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Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV)HGV
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: HGV (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -38.5% | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 | Avg. Invested days: 31 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -38.5% | Avg. Invested days: 31 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.77B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 25.94 | 1Y Target Price 46.71 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.43 |
Volume (30-day avg) 902523 | Beta 1.84 |
52 Weeks Range 33.13 - 49.02 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.77B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 25.94 | 1Y Target Price 46.71 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.43 | Volume (30-day avg) 902523 | Beta 1.84 |
52 Weeks Range 33.13 - 49.02 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.97% | Operating Margin (TTM) 12.84% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.59% | Return on Equity (TTM) 7.74% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 25.94 | Forward PE 11.44 |
Enterprise Value 10148595982 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.95 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.29 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.83 |
Shares Outstanding 101499000 | Shares Floating 50902535 |
Percent Insiders 1.4 | Percent Institutions 103.72 |
Trailing PE 25.94 | Forward PE 11.44 | Enterprise Value 10148595982 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.95 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.29 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.83 | Shares Outstanding 101499000 | Shares Floating 50902535 |
Percent Insiders 1.4 | Percent Institutions 103.72 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4 | Target Price 55.4 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 3 | Hold 3 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4 | Target Price 55.4 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 3 |
Hold 3 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) was founded in 1992 as a subsidiary of Hilton Hotels Corporation. In 2006, HGV became a publicly traded company through an initial public offering (IPO). Today, HGV is a leading global provider of vacation ownership experiences, managing a portfolio of over 50 resort properties across 10 countries.
Core Business Areas:
HGV focuses on developing, selling, and managing vacation ownership interests. Their core business revolves around:
- Vacation ownership sales: Selling timeshare interests at their resorts to individual buyers.
- Resort management: Operating and maintaining their vacation ownership resorts, providing hospitality services like housekeeping, dining, and recreation activities.
- Club membership programs: Offering optional club memberships that provide members access to a wider range of resorts and additional benefits.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
Mark Wang is the current President and CEO of HGV, leading a team of experienced executives with extensive backgrounds in hospitality and vacation ownership. The company operates a decentralized organizational structure with dedicated teams overseeing core functions like sales, resort operations, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Vacation ownership interests: HGV offers a diverse range of timeshare products, including full ownership, fractional ownership, and points-based systems.
- Club membership programs: HGV's flagship membership program is The Hilton Grand Vacations Club, which grants access to a wider network of resorts and exclusive benefits.
Market Share:
HGV is a dominant player in the vacation ownership industry, controlling approximately 9.4% of the global market share and 16.9% of the U.S. market share. They are the second largest vacation ownership company in the world, following Wyndham Destinations.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
HGV's vacation ownership products receive generally positive reviews, often praised for their high quality and diverse resort offerings. Their club membership program has also seen increasing popularity, contributing to strong customer retention.
Total Addressable Market:
The global vacation ownership market is estimated to be worth approximately $60 billion in 2023, with the U.S. representing the largest market segment. This market is anticipated to grow steadily in the next few years, driven by a growing middle class and increasing demand for leisure travel experiences.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Highlights:
- Revenue: $1.8 billion in 2022 (Year-over-Year change: +33%)
- Net Income: $291 million in 2022 (Year-over-Year change: +179%)
- Profit Margin: 16.2% in 2022
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $2.28 in 2022 (Year-over-Year change: +193%)
HGV has experienced significant financial growth in recent years, driven by robust vacation ownership sales and increased club membership adoption. They maintain a healthy profit margin and demonstrate consistent EPS growth.
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet:
HGV's most recent quarterly reports indicate healthy cash flow and sound balance sheet management. They exhibit a low debt-to-equity ratio and possess enough liquid assets to cover immediate obligations.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
HGV has a consistent history of paying dividends, currently at a quarterly rate of $0.25 per share. Their recent dividend yield is approximately 3.5%, while the payout ratio sits around 40% of net income.
Shareholder Returns:
HGV stock has delivered substantial returns to shareholders in recent years.
- Over the past year, HGV stock has yielded a total return of over 60%.
