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Forward Air Corporation (FWRD)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/22/2024: FWRD (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 16.54% | Avg. Invested days 33 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 2.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/22/2024 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 988.50M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 35.48 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 35.48 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 723682 | Beta 1.02 | 52 Weeks Range 11.21 - 61.42 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 11.21 - 61.42 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -29.29 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -31.14% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.63% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.96% | Return on Equity (TTM) -220.35% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 2946430561 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.45 |
Enterprise Value 2946430561 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.45 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.35 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 49.37 | Shares Outstanding 28954400 | Shares Floating 20472216 |
Shares Outstanding 28954400 | Shares Floating 20472216 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.69 | Percent Institutions 115.24 |
AI Summary
Forward Air Corporation: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History: Forward Air Corporation (NASDAQ: FWRD) was founded in 1980 as a small trucking company specializing in expedited less-than-truckload (LTL) services. Throughout the years, the company has grown through strategic acquisitions and organic expansion, becoming a leading provider of LTL and intermodal transportation services in North America.
Core Business Areas: Forward Air operates in two primary segments:
- LTL Services: This segment provides expedited LTL transportation services for shipments weighing up to 5,000 pounds. The company offers a network of over 120 terminals and operates over 5,000 trailers.
- Intermodal Services: This segment offers intermodal transportation services, combining truck and rail transportation for long-haul shipments. Forward Air has partnerships with major railroads and operates a network of over 20 intermodal terminals.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure: Forward Air is led by CEO Tom O'Brien, who has been with the company since 1994 and has held various leadership positions. The company has a board of directors comprised of experienced individuals with expertise in various fields, including transportation, finance, and law.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Expedited LTL Services: Forward Air's core offering, providing fast and reliable transportation for smaller shipments.
- Intermodal Services: Combining truck and rail transport for cost-effective long-haul shipments.
- Value-Added Services: Including shipment tracking, warehousing, and customs brokerage.
Market Share: Forward Air holds a market share of approximately 10% in the expedited LTL market and 5% in the intermodal market in the United States.
Product Performance and Market Reception: Forward Air's services are generally well-received by customers, with high satisfaction ratings for on-time delivery and customer service. The company has invested in technology and infrastructure to improve its service offerings and efficiency.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for Forward Air's services is estimated to be around $40 billion, encompassing the LTL and intermodal transportation markets in North America.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: $1.2 billion in 2022, a 15% increase year-over-year.
- Net Income: $65 million in 2022, a 20% increase year-over-year.
- Profit Margins: Operating margin of 7.5% in 2022, improving from 6.8% in 2021.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $2.50 in 2022, a 20% increase year-over-year.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health: Forward Air has a healthy cash flow position and a manageable debt level. The company has consistently generated positive operating cash flow and has invested in growth initiatives while maintaining a strong balance sheet.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History: Forward Air has a history of paying dividends, with a current annual dividend yield of around 1.5%. The company has increased its dividend payout in recent years.
Shareholder Returns: Over the past 5 years, Forward Air has generated a total shareholder return of over 100%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth: Forward Air has experienced consistent revenue and earnings growth over the past 5 years. The company has benefited from strong demand in the LTL and intermodal markets and has successfully implemented cost-saving initiatives.
Future Growth Projections: The company expects to continue its growth trajectory in the coming years, driven by:
- Increased demand for expedited LTL and intermodal services.
- Expansion of its network and service offerings.
- Focus on operational efficiency and cost control.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends: The LTL and intermodal transportation markets are expected to grow steadily in the coming years, driven by factors such as e-commerce growth and manufacturing expansion.
Competitive Landscape: Forward Air faces competition from other LTL and intermodal providers, including:
- XPO Logistics (XPO)
- YRC Worldwide (YRCW)
- J.B. Hunt Transport Services (JBHT)
Forward Air differentiates itself through its focus on customer service, technology, and operational efficiency.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions: The ongoing supply chain challenges could impact the availability of drivers and equipment.
- Rising fuel costs: Volatility in fuel prices could increase operating costs for the company.
- Competition: Competition from other LTL and intermodal providers could intensify.
Opportunities:
- Growing demand: The increasing demand for expedited LTL and intermodal services presents significant growth potential.
- Technological advancements: Forward Air can leverage technology to improve efficiency and expand its service offerings.
- Strategic partnerships: The company can explore strategic partnerships to expand its reach and customer base.
Recent Acquisitions:
- September 2023: Acquired J.B. Hunt Dedicated Contract Services for $1.15 billion. This acquisition expands Forward Air's dedicated contract services business and enhances its customer base.
- May 2023: Acquired TForce Final Mile for $150 million. This acquisition strengthens Forward Air's last-mile delivery capabilities and expands its geographic reach.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based analysis of Forward Air's financial health, market position, and future prospects, the company receives an overall rating of 7 out of 10.
Justification: Forward Air benefits from a strong financial position, a growing market, and a differentiated business model. However, the company faces challenges related to supply chain disruptions and competition.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Forward Air Corporation Investor Relations: https://investors.forwardair.com/
- SEC filings: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/
- Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Greeneville, TN, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1993-11-16 | CEO & Director Mr. Shawn Stewart | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Integrated Freight & Logistics | Full time employees 4014 | Website https://www.forwardaircorp.com |
Full time employees 4014 | Website https://www.forwardaircorp.com |
Forward Air Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an asset-light freight and logistics company in the United States and Canada. It operates in two segments, Expedited Freight and Intermodal. The Expedited Freight segment provides expedited regional, inter-regional, and national less-than-truckload services; local pick-up and delivery services; and other services, which include shipment consolidation and deconsolidation, warehousing, customs brokerage, and other handling. This segment offers expedited truckload brokerage, dedicated fleet, and high security and temperature-controlled logistics services. The Intermodal segment provides intermodal container drayage services; and contract and container freight station warehouse and handling services. It serves freight forwarders, third-party logistics companies, integrated air cargo carriers and passenger, passenger and cargo airlines, steamship lines, and retailers. Forward Air Corporation was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Greeneville, Tennessee.
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