Upturn unsubscribed user
$1.14/ day, billed weekly
Cancel anytime
(Ad-Free, Unlimited access)​
NO CREDIT CARD REQUIRED
HLMN
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating

Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$9.02
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

03/27/2025: HLMN (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

ratingratingratingratingrating

Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

ratingratingratingratingrating

Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -12.62%
Avg. Invested days 48
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 03/27/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.75B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 98.44
1Y Target Price 12.57
Price to earnings Ratio 98.44
1Y Target Price 12.57
Volume (30-day avg) 1181739
Beta 1.67
52 Weeks Range 8.43 - 12.08
Updated Date 04/2/2025
52 Weeks Range 8.43 - 12.08
Updated Date 04/2/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.09

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 1.17%
Operating Margin (TTM) 3.36%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.55%
Return on Equity (TTM) 1.48%

Valuation

Trailing PE 98.44
Forward PE 15.43
Enterprise Value 2496845616
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.19
Enterprise Value 2496845616
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.19
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.69
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.51
Shares Outstanding 197328992
Shares Floating 195657140
Shares Outstanding 197328992
Shares Floating 195657140
Percent Insiders 1.21
Percent Institutions 100.87

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.33
Target Price 13.66
Buy 2
Strong Buy 5
Buy 2
Strong Buy 5
Hold 2
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Hillman Solutions Corp

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Hillman Solutions Corp. traces its roots back to 1964. Initially focused on providing fasteners and hardware, it has evolved through acquisitions and organic growth to become a comprehensive solutions provider for the hardware and home improvement industries. The company went public via a SPAC merger in 2021.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Retail Solutions: Provides a wide range of fasteners, hardware, and home organization products to major retailers in North America. This includes assortment planning, in-store merchandising, and inventory management.
  • Industrial Solutions: Supplies engineered fasteners and related products to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and other industrial customers.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Hillman Solutions Corp is led by CEO Douglas Cahill. The organizational structure is departmentalized, with key functions including sales, marketing, operations, finance, and technology, supporting the Retail and Industrial segments.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Fasteners (Nuts, Bolts, Screws): A wide range of fasteners accounts for a significant portion of revenue. The market is fragmented, with Hillman being a major player. Competitors include Fastenal (FAST) and Wurth Group. Estimated market share is difficult to precisely determine, but Hillman is considered a leading supplier in North America.
  • Home Organization Products: Includes products like hooks, hangers, and shelving systems. The home organization market is competitive, with players like Rubbermaid (NWL) and ClosetMaid.
  • Keys and Key Duplicating: Hillman owns Minute Key, a self-service key duplicating kiosks, providing key cutting services. Competitors include traditional locksmiths and other key duplication services. No reliable market share data is available but Hillman is a leader

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The hardware and home improvement industry is influenced by factors like housing market trends, consumer spending, and infrastructure investments. The fastener market is driven by industrial production and construction activity.

Positioning

Hillman Solutions Corp is positioned as a leading provider of hardware and home improvement solutions, catering to both retail and industrial customers. Its competitive advantages include its extensive product portfolio, established distribution network, and value-added services.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for fasteners and home organization is estimated to be billions of dollars annually. Hillman captures a percentage of this TAM through both Retail and Industrial segments.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Established brand reputation
  • Extensive product portfolio
  • Wide distribution network
  • Strong relationships with major retailers
  • Minute Key presence

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on large retail partners
  • Exposure to commodity price fluctuations
  • Debt load from prior acquisitions
  • Customer concentration

Opportunities

  • Expanding into new geographic markets
  • Developing innovative product offerings
  • Acquiring complementary businesses
  • Increasing penetration of existing markets
  • Growing Minute Key footprint

Threats

  • Economic downturns affecting construction and industrial activity
  • Increased competition from low-cost providers
  • Changes in consumer preferences
  • Disruptions in the supply chain
  • Inflation

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • Fastenal (FAST)
  • Wurth Group
  • Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)
  • Home Depot (HD)
  • Lowe's (LOW)

Competitive Landscape

Hillman's advantage lies in its comprehensive product offering and strong retail relationships. However, it faces competition from larger players with greater financial resources and brand recognition.

