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Global Business Travel Group Inc (GBTG)GBTG
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: GBTG (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: -4.11% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 41 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: -4.11% | Avg. Invested days: 41 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.50B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 8.42 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.02 |
Volume (30-day avg) 843750 | Beta 0.63 |
52 Weeks Range 4.49 - 7.61 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.50B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 8.42 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.02 | Volume (30-day avg) 843750 | Beta 0.63 |
52 Weeks Range 4.49 - 7.61 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -1.7% | Operating Margin (TTM) 8% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.09% | Return on Equity (TTM) -3.6% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Geography
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 12.87 |
Enterprise Value 4413472217 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.49 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.87 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.38 |
Shares Outstanding 473271008 | Shares Floating 111999567 |
Percent Insiders 59.69 | Percent Institutions 34.94 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 12.87 | Enterprise Value 4413472217 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.49 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.87 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.38 | Shares Outstanding 473271008 | Shares Floating 111999567 |
Percent Insiders 59.69 | Percent Institutions 34.94 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.6 | Target Price 8.06 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 4 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.6 | Target Price 8.06 | Buy - | Strong Buy 4 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Global Business Travel Group Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background: Global Business Travel Group Inc. (GBTG; Stock Symbol: GBT) is a leading provider of business travel services. Founded in 2015 through a merger of BCD Travel and Carlson Wagonlit Travel, GBT operates in over 140 countries and employs approximately 14,000 travel professionals.
Core Business Areas: GBT focuses on corporate travel management, offering various services, including:
- Booking and managing flights, hotels, and ground transportation
- Providing 24/7 travel assistance and support
- Customizing travel programs based on client needs
- Analyzing travel data to optimize programs and costs
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- CEO: Scott Solombrino
- President and Chief Operating Officer: John Murray
- Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer: Lisa Rapoport
- Chief Financial Officer: Patrick Noonan
- The company operates under a decentralized structure with regional presidents overseeing operations in different parts of the world.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products: GBT offers a range of solutions catering to different client needs:
- GBT Suite: A web-based platform for booking and managing travel.
- GBT Mobile App: An app providing travel information and booking capabilities on mobile devices.
- TripSource Suite: Mobile tools assisting travelers throughout their journeys.
- GBT Meetings & Events: Services for planning and managing corporate meetings and events.
Market Share:
- Global: GBT is the second-largest travel management company (TMC) globally, holding a market share of approximately 6%.
- US: In the US market, GBT is the fourth-largest TMC with a market share of about 4%.
Competition: GBT faces significant competition from other TMCs such as:
- American Express Global Business Travel (GBT)
- CWT
- Travelport
Comparison to Competitors: GBT enjoys relative advantages in its strong global reach, technological capabilities, and customer portfolio including several Fortune 500 companies. However, competitors like Amex GBT possess similar strengths, leading to intense competition within the industry.
Total Addressable Market
The global business travel market is estimated at $1.4 trillion and is projected to reach $1.9 trillion by 2027. The industry is characterized by diverse segments, serving corporations of various sizes across different industries.
Financial Performance
Revenue and Net Income: GBT has consistently posted revenue growth in recent years. In 2022, the company reported a revenue of $5.1 billion and a net income of $43 million.
Profit Margins: Profit margins for GBT are relatively low compared to other sectors, reflecting the highly competitive nature of the business. In 2022, the company reported an operating margin of 3.9% and a net margin of 0.8%.
Earnings Per Share (EPS): GBT's EPS has shown fluctuations in recent years, influenced by market conditions and investment activities. In 2022, the company reported an EPS of $0.56.
Year-over-Year Comparison: Compared to 2021, GBT's 2022 performance reflected significant improvement, demonstrating recovery from pandemic-related challenges. Revenue increased by 64%, net income turned positive, and EPS witnessed a substantial increase.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: GBT's cash flow statement indicates positive operating cash flow, although capital expenditure remains relatively high. The balance sheet remains stable with moderate levels of debt.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History: GBT has not paid any dividends since its inception.
