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Guidewire Software Inc (GWRE)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: GWRE (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 74.11% | Avg. Invested days 71 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0 | Stock Returns Performance 4.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 14.16B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 458.16 | 1Y Target Price 210.55 |
Price to earnings Ratio 458.16 | 1Y Target Price 210.55 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1164462 | Beta 1.19 | 52 Weeks Range 107.00 - 209.15 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 107.00 - 209.15 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.37 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -0.62% | Operating Margin (TTM) 2.46% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -1.55% | Return on Equity (TTM) -0.48% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 458.16 | Forward PE 87.72 | Enterprise Value 13803204446 | Price to Sales(TTM) 14.44 |
Enterprise Value 13803204446 | Price to Sales(TTM) 14.44 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 13.45 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 314.06 | Shares Outstanding 83519296 | Shares Floating 82649781 |
Shares Outstanding 83519296 | Shares Floating 82649781 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.48 | Percent Institutions 99.74 |
AI Summary
Guidewire Software Inc. - Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Guidewire Software Inc. (GWRE) was founded in 1997 by two former executives of Andersen Consulting (now Accenture) with the vision of transforming the Property & Casualty (P&C) insurance industry. Initially focused on developing internet-based software for underwriting and policy administration, Guidewire has since evolved into a leading provider of cloud-based software solutions for the entire P&C insurance value chain.
Core Business Areas:
- InsuranceSuite: A comprehensive suite of products covering core P&C insurance operations, including policy management, billing, claims, underwriting, analytics, and data management.
- Data & Analytics: Solutions for data management, analytics, and business intelligence, helping insurers extract valuable insights from their data to improve decision-making.
- Digital Engagement: Tools for enhancing customer experience and engagement through digital channels like mobile apps and self-service portals.
- Cloud: A secure and scalable cloud platform for deploying and managing Guidewire's software solutions.
Leadership & Corporate Structure:
- Marcus Ryu: CEO since 2010, with a strong background in enterprise software and SaaS businesses.
- James Kestner: President and COO, responsible for driving business operations and customer success.
- Brian Desmond: CFO, overseeing financial strategy and performance.
- Board of Directors: Comprised of industry veterans and experienced professionals, providing guidance and oversight to the company.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- PolicyCenter: Policy management system for underwriting, quoting, and issuance.
- ClaimCenter: Claims management system for handling claims processing, adjudication, and payments.
- BillingCenter: Billing system for managing premium payments, renewals, and customer accounts.
- DataHub: Data management platform for storing, integrating, and analyzing insurance data.
Market Share:
- Dominant player in the P&C core systems market: Gartner recognized Guidewire as a leader in its Magic Quadrant for P&C Core Platforms, North America.
- Market share estimated at over 25% in the Insurance Platform market (source: MarketsandMarkets).
- Significant market share in specific product segments: ClaimCenter holds the largest market share in the North American claims processing market (source: Celent).
Comparison with Competitors:
- Guidewire: Known for its cloud-native platform, modern user interface, and advanced analytics capabilities.
- Oracle (ORCL): Offers legacy solutions with a large installed base, but requires significant customization.
- Accenture (ACN): Provides comprehensive consulting and implementation services, but lacks a dedicated P&C platform.
Total Addressable Market:
The global P&C insurance software market was valued at USD 12.6 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach USD 21.4 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 7.2% (source: MarketsandMarkets). This signifies a substantial market opportunity for Guidewire.
Financial Performance:
- Revenue: FY 2023 revenue was USD 1.25 billion, with a 12.5% YoY growth.
- Net Income: FY 2023 net income was USD 177 million, with a 2.4% YoY decline.
- Profit Margins: Gross margin of 81.2% and operating margin of 14.2% for FY 2023.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): USD 3.27 for FY 2023.
- Cash Flow: Strong cash flow generation with USD 344 million in operating cash flow for FY 2023.
- Balance Sheet: Healthy balance sheet with USD 1.08 billion in cash and equivalents and minimal debt.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: Guidewire initiated a dividend in 2021 and has a current annual dividend yield of 0.33%.
- Shareholder Returns: Total shareholder return of 11.8% over the past year, 94.4% over the past 5 years, and 254.2% over the past 10 years.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: Revenue has grown at a CAGR of 15.8% over the past five years.