Major Acquisitions

Koch Industries (assets)

  • Year: 2022
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 45
  • Strategic Rationale: Enhance Hillman's offerings for industrial and automotive markets. This acquisition was for the assets of a division of Koch Industries.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical growth data is dependent on time period.

Future Projections: Future growth projections are dependent on analyst estimates. These vary.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include strategic acquisitions, expansion of the Minute Key business, and efforts to improve supply chain efficiency.

Summary

Hillman Solutions Corp is a key player in the hardware and fastener industry, benefiting from its established brand and distribution network. Dependence on large retailers and commodity price fluctuations present challenges. Strategic acquisitions and expansion of Minute Key offer growth opportunities, but the company must navigate competitive pressures and economic uncertainties to sustain its market position.

Similar Companies

FASTratingrating

Fastenal Company

$74.49
Large-Cap Stock
0%
PASS

FASTratingrating

Fastenal Company

$74.49
Large-Cap Stock
0%
PASS

HDratingrating

Home Depot Inc

$362.73
Large-Cap Stock
0%
PASS

HDratingrating

Home Depot Inc

$362.73
Large-Cap Stock
0%
PASS

LOWratingrating

Lowe\'s Companies Inc

$222.66
Large-Cap Stock
0%
PASS

LOWratingrating

Lowe\'s Companies Inc

$222.66
Large-Cap Stock
0%
PASS

MSCratingrating

Studio City International Holdings Ltd

$3.6
Small-Cap Stock
0%
PASS

MSCratingrating

Studio City International Holdings Ltd

$3.6
Small-Cap Stock
0%
PASS

SWKratingrating

Stanley Black & Decker Inc

$76.14
Large-Cap Stock
0%
PASS

SWKratingrating

Stanley Black & Decker Inc

$76.14
Large-Cap Stock
0%
PASS

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings
  • Industry reports
  • Analyst estimates
  • Press releases
  • Company Investor Relations

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Hillman Solutions Corp

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Forest Park, OH, United States
IPO Launch date 2021-07-15
President, CEO & Director Mr. Jon Michael Adinolfi
Sector Industrials
Industry Tools & Accessories
Full time employees 3886
Full time employees 3886

Hillman Solutions Corp., together with its subsidiaries, provides hardware-related products and related merchandising services in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The company offers hardware products, including anchor shackles and eye bolts, door hinges and chains, garage doors, safety hasps, gate hooks and latches, magnets, hooks and storage, corner braces and mending plates, and springs; and fasteners, such as anchors, ball bearings, bolts, kits, nails, nuts, pins, rivets, screws, spacers, threaded inserts, tools/brushes, washers, wire hardware, and other accessories. It also provides driveway markers/reflectors, numbers, letters, plaques, signs, stencils, survey and flagging tapes, and safety and caution products; threaded rods, aluminum tubes, and slotted and aluminum angles; wall hangings, including frame hardware, hooks, picture hanging, adhesives, mirrors, wires, and wall hanging accessories, as well as picture hanging and tool-free mounting products; face masks, gloves, and glasses; keys and engravings; and electrical, plumbing, and automotive products and accessories. It offers its products under the Power Pro, Hillman, Deck Plus, Fas-n-Tite, Hardware Essentials, Durasteel, Steelworks, OOK, Distinctions, AWP, Quick Tag, Keykrafter, Digz, High & Mighty, True Grip, Firm Grip, Ozco, Borefast, Gorilla Grip, Soft Scrub, Ajustlock, Timber-Tite, and Axxess+ brand names. The company sells its products to hardware stores, home centers, mass merchants, pet supply stores, industrial distributors, automotive aftermarket distributors, and other retail outlets, as well as industrial original equipment manufacturers. Hillman Solutions Corp. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Forest Park, Ohio.

Upturn is now on iOS and Android!

Experience Upturn on your mobile. Install it now!​