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Geron Corporation (GERN)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$2.63
Delayed price
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: GERN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 31.73%
Avg. Invested days 35
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.59B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 7.39
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 7.39
Volume (30-day avg) 11528887
Beta 0.52
52 Weeks Range 1.64 - 5.34
Updated Date 02/20/2025
52 Weeks Range 1.64 - 5.34
Updated Date 02/20/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.32

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-26
When Before Market
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -
Operating Margin (TTM) -99.8%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -30.3%
Return on Equity (TTM) -69.03%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 1282921580
Price to Sales(TTM) 53.93
Enterprise Value 1282921580
Price to Sales(TTM) 53.93
Enterprise Value to Revenue 43.52
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -9.06
Shares Outstanding 604500992
Shares Floating 603975100
Shares Outstanding 604500992
Shares Floating 603975100
Percent Insiders 0.1
Percent Institutions 82.21

AI Summary

Geron Corporation Overview

Company Profile

Detailed history and background: Founded in 1990, Geron Corporation is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing a first-in-class telomerase inhibitor, imetelstat, for the treatment of myelofibrosis (MF) and other hematologic malignancies.

Core business areas: Geron focuses on developing innovative therapies for hematologic malignancies, specifically MF, a bone marrow disorder characterized by excessive scar tissue formation.

Leadership team and corporate structure: The company is led by Dr. David Apelian, President and CEO, and Dr. William Dowling, Chief Medical Officer. Geron operates through a Board of Directors and Executive Management team.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top product: Imetelstat is Geron's lead product candidate currently in Phase 3 clinical trials for the treatment of intermediate-2 or high-risk MF patients with inadequate response to JAK inhibitor therapy.

Market share: As imetelstat is not yet commercially available, it holds no market share. However, the global market for MF treatment is estimated to reach $1.2 billion by 2027.

Product performance and competitor comparison: Imetelstat has demonstrated promising results in Phase 2 clinical trials, showing durable reductions in spleen volume and improvements in other MF symptoms. Compared to JAK inhibitors, imetelstat offers a potentially more durable response and may address unmet needs in MF patients.

Total Addressable Market: The global market for MF treatment is estimated to reach $1.2 billion by 2027, with the US market representing a significant portion.

Financial Performance:

Recent financial statements: Geron is a pre-revenue company with limited financial history. Revenue is primarily derived from collaborative agreements and grants.

Financial performance comparison: Revenue and net loss have fluctuated over the past few years, reflecting the company's stage of development.

Cash flow and balance sheet: As of September 30, 2023, Geron had $135.5 million in cash and cash equivalents. The company's balance sheet is primarily comprised of intangible assets and cash.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend payouts: Geron does not currently pay dividends, as it is focused on investing in research and development.

Shareholder returns: Shareholder returns have fluctuated due to the company's early-stage development and lack of approved products.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical growth: Geron's historical growth has been driven by clinical development milestones and funding activities.

Future growth: Growth potential is tied to the success of imetelstat in clinical trials and its potential commercialization.

Recent product launches and strategic initiatives: Geron is focused on advancing imetelstat through Phase 3 clinical trials and pursuing potential strategic partnerships for commercialization.

Market Dynamics:

Industry overview: The hematologic malignancy treatment market is growing due to aging populations and increasing diagnoses.

Geron's position: Geron is positioned as a potential leader in the MF treatment market with its novel imetelstat therapy.

Adaptability to market changes: Geron is actively adapting to market changes through strategic partnerships and exploring new product opportunities.

Competitors:

Key competitors: Incyte (INCY), Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY), and Novartis (NVS) are key competitors in the MF treatment market.

Market share: Incyte holds a significant market share with its JAK inhibitor Jakafi, while Bristol Myers Squibb and Novartis have other MF treatments in their portfolios.

Competitive advantages: Imetelstat's potential for durable response and addressing unmet needs in MF patients could provide a competitive advantage.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Challenges: Regulatory approval and commercialization of imetelstat are key challenges.

Opportunities: Expanding into new markets, pursuing partnerships, and developing additional therapies for hematologic malignancies present opportunities for growth.

Recent Acquisitions:

Geron has not made any acquisitions in the last 3 years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

AI rating: 7/10

Justification: Geron's strong pipeline, particularly imetelstat, holds promising potential for the MF treatment market. However, the company's pre-revenue status and dependence on clinical development introduce an element of risk.

Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to conduct thorough research and consult with financial professionals before making investment decisions.

Sources:

  • Geron Corporation Investor Relations
  • SEC filings
  • Market research reports
  • Industry publications

About Geron Corporation

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Foster City, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 1996-06-30
Chairman of the Board, President & CEO Dr. John A. Scarlett M.D.
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees 141
Full time employees 141

Geron Corporation, a late-stage clinical biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapeutics for myeloid hematologic malignancies. It develops imetelstat, a telomerase inhibitor that is in Phase 3 clinical trials, which inhibits the uncontrolled proliferation of malignant stem and progenitor cells in myeloid hematologic malignancies for the treatment of low or intermediate-1 risk myelodysplastic syndromes and intermediate-2 or high-risk myelofibrosis. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Foster City, California.

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