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Golden Ocean Group Ltd (GOGL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: GOGL (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 14.21% | Avg. Invested days 42 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0 | Stock Returns Performance 2.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.77B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 7.32 | 1Y Target Price 13.14 |
Price to earnings Ratio 7.32 | 1Y Target Price 13.14 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1607658 | Beta 1.23 | 52 Weeks Range 8.52 - 14.54 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 8.52 - 14.54 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 11.05% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.21 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 22.01% | Operating Margin (TTM) 34.35% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.41% | Return on Equity (TTM) 11.25% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 7.32 | Forward PE 6.84 | Enterprise Value 3071771219 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.82 |
Enterprise Value 3071771219 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.82 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.04 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.26 | Shares Outstanding 199403008 | Shares Floating 120915103 |
Shares Outstanding 199403008 | Shares Floating 120915103 | ||
Percent Insiders 39.55 | Percent Institutions 38.95 |
AI Summary
Golden Ocean Group Ltd.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Golden Ocean Group Limited (NASDAQ: GOGL) is a leading dry bulk shipping company incorporated in Bermuda in 2004. The company owns and operates a modern fleet of Capesize, Panamax, and Ultramax dry bulk vessels, transporting various commodities such as iron ore, coal, grains, and bauxite worldwide. GOGL's business strategy focuses on maximizing profitability through efficient vessel operations, optimizing cargo chartering, and managing financial risk.
Core Business Areas:
- Dry Bulk Shipping: GOGL's primary business involves transporting dry bulk commodities via its owned and chartered fleet.
- Chartering: The company actively engages in chartering activities, securing contracts to transport specific cargoes for predetermined durations and rates.
- Commercial Management: GOGL manages the commercial aspects of its vessels, including voyage planning, cargo booking, and contract negotiation.
- Technical Management: The company outsources technical management of its fleet to third-party ship management companies.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- Birgitte Ringstad Vartdal: CEO
- Ulrik Andersen: CFO
- Emanuele Lauro: COO
- Board of Directors: Comprised of experienced industry professionals with diverse backgrounds in shipping, finance, and law.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Capesize Vessels: Large bulk carriers primarily used to transport iron ore, coal, and grains.
- Panamax Vessels: Medium-sized bulk carriers suitable for a wide range of dry bulk commodities.
- Ultramax Vessels: Smaller vessels specializing in transporting smaller cargo volumes.
Market Share:
- Global Dry Bulk Market: GOGL holds a relatively small market share in the global dry bulk shipping market, estimated to be around 1-2%.
- US Dry Bulk Market: The company's market share in the US dry bulk market is also relatively small, estimated to be less than 1%.
Comparison with Competitors:
GOGL faces competition from numerous dry bulk shipping companies, including:
- Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK): Larger competitor with a similar fleet composition.
- Diana Shipping Inc. (DSX): Owns a diverse fleet of dry bulk vessels and focuses on longer-term charters.
- Genco Shipping & Trading Ltd. (GNK): Primarily operates Capesize vessels and has a strong focus on spot market chartering.
GOGL differentiates itself through its modern fleet, fuel-efficient vessels, and experienced management team. However, its smaller size and limited market share limit its influence in the industry.
Total Addressable Market:
The global dry bulk shipping market is estimated to be worth over $200 billion, with China being the largest consumer of dry bulk commodities. The market is expected to grow steadily in the coming years, driven by increasing demand for raw materials and infrastructure development.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: GOGL's revenue fluctuates significantly due to volatile freight rates and cargo demand. Recent annual revenues have ranged from $180 million to $350 million.
- Net Income: The company's net income has also been volatile, ranging from a loss of $147 million to a profit of $196 million in recent years.
- Profit Margins: GOGL's profit margins have been squeezed by high operating costs and weak market conditions.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): GOGL's EPS has been negative in recent years, reflecting the company's profitability challenges.
Financial Performance Comparison:
GOGL's financial performance has lagged behind its competitors in recent years. The company's smaller size, limited market share, and exposure to volatile freight rates have contributed to its financial struggles.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
GOGL's cash flow has been negative in recent years due to weak operating performance and investments in new vessels. The company's balance sheet is moderately leveraged, with a debt-to-equity ratio of around 1.5.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History: GOGL has not paid dividends in recent years due to its financial challenges. Shareholder Returns: GOGL's stock price has been volatile, reflecting the company's financial performance and market conditions. Over the past year, the stock has declined by over 50%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth: GOGL's historical growth has been uneven due to the cyclical nature of the dry bulk shipping industry. The company has expanded its fleet through acquisitions and newbuilding programs
About Golden Ocean Group Ltd
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 1997-02-06 | Interim CEO & CFO of Golden Ocean Management AS Mr. Peder Carl Gram Simonsen | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Marine Shipping | Full time employees 38 | Website https://www.goldenocean.bm |
Full time employees 38 | Website https://www.goldenocean.bm |
Golden Ocean Group Limited, a shipping company, owns and operates a fleet of dry bulk vessels worldwide. The company's dry bulk vessels comprise Newcastlemax, Capesize, and Panamax vessels operating in the spot and time charter markets. It also transports a range of bulk commodities, including ores, coal, grains, and fertilizers. As of March 20, 2024, the company owned a fleet of 83 dry bulk vessels. Golden Ocean Group Limited is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.
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