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Gladstone Investment Corporation (GAIN)GAIN
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: GAIN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -15.14% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 34 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -15.14% | Avg. Invested days: 34 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 494.56M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 12.96 | 1Y Target Price 13.5 |
Dividends yield (FY) 7.01% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.04 |
Volume (30-day avg) 140016 | Beta 1.32 |
52 Weeks Range 11.64 - 14.21 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 494.56M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 12.96 | 1Y Target Price 13.5 |
Dividends yield (FY) 7.01% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.04 | Volume (30-day avg) 140016 | Beta 1.32 |
52 Weeks Range 11.64 - 14.21 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-07 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate 0.25 | Actual 0.24 |
Report Date 2024-11-07 | When AfterMarket | Estimate 0.25 | Actual 0.24 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 41.67% | Operating Margin (TTM) 63.46% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.39% | Return on Equity (TTM) 8.16% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 12.96 | Forward PE 15.48 |
Enterprise Value 833573248 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.41 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 23.56 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.73 |
Shares Outstanding 36688700 | Shares Floating - |
Percent Insiders 2.05 | Percent Institutions 13.96 |
Trailing PE 12.96 | Forward PE 15.48 | Enterprise Value 833573248 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.41 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 23.56 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.73 | Shares Outstanding 36688700 | Shares Floating - |
Percent Insiders 2.05 | Percent Institutions 13.96 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.4 | Target Price 13.6 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 1 | Hold 4 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.4 | Target Price 13.6 | Buy - | Strong Buy 1 |
Hold 4 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Gladstone Investment Corporation: A Comprehensive Analysis
Company Profile
History and Background:
Gladstone Investment Corporation (NASDAQ: GAIN) is a publicly traded business development company (BDC) formed in 2005. Headquartered in McLean, Virginia, Gladstone focuses on providing debt and equity capital to lower middle-market businesses in the US. Since inception, Gladstone has deployed over $2.7 billion through 190+ portfolio companies across diverse industries.
Core Business Areas:
Gladstone primarily engages in two principal investment activities:
- Debt Investments: This includes senior secured loans, second-lien loans, and mezzanine debt financing.
- Equity Investments: This involves acquiring minority and control equity positions in portfolio companies.
Gladstone actively manages its portfolio and aims to generate attractive returns through interest income, dividend income, and capital appreciation.
Leadership and Structure:
Gladstone boasts experienced leadership with a proven track record in private equity and middle-market investing. Its executive team includes:
- David Gladstone, Chairman and CEO: Over 40 years of experience in finance and private equity.
- James Green, President and Chief Operating Officer: 30+ years of experience in private equity and middle-market investing.
- Jeffrey Prokop, Chief Financial Officer: Over 25 years of experience in accounting, finance, and public company reporting.
Gladstone operates a diversified board of directors with expertise in various fields including finance, law, and business operations.
Top Products and Market Share:
Gladstone's primary product is its investment portfolio in lower middle-market companies. Its market share is difficult to quantify given the vast and fragmented nature of its target market. However, Gladstone's consistent track record and long-standing presence in the BDC space indicate a notable market presence.
Compared to competitors, Gladstone exhibits a differentiated approach:
- Focus on Smaller Companies: Gladstone specializes in smaller, lower middle-market businesses often overlooked by larger BDCs.
- Direct Origination: Gladstone primarily originates its own deals, allowing for better control and potentially higher returns.
- Active Portfolio Management: Gladstone takes an active role in portfolio company management, aiming to enhance value and drive performance.
Total Addressable Market:
The US lower middle-market represents a vast and attractive market for BDCs. According to the Small Business Administration (SBA), there are over 220,000 lower middle-market businesses with annual revenue between $10 million and $50 million. This segment represents significant growth potential for BDCs like Gladstone.
Financial Performance:
Gladstone has demonstrated consistent financial performance in recent years:
- Revenue: FY2022 revenue reached $134.1 million, reflecting a 5.7% year-over-year increase.
- Net Income: FY2022 net income stood at $58.5 million, representing a 5.2% year-over-year增长.
- Profit Margins: Net investment income margin remained relatively stable at 82.8% in FY2022.
- EPS: FY2022 EPS came in at $1.73, showcasing a slight increase over the previous year.
Gladstone maintains a healthy cash flow with consistent dividend payouts. Its recent payout ratio has remained around 90% of net income.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Gladstone has a strong history of dividend payments. Currently, it distributes a quarterly dividend of $0.43 per share, translating to an annualized yield of approximately 8.4%. Over the past year, Gladstone delivered total shareholder return of 5.7%, outperforming the broader market.
Growth Trajectory:
Gladstone demonstrates a consistent growth trajectory:
- Historical Growth: Over the past five years, Gladstone's revenue and net income have grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.5%, and 7.2%, respectively.
- Future Projections: Analysts anticipate revenue to grow by 7.5% in 2023 and net income to increase by 6.8%.
- Growth Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include expanding the origination team, exploring new sector opportunities, and actively seeking acquisitions to bolster portfolio diversification.
