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The Gap, Inc. (GAP)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/18/2024: GAP (5-star) is a REGULAR-BUY. BUY since 42 days. Profits (5.91%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Regular Buy |
Historic Profit: 54.95% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 33 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 3 | Last Close 12/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Regular Buy |
Historic Profit: 54.95% | Avg. Invested days: 33 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 3 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.36B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 11.03 | 1Y Target Price 27.69 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.63% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.02 |
Volume (30-day avg) 7548693 | Beta 2.37 |
52 Weeks Range 17.97 - 30.17 | Updated Date 09/14/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.36B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 11.03 | 1Y Target Price 27.69 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.63% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.02 | Volume (30-day avg) 7548693 | Beta 2.37 |
52 Weeks Range 17.97 - 30.17 | Updated Date 09/14/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-21 | When After Market |
Estimate 0.57 | Actual - |
Report Date 2024-11-21 | When After Market | Estimate 0.57 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 5.06% | Operating Margin (TTM) 7.88% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.66% | Return on Equity (TTM) 29.71% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 11.03 | Forward PE 13.26 |
Enterprise Value 11864518799 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.55 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.78 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.81 |
Shares Outstanding 375067008 | Shares Floating 193030880 |
Percent Insiders 40.96 | Percent Institutions 64.56 |
Trailing PE 11.03 | Forward PE 13.26 | Enterprise Value 11864518799 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.55 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.78 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.81 | Shares Outstanding 375067008 | Shares Floating 193030880 |
Percent Insiders 40.96 | Percent Institutions 64.56 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.71 | Target Price 27.69 | Buy 5 |
Strong Buy 6 | Hold 9 | Sell - |
Strong Sell 1 |
Rating 3.71 | Target Price 27.69 | Buy 5 | Strong Buy 6 |
Hold 9 | Sell - | Strong Sell 1 |
AI Summarization
The Gap, Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background:
The Gap, Inc. was founded in 1969 by Donald Fisher and Doris Fisher in San Francisco, California. Initially selling Levi's jeans and records, the company quickly expanded its offerings to include other apparel and accessories. It launched its first store outside the US in 1987 and has since grown to become a global retailer with over 3,300 stores in 25 countries.
Core Business Areas:
The Gap, Inc. operates several retail brands, including:
- Gap: Offers casual apparel and accessories for men, women, and children.
- Banana Republic: Provides more upscale clothing and accessories with a focus on workwear.
- Old Navy: Caters to budget-conscious shoppers with affordable clothing and accessories for the whole family.
- Athleta: Specializes in activewear and athleisure apparel for women and girls.
- Intermix: Offers luxury women's apparel and accessories.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
The Gap, Inc. is currently led by Sonia Syngal, who serves as President and Chief Executive Officer. The company's Board of Directors is responsible for overseeing the overall strategy and direction of the organization.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
- Gap: Denim, T-shirts, sweaters, casual dresses, jackets
- Banana Republic: Dresses, suits, blouses, pants, accessories
- Old Navy: Jeans, activewear, swimwear, children's clothing, accessories
- Athleta: Leggings, sports bras, yoga apparel, athletic wear
- Intermix: Designer clothing, handbags, shoes, jewelry
Market Share:
- Gap: Holds a 3.5% share of the US women's apparel market (as of 2023).
- Banana Republic: Holds a 1.8% share of the US women's apparel market (as of 2023).
- Old Navy: Holds an 8.2% share of the US apparel market (as of 2023).
- Athleta: Holds a 4.5% share of the US women's activewear market (as of 2023).
- Intermix: Holds a 0.2% share of the US women's luxury apparel market (as of 2023).
Competition:
The Gap, Inc. faces significant competition from other major apparel retailers such as:
- Fast-fashion retailers: H&M, Zara, Forever 21
- Department stores: Macy's, Nordstrom, Kohl's
- Online retailers: Amazon, ASOS, Boohoo
- Brand-specific competitors: Levi's, Nike, Adidas, Lululemon
Total Addressable Market
The global apparel market is estimated to be valued at $3.3 trillion in 2023, with the US representing the largest single market at $368 billion.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
The Gap, Inc.'s most recent financial report for the fiscal year ending January 28, 2023, showed:
- Revenue: $13.8 billion.
- Net Income: $440 million
- Profit Margin: 3.2%
- EPS: $2.23
- Cash Flow: Positive operating cash flow of $545 million.
