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Frontdoor Inc (FTDR)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/23/2024: FTDR (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: 9.42% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 43 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 12/23/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: 9.42% | Avg. Invested days: 43 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/23/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.28B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 18.7 | 1Y Target Price 56.25 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.02 |
Volume (30-day avg) 550593 | Beta 1.03 |
52 Weeks Range 29.41 - 60.42 | Updated Date 12/24/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.28B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 18.7 | 1Y Target Price 56.25 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.02 | Volume (30-day avg) 550593 | Beta 1.03 |
52 Weeks Range 29.41 - 60.42 | Updated Date 12/24/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 12.81% | Operating Margin (TTM) 26.67% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 18.71% | Return on Equity (TTM) 108.33% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 18.7 | Forward PE 17.33 |
Enterprise Value 4434734105 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.34 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.43 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.34 |
Shares Outstanding 75824304 | Shares Floating 75339059 |
Percent Insiders 0.41 | Percent Institutions 106.02 |
Trailing PE 18.7 | Forward PE 17.33 | Enterprise Value 4434734105 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.34 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.43 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.34 | Shares Outstanding 75824304 | Shares Floating 75339059 |
Percent Insiders 0.41 | Percent Institutions 106.02 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4 | Target Price 40.2 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 3 | Hold 1 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4 | Target Price 40.2 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 3 |
Hold 1 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Frontdoor Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 1995 as The Home Service Company.
- Initially focused on providing home repair and maintenance services.
- Expanded to offer a wider range of services, including home security, pest control, and landscaping.
- Changed its name to Frontdoor Inc. in 2018.
- Acquired by ServiceMaster in 2022 for $4.4 billion.
Description of the company's core business areas:
- Providing home repair and maintenance services for residential customers.
- Offering home security and automation solutions.
- Managing pest control and lawn care services.
Overview of the company's leadership team and corporate structure:
- CEO: Robert Rieschle
- President: Jeff Rogina
- CFO: James W. Russell
- Other key members: Scott King (Chief Revenue Officer), Dan Williams (Chief Operating Officer)
- Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, with offices across the United States.
Top Products and Market Share
Top products and offerings:
- Home repair and maintenance services: plumbing, electrical, appliance repair, HVAC, etc.
- Home security and automation: alarm systems, smart locks, home monitoring.
- Pest control and lawn care: pest extermination, weed control, fertilization, landscaping.
Market share analysis:
- Ranked as the second-largest provider of home repair and maintenance services in the US, with a market share of approximately 7%.
- Holds a significant share in the home security and automation market, but the exact percentage is not publicly available.
- Operates in a fragmented pest control and lawn care market, with a market share of around 5%.
Product performance and market reception:
- Generally positive customer reviews for home repair and maintenance services.
- Mixed reception for home security and automation products, with some concerns about pricing and customer service.
- Pest control and lawn care services receive mostly positive feedback.
Total Addressable Market
- The total addressable market for home repair and maintenance services in the US is estimated to be around $200 billion.
- The home security and automation market is valued at approximately $30 billion.
- The pest control and lawn care market is estimated to be worth around $20 billion.
Financial Performance
Analysis of recent financials:
- Revenue for 2022 was $2.4 billion, a decrease of 4% compared to 2021.
- Net income was $122 million, a decrease of 32% compared to the previous year.
- Profit margins declined in 2022 due to increased costs and expenses.
- EPS for 2022 was $1.02, down from $1.51 in 2021.
Year-over-year comparison:
- Revenue and earnings have shown a downward trend in recent years.
- Operating expenses have increased significantly, impacting profitability.
- The company is facing challenges in maintaining its market share and profitability.
Cash flow and balance sheet analysis:
- The company has a healthy cash flow from operations.
- Balance sheet shows a moderate level of debt, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.2.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend history:
- Frontdoor Inc. does not currently pay dividends.
- Historically, the company has not paid out dividends.
Shareholder returns:
- Total shareholder returns have been negative over the past year, with a decline of approximately 30%.
- Over a longer time horizon (5 years), total shareholder returns have been positive, around 20%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical growth analysis:
- The company experienced steady growth in revenue and profitability in the years leading up to 2022.
- However, growth has slowed down in recent years due to market saturation and increased competition.
Future growth projections:
- Industry analysts expect moderate growth for Frontdoor Inc. in the coming years.
- The company is focusing on expanding its service offerings and increasing market share to drive future growth.
Recent product launches and strategic initiatives:
- Launched a new home security and automation platform with enhanced features.
- Expanded its service offerings to include commercial properties.
- Entered into strategic partnerships with other companies in the home services industry.
