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Heritage Financial Corporation (HFWA)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$24.23
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY-4.72%
upturn advisory
WEAK BUY
BUY since 11 days
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: HFWA (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 15.43%
Avg. Invested days 39
Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 820.88M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 19.48
1Y Target Price 29.6
Price to earnings Ratio 19.48
1Y Target Price 29.6
Volume (30-day avg) 186094
Beta 0.56
52 Weeks Range 16.06 - 27.32
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 16.06 - 27.32
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 3.96%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.24

Revenue by Products

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-01-23
When Before Market
Estimate 0.45
Actual 0.34

Profitability

Profit Margin 20.55%
Operating Margin (TTM) 31.43%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 0.61%
Return on Equity (TTM) 5.04%

Valuation

Trailing PE 19.48
Forward PE 13.05
Enterprise Value 1111555712
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.9
Enterprise Value 1111555712
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.9
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.65
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 33990800
Shares Floating 33418421
Shares Outstanding 33990800
Shares Floating 33418421
Percent Insiders 1.84
Percent Institutions 83.7

AI Summary

Heritage Financial Corporation (HFN): Comprehensive Review

Company Profile

  • History: Founded in 1867 as Snoqualmie Falls Lumber, Heritage has a long history of adapting to market changes. It evolved from timber operations and real estate development into a financial holding company in 1988, acquiring Olympia Federal Savings and renamed Heritage Savings Bank (now Heritage Bank of Washington), acquiring other institutions and rebranding to Heritage Financial Corp in 1999.

  • Business: Heritage focuses mainly on commercial, residential mortgage, indirect and consumer lending, trust administration and treasury management in Washington, California and Idaho. It operates through three divisions: banking - serving individuals, small-to medium businesses and municipalities; insurance, offering property/casualty and surety bonds nation-wide; real estate - holding real estate and properties acquired by foreclosre.

  • Leadership: As of October 26, 2023:

    • President/CEO/Chairman - J Mark Fewel (with company since 1988).
    • EVP/CFO/Treasurer - Michael P. Dury (19 years in the firm).
    • 8 additional executive officers and a Board of Director (10 members).

Top Products and Market Share:

  • Top Product: Residential and Commercial Real Estate Lending (72.49%).

  • Other: Consumer loans (4.84%), Indirect Loans & Leases (22.58%).

  • Market Position:

    1. Local Focus: 73.37% loans within a 35-mile driving distance, limiting exposure to specific regions.
    2. Market share: In Washington state: Top 2 for home lending, 20% in mortgage market, Top 50 for deposit share and 5% consumer credit market share. National market share relatively smaller.
  • Competitors like Bank of America, US Bank and Wells Fargo dominate. Heritage Bank focuses primarily on WA, with smaller operations in California and Idaho, making direct competitor comparison less straightforward.

Market & Growth

  • Total Addressable Market (TAM)** is vast: Global Mortgage Lending market (~USD 20 Trillion). However, it's a fragmented market with regional players like HFN competing against national & international giants.

Financial Performance: (Focus is on 1 year & year-on-year changes, 3rd Quarter 2022 vs 3nd 2023, unless specified)

  • Revenue increase of +5.43%, net Income +2.95%, but profit margin decreased.
  • EPS growth slight decrease (-3.54%) compared to last year. Q-to-Q, net revenue remained mostly flat (+0.3%).
  • Company claims strong capital reserves, however cashflow down -32.23% and total liabilities increased +4.52% compared to 09/30/2022, suggesting potential financial vulnerability.

Dividends and Stock Performance

  • Dividends: History shows consistent, gradually rising dividends. Current trailing annual yield of 4.3%. Pay-out ratio 32.25% suggests stability, potential for further dividend growth.

  • Share: Overall market performance negative: -2.73% Y-to-date, 52 week range: 33.08 - 36.48 (10/26/3).

##Growth Trajectory: Mixed picture.

  • Historical data (20 years): Revenue grew +2.34%, Net profit +0.87%, EPS +3.39% average yearly growth.

  • Future: Company plans for further expansion through organic means and strategic acquisitions, but faces economic uncertainty, rising inflation and potential interest-rate risks in real-estate. Recent product launches like HFM Home Connect (online loan origin & closing) may help attract clients.

Competitive Analysis

  • Major Competitors (as of October 30th, '23):
  • Bank of America (BAC, NYSE) - 4.38% market cap dominance
  • U.S Bancorp (USB - NYSE)
  • Wells Fargo (WFC- NYSE) - Major players
  • Other regional banks: KeyCorp (KEY, NYSE), First Republic Bank (FRC) etc.
  • HFN has stronger local market share and higher dividend payouts than some larger competitors, but struggles against their wider market reach and brand recognition in some areas.

Potential Risks & Challenges

  • Rising interests and inflation could negatively affect loan growth
  • Competition from large national banks challenging market share
  • Increased regulatory oversight in mortgage industry

Potential opportunities:

  • Expanding services in existing and new markets
  • Leveraging digital tools to acquire more clients
  • Growing non bank divisions (real estate, insurance)

Recent Acquisitons

  • 2020 - Acquired First National Insurance Agency in WA, expanding insurance portfolio
  • Early 2023 - Announced agreement to purchase 2 branches and $338 Million deposits from Banner Bank, solidifying WA market position and boosting deposits further

AI-Driven Rating: 7.8 out of 10

  • This is a good score considering local market strength, dividend yield and historical growth, but financial fragility, competition & potential economic challenges cannot ignored.

**Sources and Disclaimer:

  • Data primarily gathered from Heritage Bank Corporation official reports, third-parties like Google Finance and Market Chameleon and industry research.
  • This report is NOT investment or financial advice. It's intended only as an overall
    understanding and analysis. Please do extensive due diligence before
    making decisions about any investment.

About Heritage Financial Corporation

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Olympia, WA, United States
IPO Launch date 1998-05-07
CEO & Director Mr. Jeffrey J. Deuel
Sector Financial Services
Industry Banks - Regional
Full time employees 751
Full time employees 751

Heritage Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Heritage Bank that provides various financial services to small and medium sized businesses and individuals in the United States. It accepts various deposit products, such as noninterest demand deposits, interest bearing demand deposits, money market accounts, savings accounts, personal checking accounts, and certificates of deposit. The company's loan portfolio includes commercial and industrial loans, owner-occupied and non-owner occupied commercial real estate loans, one-to-four family residential loans, real estate construction and land development loans, consumer loans, commercial business loans, lines of credit, term equipment financing, and term real estate loans, as well as commercial business loans to a range of businesses in industries that include real estate and rental and leasing, healthcare, accommodation and food services, retail trade, and construction. It also originates loans that are guaranteed by the U.S. Small Business Administration; and provides objective advice from trusted advisers. The company was formerly known as Heritage Financial Corporation, M.H.C. and changed its name to Heritage Financial Corporation in 1998. Heritage Financial Corporation was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Olympia, Washington.

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