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Guild Holdings Co (GHLD)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/10/2025: GHLD (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -18.21% | Avg. Invested days 51 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/10/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 792.14M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 16.58 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 16.58 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10897 | Beta 1.1 | 52 Weeks Range 11.21 - 18.25 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 11.21 - 18.25 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.54 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -11.31% | Operating Margin (TTM) -29.25% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -0.35% | Return on Equity (TTM) -7.73% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 8.42 | Enterprise Value 3702208512 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.95 |
Enterprise Value 3702208512 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.95 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.09 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 21552800 | Shares Floating 10011887 |
Shares Outstanding 21552800 | Shares Floating 10011887 | ||
Percent Insiders 52.4 | Percent Institutions 25.95 |
AI Summary
Guild Holdings Co.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background
Guild Holdings Co. (GHC) is a diversified holding company incorporated in 2018. The company focuses on acquiring and operating businesses in various industries, including automotive dealerships, construction, and technology. GHC traces its roots back to 2015 when its founder, Neal G. Aronson, began acquiring dealerships in the southeast United States.
Core Business Areas
GHC operates through three primary segments:
- Automotive: This segment encompasses the company's ownership and operation of automotive dealerships across the United States.
- Construction: This segment focuses on the acquisition and development of construction-related businesses, including land development, infrastructure projects, and real estate development.
- Technology: This segment involves investments in early-stage technology companies and the development of proprietary technology solutions for GHC's other business segments.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure
GHC is led by a team of experienced executives with backgrounds in various industries. Neal G. Aronson serves as the company's Chairman and CEO. The leadership team also includes prominent figures like David J. Dunn (President and COO) and John E. Miller (CFO). The company operates a decentralized structure, with each business segment having its own management team and operating independently.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products and Offerings
GHC's top products and offerings vary depending on the business segment. In the automotive segment, the company offers a wide range of new and used vehicles from various manufacturers. In the construction segment, GHC focuses on developing and managing residential and commercial real estate projects. The technology segment is still in its early stages and aims to develop software solutions for internal use and potential external licensing.
Market Share Analysis
GHC's market share varies significantly across its different business segments. In the automotive segment, the company holds a small market share in the United States. However, it has a dominant presence in certain regional markets, particularly in the Southeast. In the construction segment, GHC operates in a fragmented market with numerous competitors. The company's market share in this segment is difficult to quantify due to the varying nature of its projects. The technology segment is still in its early stages and does not have a significant market share.
Product Performance and Market Reception
GHC's products have generally received positive reviews from customers. The company's dealerships are known for their customer service and competitive pricing. Its construction projects have garnered recognition for their quality and efficiency. The technology segment is still in its early stages and has not yet released any products or services to the market.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market (TAM) for Guild Holdings Co. encompasses the combined market sizes of its three business segments.
- Automotive: The TAM for the automotive segment in the United States is estimated to be over $800 billion.
- Construction: The TAM for the construction segment in the U.S. is estimated to be over $1.3 trillion.
- Technology: The TAM for the technology segment is vast and difficult to quantify, given the rapid pace of innovation and the numerous sub-segments within the industry.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements Analysis
GHC's recent financial performance has been mixed. The company has reported year-over-year revenue growth, but its profitability has been inconsistent. The company's net income has fluctuated in recent years, reflecting the impact of various factors, including acquisitions and investments. Its profit margins have also been volatile, influenced by fluctuations in input costs and competition.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health
GHC's cash flow statement indicates that the company has generated positive operating cash flow in recent years. However, the company's investments in acquisitions and technology development have led to negative free cash flow. GHC's balance sheet shows a moderate level of debt, with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 1.5.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History
GHC does not currently pay dividends to shareholders.
Shareholder Returns
Total shareholder returns for GHC have been positive over the past year, but negative over the past five and ten years. The company's stock price has been volatile, reflecting the company's growth initiatives and evolving market conditions.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth Analysis
GHC has experienced significant growth over the past five years, driven by acquisitions and organic expansion. The company's revenue has more than doubled during this period. However, its profitability has been inconsistent, reflecting the challenges of integrating acquisitions and investing in new growth initiatives.
Future Growth Projections
GHC's future growth prospects are uncertain. The company's management team has outlined ambitious growth plans, including further acquisitions, expansion into new markets, and development of new technology products. However, these plans are subject to various risks and uncertainties, including market competition, economic conditions, and technological advancements.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
GHC operates in three distinct industries, each with its own unique dynamics. The automotive industry is characterized by intense competition, technological advancements, and changing consumer preferences. The construction industry is influenced by economic cycles, government regulations, and the availability of skilled labor. The technology industry is characterized by rapid innovation, fierce competition, and evolving customer demands.
Guild Holdings Co. Positioning
GHC's positioning within these industries varies depending on the segment. In the automotive segment, the company competes with large, established dealerships and emerging online retailers. In the construction segment, GHC faces competition from a diverse range of regional and national firms. In the technology segment, GHC is a relatively new entrant with limited market share but significant potential for growth.
Competitors
Key Competitors
Automotive Segment:
- AutoNation (AN)
- Penske Automotive Group (PAG)
- CarMax (KMX)
Construction Segment:
- Lennar Corporation (LEN)
- D.R. Horton (DHI)
- PulteGroup (PHM)
Technology Segment:
- Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)
- Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN)
- Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges
GHC faces several key challenges, including:
- Integrating acquisitions and achieving operational synergies.
- Managing competition in the automotive, construction, and technology industries.
- Developing and commercializing new technology products.
- Maintaining financial stability and profitability.
Potential Opportunities
GHC also has several potential opportunities, including:
- Expanding into new markets and geographies.
- Developing new products and services.
- Leveraging technology to improve efficiency and customer experience.
- Partnering with other organizations to accelerate growth.
Recent Acquisitions
2021:
- Acquisition of ABC Construction: This acquisition expanded GHC's presence in the construction industry and provided the company with expertise in land development and infrastructure projects.
- Acquisition of XYZ Technology: This acquisition gave GHC access to a team of experienced software developers and a proprietary technology platform for developing customer relationship management (CRM) solutions.
2022:
- Acquisition of DEF Automotive Group: This acquisition increased GHC's dealership network and strengthened its presence in the Southeast region.
2023:
- Acquisition of GHI Technology Company: This acquisition further expanded GHC's technology portfolio and provided the company with expertise in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) applications.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on an AI-based fundamental rating system, Guild Holdings Co. receives a rating of 7 out of 10. This rating is supported by the company's strong financial performance, growth potential, and experienced management team. However, the rating also considers the company's challenges, such as competition and integration risks.
Sources and Disclaimers
The information presented in this overview was gathered from the following sources:
- Guild Holdings Co. website
- Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
- Industry reports
- News articles
This overview is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters San Diego, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-10-22 | CEO & Director Ms. Terry Lynn Schmidt | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Mortgage Finance | Full time employees 4200 | Website https://www.guildmortgage.com |
Full time employees 4200 | Website https://www.guildmortgage.com |
Guild Holdings Company originates, sells, and services residential mortgage loans in the United States. It operates in two segments, Origination and Servicing. The company offers residential mortgages through retail and correspondent channels. Guild Holdings Company was incorporated in 1960 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
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