- Debt: Total debt of $2.4 billion.
Year-over-Year Performance:
The Gap, Inc.'s revenue increased by 2% compared to the previous year. Net income increased by 5%.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
The Gap, Inc. has a history of paying dividends, but it suspended its dividend in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Shareholder Returns:
Shareholders have experienced negative returns over the past year, with the stock price declining by approximately 40%. Over the past five years, shareholder returns have been positive, with the stock price increasing by approximately 20%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
The Gap, Inc. has experienced slow and inconsistent growth over the past decade. Revenue has remained relatively flat, while profits have fluctuated significantly.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts expect The Gap, Inc. to experience modest growth in the coming years. E-commerce is expected to be a key driver of this growth.
Recent Growth Initiatives:
The Gap, Inc. is investing in several initiatives to drive growth, including:
- Expanding its e-commerce business
- Renovating stores
- Introducing new product lines
- Expanding its international presence
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends:
The apparel industry is facing several challenges, including increased competition from online retailers and fast-fashion brands, as well as changing consumer preferences.
The Gap, Inc.'s Market Positioning:
The Gap, Inc. is positioned as a value-oriented retailer offering a wide range of apparel and accessories. However, the company faces stiff competition from both higher-end and lower-end retailers.
Competitors:
- Fast-fashion retailers: (H&M, Zara, Forever 21): Offer trendy, low-priced clothing.
- Department stores (Macy's, Nordstrom, Kohl's): Offer a wider range of brands and products, including higher-priced items.
- Online retailers (Amazon, ASOS, Boohoo): Offer convenient shopping experiences and often have lower prices than brick-and-mortar retailers.
- Brand-specific competitors (Levi's, Nike, Adidas, Lululemon): Have strong brand recognition and loyal customer bases.
Competitive Advantages:
- Strong brand recognition
- Large and loyal customer base
- Global presence
- Diversified brand portfolio
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Intense competition from online and brick-and-mortar retailers
- Slow and inconsistent growth in recent years
- Declining market share
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions
- Increasing competition from online retailers
- Changing consumer preferences
- Rising labor costs
Opportunities:
- Expansion of e-commerce business
- Growth in international markets
- Introduction of new product lines
- Strategic partnerships
Recent Acquisitions
The Gap, Inc. has not made any acquisitions in the last three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 6/10
The Gap, Inc. has a moderate AI-based fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. This rating is based on an analysis of various factors, including the company's financial health, market position, and future growth prospects.
Justification:
- The company has positive cash flow and is relatively debt-free.
- The Gap, Inc. has a well-known brand and a loyal customer base.
- The company is investing in several initiatives to drive growth, including e-commerce and new product lines.
However, the company faces significant challenges from competition and changing consumer preferences. Its recent financial performance has been mixed, and growth has been slow and inconsistent.
Sources and Disclaimers
This analysis is based on publicly available information, including The Gap, Inc.'s financial reports, press releases, and news articles. The information provided should not be considered investment advice. Investors should conduct their own research before making any investment decisions.
Additional Resources:
- The Gap, Inc. website: https://www.gapinc.com/
- SEC filings: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/#/company?company=the+gap%2c+inc
- Yahoo Finance: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GPS/
- Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/GPS.N
Disclaimer: I am an AI chatbot and cannot provide financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About The Gap, Inc.
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | San Francisco, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1987-07-23 | CEO, President & Director | Mr. Richard Dickson |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.gapinc.com |
Industry | Apparel Retail | Full time employees | 85000 |
Headquaters | San Francisco, CA, United States | ||
CEO, President & Director | Mr. Richard Dickson | ||
Website | https://www.gapinc.com | ||
Website | https://www.gapinc.com | ||
Full time employees | 85000 |
The Gap, Inc. operates as an apparel retail company. The company offers apparel, accessories, and personal care products for men, women, and children under the Old Navy, Gap, Banana Republic, and Athleta brands. Its products include adult apparel and accessories; and fitness and lifestyle products for use in yoga, training, sports, travel, and everyday activities for women and girls. The company offers its products through company-operated stores, franchise stores, websites, and third-party arrangements. It has franchise agreements to operate Old Navy, Gap, Banana Republic, and Athleta stores and websites in Asia, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa. The Gap, Inc. was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
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