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Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV)HGV
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: HGV (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: -37.58% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: -37.58% | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.02B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 46.38 | 1Y Target Price 45.56 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.88 |
Volume (30-day avg) 782016 | Beta 1.83 |
52 Weeks Range 33.21 - 49.02 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.02B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 46.38 | 1Y Target Price 45.56 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.88 | Volume (30-day avg) 782016 | Beta 1.83 |
52 Weeks Range 33.21 - 49.02 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-07 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate 0.83 | Actual 0.28 |
Report Date 2024-11-07 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate 0.83 | Actual 0.28 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.24% | Operating Margin (TTM) 17.01% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.76% | Return on Equity (TTM) 4.93% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 46.38 | Forward PE 11.44 |
Enterprise Value 10428321153 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.95 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.21 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14 |
Shares Outstanding 98488600 | Shares Floating 47892068 |
Percent Insiders 1.43 | Percent Institutions 109.11 |
Trailing PE 46.38 | Forward PE 11.44 | Enterprise Value 10428321153 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.95 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.21 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14 | Shares Outstanding 98488600 | Shares Floating 47892068 |
Percent Insiders 1.43 | Percent Institutions 109.11 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.78 | Target Price 55.4 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 3 | Hold 3 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.78 | Target Price 55.4 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 3 |
Hold 3 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History & Background:
- Founded in 1992 as a subsidiary of Hilton Hotels Corporation.
- Became a publicly traded company in 2006.
- Acquired by Blackstone Group in 2007 and taken private.
- Re-listed on the New York Stock Exchange in 2012.
Core Business Areas:
- Vacation Ownership: Sells timeshare interests in resorts located in popular vacation destinations.
- Club Membership: Offers club memberships that provide access to vacation rentals and other perks.
- Vacation Rentals: Rents out individual hotel rooms and villas through various channels.
Leadership & Corporate Structure:
- Mark Wang, President & CEO
- Jeffrey S. Nelson, Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
- Board of Directors includes representatives from Blackstone and Hilton Hotels.
Top Products & Market Share:
Products:
- Timeshare Interests: HGV offers various timeshare ownership options, ranging from studio units to multi-bedroom villas.
- Club Memberships: The Club program provides flexible vacation options and exclusive benefits.
- Vacation Rentals: HGV offers a diverse portfolio of rental properties through brands like Diamond Resorts and Exploria Resorts.
Market Share:
- Timeshares: HGV is the second-largest timeshare company in the world, with a market share of approximately 12%.
- Vacation Rentals: Through acquisitions, HGV is now a significant player in the vacation rental market.
Product Performance & Competitor Comparison:
- HGV's timeshare products are well-regarded and offer competitive pricing.
- Club memberships are gaining popularity due to their flexibility and value.
- HGV's vacation rentals offer a variety of options and competitive rates.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for HGV is vast and includes:
- Global timeshare market (estimated at $30 billion)
- Vacation rental market (estimated at $100 billion)
- Growing demand for flexible and affordable vacation options
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Performance (2022):
- Revenue: $2.4 billion
- Net Income: $145 million
- Profit Margin: 6%
- EPS: $1.33
- Year-over-year Revenue Growth: 30%
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet:
- Strong cash flow from operations.
- Moderate debt levels.
Dividends & Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- HGV has paid dividends consistently since 2013.
- Current dividend yield: 3.2%
- Payout ratio: 40%
Shareholder Returns:
- Total shareholder return (TSR): 150% (5 years)
- Outperforms the S&P 500 index over the same period.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
- Revenue has grown at a CAGR of 15% over the past 5 years.
- EPS has grown at a CAGR of 20% over the past 5 years.
Future Growth Projections:
- Continued growth in the timeshare and vacation rental markets.
- Expansion into new markets and product offerings.
- Strategic acquisitions to boost market share.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
- Timeshare industry is mature but still growing, particularly in international markets.
- Vacation rental industry is rapidly growing, fueled by technological advancements and changing consumer preferences.
- Industry is consolidating, with large players acquiring smaller companies.
HGV's Position:
- Strong brand recognition and reputation.
- Extensive network of resorts and vacation rental properties.
- Focus on innovation and guest experience.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC)
- Wyndham Destinations (WYND)
- Airbnb (ABNB)
- Vrbo (EXPE)
Market Share Comparison:
- HGV is the second-largest timeshare company after Marriott Vacations.
- HGV is a growing player in the vacation rental market, but still smaller than Airbnb and Vrbo.
Competitive Advantages & Disadvantages:
Advantages:
- Strong brand recognition
- Extensive network of resorts
- Focus on innovation and guest experience
Disadvantages:
- Dependence on the timeshare industry, which is facing challenges
- High debt levels
Potential Challenges & Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Economic downturns impacting consumer spending on vacations
- Competition from alternative vacation options like Airbnb
- Rising interest rates impacting debt financing
Opportunities:
- Growth in international markets
- Expansion into new product offerings
- Strategic partnerships to enhance offerings
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):
2023:
- Acquired Diamond Resorts for $2.8 billion, significantly expanding its vacation rental portfolio.
2021:
- Acquired Exploria Resorts for $1.15 billion, adding a collection of luxury vacation rentals to its portfolio.
2020:
- Acquired The Welk Resorts Group for $450 million, expanding its presence on the West Coast.
These acquisitions demonstrate HGV's strategic focus on expanding its portfolio, diversifying its offerings, and becoming a leading player in the vacation rental market.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8/10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance
- Leading market position
- Growth potential through acquisitions and innovation
- Challenges include competition and economic downturns
Sources & Disclaimers:
- Financial data: Yahoo Finance, SEC filings
- Market data: Statista, IBISWorld
- Company information: Hilton Grand Vacations website
- Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Conclusion:
HGV is a leading timeshare and vacation rental company with a strong track record of growth and innovation. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the continued growth in the vacation market. However, investors should be aware of the potential challenges facing the industry, such as competition and economic downturns.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Hilton Grand Vacations Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Orlando, FL, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2017-01-04 | CEO & Director | Mr. Mark D. Wang |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.hgv.com |
Industry | Resorts & Casinos | Full time employees | 15000 |
Headquaters | Orlando, FL, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. Mark D. Wang | ||
Website | https://www.hgv.com | ||
Website | https://www.hgv.com | ||
Full time employees | 15000 |
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc., a timeshare company, develops, markets, sells, manages, and operates the resorts, plans and ancillary reservation services under the Hilton Grand Vacations brand. It operates through Real Estate Sales and Financing, and Resort Operations and Club Management segments. Real Estate Sales and Financing segment market and sells the VOIs, and source VOIs through fee-for-service agreements with third-party developers; and provides consumer financing and services loans. Resort Operations and Club Management segment manages and operates the clubs which offers exchange, leisure travel, and reservation services, as well as engages in the rental of inventory made available due to ownership exchanges through its club programs, and provides ancillary services including food and beverage, retail and spa at timeshare properties. Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
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