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Global Partners LP (GLP)GLP
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/19/2024: GLP (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: -10.13% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 38 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/19/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: -10.13% | Avg. Invested days: 38 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/19/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.75B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 15.69 | 1Y Target Price 54 |
Dividends yield (FY) 5.62% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.31 |
Volume (30-day avg) 63289 | Beta 1.37 |
52 Weeks Range 31.43 - 52.00 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.75B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 15.69 | 1Y Target Price 54 |
Dividends yield (FY) 5.62% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.31 | Volume (30-day avg) 63289 | Beta 1.37 |
52 Weeks Range 31.43 - 52.00 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-08 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate 1.57 | Actual 1.17 |
Report Date 2024-11-08 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate 1.57 | Actual 1.17 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 0.72% | Operating Margin (TTM) 1.72% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.92% | Return on Equity (TTM) 18.58% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 15.69 | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 3761815949 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.1 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.22 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.27 |
Shares Outstanding 33727300 | Shares Floating 27026151 |
Percent Insiders 18.76 | Percent Institutions 44.32 |
Trailing PE 15.69 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 3761815949 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.1 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.22 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.27 | Shares Outstanding 33727300 | Shares Floating 27026151 |
Percent Insiders 18.76 | Percent Institutions 44.32 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4 | Target Price 40 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 1 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4 | Target Price 40 | Buy - | Strong Buy 1 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Global Partners LP: A Detailed Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background: Global Partners LP (GLP) was founded in 1998 and began trading on the New York Stock Exchange in 2001. Initially focusing on wholesale gasoline and diesel fuel, GLP has expanded into terminaling, storage, and the retail motor fuel business.
Core Business Areas:
- Terminals and Storage: GLP owns and operates a network of terminals and storage facilities across the US, mainly in coastal areas and inland locations along major transportation routes.
- Wholesale Distribution: GLP distributes gasoline, diesel, residual oil, and other refined products through its own fleet of barges and trucks.
- Retail Motor Fuel: GLP owns and operates a network of retail gasoline stations in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic regions under the Shell brand.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure: GLP is led by President and CEO Eric Slifka. The executive leadership team includes CFO Christopher Finnegan, COO Daniel Callahan, and SVP of Retail Operations George Sabri. The company operates as a publicly traded limited partnership (LP) based in Waltham, Massachusetts.
Top Products and Market Share:
- Top Products: Gasoline, Diesel, Residual Oil, Renewable Fuels
- Market Share:
- US Terminal and Storage: GLP is a leading independent owner and operator of refined product terminals, with a market share of roughly 5%.
- Wholesale Distribution: GLP's share of the US wholesale fuels market is estimated to be around 2%.
- Retail Motor Fuel: GLP's retail market share is concentrated in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic regions, where it holds approximately 2% of the market.
Total Addressable Market:
- Global Refined Products Market: This market encompasses the production, transportation, and distribution of refined petroleum products like gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. It is a massive market, with an estimated size of $2.5 trillion.
- US Terminal and Storage Market: This segment of the market encompasses the storage and handling of refined products at terminals. It is estimated to be worth around $50 billion.
- US Wholesale Fuels Market: This market covers the distribution of refined products from terminals to retail stations and other end users. Its estimated size is $200 billion.
- US Retail Motor Fuels Market: This segment of the market covers the sale of gasoline and diesel fuel to consumers at retail stations. It is valued at approximately $400 billion.
Financial Performance:
Financial Statements Analysis:
- Revenue: GLP's revenue in 2022 was $10.4 billion, an increase of 44% compared to 2021.
- Net Income: Net income in 2022 reached $240 million, compared to $121 million in 2021.
- Profit Margin: GLP's gross profit margin in 2022 was 6.9%, while its operating profit margin was 2.3%.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): EPS for 2022 was $1.90, compared to $1.24 in 2021.
- Cash Flow: GLP generated $294 million in operating cash flow in 2022, compared to $182 million in 2021.
- Balance Sheet: GLP has a healthy balance sheet with a total debt-to-equity ratio of 0.5.
Financial Performance Comparison: GLP's financial performance has shown significant growth in recent years, driven by strong market conditions and strategic acquisitions. However, the company operates in a cyclical industry subject to fluctuations in commodity prices and economic conditions.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History: GLP has a history of paying quarterly dividends. The current annual dividend is $1.60 per share, yielding approximately 6.2%.
- Shareholder Returns: Over the past five years, GLP has generated a total shareholder return of approximately 40%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth: GLP has shown consistent growth over the past five years, with revenue increasing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15%.
- Future Growth: GLP expects continued growth driven by its expansion plans, investments in renewable fuels, and the potential for further acquisitions.
