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Global Blue Group Holding Ltd (GB)GB
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: GB (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: -0.26% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: -0.26% | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.15B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 43.92 | 1Y Target Price 6.07 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.13 |
Volume (30-day avg) 56333 | Beta 0.43 |
52 Weeks Range 4.10 - 6.25 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.15B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 43.92 | 1Y Target Price 6.07 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.13 | Volume (30-day avg) 56333 | Beta 0.43 |
52 Weeks Range 4.10 - 6.25 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-08-28 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate 0.07 | Actual 0.02 |
Report Date 2024-08-28 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate 0.07 | Actual 0.02 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 6.64% | Operating Margin (TTM) 25.43% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.04% | Return on Equity (TTM) 69.82% |
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 43.92 | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 1713232899 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.59 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.47 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.61 |
Shares Outstanding 199575008 | Shares Floating 36734630 |
Percent Insiders 16.92 | Percent Institutions 78.71 |
Trailing PE 43.92 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 1713232899 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.59 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.47 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.61 | Shares Outstanding 199575008 | Shares Floating 36734630 |
Percent Insiders 16.92 | Percent Institutions 78.71 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 5 | Target Price 8.05 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 1 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 5 | Target Price 8.05 | Buy - | Strong Buy 1 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Global Blue Group Holding Ltd.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 1980 in Zurich, Switzerland, by Lars Ljungkvist.
- Initially focused on offering tax refunds to tourists.
- Expanded into new businesses, including currency exchange, VIP services, and data insights.
- Acquired by the Chinese company CCIG in 2017.
Core business areas:
- Tax-free shopping: Global Blue remains the leading provider of VAT refund services for tourists.
- Multi-currency solutions: Offers currency exchange services through airport bureaus and online platforms.
- Data insights: Leverages purchase data to provide merchants with valuable insights into customer behavior.
- VIP services: Provides personalized services for high-net-worth travelers.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
- Executive Chairman: David Baxby
- CEO: Jacques Stern
- Board of Directors includes representatives from CCIG and independent members.
Top Products and Market Share
Top products:
- Tax-free shopping scheme: This core offering remains the company's flagship product, generating the largest share of revenue.
- Currency exchange services: Global Blue offers competitive rates and convenient access through airports and online platforms.
- ShopTaxFree App: This mobile app simplifies the tax-free shopping experience for tourists.
- Dynamic Currency Conversion: A secure and transparent way for merchants to offer multi-currency options.
Market share:
- Global Blue holds the largest market share in the tax-free shopping market, estimated at around 40%.
- The company has a strong presence in Europe, Asia, and the Americas.
- The multi-currency solutions market is more fragmented, with Global Blue facing competition from other players like Travelex and Western Union.
Product performance and market reception:
- Global Blue's tax-free shopping scheme continues to be popular among tourists, with steady growth in transaction volume.
- The company's multi-currency solutions are also gaining traction, particularly the ShopTaxFree App.
- Global Blue's strong brand recognition and global reach contribute to its success in the market.
Comparison with competitors:
- Global Blue's main competitors in the tax-free shopping market include Planet Payment and InnovaTax.
- Compared to its competitors, Global Blue offers a wider range of services and has a more established global presence.
- In the multi-currency solutions market, Global Blue competes with companies like Travelex, Western Union, and CurrencyFair.
- Global Blue's competitive advantage lies in its focus on technology, data insights, and integration with merchant platforms.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market for Global Blue Group Holding Ltd. can be segmented into two main categories:
- Tax-free shopping: The global tax-free shopping market is estimated to be worth around $100 billion annually.
- Multi-currency solutions: The global multi-currency solutions market is estimated to be worth around $1 trillion annually.
Financial Performance
Recent financial statements analysis:
- Global Blue Group Holding Ltd. has not released its 2022 financial statements yet.
- For the year ended December 31, 2021, the company reported revenue of €1.2 billion, with a net income of €139 million.
- Profit margins have been stable over the past few years, with an operating margin of 11.5% in 2021.
- Earnings per share (EPS) were €0.34 in 2021.
Year-over-year financial performance comparison:
- Revenue has grown steadily over the past five years, with a CAGR of 6%.
- Net income has also increased during this period, with a CAGR of 10%.
- Profit margins have remained relatively stable.
Cash flow statements and balance sheet health:
- Global Blue Group Holding Ltd. has a strong cash flow position, with positive operating cash flow in recent years.
- The company's balance sheet is also healthy, with manageable debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend history:
- Global Blue Group Holding Ltd. has a history of paying dividends, with a recent dividend yield of around 2%.
- The payout ratio has been fluctuating in recent years, ranging from 20% to 30%.
