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Upturn AI SWOT - About
FPH 
Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: FPH (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Upturn Star Rating
Below Average Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.
AI Based Fundamental Rating
Moderate Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 24.48% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 04/01/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 954.19M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 6.69 | 1Y Target Price 12 |
Price to earnings Ratio 6.69 | 1Y Target Price 12 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 208575 | Beta 1.48 | 52 Weeks Range 2.83 - 6.71 | Updated Date 03/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.83 - 6.71 | Updated Date 03/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.96 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 26.19% | Operating Margin (TTM) -2.12% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1% | Return on Equity (TTM) 5.75% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 6.69 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 466003278 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.24 |
Enterprise Value 466003278 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.24 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.96 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.36 | Shares Outstanding 69369200 | Shares Floating 57998724 |
Shares Outstanding 69369200 | Shares Floating 57998724 | ||
Percent Insiders 15.04 | Percent Institutions 54.89 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating - | Target Price 12 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Buy - | Strong Buy - | ||
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Five Point Holdings LLC
Company Overview
History and Background
Five Point Holdings, LLC was formed in 2016. It is a developer and manager of master-planned communities in California. They focus on designing and developing mixed-use communities.
Core Business Areas
- Residential Development: Planning, entitlement, and development of residential land within master-planned communities.
- Commercial Development: Development of commercial properties, including retail and office spaces, within their communities.
- Land Sales: Sale of land parcels to third-party homebuilders and developers.
- Community Management: Managing and operating amenities and services within the communities.
Leadership and Structure
Emile Haddad is the Chairman and CEO. The company has a standard corporate structure with departments for land acquisition, development, sales, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Great Park Neighborhoods: A large master-planned community in Irvine, California. Market share is difficult to pinpoint specifically for this community, but it contributes substantially to Orange County's new home market. Competitors include other master-planned community developers like Brookfield Residential and Lennar.
- Valencia (formerly Newhall Ranch): A master-planned community in Los Angeles County. Similar to Great Park Neighborhoods, specific market share data is limited, but it holds a significant presence in the LA County housing market. Competitors include KB Home and Toll Brothers, who develop in the area.
- Candlestick & The San Francisco Shipyard: Master-planned communities in San Francisco with a mix of housing, retail and entertainment venues. Competitors include Lennar (who partnered with Five Point on the Shipyard) and other Bay Area developers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The real estate development industry is cyclical, impacted by economic conditions, interest rates, and demographic trends. Demand for housing in California, particularly in urban areas, remains high but is affected by affordability challenges.
Positioning
Five Point Holdings is positioned as a developer of large-scale, master-planned communities. Their competitive advantage lies in their large land holdings and expertise in navigating the complex entitlement process in California.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM is the entire new housing market in California, which is in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Five Point is positioned to capture a portion of this TAM through their projects, but that portion is difficult to calculate with the cyclicality of the market and their focus on very large, multi-year projects.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large land holdings in desirable California locations
- Expertise in navigating complex entitlement processes
- Established reputation for developing high-quality master-planned communities
- Strong relationships with homebuilders
Weaknesses
- High debt levels
- Exposure to cyclicality of the real estate market
- Geographic concentration in California
- Significant capital expenditures required for development
Opportunities
- Increasing demand for housing in California
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Development of new product types (e.g., rental apartments, senior housing)
- Partnerships with technology companies to create smart communities
Threats
- Economic downturn
- Rising interest rates
- Increased regulation
- Competition from other developers
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- LEN
- DHI
- NVR
- BZH
- HOA
Competitive Landscape
Five Point competes with national homebuilders who operate in California. Their advantage is their master-planned community approach, but they are subject to the same market forces as their competitors. Five Point Holdings market share is close to zero but could go up dramatically as they finish the communities, the overall market share of the public companies above is close to 50%.
Major Acquisitions
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Difficult to assess without historical financial data. Growth tied to completion and sales within their master-planned communities.
Future Projections: Future growth is dependent on the pace of development and sales at their communities. Analyst estimates vary depending on market conditions.
Recent Initiatives: Focus on expanding their existing communities and securing entitlements for future development phases.
Summary
Five Point Holdings is a significant land developer in California, specializing in large master-planned communities. Their strength lies in their land holdings and expertise, but they face challenges from high debt and market cyclicality. Future success depends on their ability to execute their development plans and adapt to changing market conditions. The slow development pace is a concern and needs to be observed carefully
Similar Companies
BZH
Beazer Homes USA Inc
BZH
Beazer Homes USA Inc
DHI
DR Horton Inc
DHI
DR Horton Inc
LEN
Lennar Corporation
LEN
Lennar Corporation
NVR
NVR Inc
NVR
NVR Inc
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company website
- SEC filings
- Industry reports
- Analyst reports
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market share data is estimated and may not be precise. Real time numerical date unavailable.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Five Point Holdings LLC
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Irvine, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-05-10 | President & CEO Mr. Daniel Hedigan J.D. | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry Real Estate - Development | Full time employees 88 | Website https://www.fivepoint.com |
Full time employees 88 | Website https://www.fivepoint.com | ||
Five Point Holdings, LLC designs, owns, and develops mixed-use planned communities in Orange County, Los Angeles County, and San Francisco County. The company operates through three segments: Valencia, San Francisco, and Great Park. It sells residential and commercial land sites to homebuilders, commercial developers, and commercial buyers by providing development management services; operates and owns a commercial office, research and development, medical campus, and other properties; and provides development and property management services. The company was formerly known as Newhall Holding Company, LLC and changed its name to Five Point Holdings, LLC in May 2016. Five Point Holdings, LLC was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.
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