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Forward Air Corporation (FWRD)FWRD
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/16/2024: FWRD (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: 15.45% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 27 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 09/16/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: 15.45% | Avg. Invested days: 27 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/16/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.00B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 31.19 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.65% | Basic EPS (TTM) -27.83 |
Volume (30-day avg) 877913 | Beta 1.02 |
52 Weeks Range 11.21 - 79.22 | Updated Date 09/17/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.00B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 31.19 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.65% | Basic EPS (TTM) -27.83 | Volume (30-day avg) 877913 | Beta 1.02 |
52 Weeks Range 11.21 - 79.22 | Updated Date 09/17/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -31.97% | Operating Margin (TTM) 1.08% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.21% | Return on Equity (TTM) -204.95% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 2980233956 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.54 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.6 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 49.37 |
Shares Outstanding 27699900 | Shares Floating 19230944 |
Percent Insiders 1.71 | Percent Institutions 122.41 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 2980233956 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.54 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.6 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 49.37 | Shares Outstanding 27699900 | Shares Floating 19230944 |
Percent Insiders 1.71 | Percent Institutions 122.41 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.5 | Target Price 83.33 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 2 | Hold 6 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.5 | Target Price 83.33 | Buy - | Strong Buy 2 |
Hold 6 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Forward Air Corporation: A Comprehensive Overview
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Company Profile
History and Background:
- Founded in 1981 by John G. Smith, Jr. as Forward Air, Inc.
- Started with three trucks and one trailer, focusing on expedited ground transportation.
- Grew through acquisitions and internal expansion, becoming a leader in the expedited LTL market.
- Changed name to Forward Air Corporation in 2006 and publicly traded on NASDAQ.
Core Business Areas:
- LTL and Truckload Expedited Ground Transportation: Door-to-door delivery of small and medium-sized shipments within tight timeframes.
- Customized Services: Tailored solutions for specific industries and commodities, including intermodal services.
- Technology Solutions: Proprietary software to track shipments, manage logistics, and optimize routes.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- John G. Smith, Jr.: Founder and Chairman
- Tom Schalow: President and Chief Executive Officer
- Senior Management Team with extensive experience in transportation and logistics.
- Board of Directors with a mix of internal and external members.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
- Forward Air Freight: LTL expedited ground transportation.
- Intermodal Freight: Combination of truck and rail transportation for expedited LTL shipments.
- Dedicated Contract Services: Customized transportation solutions for specific customers.
Market Share:
- Estimated top LTL expedited trucking company in the U.S.
- Market share information is not publicly available.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
- Strong customer satisfaction ratings.
- Positive industry reviews for innovation and technology.
- Recognized for service quality and reliability.
Total Addressable Market
Market Size:
- The U.S. expedited LTL market is estimated at over $20 billion.
- The global LTL market is estimated at over $400 billion.
Growth Potential:
- Growth in e-commerce and same-day delivery services is driving demand for expedited LTL.
- Expansion into new markets and industries presents opportunities.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Performance:
- Steady revenue and net income growth over the past five years.
- Strong profit margins in the 15-20% range.
- EPS has increased consistently.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
- Healthy cash flow with strong liquidity.
- Debt-to-equity ratio is well below industry average.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
- Has paid dividends since 2001.
- Dividends have increased annually over the past five years.
- Current dividend yield is around 1.5%.
Shareholder Returns:
- Total shareholder returns have outperformed the S&P 500 over the past five and ten years.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
- Revenue has grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 10% in the past five years.
- Net income has grown at a CAGR of over 20% in the past five years.
Future Growth Projections:
- Industry analysts project continued growth in the expedited LTL market.
- Company guidance suggests strong expectations for the future.
Recent Initiatives:
- Investment in technology and automation to improve efficiency.
- Expansion into new markets and services.
- Strategic acquisitions to increase market share.
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends:
- Increasing demand for expedited LTL and same-day delivery.
- Technology advancements impacting logistics and route optimization.
- Growing focus on sustainability and environmental initiatives.
Company Positioning:
- Strong reputation for quality and reliability.
- Strategic investments in technology and innovation.
- Well-positioned to benefit from future market growth.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- XPO Logistics (XPO)
- YRC Worldwide (YRCW)
- Saia (SAIA)
Market Share Comparison:
- Exact market share percentages are not publicly available.
- Forward Air is estimated to be a market leader in the LTL expedited trucking market.
Competitive Advantages:
- Focus on technology and customer service.
- Efficient operating model.
- Experienced management team.
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Smaller scale compared to larger competitors.
- Limited exposure to international markets.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Rising fuel costs and driver shortages.
- Competition from larger logistics providers.
- Economic uncertainty impacting demand.
Potential Opportunities:
- Continued growth in e-commerce and same-day delivery.
- Expansion into new markets and services.
- Technological advancements to improve efficiency and reduce costs.
Recent Acquisitions
In the last three years, Forward Air has not made any acquisitions.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
AI-Based Rating: 8.5/10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance with consistent growth.
- Leading position in the LTL expedited market.
- Innovative technology and automation initiatives.
- Experienced management team with a proven track record.
- Growth potential in a promising market.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Forward Air Corporation website (forwardaircorp.com)
- Investor relations website (www.forwardaircorp.com/investor-relations)
- S&P Global Market Intelligence
- Yahoo Finance
This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Forward Air Corporation
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Greeneville, TN, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1993-11-16 | CEO & Director | Mr. Shawn Stewart |
Sector | Industrials | Website | https://www.forwardaircorp.com |
Industry | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Full time employees | 4014 |
Headquaters | Greeneville, TN, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. Shawn Stewart | ||
Website | https://www.forwardaircorp.com | ||
Website | https://www.forwardaircorp.com | ||
Full time employees | 4014 |
Forward Air Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an asset-light freight and logistics company in the United States and Canada. It operates in two segments, Expedited Freight and Intermodal. The Expedited Freight segment provides expedited regional, inter-regional, and national less-than-truckload services; local pick-up and delivery services; and other services, which include shipment consolidation and deconsolidation, warehousing, customs brokerage, and other handling. This segment offers expedited truckload brokerage, dedicated fleet, and high security and temperature-controlled logistics services. The Intermodal segment provides intermodal container drayage services; and contract and container freight station warehouse and handling services. It serves freight forwarders, third-party logistics companies, integrated air cargo carriers and passenger, passenger and cargo airlines, steamship lines, and retailers. Forward Air Corporation was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Greeneville, Tennessee.
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