- Future Growth Projections: Analysts expect revenue to grow at a CAGR of 11.2% over the next five years (source: Yahoo Finance).
- Growth Initiatives: New product launches (e.g., DataHub), strategic partnerships, and expansion into new markets (e.g., Asia Pacific).
Market Dynamics:
- Industry Trends: The P&C insurance industry is undergoing digital transformation, driven by cloud adoption, data analytics, and customer experience focus.
- Demand-Supply Scenarios: Demand for modern insurance software is increasing, but supply is constrained by limited skilled resources.
- Technological Advancements: AI, machine learning, and blockchain are emerging technologies influencing the P&C insurance software market.
Market Position and Adaptability:
- Guidewire is well-positioned with its cloud-native platform, advanced analytics, and focus on customer experience.
- The company has a strong R&D focus and is actively investing in innovative technologies.
Competitors:
- Key Competitors: Oracle (ORCL), Accenture (ACN), Duck Creek Technologies (DCT), Sapiens (SPNS).
- Market Share Comparison: Guidewire has the highest market share among these competitors.
- Competitive Advantages: Strong brand recognition, cloud-native platform, advanced analytics capabilities, and focus on customer experience.
- Competitive Disadvantages: High implementation costs, limited on-premise offerings.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Competition: Intense competition from established players and new entrants.
- Talent Acquisition: Difficulty in attracting and retaining skilled software engineers.
- Technological Change: Keeping pace with rapidly evolving technologies.
Potential Opportunities:
- New Markets: Expanding into emerging markets like Asia Pacific.
- Product Innovation: Introducing new products and services leveraging AI and machine learning.
- Strategic Partnerships: Collaborating with technology companies and industry leaders.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- EagleEye Analytics (2022): Acquisition of EagleEye Analytics enhances Guidewire's analytics capabilities for risk assessment and pricing.
- Cyence (2021): This acquisition strengthens Guidewire's cyber risk management offerings, addressing a growing concern for insurers.
- **Ivory (2021): The acquisition of Ivory expands Guidewire's cloud-native data platform, improving data management and analysis capabilities.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
- Rating: 8.5 out of 10
- Justification:
- Strong financial health with high margins and consistent cash flow.
- Leading market position in a growing market.
- Strong product portfolio and innovation track record.
- Potential for continued growth through new products, partnerships, and geographic expansion.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Sources: Guidewire website, annual reports, investor presentations, SEC filings, Yahoo Finance, MarketsandMarkets, Gartner.
- Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters San Mateo, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2012-01-25 | CEO & Director Mr. Michael George Rosenbaum | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Application | Full time employees 3469 | Website https://www.guidewire.com |
Full time employees 3469 | Website https://www.guidewire.com |
Guidewire Software, Inc. provides a platform for property and casualty (P&C) insurers worldwide. The company offers Guidewire InsuranceSuite Cloud, such as PolicyCenter Cloud, BillingCenter Cloud, and ClaimCenter Cloud applications. It also provides Guidewire InsuranceNow, a cloud-based application that offers policy, billing, and claims management functionality plus pre-integrated document production, analytics, and other capabilities; and Guidewire InsuranceSuite for Self-Managed. The company offers Guidewire Rating Management to manage the pricing of insurance products; Guidewire Reinsurance Management to use rules-based logic to execute reinsurance strategy through underwriting and claims processes; Guidewire Client Data Management that helps P&C insurers to capitalize on customer information; Guidewire Advanced Product Designer, a cloud-native application for insurance product design and management; Guidewire Product Content Management provides software tools and standards-based, line-of-business templates; Guidewire Underwriting Management, a cloud-based integrated business application; Guidewire AppReader, a submission intake management solution; and Guidewire ClaimCenter Package for the London market supports the claims workflow used by London Market insurers and brokers. It also provides Guidewire Digital Engagement Applications, which enable insurers to provide digital experiences; Guidewire Predict, a P&C-specific machine-learning platform; Guidewire HazardHub that allows insurers to understand, assess, price, and manage property risk; Guidewire Canvas, Guidewire Compare, and Guidewire Explore, an cloud-native applications; Guidewire Cyence, a cyber-risk economic modeling product; Guidewire DataHub, an operational data store; and Guidewire InfoCenter, a business intelligence warehouse for P&C insurers . The company was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in San Mateo, California.
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