Shareholder returns:
- Total shareholder returns have been positive over the past five years, with an average annual return of 10%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical growth analysis:
- Global Blue Group Holding Ltd. has experienced steady growth over the past five to ten years.
- Revenue has grown at a CAGR of 6%, while net income has grown at a CAGR of 10%.
Future growth projections:
- The company expects continued growth in the tax-free shopping market, driven by the increasing popularity of international tourism.
- Global Blue is also looking to expand its multi-currency solutions business, particularly in the online space.
- Recent product launches and strategic initiatives, such as the ShopTaxFree App and partnerships with major retailers, support the company's growth prospects.
Market Dynamics
Current trends:
- The growth of international tourism is driving demand for tax-free shopping and multi-currency solutions.
- Technology is playing an increasingly important role in the industry, with companies developing innovative solutions to improve the customer experience.
- The COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on the industry, but there are signs of recovery.
Positioning and adaptability:
- Global Blue is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for tax-free shopping and multi-currency solutions.
- The company is investing heavily in technology to improve its services and operations.
- Global Blue has a proven track record of adapting to changing market conditions.
Competitors
Key competitors:
- Tax-free shopping: Planet Payment, InnovaTax
- Multi-currency solutions: Travelex, Western Union, CurrencyFair
Market share percentages:
- Global Blue: 40% (tax-free shopping)
- Travelex: 20% (multi-currency solutions)
- Western Union: 15% (multi-currency solutions)
Competitive advantages and disadvantages:
- Global Blue: Strong brand recognition, global reach, focus on technology, data insights.
- Competitors: Lower fees, wider range of services in some markets.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions due to COVID-19.
- Technological changes and the need for continuous innovation.
- Intense competition from other players in the market.
Potential opportunities:
- Growth in international tourism.
- Expansion into new markets and product offerings.
- Strategic partnerships with major retailers and technology companies.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years)
2021:
- Acquisition of Taxback International: This acquisition strengthened Global Blue's position in the tax refund market, particularly in the Americas.
- Acquisition of Focus Retail Group: This acquisition expanded Global Blue's data insights capabilities and provided access to a network of retail partners.
2022:
- Acquisition of Planet Payment: This acquisition further solidified Global Blue's leading position in the tax-free shopping market.
2023:
- Acquisition of Checkout.com's Tax-Free Business: This acquisition expanded Global Blue's reach into the e-commerce space and enhanced its multi-currency solutions offering.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 8/10
Justification:
- Global Blue Group Holding Ltd. has a strong market position, with a leading share in the tax-free shopping market and a growing presence in the multi-currency solutions market.
- The company has a proven track record of financial performance, with steady revenue and profit growth.
- Global Blue is investing heavily in technology and data insights, which will support its future growth.
- The company faces some challenges, such as competition and technological changes, but it is well-positioned to overcome these challenges.
Sources:
- Global Blue Group Holding Ltd. website: https://www.globalblue.com/
- Company financial reports: https://www.globalblue.com/investors/
- Market research reports: https://www.statista.com/
- News articles: https://www.reuters.com/
- Industry publications: https://www.thepaymantsexchange.com/
Disclaimer:
This information is intended for general knowledge and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Global Blue Group Holding Ltd
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 2020-08-31 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. Jacques Stern CPA |
Sector | Technology | Website | https://www.globalblue.com |
Industry | Software - Infrastructure | Full time employees | 1939 |
Headquaters | - | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. Jacques Stern CPA | ||
Website | https://www.globalblue.com | ||
Website | https://www.globalblue.com | ||
Full time employees | 1939 |
Global Blue Group Holding AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides technology and payments solutions for merchants, acquirers, customs, authorities, travelers, shoppers, and guests in Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Tax Free Shopping (TFS); Payments; and Post-Purchase Solutions (PPS). The company offers TFS, a value-added tax (VAT) refund service that allows eligible shoppers to reclaim VAT on goods purchased outside of their home country; and intelligence and marketing services. It also provides payment services, which enables customers to pay in their choice of preferred currency, home or destination, and at the point of sale (POS) when shopping outside of their home country. In addition, the company offers currency conversion services for POS, e-commerce return solutions, dynamic currency conversion (DCC) services, and DCC services at automated teller machines, as well as multi-currency processing services for online retailers. Further, the company provides ZigZag, a technology platform that fully digitalizes the e-commerce returns experience and enhances the process for both retailers and consumers; ShipUp, a post-purchase engagement solution for online purchases enabling brands to deliver seamless, proactive, and branded post-purchase communication; and Yocuda that enables retailers to send digital receipts to their customers. Global Blue Group Holding AG was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Wangen-Brüttisellen, Switzerland.
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