- Growth Initiatives: GLP is actively pursuing growth opportunities through acquisitions, investments in terminal infrastructure, and the expansion of its retail network.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends: The refined products market is expected to experience moderate growth in the coming years, driven by increasing demand in emerging economies and the shift towards cleaner fuels. Technology advancements and the energy transition will also play a significant role in shaping the industry's future.
Competitive Landscape: GLP competes with major energy companies, independent refiners, and other terminal and storage operators. The company's success depends on its ability to maintain a competitive cost structure, secure favorable contracts, and adapt to changing market conditions.
Competitors:
- Phillips 66 (PSX): Market share: ~10%
- Marathon Petroleum (MPC): Market share: ~7%
- Valero Energy (VLO): Market share: ~6%
- NuStar Energy (NS): Market share: ~4%
- Buckeye Partners (BPL): Market share: ~3%
Competitive Advantages:
- Strong logistics network and terminal infrastructure.
- Diversification across different segments of the refined products market.
- Commitment to renewable fuels and sustainability.
Disadvantages:
- Exposed to commodity price volatility.
- Dependent on economic conditions.
- Relatively small market share compared to larger competitors.
Potential Challenges:
- Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain disruptions could impact GLP's ability to source and transport refined products.
- Volatility in Commodity Prices: Fluctuations in crude oil and refined product prices can impact GLP's profitability and cash flows.
- Competition: GLP faces intense competition from larger energy companies and other terminal and storage operators.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expansion into New Markets: GLP could look to expand its operations into new geographic markets or product segments.
- Renewable Fuels: The growing demand for renewable fuels presents an opportunity for GLP to diversify its product portfolio.
- Strategic Acquisitions: GLP could pursue strategic acquisitions to strengthen its market position and expand its capabilities.
Recent Acquisitions:
- 2021: GLP acquired K&H Truckstop, a retail fuel and convenience store chain in the Midwest. This acquisition expanded GLP's retail network and presence in the region.
- 2022: GLP acquired Navigator Terminals, a terminal operator with facilities in New York, New Jersey, and Philadelphia. This acquisition strengthened GLP's terminal network and presence in the Northeast region.
These acquisitions align with GLP's strategy to expand its geographic reach, diversify its business, and strengthen its position in the refined products market.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
- Rating: 7.5 out of 10
- Justification: GLP has a solid financial profile, with strong cash flow generation and a manageable debt level. The company benefits from its diversified business model and strategic investments in growth areas like renewable fuels. However, GLP operates in a cyclical industry and faces competition from larger players. The company's future success will depend on its ability to execute its growth plans and adapt to changing market conditions.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Global Partners LP website: https://www.globalp.com/
- SEC Filings: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/
- Yahoo Finance: https://finance.yahoo.com/
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Conclusion:
Global Partners LP is a well-positioned company in the refined products market with a strong growth trajectory and a commitment to sustainable practices. The company's diversified business model, strategic investments, and strong financials make it a compelling investment opportunity for those seeking exposure to the energy sector. However, investors should be aware of the cyclical nature of the industry and the potential challenges posed by competition and economic conditions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Global Partners LP
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Waltham, MA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2005-09-29 | President, CEO & Vice Chairman of Global GP LLC | Mr. Eric S. Slifka |
Sector | Energy | Website | https://www.globalp.com |
Industry | Oil & Gas Midstream | Full time employees | 3485 |
Headquaters | Waltham, MA, United States | ||
President, CEO & Vice Chairman of Global GP LLC | Mr. Eric S. Slifka | ||
Website | https://www.globalp.com | ||
Website | https://www.globalp.com | ||
Full time employees | 3485 |
Global Partners LP engages in the purchasing, selling, gathering, blending, storing, and logistics of transporting gasoline and gasoline blendstocks, distillates, residual oil, renewable fuels, crude oil, and propane to wholesalers, retailers, and commercial customers. The company operates through three segments: Wholesale, Gasoline Distribution and Station Operations, and Commercial. The Wholesale segment sells home heating oil, branded and unbranded gasoline and gasoline blendstocks, diesel, kerosene, and residual oil to home heating oil and propane retailers and wholesale distributors. This segment also transports the products by railcars, barges, trucks and/or pipelines. Its Gasoline Distribution and Station Operations segment sells branded and unbranded gasoline to gasoline station operators and sub-jobbers; operates gasoline stations and convenience stores; and provides car wash, lottery, and ATM services, as well as leases gasoline stations. The Commercial segment sells and delivers unbranded gasoline, home heating oil, diesel, kerosene, residual oil, and bunker fuel to customers in the public sector, as well as to commercial and industrial end-users; and sells custom blended fuels. The company is also involved in the transportation of petroleum products and renewable fuels through rail from the mid-continent region of the United States and Canada. Global Partners LP was founded in 2005 and is based in Waltham, Massachusetts.
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