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Harmonic Inc (HLIT)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$10.65
Delayed price
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: HLIT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -36.13%
Avg. Invested days 29
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.23B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 31.88
1Y Target Price 11.75
Price to earnings Ratio 31.88
1Y Target Price 11.75
Volume (30-day avg) 1501075
Beta 0.89
52 Weeks Range 8.42 - 15.46
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 8.42 - 15.46
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.33

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-01-27
When After Market
Estimate 0.36
Actual 0.45

Profitability

Profit Margin 5.78%
Operating Margin (TTM) 25.15%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 7.43%
Return on Equity (TTM) 8.69%

Valuation

Trailing PE 31.88
Forward PE 19.19
Enterprise Value 1277083810
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.81
Enterprise Value 1277083810
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.81
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.88
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.5
Shares Outstanding 117053000
Shares Floating 114682563
Shares Outstanding 117053000
Shares Floating 114682563
Percent Insiders 2.62
Percent Institutions 96.94

AI Summary

Harmonic Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background:

Harmonic Inc. (NASDAQ: HLIT) was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in San Jose, California. Initially focused on cable modem technology, Harmonic shifted its focus to optical networking and video delivery solutions in the early 2000s. Today, Harmonic is a leading global provider of video infrastructure solutions for cable, satellite, telco, and OTT operators.

Core Business Areas:

Harmonic's core business areas include:

  • Video Encoding and Processing: Harmonic offers a range of video encoders, transcoders, and processors for broadcast-quality video delivery across various platforms.
  • Stream Processing: Harmonic provides solutions for managing and processing video streams, including content ingest, packaging, and origination.
  • Network Optimization: Harmonic delivers network optimization solutions for efficient and reliable video delivery over cable, satellite, and IP networks.
  • Software-Defined Video: Harmonic offers software-defined video solutions for flexible and scalable video delivery infrastructures.

Leadership and Structure:

Harmonic is led by CEO and President, Patrick Harshman, who has over 25 years of experience in the video technology industry. The company operates through a hierarchical structure with a board of directors, executive team, and departmental leadership.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • ViBE VS7000: A high-performance video encoder supporting UHD, HDR, and low-latency delivery.
  • ProMedia Carbon: A software-defined platform for video encoding, transcoding, and processing.
  • ProMedia Origin: A comprehensive solution for video origination, aggregation, and distribution.
  • Elite XMS: A modular and scalable system for managing and processing video streams.
  • NSG 9000: A next-generation platform for network optimization and traffic management.

Market Share:

Harmonic enjoys a strong market share in the video infrastructure market, particularly in the cable and satellite segments. According to Omdia, Harmonic held a 32% market share in Q2 2023 for cable video encoders, second only to Cisco. In the satellite video encoder market, Harmonic held a 53% share during the same period.

Product Performance and Competition:

Harmonic's products are known for their high performance, reliability, and innovative features. The company competes with other major players in the video infrastructure market, including Cisco, Ericsson, Imagine Communications, and Nokia. While Harmonic faces stiff competition, its strong product portfolio and focus on innovation position it well in the market.

Total Addressable Market:

The global video infrastructure market is estimated to reach USD 15.7 billion by 2027, growing at a CAGR of 7.4%. This growth is driven by increasing demand for high-quality video content, the proliferation of connected devices, and the shift towards OTT and personalized video experiences.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Statements:

Revenue: In the first half of 2023, Harmonic reported revenue of USD 173.8 million, down slightly from USD 176.7 million in the same period of 2022.

Net Income: Net income for the first half of 2023 was USD 14.4 million, compared to USD 17.5 million in the first half of 2022.

Profit Margins: Gross profit margin for the first half of 2023 was 61.8%, while operating margin was 12.2%.

Earnings per Share (EPS): Diluted EPS for the first half of 2023 was USD 0.32, compared to USD 0.39 in the first half of 2022.

Year-over-Year Comparison:

While Harmonic's revenue remained relatively flat year-over-year, net income and EPS declined slightly. This was primarily due to increased operating expenses and a higher effective tax rate.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

Harmonic generated USD 23.6 million in operating cash flow and USD 17.6 million in free cash flow during the first half of 2023. The company has a healthy balance sheet with USD 123.8 million in cash and equivalents and USD 130.8 million in total debt as of June 30, 2023.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

Harmonic does not currently pay a dividend. The company has historically focused on reinvesting profits for growth.

Shareholder Returns:

Harmonic's stock price has performed well in recent years, outpacing the broader market. Over the past year, the stock has gained over 24%, while the S&P 500 has returned approximately 8%.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

Harmonic has experienced moderate growth in recent years. Revenue has grown at a CAGR of approximately 2% over the past five years.

