
Cancel anytime
- Chart
- Upturn Summary
- Highlights
- Revenue
- Valuation
- Analyst Ratings
Upturn AI SWOT
- About


Geron Corporation (GERN)



- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- Pass (Skip investing)


(see disclosures)
- ALL
- YEAR
- MONTH
- WEEK
Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: GERN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 31.73% | Avg. Invested days 35 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
![]() ![]() | ![]() ![]() |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.05B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 18456083 | Beta 0.53 | 52 Weeks Range 1.45 - 5.34 | Updated Date 03/31/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.45 - 5.34 | Updated Date 03/31/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.27 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -226.74% | Operating Margin (TTM) -42.18% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -21.98% | Return on Equity (TTM) -66.09% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 766042375 | Price to Sales(TTM) 13.65 |
Enterprise Value 766042375 | Price to Sales(TTM) 13.65 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.95 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -9.06 | Shares Outstanding 636904000 | Shares Floating 601237820 |
Shares Outstanding 636904000 | Shares Floating 601237820 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.1 | Percent Institutions 83.28 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.56 | Target Price 7.61 | Buy 4 | Strong Buy 5 |
Buy 4 | Strong Buy 5 | ||
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Geron Corporation

Company Overview
History and Background
Geron Corporation was founded in 1990 and is focused on the development and commercialization of first-in-class telomerase inhibitor, imetelstat, to treat hematologic malignancies. The company initially focused on stem cell research but shifted its focus to telomerase inhibition.
Core Business Areas
- Hematologic Malignancies: Geron is focused on the development of imetelstat for the treatment of myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) and myelofibrosis (MF).
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team is headed by John A. Scarlett, MD, as Chairman and CEO. The company has a typical corporate structure with departments for research, clinical development, regulatory affairs, and commercial operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Imetelstat: Imetelstat is a telomerase inhibitor being developed for the treatment of myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) and myelofibrosis (MF). Currently, imetelstat is not yet approved, so it does not have an existing revenue stream or market share, but its launch could dramatically affect the MDS and MF treatment landscapes. Key competitors in these markets include companies with approved therapies or those in late-stage development, such as Bristol Myers Squibb (REYVIO in MDS), and Incyte (JAKAFI in MF).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The biopharmaceutical industry, specifically within oncology, is highly competitive and rapidly evolving. There's increasing demand for novel therapies targeting unmet needs in hematologic malignancies.
Positioning
Geron is positioning imetelstat as a potentially disease-modifying therapy for MDS and MF, differentiating it from existing treatments that primarily manage symptoms. Success in ongoing trials would give Geron a significant competitive advantage.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for MDS and MF therapies is substantial, estimated to be billions of dollars. Imetelstat is positioned to capture a significant portion of the market if approved and demonstrates clinical superiority.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Novel mechanism of action of imetelstat (telomerase inhibition)
- Potential for disease modification in MDS and MF
- Orphan drug designation for imetelstat in certain indications
- Strong intellectual property protection
Weaknesses
- Reliance on a single drug candidate (imetelstat)
- Clinical trial risks and regulatory uncertainties
- No current revenue stream; dependence on future imetelstat sales
- Significant funding required for continued development and commercialization
Opportunities
- Potential approval and commercialization of imetelstat in MDS and MF
- Expansion of imetelstat into other hematologic malignancies
- Partnerships or collaborations with larger pharmaceutical companies
- Positive clinical data driving increased investor confidence
Threats
- Clinical trial failures or unexpected safety issues
- Regulatory rejection of imetelstat
- Competition from existing or emerging therapies
- Patent challenges or loss of exclusivity
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- BMS (BMY)
- Incyte (INCY)
- Novartis (NVS)
Competitive Landscape
Geron's competitive advantage lies in the novel mechanism of action of imetelstat. However, they face intense competition from established players with approved therapies and significant resources.
Major Acquisitions
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth is characterized by periods of significant stock price appreciation following positive clinical trial data and periods of decline following setbacks.
Future Projections: Future projections depend heavily on the successful development and commercialization of imetelstat. Analyst estimates vary widely based on the perceived likelihood of success.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives focus on completing Phase 3 clinical trials for imetelstat in MDS and MF and preparing for potential regulatory submissions.
Summary
Geron is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company with a promising telomerase inhibitor, imetelstat, targeting MDS and MF. Its success hinges on positive clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approval. They face considerable risks due to clinical development and financial resources. Positive clinical trial data is critical, as is managing competition and maintaining a strong cash position.
Similar Companies

CRIS

Curis Inc



CRIS

Curis Inc

EXEL

Exelixis Inc



EXEL

Exelixis Inc

IONS

Ionis Pharmaceuticals Inc



IONS

Ionis Pharmaceuticals Inc
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Geron Corporation Investor Relations
- SEC Filings
- Analyst Reports
- ClinicalTrials.gov
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on individual circumstances and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Market share data are estimates and may vary.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Geron Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Foster City, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1996-06-30 | CEO - | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 229 | Website https://www.geron.com |
Full time employees 229 | Website https://www.geron.com |
Geron Corporation, a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of therapeutics products for oncology. It offers RYTELO a telomerase inhibitor for the treatment f adult patients with low- to intermediate-1 risk myelodysplastic syndromes with transfusion-dependent anemia. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Foster City, California.
Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.