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Geron Corporation (GERN)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/20/2025: GERN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 31.73% | Avg. Invested days 35 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.59B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.39 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.39 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 11528887 | Beta 0.52 | 52 Weeks Range 1.64 - 5.34 | Updated Date 02/20/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.64 - 5.34 | Updated Date 02/20/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.32 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-02-26 | When Before Market | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -99.8% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -30.3% | Return on Equity (TTM) -69.03% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 1282921580 | Price to Sales(TTM) 53.93 |
Enterprise Value 1282921580 | Price to Sales(TTM) 53.93 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 43.52 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -9.06 | Shares Outstanding 604500992 | Shares Floating 603975100 |
Shares Outstanding 604500992 | Shares Floating 603975100 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.1 | Percent Institutions 82.21 |
AI Summary
Geron Corporation Overview
Company Profile
Detailed history and background: Founded in 1990, Geron Corporation is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing a first-in-class telomerase inhibitor, imetelstat, for the treatment of myelofibrosis (MF) and other hematologic malignancies.
Core business areas: Geron focuses on developing innovative therapies for hematologic malignancies, specifically MF, a bone marrow disorder characterized by excessive scar tissue formation.
Leadership team and corporate structure: The company is led by Dr. David Apelian, President and CEO, and Dr. William Dowling, Chief Medical Officer. Geron operates through a Board of Directors and Executive Management team.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top product: Imetelstat is Geron's lead product candidate currently in Phase 3 clinical trials for the treatment of intermediate-2 or high-risk MF patients with inadequate response to JAK inhibitor therapy.
Market share: As imetelstat is not yet commercially available, it holds no market share. However, the global market for MF treatment is estimated to reach $1.2 billion by 2027.
Product performance and competitor comparison: Imetelstat has demonstrated promising results in Phase 2 clinical trials, showing durable reductions in spleen volume and improvements in other MF symptoms. Compared to JAK inhibitors, imetelstat offers a potentially more durable response and may address unmet needs in MF patients.
Total Addressable Market: The global market for MF treatment is estimated to reach $1.2 billion by 2027, with the US market representing a significant portion.
Financial Performance:
Recent financial statements: Geron is a pre-revenue company with limited financial history. Revenue is primarily derived from collaborative agreements and grants.
Financial performance comparison: Revenue and net loss have fluctuated over the past few years, reflecting the company's stage of development.
Cash flow and balance sheet: As of September 30, 2023, Geron had $135.5 million in cash and cash equivalents. The company's balance sheet is primarily comprised of intangible assets and cash.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend payouts: Geron does not currently pay dividends, as it is focused on investing in research and development.
Shareholder returns: Shareholder returns have fluctuated due to the company's early-stage development and lack of approved products.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth: Geron's historical growth has been driven by clinical development milestones and funding activities.
Future growth: Growth potential is tied to the success of imetelstat in clinical trials and its potential commercialization.
Recent product launches and strategic initiatives: Geron is focused on advancing imetelstat through Phase 3 clinical trials and pursuing potential strategic partnerships for commercialization.
Market Dynamics:
Industry overview: The hematologic malignancy treatment market is growing due to aging populations and increasing diagnoses.
Geron's position: Geron is positioned as a potential leader in the MF treatment market with its novel imetelstat therapy.
Adaptability to market changes: Geron is actively adapting to market changes through strategic partnerships and exploring new product opportunities.
Competitors:
Key competitors: Incyte (INCY), Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY), and Novartis (NVS) are key competitors in the MF treatment market.
Market share: Incyte holds a significant market share with its JAK inhibitor Jakafi, while Bristol Myers Squibb and Novartis have other MF treatments in their portfolios.
Competitive advantages: Imetelstat's potential for durable response and addressing unmet needs in MF patients could provide a competitive advantage.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges: Regulatory approval and commercialization of imetelstat are key challenges.
Opportunities: Expanding into new markets, pursuing partnerships, and developing additional therapies for hematologic malignancies present opportunities for growth.
Recent Acquisitions:
Geron has not made any acquisitions in the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
AI rating: 7/10
Justification: Geron's strong pipeline, particularly imetelstat, holds promising potential for the MF treatment market. However, the company's pre-revenue status and dependence on clinical development introduce an element of risk.
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to conduct thorough research and consult with financial professionals before making investment decisions.
Sources:
- Geron Corporation Investor Relations
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
- Industry publications
About Geron Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Foster City, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1996-06-30 | Chairman of the Board, President & CEO Dr. John A. Scarlett M.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 141 | Website https://www.geron.com |
Full time employees 141 | Website https://www.geron.com |
Geron Corporation, a late-stage clinical biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapeutics for myeloid hematologic malignancies. It develops imetelstat, a telomerase inhibitor that is in Phase 3 clinical trials, which inhibits the uncontrolled proliferation of malignant stem and progenitor cells in myeloid hematologic malignancies for the treatment of low or intermediate-1 risk myelodysplastic syndromes and intermediate-2 or high-risk myelofibrosis. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Foster City, California.
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