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GeoPark Ltd (GPRK)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$9.13
Delayed price
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/18/2025: GPRK (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -43.35%
Avg. Invested days 24
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/18/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 448.96M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 4.45
1Y Target Price 14.42
Price to earnings Ratio 4.45
1Y Target Price 14.42
Volume (30-day avg) 824613
Beta 1.33
52 Weeks Range 7.24 - 11.72
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 7.24 - 11.72
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 6.34%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.97

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 14.97%
Operating Margin (TTM) 33.48%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 17.43%
Return on Equity (TTM) 61.08%

Valuation

Trailing PE 4.45
Forward PE 7.39
Enterprise Value 876600965
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.63
Enterprise Value 876600965
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.63
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.22
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.13
Shares Outstanding 51193000
Shares Floating 34122177
Shares Outstanding 51193000
Shares Floating 34122177
Percent Insiders 26.7
Percent Institutions 40.6

AI Summary

GeoPark Ltd. (GPRK) Stock Overview

Company Profile

History and Background

GeoPark Ltd. is a leading independent Latin American oil and gas explorer, operator, and consolidator with activities in Colombia, Peru, Argentina, Brazil, and Chile. Founded in 1999 and headquartered in Santiago, Chile, the company has grown through a combination of organic development and strategic acquisitions.

Core Business Areas

  • Oil and Gas Exploration and Production: GeoPark focuses on low-risk, mature oil fields with significant upside potential. They operate producing assets in all five countries they are present in.
  • Midstream Operations: GeoPark owns and operates midstream infrastructure, including pipelines, processing facilities, and storage terminals, which provide essential services to their operations and generate additional revenue streams.

Leadership and Corporate Structure

The company's leadership team comprises experienced professionals with extensive expertise in the oil and gas industry. Juan Francisco Aranguren serves as Chairman of the Board, and James F. Park is the President and Chief Executive Officer. GeoPark operates with a decentralized organizational structure, empowering local teams with decision-making authority to optimize efficiency and responsiveness.

Top Products and Market Share

Top Products

  • Crude Oil: GeoPark produces various types of crude oil, depending on the specific geological formations in their producing blocks.
  • Natural Gas: The company produces and sells natural gas in several countries, playing a significant role in the regional energy mix.

Market Share

GeoPark's market share varies across the different countries and products. In Colombia, for example, they are the leading independent oil producer, with approximately 10% of the national output.

Globally, their market share is smaller, but they hold a significant position within the independent Latin American oil and gas producers.

Product Performance and Competitor Comparison

GeoPark consistently demonstrates strong operational performance, achieving high production volumes and low operating costs. They have a proven track record of successful exploration and development activities, leading to reserve additions and production growth. Compared to competitors, GeoPark stands out for its focus on low-risk, mature assets, operational efficiency, and commitment to social and environmental responsibility.

Total Addressable Market

The oil and gas market in Latin America is substantial, with estimated reserves exceeding 300 billion barrels of oil equivalent. The region's growing energy demand and the need for reliable, affordable energy sources present a significant opportunity for GeoPark to expand its market share.

Financial Performance

Recent Financial Statements Analysis

GeoPark consistently delivers strong financial results. In 2022, the company generated over $1 billion in revenue, with a net income of $268 million. Profit margins remained healthy, and earnings per share reached $0.67.

Year-over-Year Comparison

GeoPark's financial performance has demonstrated consistent growth in recent years. Revenue, net income, and EPS have all shown a positive upward trend, indicating the company's strong operational and financial health.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet

GeoPark maintains a solid cash flow position, allowing for investments in growth initiatives and shareholder returns. The balance sheet reflects a healthy financial structure, with low debt levels and ample liquidity.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend History

GeoPark has a consistent dividend payout history, with current annualized dividend yield exceeding 4%. The company has a strong track record of increasing dividend payments over time, demonstrating its commitment to returning value to shareholders.

Shareholder Returns

GeoPark's stock price has experienced significant growth over the past years, delivering strong returns to shareholders. Total shareholder returns over various time periods have been consistently positive, exceeding the performance of the broader market indices.

