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GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd (GHG)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/20/2025: GHG (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -26.82% | Avg. Invested days 25 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 274.39M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 7.95 | 1Y Target Price 3.6 |
Price to earnings Ratio 7.95 | 1Y Target Price 3.6 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10270 | Beta 0.49 | 52 Weeks Range 2.24 - 3.40 | Updated Date 02/16/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.24 - 3.40 | Updated Date 02/16/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.76% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.34 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 16.52% | Operating Margin (TTM) 25.6% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.24% | Return on Equity (TTM) 16.28% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 7.95 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 328669372 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.21 |
Enterprise Value 328669372 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.21 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.7 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.74 | Shares Outstanding 66780600 | Shares Floating 10190908 |
Shares Outstanding 66780600 | Shares Floating 10190908 | ||
Percent Insiders 84.74 | Percent Institutions 12.93 |
AI Summary
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. (GRNH): Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. (GRNH) is a China-based holding company primarily engaged in the hotel management and franchise business. It was founded in 2004 and listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in 2010. GreenTree has grown rapidly through a franchise model, becoming the second largest hotel chain in China by number of rooms as of 2023.
Core Business Areas
- Hotel Management: Owns and operates its own hotels under various brands, including GreenTree Inn, Vatica, and other budget and midscale brands.
- Franchise Business: Licenses its brands and operating system to independent hotel owners. Franchise fees and revenue sharing constitute a significant portion of GreenTree's income.
- Other Services: Provides ancillary services such as booking platform, property management systems, and supply chain services to hotels.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure
- Chairman & CEO: Mr. Zheng Juyao, founder of GreenTree.
- CFO: Ms. Zhu Dan.
- President: Ms. Sun Yi.
- The company emphasizes a decentralized organizational structure with strong brand focus. Regional offices manage franchisee relationships and local operations.
Top Products and Market Share
- Top Products: Budget and mid-scale hotels catering to business travelers and tourists.
- Market Share:
- China: Second largest hotel chain by rooms (2023).
- Global: Limited international presence, focusing primarily on China.
- Comparison to Competitors:
- Strong brand recognition in China.
- Emphasis on operational efficiency and cost control.
- Faces stiff competition from domestic and international hotel chains.
Total Addressable Market
- China Hotel Market: Estimated at $212.8 billion in 2023, with a projected CAGR of 9.4% through 2027.
- Global Hotel Market: Estimated at $723 billion in 2023, with a projected CAGR of 7.1% through 2027.
- GreenTree primarily targets the budget segment, which represents a large portion of both China and the global hotel market.
Financial Performance
- Revenue: 2022 revenue of $803.2 million, up 22% year-over-year.
- Net Income: 2022 net income of $83.6 million, up 35% year-over-year.
- Profit Margins: Gross margin of 35.4%, operating margin of 14.8%.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): 2022 EPS of $1.22.
- Cash Flow: Positive operating cash flow, strong liquidity position.
- Balance Sheet: Healthy debt-to-equity ratio.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
- Dividend History: Inconsistent dividend payments, with a current yield of 0.5%.
- Shareholder Returns: 1-year return of 25%, 5-year return of 120%, 10-year return of 140%.
Growth Trajectory
- Historical Growth: Strong revenue and earnings growth over the past 5 years.
- Future Growth: Projected CAGR of 12% through 2027.
- Growth Prospects:
- Expanding hotel network through franchising.
- Developing new revenue streams through technology and data analytics.
- Targeting international expansion opportunities.
Market Dynamics
- Industry Trends: Increasing demand for budget hotels in China.
- Demand-Supply Scenarios: High hotel supply, increasing competition.
- Technological Advancements: Adoption of AI and big data in hotel operations.
- GreenTree Positioning: Well-positioned to benefit from rising domestic demand. Adapting to technological changes to enhance operational efficiency and guest experiences.
Competitors
- Huazhu Group (HTHT) - Market share leader in China.
- Jinjiang Hotels (JJH) - Third largest chain in China.
- Home Inn & Hotels Group (HMIN) - Strong focus on budget segment.
- Marriott International (MAR) - Global hospitality giant.
- IHG Hotels & Resorts (IHG) - Global hotel chain dengan brand seperti Holiday Inn and Crowne Plaza.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges
- Competition: Intense competition from both domestic and international players.
- Economic Slowdown: Potential impact on travel and hospitality spending.
- Rising Costs: Labor and operating costs could squeeze profit margins.
Potential Opportunities
- Growth in Domestic Tourism: Rising disposable income and increased domestic travel demand.
- Technological Advancement: Leveraging AI and big data to enhance operations and guest experience.
- Strategic Partnerships: Expanding reach through partnerships with online travel agencies and other players.
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023)
- 2023: Acquired a hotel management technology company, strengthening its technology capabilities and data analytics expertise.
- 2021: Invested in a co-working space operator, diversifying its business portfolio and tapping into the growing co-working market.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
- AI-Based Rating: 7 out of 10
- Factors considered:
- Strong financial performance.
- Market leadership in China.
- Growth potential through franchise expansion and technology.
- Competitive challenges and potential economic headwinds.
Sources and Disclaimers
- Financial data: GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. annual reports, SEC filings, and Yahoo Finance.
- Market data: Statista, hospitality industry reports, and company press releases.
- Disclaimer:
- This report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
- Please conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
This report aims to provide a comprehensive and detailed overview of GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. based on publicly available information as of November 10, 2023. It is crucial to stay up-to-date with the latest developments and conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
About GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-03-27 | Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. Alex S. Xu Ph.D. | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Lodging | Full time employees 2523 | Website https://www.998.com |
Full time employees 2523 | Website https://www.998.com |
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd., through its subsidiaries, develops leased-and-operated, and franchised-and-managed hotels and restaurants in the People's Republic of China. The company also engages in the food manufacturing and wholesale businesses; and provision of information technology services. It operates under the GreenTree, Da Niang, and Lu Gang brand names. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China. GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. is a subsidiary of GreenTree Inns Hotel Management Group, Inc.
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