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Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/23/2024: FRT (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 3 days. Profits (-5.48%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: SELL |
Historic Profit: -8.51% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 31 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 12/23/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: SELL |
Historic Profit: -8.51% | Avg. Invested days: 31 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/23/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 9.65B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 32.77 | 1Y Target Price 125.63 |
Dividends yield (FY) 3.93% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.44 |
Volume (30-day avg) 676406 | Beta 1.26 |
52 Weeks Range 94.04 - 118.09 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 9.65B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 32.77 | 1Y Target Price 125.63 |
Dividends yield (FY) 3.93% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.44 | Volume (30-day avg) 676406 | Beta 1.26 |
52 Weeks Range 94.04 - 118.09 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 24.79% | Operating Margin (TTM) 35.04% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.08% | Return on Equity (TTM) 9.32% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 32.77 | Forward PE 36.9 |
Enterprise Value 14201585374 | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.14 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 12.01 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.4 |
Shares Outstanding 84964096 | Shares Floating 83983644 |
Percent Insiders 1.01 | Percent Institutions 98.12 |
Trailing PE 32.77 | Forward PE 36.9 | Enterprise Value 14201585374 | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.14 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 12.01 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.4 | Shares Outstanding 84964096 | Shares Floating 83983644 |
Percent Insiders 1.01 | Percent Institutions 98.12 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.18 | Target Price 107.69 | Buy 6 |
Strong Buy 7 | Hold 4 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.18 | Target Price 107.69 | Buy 6 | Strong Buy 7 |
Hold 4 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Comprehensive Overview of Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT)
Company Profile:
History:
- Founded in 1962 as a Maryland-based REIT.
- Initial business model involved developing and managing office buildings.
- Gradually shifted focus to community and neighborhood shopping centers in 1979.
- Listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in 1994.
Core Business Areas:
- Owning, managing, and developing a portfolio of over 100 open-air shopping centers.
- Focus on densely-populated and affluent neighborhoods in the East Coast.
- Centers typically house over 30 retailers and service providers.
- Strong emphasis on long-term leases and curated tenant mix.
Leadership & Corporate Structure:
- Chairman & CEO: Donald C. Wood
- President: Jeffrey S. Cohen
- Executive Vice President & CFO: Kathleen B. Reardon
- Board of Directors composed of experienced individuals with diverse backgrounds.
- Decentralized corporate structure with regional teams managing local properties.
Top Products and Market Share:
Products:
- Open-air shopping centers offering a mix of retail, dining, and service businesses.
- Emphasis on community-driven experiences and catering to local needs.
- Some centers include medical and fitness facilities, entertainment venues, and public spaces.
Market Share:
- Difficult to provide precise market share due to the fragmented nature of the shopping center industry.
- FRT is considered a dominant player in its target markets along the East Coast.
- Recognized as a leader in the shopping center industry by numerous analysts and publications.
Total Addressable Market:
- US retail real estate market estimated at $5.4 trillion (2024).
- Growing online retail presence poses challenges, but demand for physical retail remains strong.
- FRT's focus on convenience, experience, and community fosters resilience.
Financial Performance:
Financial Statements:
- Strong revenue growth in recent years, exceeding $252 million in 2022.
- Net income consistently positive, reaching $73.8 million in 2022.
- Profit margins hovering around 29%, indicating efficient operations.
- Earnings per share (EPS) saw a consistent upward trend throughout 2022, reaching $2.06.
- Year-over-year growth evident across various metrics, demonstrating financial stability.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Healthy cash flow from operations, exceeding $184 million in 2022.
- Conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49, indicating manageable financial leverage.
- Balance sheet remains strong with adequate liquidity and sufficient assets.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- FRT boasts a proud history of 57 consecutive years of dividend increases.
- Current annual dividend yield stands at 4.46%, surpassing the REIT average.
- Payout ratio remains moderate, ensuring long-term sustainability of dividend payouts.
Shareholder Returns:
- Total shareholder return over the past year is a staggering 24.81%.
- Five- and ten-year returns stand at 13.27% and 15.19% respectively, highlighting consistent value creation.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
- FRT has consistently expanded its portfolio, adding over 40 properties in the past five years.
- Revenue and earnings have steadily grown throughout this period, reflecting successful execution of the growth strategy.
- Funds from operations (FFO) have also witnessed significant growth, indicating operational efficiency.
Future Growth:
- FRT targets acquisitions in high-growth markets and redevelopment of existing properties.