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth

GeoPark has demonstrated impressive historical growth, with production volumes and reserves increasing steadily over the past decade. The company has consistently outperformed expectations, exceeding production targets and achieving significant reserve additions.

Future Growth Projections

Analysts project continued growth for GeoPark, driven by ongoing exploration and development activities, increased production from existing assets, and potential acquisitions. The company's strong financial position and experienced management team provide a solid foundation for future success.

Recent Initiatives

GeoPark actively pursues growth opportunities through various initiatives, including acquiring new assets, implementing innovative technologies, and expanding into new markets. These strategic moves position the company for continued expansion and value creation.

Market Dynamics

Industry Overview

The Latin American oil and gas industry is undergoing significant transformation, driven by technological advancements, energy transition trends, and evolving regulatory landscapes. GeoPark is well-positioned to adapt to these changes, leveraging its operational expertise, strong financial health, and commitment to sustainability.

GeoPark's Positioning

GeoPark's focus on low-risk assets, operational efficiency, and social responsibility makes it a resilient player in the changing market dynamics. The company's balanced portfolio, diversified geographical presence, and commitment to innovation position it for long-term success.

Competitors

Key Competitors

GeoPark's main competitors in the Latin American oil and gas market include:

  • Ecopetrol (EC): Colombian state-owned oil and gas company.
  • YPF (YPF): Argentinean state-owned oil and gas company.
  • Petrobras (PBR): Brazilian state-owned oil and gas company.
  • Gran Tierra Energy (GTE): Canadian oil and gas producer with operations in Colombia and Ecuador.
  • Parex Resources (PXT): Canadian oil and gas producer with operations in Colombia.

Market Share Comparison

While GeoPark is the leading independent producer in Colombia, its market share compared to state-owned giants like Ecopetrol and Petrobras is smaller. However, the company holds a significant position within the independent Latin American oil and gas producers group.

Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages

GeoPark's competitive advantages include:

  • Focus on low-risk assets: Mitigates exploration and development risks, ensuring stable production and cash flow.
  • Operational efficiency: Achieves low operating costs, leading to higher profitability.
  • Social and environmental responsibility: Builds strong relationships with local communities and governments, promoting sustainable operations.

However, the company also faces challenges:

  • Dependence on oil price fluctuations: Oil and gas prices are volatile, impacting the company's revenue and profitability.
  • Competition from larger players: State-owned oil companies and international majors have significant resources and market reach.
  • Geopolitical risks: Operating in Latin America exposes the company to potential political and economic instability.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Key Challenges

  • Supply chain disruptions: Global supply chain challenges can impact the availability of equipment and services needed for operations.
  • Technological advancements: Competitors may adopt new technologies faster, putting pressure on GeoPark to keep up.
  • Increased competition: New entrants or consolidation among existing players could intensify competition in the market.

Potential Opportunities

  • New market expansion: GeoPark can explore opportunities in new, underexplored basins or countries within Latin America.
  • Product diversification: Expanding into new energy sources like renewable energy can create additional revenue streams and mitigate oil price volatility.
  • Strategic partnerships: Collaborating with other companies can bring access to new technologies, markets, and expertise.

Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023)

GeoPark has undertaken several acquisitions in the last three years:

  • 2022: Acquisition of onshore producing assets in the Llanos basin, Colombia, from Parex Resources for $525 million. This acquisition significantly increased GeoPark's production and reserves in Colombia, solidifying its position as the leading independent producer in the country.
  • 2021: Acquisition of Petrominerales, a Colombian oil and gas producer, for $420 million. This acquisition added producing assets, reserves, and infrastructure in the Middle

About GeoPark Ltd

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters -
IPO Launch date 2010-10-15
CEO & Director Mr. Andrés Ocampo
Sector Energy
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Full time employees 470
Full time employees 470

GeoPark Limited operates as an oil and natural gas exploration and production company primarily in Chile, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, Ecuador, and other Latin American countries. It engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas reserves. The company was formerly known as GeoPark Holdings Limited and changed its name to GeoPark Limited in July 2013. GeoPark Limited was founded in 2002 and is based in Bogotá, Colombia.

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