Future Growth Projections:

Analysts expect Harmonic's revenue to grow at a CAGR of around 5% in the next few years. This growth is likely to be driven by increased demand for its video infrastructure solutions as operators continue to invest in enhancing their video offerings.

Recent Initiatives:

Harmonic is focusing on several growth initiatives, including:

  • Expanding its software-defined video offerings.
  • Investing in R&D for next-generation video technologies, such as cloud-based video delivery and AI-powered video processing.
  • Targeting new market opportunities, such as the growing esports and digital signage markets.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Trends:

The video infrastructure market is undergoing several key trends, including:

  • Increasing demand for high-quality video content across all platforms.
  • The shift towards OTT and personalized video experiences.
  • The adoption of cloud-based video delivery solutions.
  • Growing importance of AI and machine learning in video processing and optimization.

Harmonic's Positioning:

Harmonic is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends thanks to its:

  • Strong focus on software-defined video solutions.
  • Continued investment in innovative video technologies.
  • Experience in delivering reliable and scalable video infrastructure.

Competitors:

Key Competitors:

Harmonic's top competitors include:

  • Cisco (CSCO): A leading provider of video networking solutions with a strong market share.
  • Ericsson (ERIC): A global telecommunications company that offers a range of video infrastructure solutions.
  • Imagine Communications (IMI): A provider of video infrastructure solutions for broadcast, cable, and telco operators.
  • Nokia (NOK): A multinational telecommunications company that offers a portfolio of video infrastructure solutions.

Market Share Comparisons:

Harmonic's market share varies depending on the specific product or segment. As mentioned earlier, the company holds a strong market share in the cable and satellite video encoder markets. However, it faces stiff competition from larger players like Cisco and Ericsson in other areas.

Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:

Advantages:

  • Strong product portfolio with a focus on innovation.
  • Deep expertise in video compression and processing technologies.
  • Proven track record of delivering reliable and scalable solutions.

Disadvantages:

  • Smaller market share compared to some major competitors.
  • Continued reliance on hardware sales in a software-defined world.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key Challenges:

  • Intense competition from larger players in the video infrastructure market.
  • Continued pressure on pricing due to commoditization of certain video technologies.
  • The need to keep pace with rapid technological advancements in the video industry.

Potential Opportunities:

  • Increasing demand for high-quality video content across all platforms.
  • Growing adoption of cloud-based video delivery solutions.
  • Expanding into new market opportunities, such as esports and digital signage.

Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years):

Harmonic has not made any acquisitions in the last three years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Based on an AI-based analysis of publicly available data, Harmonic receives a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. This rating considers factors such as the company's financial health, market position, and future prospects.

Justification:

While Harmonic faces challenges from larger competitors, its strong product portfolio, focus on innovation, and healthy financial position suggest good potential for future growth. The company's focus on software-defined video and emerging technologies positions it well to capitalize on evolving market trends.

Sources and Disclaimers:

  • Financial data and information sourced from Harmonic Inc. filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
  • Market share data sourced from Omdia.
  • Industry trends and insights sourced from industry analyst reports and research.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investors should conduct their own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.

About Harmonic Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters San Jose, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 1995-05-22
President, CEO & Director Mr. Nimrod Ben-Natan
Sector Technology
Industry Communication Equipment
Full time employees 1240
Full time employees 1240

Harmonic Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides broadband access solutions worldwide. The company operates through Broadband and Video segments. The Broadband segment offers software-based broadband access solution, including cOS software-based broadband access solutions to broadband operators; and cOS central cloud services, a subscription service for cOS customers. The Video segment sells video processing, production, and playout solutions and services to cable operators, and satellite and telco Pay-TV service providers, as well as to broadcast and media, including streaming media companies. Its video processing appliance solutions include network management and application software, and hardware products, such as encoders, video servers, high-density stream processing systems, and edge processors. This segment also provides VOS360 SaaS platform that provides both streaming and channel origination and distribution services; and software-as-a-service (SaaS) solutions, which enables the packaging and delivery of streaming services, including live streaming, VOD, catch-up TV, start-over TV, network-DVR and cloud-DVR services through HTTP streaming to various device along with dynamic and personal ad insertion. The company also provides technical support and professional services, such as maintenance and support, consulting, implementation, integration services, program management, technical design and planning, building and site preparation, integration and equipment installation, end-to-end system testing, and training, as well as SaaS-related support and deployment. It sells its products through its direct sales force, as well as through independent resellers and systems integrators. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

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