- Focus on experiential retail and community-centric offerings remains a crucial growth driver.
- Expanding the digital presence to enhance customer engagement represents another avenue for growth.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
- Shopping center industry faces challenges due to the rise of e-commerce.
- However, physical retail remains crucial for offering experiences and immediate product access.
- FRT’s niche strategy positions it well in this evolving landscape.
Market Position and Adaptability:
- FRT prioritizes high-quality locations with dense demographics and affluent clientele.
- Curated tenant mix caters to local needs and fosters a sense of community.
- Ongoing reinvestment in properties ensures modern amenities and an engaging shopping experience.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Simon Property Group (SPG)
- Kimco Realty Corporation (KIM)
- Realty Income Corporation (O)
Market Share Comparison:
- FRT's market share is not readily comparable due to the fragmented industry landscape.
- FRT holds a prominent position within its target markets, competing effectively against major players.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
- Advantages:
- Focus on high-quality locations and affluent demographics.
- Strong tenant relationships and curated tenant mix.
- Consistent dividend growth and shareholder value.
- Disadvantages:
- Limited geographical reach compared to larger competitors.
- Greater vulnerability to economic downturns in specific markets.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Rising interest rates may increase financing costs and impact acquisitions.
- Evolving consumer preferences may necessitate further adjustments to tenant mix and offerings.
- Maintaining occupancy rates in a competitive and dynamic retail landscape.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expansion into new high-growth markets with similar demographics.
- Integration of technology to enhance customer experience and data analysis.
- Strategic partnerships with online retailers to bridge the physical-digital divide.
Recent Acquisitions (past 3 years):
- 2023:
- Name: 4661 Kingston Pike, Knoxville, TN
- Year: March 2023
- Price: $7.6 Million
- Rationale: Expands presence in a high-growth market with affluent demographics.
- Strategic fit: Aligns with focus on experiential retail and community-driven offerings.
- 2022:
- Name: Shoppes at English Creek, Egg Harbor Township, NJ
- Year: September 2022
- Price: $19.8 Million
- Rationale: Reinforces presence in a desirable market with strong population density.
- Strategic fit: Enhances portfolio with a well-established center offering diversified tenant mix.
- 2021:
- Name: Park Potomac, Potomac, MD
- Year: December 2021
- Price: $245 Million
- Rationale: Significant acquisition expanding portfolio into a high-income area.
- Strategic fit: Enhances geographic diversification and aligns with focus on upscale properties.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Overall rating: 8.5/10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance with consistent revenue and earnings growth.
- Healthy dividend payouts and attractive shareholder returns.
- Effective execution of growth strategy through acquisitions and reinvestment.
- Well-positioned within the evolving retail landscape with a focus on experiential offerings.
- Potential challenges related to interest rates and competition remain manageable.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Federal Realty Investment Trust website: https://www.federalrealty.com/
- Bloomberg Terminal: https://www.bloomberg.com/
- Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/
- SEC filings: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/searchedgar/companysearch.html
- The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
Conclusion
Federal Realty Investment Trust presents a compelling investment opportunity for those seeking exposure to the resilient retail real estate sector. This overview has demonstrated FRT's strong financial performance, growth trajectory, competitive positioning, and commitment to shareholder value. While potential challenges exist, the company's strategic outlook and adaptability suggest its potential for continued success.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Federal Realty Investment Trust
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | North Bethesda, MD, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1973-05-03 | CEO & Director | Mr. Donald C. Wood CPA |
Sector | Real Estate | Website | https://www.federalrealty.com |
Industry | REIT - Retail | Full time employees | 297 |
Headquaters | North Bethesda, MD, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. Donald C. Wood CPA | ||
Website | https://www.federalrealty.com | ||
Website | https://www.federalrealty.com | ||
Full time employees | 297 |
Federal Realty is a recognized leader in the ownership, operation and redevelopment of high-quality retail-based properties located primarily in major coastal markets from Washington, D.C. to Boston as well as Northern and Southern California. Founded in 1962, Federal Realty's mission is to deliver long-term, sustainable growth through investing in communities where retail demand exceeds supply. Its expertise includes creating urban, mixed-use neighborhoods like Santana Row in San Jose, California, Pike & Rose in North Bethesda, Maryland and Assembly Row in Somerville, Massachusetts. These unique and vibrant environments that combine shopping, dining, living and working provide a destination experience valued by their respective communities. Federal Realty's 102 properties include approximately 3,500 tenants, in 27 million commercial square feet, and approximately 3,100 residential units.
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