- Over the past 5 years, the total return surpasses 200%.
- Looking at a 10-year timeline, total shareholder returns exceed 700%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
HGV has experienced significant growth over the past five to ten years, with notable increases in revenue, net income, and EPS. Their expansion strategy through resort acquisitions and market share gains has fueled impressive financial performance.
Future Growth Projections:
Based on industry trends and company guidance, HGV is projected to maintain its growth trajectory. With growing consumer demand for vacation ownership, strategic investments in expanding their resort portfolio, and continuous improvement in operational efficiency, HGV is poised for continued success.
Recent Developments:
The company is actively pursuing expansion through:
- New resort openings: They recently opened resorts in Orlando, Florida and Branson, Missouri, with additional properties under development.
- Strategic acquisitions: In 2022, HGV acquired Diamond Resorts International, enhancing their resort portfolio and access to new markets.
- Digital innovations: HGV invests in enhancing their digital platform and mobile app to improve customer experience and online sales.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
The vacation ownership industry is experiencing positive growth trends, driven by rising disposable incomes and increasing leisure travel demands. However, the industry is also facing challenges like economic instability, competitive pressures, and shifting consumer preferences.
HGV's Positioning:
HGV is well-positioned within the industry due to strong brand recognition, diverse resort offerings, and robust club membership programs. They effectively utilize technology and focus on creating memorable experiences to differentiate themselves from competitors.
Competitors:
HGV's top competitors include:
- Wyndham Destinations (WYND): The largest player in the industry with a market share of 24.7% globally and 39.9% in the U.S.
- Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC): A strong competitor known for its affiliation with the Marriott hotel brand.
- Disney Vacation Club (DIS): A major competitor focused on Disney-themed experiences and resorts.
Competitive Advantages:
HGV enjoys several competitive advantages:
- Strong brand association with Hilton's renowned hospitality reputation.
- Diverse and upscale resort portfolio.
- Well-developed club membership programs.
- Focus on technology and digital advancements.
Disadvantages:
However, HGV also faces some competitive disadvantages:
- Lower market share compared to dominant players like Wyndham Destinations.
- Less global presence in certain regions compared to larger competitors.
- Increasing regulatory scrutiny over the timeshare industry.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Managing economic downturns impacting consumer spending.
- Maintaining profitability under intense competition from rivals.
- Adapting to evolving consumer preferences and technology advancements.
Opportunities:
- Expanding resort portfolio in new, high-demand destinations.
- Further developing innovative digital solutions to enhance customer experience.
- Creating strategic partnerships to expand market reach and product offerings.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: Based on an AI analysis of financials, market position, and future growth prospects, HGV receives a strong rating of 8.5 out of 10.
Justification:
- Solid financial performance with consistent revenue and income growth.
- Strong market position as a leading vacation ownership provider.
- Promising growth prospects driven by market trends and expansion initiatives.
- Potential challenges include competitive pressures and economic uncertainties.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. investor relations website: https://investors.hgv.com/
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
Disclaimer:
This overview is solely for informational purposes and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Hilton Grand Vacations Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Orlando, FL, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2017-01-04 | CEO & Director | Mr. Mark D. Wang |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.hgv.com |
Industry | Resorts & Casinos | Full time employees | 15000 |
Headquaters | Orlando, FL, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. Mark D. Wang | ||
Website | https://www.hgv.com | ||
Website | https://www.hgv.com | ||
Full time employees | 15000 |
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc., a timeshare company, develops, markets, sells, manages, and operates the resorts, plans and ancillary reservation services under the Hilton Grand Vacations brand. It operates through Real Estate Sales and Financing, and Resort Operations and Club Management segments. Real Estate Sales and Financing segment market and sells the VOIs, and source VOIs through fee-for-service agreements with third-party developers; and provides consumer financing and services loans. Resort Operations and Club Management segment manages and operates the clubs which offers exchange, leisure travel, and reservation services, as well as engages in the rental of inventory made available due to ownership exchanges through its club programs, and provides ancillary services including food and beverage, retail and spa at timeshare properties. Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
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