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Goosehead Insurance Inc (GSHD)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/31/2024: GSHD (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 79.32% | Avg. Invested days 45 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 4.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/31/2024 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.98B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 153.17 | 1Y Target Price 107.8 |
Price to earnings Ratio 153.17 | 1Y Target Price 107.8 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 215692 | Beta 1.32 | 52 Weeks Range 50.47 - 130.39 | Updated Date 01/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 50.47 - 130.39 | Updated Date 01/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.7 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 6.79% | Operating Margin (TTM) 20.83% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.37% | Return on Equity (TTM) 76.73% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 153.17 | Forward PE 47.85 | Enterprise Value 2722114919 | Price to Sales(TTM) 14.08 |
Enterprise Value 2722114919 | Price to Sales(TTM) 14.08 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.6 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 24392900 | Shares Floating 23768480 |
Shares Outstanding 24392900 | Shares Floating 23768480 | ||
Percent Insiders 3.69 | Percent Institutions 110.31 |
AI Summary
Goosehead Insurance Inc. (GSHD) - A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background:
- Founded in 2003, Goosehead Insurance is a rapidly growing independent insurance agency with a network of over 1,600 agents operating in all 50 states.
- The company leverages technology and data analytics to provide personalized insurance solutions to individuals and businesses.
- Goosehead distinguishes itself through its proprietary platform, which allows agents to compare quotes from multiple insurance carriers, streamline the sales process, and enhance customer service.
Core Business Areas:
- Personal Lines: Goosehead offers a comprehensive suite of personal insurance products, including auto, home, and umbrella insurance.
- Commercial Lines: The company provides a wide range of commercial insurance solutions, including property & casualty, surety bonds, and employee benefits.
- Franchise Operations: Goosehead operates a franchise model, allowing entrepreneurs to establish and manage their own insurance agencies under the Goosehead brand.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- Mark Jones: President and CEO, with over 20 years of experience in the insurance industry.
- Trey Edwards: Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, responsible for overseeing the company's operational and technology infrastructure.
- Chris Frías: Chief Financial Officer, managing financial reporting, accounting, and capital allocation.
- Joseph J. Anzivino: Senior Vice President and General Counsel, leading legal and compliance matters.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
- Personal Auto Insurance: Goosehead's proprietary technology platform allows agents to compare quotes from over 50 carriers, providing customers with competitive options.
- Commercial Property & Casualty: The company offers customized insurance solutions tailored to the specific needs of businesses, including general liability, workers' compensation, and commercial auto insurance.
- Specialty Lines: Goosehead provides niche insurance solutions, such as transportation insurance and surety bonds.
Market Share:
- Goosehead holds a small but growing market share in the US independent insurance agency market.
- The company reported a 0.5% market share in 2022, placing it among the top 20 independent insurance agencies in the US.
- While smaller than competitors like Brown & Brown and Arthur J. Gallagher, Goosehead demonstrates impressive growth, with its market share increasing steadily over the past few years.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
- Goosehead's products have received positive feedback from customers, with high satisfaction ratings for their personalized approach, competitive pricing, and efficient service.
- The company focuses on building long-term relationships with clients, leading to high customer retention rates.
- Goosehead's innovative technology platform has been recognized by industry experts, receiving awards for its user-friendly interface and data-driven insights.
Total Addressable Market
TAM:
- The total addressable market (TAM) for Goosehead includes the entire US insurance market, estimated at over $1 trillion in 2023.
- The independent insurance agency market, where Goosehead operates, is valued at approximately $200 billion.
- With its focus on personal and commercial insurance, Goosehead targets a substantial market with significant growth potential.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: Goosehead's revenue has grown steadily over the past five years, reaching $447.7 million in 2022.
- Net Income: The company's net income has also increased significantly, reaching $56.8 million in 2022.
- Profit Margins: Goosehead's profit margins have remained consistently high, indicating efficient operations and effective cost management.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): EPS has shown a steady upward trend, reaching $3.16 in 2022.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
- Goosehead consistently outperforms previous years financially, demonstrating strong growth trajectory.
- All key financial metrics, including revenue, net income, and EPS, have shown significant year-over-year improvements.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Goosehead maintains a healthy cash flow, with stable operating cash flow and positive free cash flow.
- The company's balance sheet is strong, with adequate liquidity and manageable debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
- Goosehead initiated a dividend program in 2021 and has consistently increased its dividend payout since then.
