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GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd (GHG)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: GHG (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -36.71% | Avg. Invested days 26 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 274.39M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 7.95 | 1Y Target Price 3.6 |
Price to earnings Ratio 7.95 | 1Y Target Price 3.6 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 25410 | Beta 0.49 | 52 Weeks Range 2.24 - 3.40 | Updated Date 03/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.24 - 3.40 | Updated Date 03/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.76% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.34 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-03-24 | When After Market | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 16.52% | Operating Margin (TTM) 25.6% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.24% | Return on Equity (TTM) 16.28% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 7.95 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 277996330 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.18 |
Enterprise Value 277996330 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.18 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.43 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.84 | Shares Outstanding 66780600 | Shares Floating 10190908 |
Shares Outstanding 66780600 | Shares Floating 10190908 | ||
Percent Insiders 84.74 | Percent Institutions 12.93 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3 | Target Price 4.58 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Buy - | Strong Buy - | ||
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd
Company Overview
History and Background
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. was founded in 2004. It is a leading hospitality management group in China. The company focuses on operating and franchising a range of economy to mid-scale hotels.
Core Business Areas
- Franchised and Managed Hotels: Primary source of revenue. GreenTree licenses its brand and manages hotels owned by franchisees. This segment includes providing training, operational support, and marketing services to franchisees.
- Leased and Owned Hotels: GreenTree directly operates hotels that it leases or owns. This segment provides hotel rooms, food and beverage services, and other amenities.
- Other: Consists of the licensing and management of the Groupu2019s retail business, as well as the licensing of its hotel brands.
Leadership and Structure
Alex Xu is the Chairman and CEO. The company is structured with various departments overseeing operations, finance, marketing, and franchise development.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- GreenTree Inn: Economy hotel brand; significant revenue driver. Market share difficult to pinpoint exactly due to China-specific segmentation, but it competes with other budget hotel chains like Jinjiang Inn and Home Inn. Approximate market share of economy hotels in China around 3-5%.
- GreenTree Alliance: Mid-scale hotel brand catering to a slightly higher market segment. Competes with brands like Atour and Orange Hotel. Hard data is tough but a small percentage
- GX Inn: Upper midscale hotel catering to a slightly higher market segment. Competes with brands like Atour S, Hyatt Place in China. Hard data is tough but a small percentage
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The hospitality industry in China is large and competitive, experiencing growth driven by increasing domestic and international travel. The market is segmented by hotel class (economy, mid-scale, upscale, luxury), with significant demand in the economy and mid-scale segments.
Positioning
GreenTree is positioned as a leading player in the economy and mid-scale hotel segments in China, focusing on providing cost-effective and standardized accommodation options. Its competitive advantage lies in its large network, established brand recognition, and efficient franchise model.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for hotels in China is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. GreenTree is well-positioned to capture a portion of this market through its expansion strategy and brand recognition.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Established brand recognition in China
- Extensive network of franchised and managed hotels
- Efficient franchise model
- Focus on economy and mid-scale segments
- Strong management team
Weaknesses
- Dependence on the Chinese market
- Exposure to fluctuations in the Chinese economy
- Competition from other hotel chains
- Potential for franchisee disputes
- Brand image can be variable based on franchisee management
Opportunities
- Expansion into new cities and regions in China
- Development of new hotel brands targeting different market segments
- Increased focus on technology and digitalization
- Partnerships with online travel agencies (OTAs)
- Capitalizing on the growing middle class in China
Threats
- Economic downturn in China
- Increased competition from domestic and international hotel chains
- Changes in government regulations
- Impact of pandemics and other health crises
- Fluctuations in currency exchange rates
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- HTHT
- SHA
- BX
Competitive Landscape
GreenTree benefits from brand recognition in the Chinese market. Its franchise model allows for rapid expansion. Competitors such as Huazhu and Jinjiang have larger overall market shares but GreenTree is focused on brand consistency. GreenTree is a smaller brand compared to its main competitors.
Major Acquisitions
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: GreenTree has experienced significant growth in the past decade, driven by the expansion of its franchise network and the growth of the Chinese economy.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates project continued growth for GreenTree, driven by its expansion plans and the increasing demand for budget and mid-scale hotels in China. Actual numbers cannot be provided without a paid subscription.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding its franchise network into new cities, launching new hotel brands, and investing in technology to improve operational efficiency and enhance the customer experience.
Summary
GreenTree Hospitality Group is a prominent player in China's economy and mid-scale hotel sector with a solid franchise model. It faces stiff competition from larger players and is exposed to the Chinese economy. The company has growth potential through further expansion and technology adoption but needs to manage economic risks and maintain brand standards across its franchise network. Further analysis is recommended for specific metrics.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Website
- Industry Reports
- SEC Filings (where available)
- Market Analysis Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. Financial metrics are illustrative due to a lack of freely available data.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-03-27 | Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. Alex S. Xu Ph.D. | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Lodging | Full time employees 2523 | Website https://www.998.com |
Full time employees 2523 | Website https://www.998.com |
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd., through its subsidiaries, develops leased-and-operated, and franchised-and-managed hotels and restaurants in the People's Republic of China. The company also engages in the food manufacturing and wholesale businesses; and provision of information technology services. It operates under the GreenTree, Da Niang, and Lu Gang brand names. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China. GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. is a subsidiary of GreenTree Inns Hotel Management Group, Inc.
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