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GSHD logo GSHD
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
GSHD logo

Goosehead Insurance Inc (GSHD)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$121.3
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY10.02%
upturn advisory
Regular Buy
BUY since 31 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

03/25/2025: GSHD (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 31 days. Profits (10.02%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

ratingratingratingratingrating

Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

ratingratingratingratingrating

Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 97.35%
Avg. Invested days 43
Today’s Advisory Regular Buy
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 4.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 03/25/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 4.57B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 105.03
1Y Target Price 118.5
Price to earnings Ratio 105.03
1Y Target Price 118.5
Volume (30-day avg) 301279
Beta 1.49
52 Weeks Range 47.77 - 127.99
Updated Date 04/2/2025
52 Weeks Range 47.77 - 127.99
Updated Date 04/2/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.16

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 9.7%
Operating Margin (TTM) 29.5%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 10.06%
Return on Equity (TTM) 175.84%

Valuation

Trailing PE 105.03
Forward PE 58.48
Enterprise Value 3047752120
Price to Sales(TTM) 14.58
Enterprise Value 3047752120
Price to Sales(TTM) 14.58
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.69
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 24973700
Shares Floating 24227228
Shares Outstanding 24973700
Shares Floating 24227228
Percent Insiders 4.7
Percent Institutions 107.24

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.45
Target Price 109.6
Buy 4
Strong Buy 1
Buy 4
Strong Buy 1
Hold 5
Sell 1
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Goosehead Insurance Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Goosehead Insurance Inc. was founded in 2003 by Mark E. Jones and Robyn Jones. It began as a single agency and has grown into a publicly traded company focused on building a network of franchise and corporate agencies. Goosehead went public in 2018.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Franchise: Goosehead's primary business model involves franchising insurance agencies. They provide franchisees with technology, training, and support to sell insurance products from various carriers.
  • Corporate: Goosehead also operates corporate agencies, which are owned and managed directly by the company. These serve as a model for franchisees and contribute to overall revenue.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Mark E. Jones serves as the Chairman and CEO. The company has a board of directors and a leadership team responsible for different functions such as franchise operations, technology, and finance.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Homeowners Insurance: Goosehead offers homeowners insurance policies from various carriers. Market share data for individual products is not readily available, but homeowners insurance is a significant portion of their business. Competitors include Allstate, State Farm, Progressive and other independent agencies.
  • Auto Insurance: Goosehead offers auto insurance policies from multiple carriers. Similar to homeowners insurance, specific market share data is difficult to pinpoint. Competitors include Allstate, State Farm, Progressive and other independent agencies.
  • Commercial Lines Insurance: Goosehead also facilitates commercial lines insurance such as general liability and workers' compensation insurance. Competitors include Allstate, State Farm, Progressive and other independent agencies.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The insurance industry is large and competitive, with a mix of national carriers, regional players, and independent agencies. Technological advancements and changing consumer preferences are driving innovation and competition.

Positioning

Goosehead positions itself as a tech-enabled insurance agency that offers a wide choice of insurance products to its clients. Their franchise model allows them to expand rapidly and build a strong local presence. They compete with both direct carriers and other independent agencies.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for property and casualty insurance in the US is estimated to be hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Goosehead is positioned to capture a larger share of this market through its franchise expansion and technology investments.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Franchise model for rapid expansion
  • Technology platform for agency management
  • Wide range of insurance products from multiple carriers
  • Strong focus on customer service

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on franchisee performance
  • Potential for franchisee compliance issues
  • High upfront costs for franchisees
  • Sensitivity to changes in insurance carrier relationships

Opportunities

  • Further expansion into new geographic markets
  • Increased adoption of technology by franchisees
  • Growing demand for independent insurance advice
  • Partnerships with complementary service providers

Threats

  • Competition from large national carriers
  • Changes in insurance regulations
  • Economic downturn affecting insurance demand
  • Technological disruptions from insurtech companies

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • BRO
  • HIG
  • AON

Competitive Landscape

Goosehead differentiates itself through its franchise model, technology platform, and wide selection of insurance products. Competitors have longer histories and more established relationships with carriers but may lack Goosehead's agility.

Major Acquisitions

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Goosehead has experienced rapid growth in revenue and franchise locations over the past years.

Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth in revenue and earnings as the company expands its franchise network.

Recent Initiatives: Expansion of corporate agencies.

Summary

Goosehead Insurance demonstrates strong growth potential driven by its franchise model and technology investments. The company's reliance on franchisees and sensitivity to carrier relationships are potential risks. Continued expansion and effective franchisee management are key to future success. The company faces competition from established players and emerging insurtech companies.

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Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • SEC Filings
  • Investor Relations
  • Market Research Reports
  • Earnings Call Transcripts

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions can change, and past performance is not indicative of future results.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Goosehead Insurance Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Westlake, TX, United States
IPO Launch date 2018-04-27
CEO -
Sector Financial Services
Industry Insurance Brokers
Full time employees 1580
Full time employees 1580

Goosehead Insurance, Inc operates as a holding company for Goosehead Financial, LLC that engages in the provision of personal lines insurance agency services in the United States. The company offers insurance service for homeowner's; automotive; dwelling property; flood, wind, and earthquake; excess liability or umbrella; general liability, and property and auto insurance for small businesses; life insurance; and motorcycle, recreational vehicle, and other insurance policies. It distributes its products and services through corporate and franchise locations. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Westlake, Texas.

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