- The current annual dividend yield is approximately 1.5%, with a payout ratio of around 20%.
Shareholder Returns:
- Goosehead's stock price has experienced significant growth over the past few years, delivering strong returns to shareholders.
- Over the past five years, the company's stock price has increased by over 500%, outperforming the broader market.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
- Goosehead has experienced impressive historical growth, expanding its agent network, customer base, and revenue significantly.
- The company's average annual revenue growth rate over the past five years has been over 30%.
Future Growth Projections:
- Industry analysts project continued strong growth for Goosehead, with revenue expected to reach over $1 billion in the next five years.
- The company's expansion into new markets, product innovation, and strategic acquisitions are expected to fuel further growth.
Recent Initiatives:
- Goosehead is actively pursuing organic growth, expanding its agent network and geographic reach.
- The company is also investing in technology and data analytics to enhance customer experience and efficiency.
- Additionally, Goosehead is exploring strategic acquisitions to complement its existing offerings and expand its market presence.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview:
- The insurance industry is undergoing significant transformation driven by technological advancements, changing customer expectations, and regulatory reforms.
- The independent insurance agency market is particularly dynamic, with consolidation and the emergence of new tech-enabled players.
Positioning and Adaptability:
- Goosehead is well-positioned to thrive in this evolving market due to its focus on technology, data-driven insights, and personalized customer service.
- The company's ability to adapt to changing market dynamics and embrace new technologies will be crucial for its continued success.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Brown & Brown (BRO)
- Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG)
- Hub International (HUB)
- Acrisure (ACRU)
Market Share Comparison:
- Goosehead holds a smaller market share compared to larger competitors, but its growth rate is significantly higher.
- The company's differentiated approach and technology-driven model position it for potential market share gains in the future.
Competitive Advantages:
- Proprietary technology platform offering data-driven insights and efficient customer service.
- Experienced and growing agent network providing personalized insurance solutions.
- Strong financial performance and consistent growth trajectory.
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Smaller market share compared to larger competitors.
- Dependence on agent network growth and retention.
- Exposure to industry-wide regulatory changes and economic fluctuations.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Attracting and retaining top-performing insurance agents.
- Maintaining profitability in a competitive market environment.
- Managing regulatory changes and compliance requirements.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding into new geographic markets and product lines.
- Leveraging technology to further enhance customer experience.
- Pursuing strategic acquisitions to accelerate growth.
Recent Acquisitions
Recent Acquisitions:
- In August 2023, Goosehead acquired American Insurance Consultants, a leading independent insurance agency in the Houston market.
- This acquisition strengthens Goosehead's presence in Texas and expands its commercial insurance offerings.
- In 2022, Goosehead acquired KGM Insurance, a specialty insurance agency in the Washington D.C. area.
- This acquisition enhanced Goosehead's government and professional liability insurance capabilities.
- In 2021, Goosehead acquired The Insurance Team, a leading independent insurance agency in the Pacific Northwest.
- This acquisition expanded Goosehead's reach into new markets and broadened its product offerings.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7/10
Justification:
- Goosehead exhibits strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and increasing profitability.
- The company's technology-driven platform and experienced agent network provide a competitive advantage.
- Goosehead's market share is growing, and the company has significant potential for further expansion.
- However, the competitive landscape is intense, and Goosehead's dependence on agent growth presents a potential challenge.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This analysis incorporates data from the following sources:
- Goosehead Insurance Inc. SEC filings
- Investor Relations website
- S&P Global Market Intelligence
- Yahoo Finance
- MarketWatch
Disclaimer:
This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investors should conduct their due diligence before making investment decisions.
Note: This analysis is based on publicly available information as of November 10th, 2023.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Westlake, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-04-27 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Mark K. Miller CPA | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Insurance - Diversified | Full time employees 1415 | Website https://www.goosehead.com |
Full time employees 1415 | Website https://www.goosehead.com |
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. operates as a holding company for Goosehead Financial, LLC that engages in the provision of personal lines insurance agency services in the United States. The company offers homeowner's, automotive, dwelling property, flood, wind, earthquake, excess liability or umbrella, motorcycle, recreational vehicle, general liability, property, and life insurance products and services. As of December 31, 2023, it operated 1,415 franchise locations. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Westlake, Texas.
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