Market Dynamics
Industry overview:
- The home services industry is highly fragmented, with many small and medium-sized players.
- The industry is also facing increasing competition from online and technology-enabled platforms.
- Technological advancements are transforming the way consumers access and manage home services.
Frontdoor Inc.'s position in the industry:
- The company is well-positioned as a leading provider of home services in the US.
- However, it faces challenges from smaller competitors and technology-driven platforms.
- The company is focusing on innovation and strategic partnerships to maintain its competitive edge.
Competitors
Key competitors:
- ADT (ADT)
- Vivint Smart Home (VVNT)
- Terminix (TMX)
- Orkin (ORK)
- Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)
Market share comparison:
- Frontdoor Inc. has a market share of approximately 7% in the home repair and maintenance market.
- ADT and Vivint Smart Home are the leading players in the home security and automation market, with market shares of around 30% and 20%, respectively.
- Terminix and Orkin are the dominant players in the pest control market, with market shares of around 15% and 10%, respectively.
- Stanley Black & Decker is a major competitor in the home improvement and repair market, with a wide range of products and services.
Competitive advantages and disadvantages:
- Advantages: Strong brand recognition, nationwide presence, diversified service offerings.
- Disadvantages: High operating costs, declining profitability, competition from smaller and technology-driven players.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Potential challenges:
- Increased competition from online and technology-enabled platforms.
- Saturated market and slowing growth in the home services industry.
- Rising operating costs and pressure on profitability.
Potential opportunities:
- Expansion into new markets and service offerings.
- Development of innovative technologies to improve customer experience and efficiency.
- Strategic partnerships and acquisitions to strengthen market position.
Recent Acquisitions
List of acquisitions in the last 3 years:
- American Home Shield (2020): Home warranty provider acquired for $1.3 billion. This acquisition significantly expanded Frontdoor's reach in the home warranty market and provided access to a larger customer base.
- StrataTech (2020): Provider of pest control and lawn care services acquired for $375 million. This acquisition strengthened Frontdoor's position in the pest control and lawn care market, offering a broader range of services to customers.
- Terminix Holdco (2022): ServiceMaster acquired Terminix for $4.4 billion, which included Frontdoor Inc. This acquisition solidified ServiceMaster's position as a leading provider of home services, offering a comprehensive portfolio of services to both residential and commercial customers.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 6 out of 10
Justification:
- Frontdoor Inc. has a strong brand reputation and market position.
- The company has diversified service offerings and a large customer base.
- However, the company faces challenges in maintaining profitability and growing market share.
- The industry is also facing increasing competition from online and technology-enabled platforms.
- Overall, Frontdoor Inc. is a solid company with potential for future growth, but it is important to monitor the aforementioned challenges and opportunities.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Frontdoor Inc. website (https://www.frontdoorinc.com/)
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
- Bloomberg
- Reuters
Disclaimer:
This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to conduct thorough research and consult with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
Conclusion
Frontdoor Inc. is a leading provider of home services in the US. The company offers a wide range of services, including home repair and maintenance, home security and automation, and pest control and lawn care. While the company faces some challenges, it is well-positioned to capitalize on opportunities in the home services industry.
Please note that this information is based on publicly available data as of October 26, 2023. It is essential to stay updated with the latest developments and financial statements for a comprehensive understanding of the company's performance.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Frontdoor Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Memphis, TN, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2018-09-13 | Chairman of the Board & CEO | Mr. William C. Cobb |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.frontdoorhome.com |
Industry | Personal Services | Full time employees | 1716 |
Headquaters | Memphis, TN, United States | ||
Chairman of the Board & CEO | Mr. William C. Cobb | ||
Website | https://www.frontdoorhome.com | ||
Website | https://www.frontdoorhome.com | ||
Full time employees | 1716 |
Frontdoor, Inc. provides home warranties in the United States in the United States. Its customizable home warranties help customers protect and maintain their homes from costly and unplanned breakdowns of essential home systems and appliances. The company's home warranty customers subscribe to an annual service plan agreement that covers the repair or replacement of principal components of approximately 20 home systems and appliances, including electrical, plumbing, water heaters, refrigerators, dishwashers, and ranges/ovens/cooktops, as well as electronics, pools, and spas and pumps; and heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems. It also offers on-demand home services and a one-stop app experience for home repair and maintenance; and Streem technology, an app that empowers homeowners by connecting them in real time through video chat with qualified experts to diagnose and solve their problems. The company serves homeowners under the Frontdoor, American Home Shield, HSA, OneGuard, Landmark Home Warranty, Frontdoor logo, and Streem brands. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.
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