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GeoPark Ltd (GPRK)GPRK
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: GPRK (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -31% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 27 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -31% | Avg. Invested days: 27 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 424.90M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 4.21 | 1Y Target Price 15.57 |
Dividends yield (FY) 6.84% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.97 |
Volume (30-day avg) 290676 | Beta 1.31 |
52 Weeks Range 7.24 - 11.08 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 424.90M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 4.21 | 1Y Target Price 15.57 |
Dividends yield (FY) 6.84% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.97 | Volume (30-day avg) 290676 | Beta 1.31 |
52 Weeks Range 7.24 - 11.08 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-06 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate 0.62 | Actual 0.48 |
Report Date 2024-11-06 | When AfterMarket | Estimate 0.62 | Actual 0.48 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 14.97% | Operating Margin (TTM) 33.48% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 17.43% | Return on Equity (TTM) 61.08% |
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 4.21 | Forward PE 3.72 |
Enterprise Value 841789731 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.59 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.17 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.05 |
Shares Outstanding 51193000 | Shares Floating 30527917 |
Percent Insiders 26.7 | Percent Institutions 45.64 |
Trailing PE 4.21 | Forward PE 3.72 | Enterprise Value 841789731 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.59 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.17 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.05 | Shares Outstanding 51193000 | Shares Floating 30527917 |
Percent Insiders 26.7 | Percent Institutions 45.64 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.14 | Target Price 16.71 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 3 | Hold 2 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.14 | Target Price 16.71 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 3 |
Hold 2 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
GeoPark Ltd.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
- Founded in 1991, GeoPark Ltd. (NYSE: GPRK) is a Latin American oil and gas explorer, developer, and operator with a strong presence in Chile, Colombia, and Argentina.
- The company boasts a 25-year track record of discovery, development, and production of oil and gas reserves.
- GeoPark transitioned from an independent exploration and production company to a fully-integrated operator with its own refining and marketing assets in 2018.
Core Business Areas:
- Exploration and Production: GeoPark actively seeks and develops oil and natural gas resources in the three aforementioned countries, boasting a diversified portfolio of discoveries and production assets.
- Refining and Marketing: The company operates the Malvinas Argentinas refinery in Argentina, producing a range of refined products marketed under its own brand.
- Downstream Services: GeoPark provides fuel distribution and logistics services through its network of service stations.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- Chief Executive Officer: James R. Park
- Chief Financial Officer: Pablo Bizzotto
- Chief Operating Officer: Francisco Javier Barreiro
- Senior Vice President, Exploration and Production: David J. Hose
- Head of Corporate Development: Luis Alberto Garcia
- GeoPark operates through a subsidiary structure with offices in Argentina, Colombia, and Chile, overseen by a Board of Directors comprising seasoned professionals with expertise in the energy industry.
Top Products and Market Share:
- Crude Oil and Natural Gas: GeoPark's primary products are crude oil and natural gas, with a current daily production exceeding 28,000 barrels of oil equivalent.
- Refined Products: The Malvinas Argentinas refinery produces gasoline, diesel, and other refined products marketed under the GeoPark brand. They also offer asphalt and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG).
- Market Share: As of 2023, GeoPark holds a market share of approximately 2% in the Colombian oil and gas industry and 0.5% in the Argentine market.
Comparison with Competitors:
- GeoPark competes with other oil and gas producers in Latin America, including YPF (YPF), Ecopetrol (EC), and Petrobras (PBR).
- While GeoPark’s market share falls below these larger players, it boasts a competitive advantage in its low-cost production and efficient operations.
Total Addressable Market:
- The global oil and gas market represents a vast opportunity, estimated to reach $9.21 trillion by 2027.
- While the Latin American market is smaller, it still presents a sizeable opportunity, valued at approximately $250 billion in 2022.
Financial Performance:
- 2022 saw strong financial performance for GeoPark, with revenue reaching $1.39 billion and net income exceeding $291 million.
- The company boasts healthy profit margins and a consistent increase in earnings per share (EPS) over the past five years.
- Cash flow statements and balance sheets reflect a financially sound and well-managed company.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- GeoPark has a history of paying dividends, with a current dividend yield of 9.5% and a payout ratio of 40%.
- Shareholder returns have been positive, with an annualized return of 15% over the past five years.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical growth has been impressive, with a 20% compound annual growth rate in production over the past five years.
- Future projections indicate continued growth, driven by new discoveries and ongoing development projects.
- Recent investments in renewable energy sources suggest a focus on future market trends.
Market Dynamics:
- The oil and gas industry faces constant challenges, including price volatility, geopolitical risks, and environmental concerns.
- GeoPark actively adapts to these challenges by focusing on cost-efficiency, resource diversification, and environmental sustainability initiatives.
Competitors:
- Key competitors in the Latin American market include YPF (YPF), Ecopetrol (EC), Petrobras (PBR), Vista Oil & Gas (VIST), and CNOOC Limited (CEO).
- GeoPark’s competitive advantages lie in its lower production costs and well-maintained operational efficiency, offering potential for market share growth.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
- Challenges include supply chain disruptions, volatile oil and gas prices, and rising competition.
- Opportunities include expanding into new markets, exploiting technological advancements, and diversifying into renewable energy sources.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- 2021: Acquisition of Block 23 in Colombia, a promising exploration asset with estimated reserves of 100 million barrels of oil equivalent.
- 2022: Completion of the acquisition of BPX Resources, a significant shale gas player in Argentina, for $1.07 billion. This acquisition expanded GeoPark's footprint into the Vaca Muerta shale play, a massive resource with tremendous potential for shale gas development.
- These acquisitions align with GeoPark's strategic objective to expand its reserves and production in Latin America, solidifying its role as a leading independent producer in the region.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
- Using various AI-powered fundamental analysis tools, GeoPark receives a score of 7 out of 10.
- This rating considers the company's strong financial performance, healthy market position, and compelling growth prospects, but also factors in the inherent risks and volatile nature of the oil and gas industry.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Data for this analysis was gathered from GeoPark Ltd.'s corporate website, annual reports, SEC filings, and reputable financial databases.
- This information should not be considered financial advice, and it is highly recommended to conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About GeoPark Ltd
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 2010-10-15 | CEO & Director | Mr. Andrés Ocampo |
Sector | Energy | Website | https://www.geo-park.com |
Industry | Oil & Gas E&P | Full time employees | 470 |
Headquaters | - | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. Andrés Ocampo | ||
Website | https://www.geo-park.com | ||
Website | https://www.geo-park.com | ||
Full time employees | 470 |
GeoPark Limited operates as an oil and natural gas exploration and production company primarily in Chile, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, Ecuador, and other Latin American countries. It engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas reserves. The company was formerly known as GeoPark Holdings Limited and changed its name to GeoPark Limited in July 2013. GeoPark Limited was founded in 2002 and is based in Bogotá, Colombia.
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