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Gevo Inc (GEVO)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: GEVO (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 5.97% | Avg. Invested days 24 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 277.71M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.22 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.22 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3648242 | Beta 2.72 | 52 Weeks Range 0.48 - 3.39 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.48 - 3.39 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.34 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-03-05 | When Before Market | Estimate -0.0871 | Actual -0.09 |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -1221.78% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -9.08% | Return on Equity (TTM) -14.77% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 152955453 | Price to Sales(TTM) 17.81 |
Enterprise Value 152955453 | Price to Sales(TTM) 17.81 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.04 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 1.68 | Shares Outstanding 239407008 | Shares Floating 219931550 |
Shares Outstanding 239407008 | Shares Floating 219931550 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.36 | Percent Institutions 22.47 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.33 | Target Price 6.22 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy - |
Buy 1 | Strong Buy - | ||
Hold 2 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Gevo Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Gevo Inc. was founded in 2005. It focuses on developing and commercializing renewable biofuels and chemicals using advanced biotechnology. Key milestones include the development of its patented isobutanol production technology and partnerships with airlines for sustainable aviation fuel.
Core Business Areas
- Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF): Production and sale of SAF derived from renewable resources, aimed at reducing carbon emissions in the aviation industry.
- Renewable Isobutanol: Production and sale of renewable isobutanol, used as a gasoline blendstock and chemical building block.
- Renewable Products: Production and sales of renewable animal feed and high-value renewable products that are made from corn.
Leadership and Structure
Patrick Gruber is the CEO. The company operates with a functional organizational structure, focusing on technology development, production, and commercialization.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF): SAF produced using Gevo's ATJ (Alcohol-to-Jet) technology. Market share is still developing but is targeting a significant portion of the growing SAF market. Competitors include Neste, World Energy, and Velocys.
- Renewable Isobutanol: Isobutanol is used as a blendstock for gasoline and a building block for chemicals and plastics. Market share is small but growing. Competitors include Butamax (BP/DuPont JV) and Cobalt Technologies (ceased operation).
- Nutrianceu00ae: Animal feed produced as a co-product in the renewable isobutanol production process. Nutrianceu00ae products contain essential amino acids and protein. Competitors include ADM, Cargill, and Ingredion.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The industry is rapidly growing as governments and corporations look to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. There is a significant push for SAF and renewable chemicals.
Positioning
Gevo is positioned as a technology provider and producer of SAF and renewable chemicals. Its competitive advantage lies in its ATJ technology and partnerships with airlines.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for SAF is estimated to be hundreds of billions of dollars by 2050, with a rapidly increasing demand. The TAM for Renewable Isobutanol is estimated to be in the billions by 2030, with applications in fuels, plastics and chemicals.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Patented ATJ technology
- Partnerships with major airlines
- Focus on sustainable solutions
- Integrated business model
Weaknesses
- High production costs
- Limited production capacity
- Dependence on government subsidies
- History of losses and dependence on debt
Opportunities
- Growing demand for SAF
- Expansion of renewable chemical markets
- Government incentives for renewable fuels
- Strategic partnerships with feedstock providers
Threats
- Fluctuations in feedstock prices
- Competition from conventional fuels
- Regulatory changes
- Technological advancements by competitors
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- NESTE
- REGI
- ADM
Competitive Landscape
Gevo's advantages include its ATJ technology and airline partnerships. Disadvantages include its relatively small production capacity and high production costs compared to established players.
Major Acquisitions
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Gevo's historical growth has been characterized by significant revenue fluctuations and heavy investment in R&D and facility development. Significant investment in building out production capability.
Future Projections: Analysts project significant revenue growth as Gevo expands its production capacity and secures more offtake agreements for SAF. Analysts estimate future revenue between 250 million to 400 million in 2024.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include securing offtake agreements with airlines, expanding production capacity at its Net-Zero 1 project, and developing new renewable chemical products.
Summary
Gevo is a company focused on renewable fuels, particularly SAF, with unique technology and partnerships. It faces challenges related to production costs and capacity, but has significant growth potential. Securing offtake agreements is key. The company needs to manage its finances carefully as it ramps up production.
Similar Companies
- REGI
- ADM
- DAR
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Analyst reports
- Industry publications
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market data is dynamic and subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Gevo Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Englewood, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2011-02-09 | CEO & Director Dr. Patrick R. Gruber M.B.A., Ph.D. | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Specialty Chemicals | Full time employees 101 | Website https://www.gevo.com |
Full time employees 101 | Website https://www.gevo.com |
Gevo, Inc. operates as a carbon abatement company. It operates through three segments: Gevo, Agri-Energy, and Renewable Natural Gas. The company focuses on transforming renewable energy into energy-dense liquid hydrocarbons that can be used as renewable fuels. It offers renewable gasoline and diesel, isobutanol, sustainable aviation fuel, renewable natural gas, isobutylene, ethanol, and animal feed and protein. The company was formerly known as Methanotech, Inc. and changed its name to Gevo, Inc. in March 2006. Gevo, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.
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