Target Price 13.66 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 5 |
Buy 2 | Strong Buy 5 | ||
Hold 2 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Hillman Solutions Corp
Company Overview
History and Background
Hillman Solutions Corp. traces its roots back to 1964. Initially focused on providing fasteners and hardware, it has evolved through acquisitions and organic growth to become a comprehensive solutions provider for the hardware and home improvement industries. The company went public via a SPAC merger in 2021.
Core Business Areas
- Retail Solutions: Provides a wide range of fasteners, hardware, and home organization products to major retailers in North America. This includes assortment planning, in-store merchandising, and inventory management.
- Industrial Solutions: Supplies engineered fasteners and related products to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and other industrial customers.
Leadership and Structure
Hillman Solutions Corp is led by CEO Douglas Cahill. The organizational structure is departmentalized, with key functions including sales, marketing, operations, finance, and technology, supporting the Retail and Industrial segments.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Fasteners (Nuts, Bolts, Screws): A wide range of fasteners accounts for a significant portion of revenue. The market is fragmented, with Hillman being a major player. Competitors include Fastenal (FAST) and Wurth Group. Estimated market share is difficult to precisely determine, but Hillman is considered a leading supplier in North America.
- Home Organization Products: Includes products like hooks, hangers, and shelving systems. The home organization market is competitive, with players like Rubbermaid (NWL) and ClosetMaid.
- Keys and Key Duplicating: Hillman owns Minute Key, a self-service key duplicating kiosks, providing key cutting services. Competitors include traditional locksmiths and other key duplication services. No reliable market share data is available but Hillman is a leader
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The hardware and home improvement industry is influenced by factors like housing market trends, consumer spending, and infrastructure investments. The fastener market is driven by industrial production and construction activity.
Positioning
Hillman Solutions Corp is positioned as a leading provider of hardware and home improvement solutions, catering to both retail and industrial customers. Its competitive advantages include its extensive product portfolio, established distribution network, and value-added services.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for fasteners and home organization is estimated to be billions of dollars annually. Hillman captures a percentage of this TAM through both Retail and Industrial segments.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Established brand reputation
- Extensive product portfolio
- Wide distribution network
- Strong relationships with major retailers
- Minute Key presence
Weaknesses
- Dependence on large retail partners
- Exposure to commodity price fluctuations
- Debt load from prior acquisitions
- Customer concentration
Opportunities
- Expanding into new geographic markets
- Developing innovative product offerings
- Acquiring complementary businesses
- Increasing penetration of existing markets
- Growing Minute Key footprint
Threats
- Economic downturns affecting construction and industrial activity
- Increased competition from low-cost providers
- Changes in consumer preferences
- Disruptions in the supply chain
- Inflation
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Fastenal (FAST)
- Wurth Group
- Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)
- Home Depot (HD)
- Lowe's (LOW)
Competitive Landscape
Hillman's advantage lies in its comprehensive product offering and strong retail relationships. However, it faces competition from larger players with greater financial resources and brand recognition.
Major Acquisitions
Koch Industries (assets)
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 45
- Strategic Rationale: Enhance Hillman's offerings for industrial and automotive markets. This acquisition was for the assets of a division of Koch Industries.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth data is dependent on time period.
Future Projections: Future growth projections are dependent on analyst estimates. These vary.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include strategic acquisitions, expansion of the Minute Key business, and efforts to improve supply chain efficiency.
Summary
Hillman Solutions Corp is a key player in the hardware and fastener industry, benefiting from its established brand and distribution network. Dependence on large retailers and commodity price fluctuations present challenges. Strategic acquisitions and expansion of Minute Key offer growth opportunities, but the company must navigate competitive pressures and economic uncertainties to sustain its market position.
Similar Companies

FAST

Fastenal Company



FAST

Fastenal Company

HD

Home Depot Inc



HD

Home Depot Inc

LOW

Lowe\'s Companies Inc



LOW

Lowe\'s Companies Inc

MSC

Studio City International Holdings Ltd



MSC

Studio City International Holdings Ltd

SWK

Stanley Black & Decker Inc



SWK

Stanley Black & Decker Inc
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Industry reports
- Analyst estimates
- Press releases
- Company Investor Relations
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Hillman Solutions Corp
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Forest Park, OH, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-07-15 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Jon Michael Adinolfi | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Tools & Accessories | Full time employees 3886 | Website https://www.hillmangroup.com |
Full time employees 3886 | Website https://www.hillmangroup.com |
Hillman Solutions Corp., together with its subsidiaries, provides hardware-related products and related merchandising services in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The company offers hardware products, including anchor shackles and eye bolts, door hinges and chains, garage doors, safety hasps, gate hooks and latches, magnets, hooks and storage, corner braces and mending plates, and springs; and fasteners, such as anchors, ball bearings, bolts, kits, nails, nuts, pins, rivets, screws, spacers, threaded inserts, tools/brushes, washers, wire hardware, and other accessories. It also provides driveway markers/reflectors, numbers, letters, plaques, signs, stencils, survey and flagging tapes, and safety and caution products; threaded rods, aluminum tubes, and slotted and aluminum angles; wall hangings, including frame hardware, hooks, picture hanging, adhesives, mirrors, wires, and wall hanging accessories, as well as picture hanging and tool-free mounting products; face masks, gloves, and glasses; keys and engravings; and electrical, plumbing, and automotive products and accessories. It offers its products under the Power Pro, Hillman, Deck Plus, Fas-n-Tite, Hardware Essentials, Durasteel, Steelworks, OOK, Distinctions, AWP, Quick Tag, Keykrafter, Digz, High & Mighty, True Grip, Firm Grip, Ozco, Borefast, Gorilla Grip, Soft Scrub, Ajustlock, Timber-Tite, and Axxess+ brand names. The company sells its products to hardware stores, home centers, mass merchants, pet supply stores, industrial distributors, automotive aftermarket distributors, and other retail outlets, as well as industrial original equipment manufacturers. Hillman Solutions Corp. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Forest Park, Ohio.
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