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GERN logo GERN
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
GERN logo

Geron Corporation (GERN)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$1.48
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
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Upturn Advisory Summary

04/01/2025: GERN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 31.73%
Avg. Invested days 35
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 04/01/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.05B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 4.5
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 4.5
Volume (30-day avg) 18456083
Beta 0.53
52 Weeks Range 1.45 - 5.34
Updated Date 03/31/2025
52 Weeks Range 1.45 - 5.34
Updated Date 03/31/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.27

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -226.74%
Operating Margin (TTM) -42.18%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -21.98%
Return on Equity (TTM) -66.09%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 766042375
Price to Sales(TTM) 13.65
Enterprise Value 766042375
Price to Sales(TTM) 13.65
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.95
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -9.06
Shares Outstanding 636904000
Shares Floating 601237820
Shares Outstanding 636904000
Shares Floating 601237820
Percent Insiders 0.1
Percent Institutions 83.28

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.56
Target Price 7.61
Buy 4
Strong Buy 5
Buy 4
Strong Buy 5
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Geron Corporation

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Geron Corporation was founded in 1990 and is focused on the development and commercialization of first-in-class telomerase inhibitor, imetelstat, to treat hematologic malignancies. The company initially focused on stem cell research but shifted its focus to telomerase inhibition.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Hematologic Malignancies: Geron is focused on the development of imetelstat for the treatment of myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) and myelofibrosis (MF).

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The leadership team is headed by John A. Scarlett, MD, as Chairman and CEO. The company has a typical corporate structure with departments for research, clinical development, regulatory affairs, and commercial operations.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Imetelstat: Imetelstat is a telomerase inhibitor being developed for the treatment of myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) and myelofibrosis (MF). Currently, imetelstat is not yet approved, so it does not have an existing revenue stream or market share, but its launch could dramatically affect the MDS and MF treatment landscapes. Key competitors in these markets include companies with approved therapies or those in late-stage development, such as Bristol Myers Squibb (REYVIO in MDS), and Incyte (JAKAFI in MF).

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The biopharmaceutical industry, specifically within oncology, is highly competitive and rapidly evolving. There's increasing demand for novel therapies targeting unmet needs in hematologic malignancies.

Positioning

Geron is positioning imetelstat as a potentially disease-modifying therapy for MDS and MF, differentiating it from existing treatments that primarily manage symptoms. Success in ongoing trials would give Geron a significant competitive advantage.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for MDS and MF therapies is substantial, estimated to be billions of dollars. Imetelstat is positioned to capture a significant portion of the market if approved and demonstrates clinical superiority.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Novel mechanism of action of imetelstat (telomerase inhibition)
  • Potential for disease modification in MDS and MF
  • Orphan drug designation for imetelstat in certain indications
  • Strong intellectual property protection

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on a single drug candidate (imetelstat)
  • Clinical trial risks and regulatory uncertainties
  • No current revenue stream; dependence on future imetelstat sales
  • Significant funding required for continued development and commercialization

Opportunities

  • Potential approval and commercialization of imetelstat in MDS and MF
  • Expansion of imetelstat into other hematologic malignancies
  • Partnerships or collaborations with larger pharmaceutical companies
  • Positive clinical data driving increased investor confidence

Threats

  • Clinical trial failures or unexpected safety issues
  • Regulatory rejection of imetelstat
  • Competition from existing or emerging therapies
  • Patent challenges or loss of exclusivity

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • BMS (BMY)
  • Incyte (INCY)
  • Novartis (NVS)

Competitive Landscape

Geron's competitive advantage lies in the novel mechanism of action of imetelstat. However, they face intense competition from established players with approved therapies and significant resources.

Major Acquisitions

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical growth is characterized by periods of significant stock price appreciation following positive clinical trial data and periods of decline following setbacks.

Future Projections: Future projections depend heavily on the successful development and commercialization of imetelstat. Analyst estimates vary widely based on the perceived likelihood of success.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives focus on completing Phase 3 clinical trials for imetelstat in MDS and MF and preparing for potential regulatory submissions.

Summary

Geron is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company with a promising telomerase inhibitor, imetelstat, targeting MDS and MF. Its success hinges on positive clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approval. They face considerable risks due to clinical development and financial resources. Positive clinical trial data is critical, as is managing competition and maintaining a strong cash position.

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Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Geron Corporation Investor Relations
  • SEC Filings
  • Analyst Reports
  • ClinicalTrials.gov

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on individual circumstances and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Market share data are estimates and may vary.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Geron Corporation

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Foster City, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 1996-06-30
CEO -
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees 229
Full time employees 229

Geron Corporation, a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of therapeutics products for oncology. It offers RYTELO a telomerase inhibitor for the treatment f adult patients with low- to intermediate-1 risk myelodysplastic syndromes with transfusion-dependent anemia. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Foster City, California.

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