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Genesco Inc (GCO)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$40.11
Delayed price
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/13/2025: GCO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -65.76%
Avg. Invested days 25
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/13/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 422.59M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 40
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 40
Volume (30-day avg) 211158
Beta 2.35
52 Weeks Range 23.21 - 44.80
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 23.21 - 44.80
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -3.11

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -1.13%
Operating Margin (TTM) 1.72%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 0.32%
Return on Equity (TTM) -6.22%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 18.94
Enterprise Value 962020001
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.18
Enterprise Value 962020001
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.18
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.41
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.55
Shares Outstanding 11212300
Shares Floating 10243343
Shares Outstanding 11212300
Shares Floating 10243343
Percent Insiders 8.68
Percent Institutions 94.46

AI Summary

Genesco Inc. - A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

Detailed history and background:

Genesco Inc. (NYSE: GCO) is a leading retailer of branded footwear and accessories in the United States. Founded in 1936 as Nashville Shoe Company, the company has evolved into a multi-brand powerhouse with over 1,450 retail stores and e-commerce websites.

Core business areas:

Genesco operates through three segments:

  • Footwear Retail: This segment includes owned brands like Journeys, Journeys Kidz, and Shi by Journeys, as well as licensed brands like Johnston & Murphy, Levi's, and Dockers.
  • Licensed Brands: This segment focuses on designing, sourcing, and distributing footwear and accessories under various licensed brands like Bass, Easy Spirit, and G.H. Bass & Co.
  • Wholesale: This segment engages in wholesale distribution of footwear and accessories to independent retailers.

Leadership team and corporate structure:

Genesco's leadership team comprises experienced executives like Mimi E. Vaughn (CEO & Chairwoman), Donna Dubinsky (President & COO), and J. Michael Bennett (CFO & Treasurer). The company's board of directors provides strategic guidance and oversight.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top products and offerings:

Genesco's top products include athletic footwear, casual footwear, dress footwear, and accessories. The company offers a diverse range of brands catering to various customer segments.

Market share:

Genesco holds a significant market share in the US footwear retail market, particularly in the youth and young adult segments. Their Journeys brand is a market leader in this space. However, the company faces fierce competition from other major players like Nike, Foot Locker, and VF Corporation.

Product performance and competitor comparison:

Genesco's performance varies across its product categories. While Journeys consistently performs well, other brands like Johnston & Murphy and Dockers have faced challenges in recent years. Compared to competitors, Genesco's overall market share has remained relatively stable.

Total Addressable Market:

The global footwear market is estimated to be worth over $370 billion, with the US market accounting for a significant portion of this. Genesco primarily operates in the US market, which offers a large and diverse customer base.

Financial Performance:

Recent financial statements analysis:

Genesco's recent financial performance has been mixed. While revenue has remained relatively stable, net income has fluctuated. Profit margins have also been under pressure due to increased competition and rising costs.

Year-over-year comparison:

Year-over-year, Genesco's financial performance has shown limited growth. However, the company has implemented cost-cutting measures and is focusing on improving operational efficiency.

Cash flow and balance sheet health:

Genesco's cash flow and balance sheet health are relatively strong. The company has a manageable debt load and sufficient cash reserves to support its operations and strategic initiatives.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend history:

Genesco has a history of paying dividends, with a current annual dividend yield of around 2.5%. The company's payout ratio is moderate, indicating a commitment to returning value to shareholders.

Shareholder returns:

Genesco's total shareholder returns have been modest in recent years, primarily due to the company's volatile stock price. However, long-term investors have benefited from dividend payments and capital appreciation.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical growth analysis:

Genesco's historical growth has been relatively flat, with limited revenue and earnings growth in recent years. The company has faced challenges in keeping pace with changing consumer preferences and the rise of e-commerce.

Future growth projections:

Genesco's future growth prospects are uncertain. The company is implementing initiatives to improve its online presence, expand its product offerings, and drive operational efficiency. However, the success of these initiatives remains to be seen.

Market Dynamics:

Industry overview:

The footwear industry is highly competitive, with numerous players vying for market share. The rise of e-commerce and changing consumer preferences have added to the challenges faced by traditional retailers like Genesco.

Genesco's positioning:

Genesco is well-positioned in the youth and young adult footwear market with its strong brand portfolio and extensive store network. However, the company needs to adapt to changing market dynamics and invest in its digital capabilities to remain competitive.

Competitors:

Key competitors:

Genesco's main competitors include:

  • Foot Locker (FL)
  • Nike (NKE)
  • VF Corporation (VFC)
  • Dillard's (DDS)
  • Macy's (M)

Market share and comparison:

Genesco's market share is smaller compared to its larger competitors like Nike and VF Corporation. However, the company holds a strong position in specific market segments like youth footwear.

Competitive advantages and disadvantages:

Genesco's competitive advantages include its strong brand portfolio, extensive store network, and focus on specific customer segments. However, the company faces disadvantages like limited online presence and higher operating costs compared to some competitors.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key challenges:

Genesco faces several key challenges, including:

  • Maintaining profitability in a competitive market
  • Adapting to changing consumer preferences
  • Investing in digital capabilities
  • Managing supply chain disruptions

Potential opportunities:

Genesco has opportunities to:

  • Expand its online presence
  • Develop new product categories
  • Pursue strategic acquisitions
  • Partner with other retailers

Recent Acquisitions:

Last 3 years acquisitions:

Genesco has not made any significant acquisitions in the last three years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Evaluation and justification:

Based on an AI-based analysis considering factors like financial health, market position, and future prospects, Genesco receives a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The company has a strong brand portfolio and solid financial footing, but faces challenges in a competitive market and needs to invest in its digital capabilities to drive future growth.

Sources and Disclaimers:

Sources:

This analysis is based on information gathered from Genesco's investor relations website, financial reports, industry publications, and other publicly available sources.

Disclaimers:

This overview is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risk, and the value of your investment may fluctuate. You should always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

About Genesco Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Nashville, TN, United States
IPO Launch date 1985-07-01
Chairman, President & CEO Ms. Mimi Eckel Vaughn
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Apparel Retail
Full time employees 4200
Full time employees 4200

Genesco Inc. operates as a retailer and wholesaler of footwear, apparel, and accessories in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, the United Kingdom, and the Republic of Ireland. The company operates through four segments: Journeys Group, Schuh Group, Johnston & Murphy Group, and Genesco Brands. The Journeys Group segment offers footwear and accessories through the Journeys, Journeys Kidz, and Little Burgundy retail chains, as well as through e-commerce and catalogs for young men, women, and children. Its Schuh Group segment operates Schuh retail footwear stores that offer casual and athletic footwear, as well as sells footwear through e-commerce. The Johnston & Murphy Group segment involved in the retail and e-commerce operations; and wholesale distribution of men's dress and casual footwear, apparel, and accessories, as well as women's footwear and accessories. Its Genesco Brands Group segment markets footwear under the Levi's, Dockers, and G.H. Bass brands for men, women, and children, as well as designs and manufactures the STARTER brands footwear. The company operates through Journeys, Journeys Kidz, Schuh, Little Burgundy, and Johnston & Murphy brand names; and e-commerce websites, including journeys.com, journeyskidz.com, journeys.ca, schuh.co.uk, schuh.ie, schuh.eu, johnstonmurphy.com, littleburgundyshoes.com, johnstonmurphy.ca, nashvilleshoewarehouse.com, and dockersshoes.com. Genesco Inc. was incorporated in 1934 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.

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