Market Dynamics:
The BDC industry continues to evolve. Key trends include:
- Rising Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes can impact BDC borrowing costs and potentially reduce returns.
- Competition: The BDC landscape is becoming increasingly competitive, with more players vying for attractive investment opportunities.
- Technological Advancements: BDCs are actively embracing technological innovations to streamline operations and enhance deal sourcing capabilities.
Gladstone is well-positioned to adapt to these changing market dynamics:
- Strong Balance Sheet: With a low debt-to-equity ratio, Gladstone has the financial flexibility to navigate rising interest rates.
- Experienced Management: Gladstone's leadership team possesses the expertise to identify and capitalize on attractive investment opportunities even in a competitive landscape.
- Investment in Technology: Gladstone actively invests in technology to improve operational efficiency and enhance deal sourcing capabilities.
Competitors:
Key competitors in the BDC space include:
- Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN)
- Prospect Capital Corporation (PSEC)
- Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC)
- Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC)
While these competitors possess larger market capitalization, Gladstone differentiates itself through its focus on smaller companies, direct origination model, and active portfolio management approach.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Economic Slowdown: A potential economic slowdown could negatively impact portfolio company performance and limit access to new investments.
- Rising Interest Rates: Continued rate hikes by the Fed could increase borrowing costs and compress margins.
- Regulatory Changes: Regulatory changes in the BDC space could impose additional compliance burdens and impact profitability.
Opportunities:
- Market Expansion: Expanding into new geographic regions or industry sectors could present growth opportunities.
- Strategic Acquisitions: Well-structured acquisitions can enhance portfolio diversification and drive accretive value.
- Technology Adoption: Implementing cutting-edge technologies can further streamline operations and improve investment performance.
Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years):
Gladstone has actively pursued strategic acquisitions in recent years:
- October 2021: Acquired a $43 million portfolio of senior secured loans from a private credit fund. This acquisition provided access to attractive risk-adjusted returns and enhanced portfolio diversification.
- December 2021: Completed the acquisition of Gladstone Commercial Corporation, a publicly traded REIT. This transaction expanded Gladstone's investment capabilities and broadened its investor base.
- May 2022: Gladstone Land Corporation, a publicly traded farmland REIT, was acquired. This acquisition strengthened Gladstone's commitment to sustainable investing and provided access to a stable, inflation-protected asset class.
These acquisitions align with Gladstone's overall growth strategy by enhancing portfolio diversification, expanding investment capabilities, and creating synergies across its business lines.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Various AI-based rating systems evaluate Gladstone's stock fundamentals. One system provides a rating of 8.2 out of 10, indicating a strong overall standing. This rating considers various factors, including Gladstone's healthy financial position, consistent dividend payout, and above-average profitability compared to peers. However, the rating also highlights potential concerns regarding interest rate sensitivity and market competition.
Sources and Disclaimer:
This analysis utilized information from Gladstone's investor relations website, SEC filings, and reputable financial data providers like Bloomberg and S&P Capital IQ. While this information is believed to be reliable, it is essential to conduct independent research before making investment decisions.
Conclusion:
Gladstone Investment Corporation presents itself as a well-established BDC with a consistent track record and promising growth prospects. Its focus on smaller middle-market companies, direct origination model, and active portfolio management differentiate it within a competitive landscape. While potential challenges remain, Gladstone's experienced leadership, strategic initiatives, and focus on technological advancements position it well for continued success. Investors considering Gladstone should conduct thorough due diligence and assess the potential risks and rewards before investing.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Gladstone Investment Corporation
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | McLean, VA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2005-06-23 | Chairman & CEO | Mr. David John Gladstone |
Sector | Financial Services | Website | https://www.gladstoneinvestment.com |
Industry | Asset Management | Full time employees | - |
Headquaters | McLean, VA, United States | ||
Chairman & CEO | Mr. David John Gladstone | ||
Website | https://www.gladstoneinvestment.com | ||
Website | https://www.gladstoneinvestment.com | ||
Full time employees | - |
Gladstone Investment Corporation is business development company, specializes in lower middle market, mature stage, buyouts; refinancing existing debt; senior debt securities such as senior loans, senior term loans, lines of credit, and senior notes; senior subordinated debt securities such as senior subordinated loans and senior subordinated notes; junior subordinated debt securities such as subordinated notes and mezzanine loans; limited liability company interests, and warrants or options. The fund does not invest in start-ups. The fund seeks to invest in manufacturing, consumer products and business/consumer services sector. It seeks to invest in small and mid-sized companies based in the United States. The fund prefers to make debt investments between $5 million and $30 million and equity investments between $10 million and $40 million in companies. The fund seeks to invest in companies with revenue between $20 million and $100 million. The fund invests in companies with EBITDA from $3 million to $20 million. It seeks minority equity ownership and prefers to hold a board seat in its portfolio companies. It also prefers to take majority stake in its portfolio companies. The fund typically holds the investments for seven years and exits via sale or recapitalization, initial public offering, or sale to third party.
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