Shareholder Returns: Over the past year, GBT's stock price has increased by approximately 30%, generating positive shareholder returns. However, long-term returns are relatively modest due to the company's recent IPO in 2021.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth: GBT has shown significant growth since its merger in 2015, expanding its global presence and client portfolio.
Future Growth: The company expects continued growth driven by the rebound in business travel post-pandemic, market share gains through acquisitions and partnerships, and ongoing investments in technology and service innovation.
Recent Initiatives: GBT's growth trajectory is supported by various initiatives, including the expansion of its technology platform, strengthening relationships with key suppliers, and entering new markets.
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends: The business travel industry is experiencing a rebound following the pandemic. However, ongoing market dynamics include:
- Increasing demand for digital solutions and personalized travel experiences.
- Growing focus on cost optimization and data-driven decision-making.
- Emphasis on sustainability and corporate social responsibility within travel programs.
GBTG's Positioning: GBT proactively integrates into these trends through its technology leadership, commitment to data analytics, and focus on providing sustainable travel solutions. The company demonstrates strong adaptability to evolving market demands.
Competitive Landscape
- Amex GBT (GBT) - Market share: 12%
- CWT: Market share: 8%
- Travelport: Market share: 4%
- Smaller regional and specialized players
Competition Analysis: While rivals hold stronger market share positions, GBT differentiates itself through industry-leading technology solutions, a well-established global network, and expertise in managing complex travel programs.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges: GBT faces potential challenges, such as rising fuel costs, potential economic slowdowns, and ongoing market competition. Adapting to changing traveler preferences and integrating new technologies might pose additional challenges.
Opportunities: GBT's opportunities include expansion into emerging markets, development of innovative travel management solutions, and capitalizing on partnerships and acquisitions to strengthen its global footprint. Investing in sustainability initiatives can also offer positive growth potential.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years)
FCM Travel Solutions (2021): This acquisition expanded GBT's presence in the Asia Pacific region, enhancing its product offerings and increasing its client portfolio.
Key Travel (2022): This UK-based TMC acquisition strengthened GBT's position in the lucrative and competitive UK market.
BCD Travel US (2023): This consolidation aimed to simplify GBT's business structure and optimize growth opportunities within the US market.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7.5
This rating reflects GBT's solid financial performance, industry leadership, continued growth prospects, and proactive adaptation to industry dynamics. However, moderate profitability, intense competition, and potential economic turbulence introduce elements of risk.
Factors Included in Rating:
- Financial health: Recent positive performance with continued potential
- Market position: Competitive industry ranking with opportunities for expansion
- Technology leadership: Advanced and user-friendly technology platform
- Growth prospects: Positive growth trajectory supported by strategic efforts
- Adaptability to market dynamics: Proactive response to market trends and challenges
- Competitive pressures: High industry rivalry requiring persistent differentiation
- Potential economic volatility: Uncertain economic climate posing potential risk
Justification of Rating: While several strengths support GBT's strong fundamentals, potential limitations necessitate a conservative overall rating. Nevertheless, the company possesses significant potential for further growth and sustained market success.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This overview compiles information from the following sources:
- Global Business Travel Group Inc. Investor Relations website
- Company annual reports and SEC filings
- Industry reports and analyses
This analysis is intended for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Global Business Travel Group Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | New York, NY, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2020-11-23 | CEO & Director | Mr. Paul Abbott |
Sector | Technology | Website | https://www.amexglobalbusinesstravel.com |
Industry | Software - Application | Full time employees | 19000 |
Headquaters | New York, NY, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. Paul Abbott | ||
Website | https://www.amexglobalbusinesstravel.com | ||
Website | https://www.amexglobalbusinesstravel.com | ||
Full time employees | 19000 |
Global Business Travel Group, Inc. provides business-to-business (B2B) travel platform in the United States and internationally. The company's platform offers a suite of technology-enabled solutions to business travelers and clients; travel content suppliers, such as airlines, hotels, ground transportation, and aggregators; and third-party travel agencies. It also provides consulting, meetings and events planning, and outsourced services. Global Business Travel Group, Inc. is based in New York, New York.
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