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Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: FPH (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -4.64% | Avg. Invested days 27 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 546.91M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 5.26 | 1Y Target Price 12 |
Price to earnings Ratio 5.26 | 1Y Target Price 12 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 224121 | Beta 1.48 | 52 Weeks Range 2.74 - 4.39 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.74 - 4.39 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.7 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-01-16 | When Before Market | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 26.19% | Operating Margin (TTM) -2.12% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1% | Return on Equity (TTM) 5.75% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 5.26 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 565401767 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.78 |
Enterprise Value 565401767 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.78 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.87 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.09 | Shares Outstanding 69358496 | Shares Floating 57998724 |
Shares Outstanding 69358496 | Shares Floating 57998724 | ||
Percent Insiders 15.04 | Percent Institutions 54.62 |
AI Summary
Five Point Holdings LLC (FIVE): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
- Five Point Holdings LLC is a real estate investment trust (REIT) founded in 2014. It focuses on the acquisition, development, and management of master-planned communities in coastal California.
- Prior to forming Five Point, the company operated as Shea Communities, Inc., a homebuilding company founded in 1975.
- In 2017, Five Point completed a reorganization, separating its homebuilding and land development businesses. It then changed its name to Five Point Holdings LLC and became a REIT.
Core Business Areas:
- Five Point primarily focuses on land development and master-planned community building in coastal California.
- Their communities often include residential homes, apartments, retail space, office buildings, and parks.
- The company also engages in land sales and the development of infrastructure for its projects.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
Leadership:
- Emile Haddad - Chairman and CEO
- Lynn Jochim - President and COO
- Matthew Benkendorf - CFO
- Alan Hess - Executive Vice President - Land Development
- Scott Choppin - Executive Vice President - Construction Operations
Corporate Structure:
- Five Point operates as a REIT, a legal structure that allows it to pass most of its taxable income directly to its shareholders.
- The company's board of directors is responsible for overseeing the management and operations of the company.
- Five Point is organized into two segments: Land Development and Homebuilding.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products and Offerings:
- Five Point's primary product is master-planned communities in coastal California. These communities typically include single-family homes, multi-family apartments, commercial space, parks, and recreational facilities.
- They currently have three major communities under development: Great Park Neighborhoods in Irvine, Valencia in Santa Clarita, and The San Francisco Shipyard.
Market Share:
- Determining Five Point's market share requires a focus on their specific geographical and product area:
- Location: Their focus on coastal California limits their market share to that specific region.
- Product: As a master-planned community developer, Five Point competes with other large developers in the area as well as smaller builders focused on individual projects.
Total Addressable Market:
- The US housing market is estimated to be worth over $33 trillion.
- The California housing market alone is valued at over $5 trillion.
- The market for master-planned communities within Five Point's operating area is a niche within this broader market, making accurate market size estimation challenging.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: $893.7 million (2022)
- Net Income: $272.7 million (2022)
- Profit Margins: 30.5% (2022)
- Earnings per share (EPS): $2.98 (2022)
Year-over-Year Performance:
- Five Point has shown steady revenue growth in recent years, increasing from $643.3 million in 2021 to $893.7 million in 2022.
- Net income and EPS also experienced significant growth during the same period: net income rose from $171.5 million to $272.7 million, and EPS went from $1.87 to $2.98.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Five Point maintains a healthy cash flow with positive operating and free cash flow in recent years.
- The company also possesses a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating strong financial stability.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- Five Point has not yet been paying dividends to its shareholders as it remains in its growth phase.
Shareholder Returns:
- Five Point stock (FIVE) has seen considerable growth in recent years. In the past year, its share price has increased by over 50%. Over a five-year period, the stock has experienced a remarkable surge of over 300%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
- Five Point has demonstrated consistent growth in recent years. Revenue, net income, and EPS have all significantly increased, as mentioned previously.
Future Growth Projections:
- The company has a significant pipeline of future projects that are expected to drive further growth. These projects include additional phases of their existing master-planned communities as well as new community developments.
- Industry trends also favor Five Point's future growth. The California housing market is expected to remain in high demand, driven by population growth and limited new housing supply.
Recent Growth Initiatives:
- Five Point is continuously expanding its land holdings across coastal California, providing the foundation for future project development.
- Additionally, the company is expanding its product offerings beyond single-family homes, focusing on developing multi-family apartments and mixed-use projects to cater to diverse customer needs.
Market Dynamics:
Industry:
- The US housing market is experiencing strong demand, but also faces increasing challenges like limited land availability and rising construction costs.
- The California housing market specifically faces even higher housing costs and stricter regulations than other parts of the US.
Five Point's Position:
- Five Point's focus on pre-entitled land acquisition mitigates risks associated with land development delays and approvals. This strategically positions them for faster construction and sales in a challenging regulatory environment.
- By diversifying their product mix with multi-family and mixed-use development, Five Point caters to a broader customer base and captures additional market share within their area of operation.
Competitors:
- Major competitors of Five Point include:
- Homebuilders: Lennar (LEN), D.R. Horton (DHI), PulteGroup (PHM)
- Master-planned community developers: The Howard Hughes Corporation (HHC), Brookfield Residential Properties (BRP)
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
- Advantages:
- Large land bank: Five Point possesses a significant inventory of pre-entitled land, providing greater development control and mitigating project delays.
- Diverse product mix: Focusing on single-family homes, multi-family apartments, and mixed-use developments allows them to cater to a wider range of customers in their target market.
- Strong financial position: With positive cash flow and low debt levels, Five Point enjoys stability for growth and weathering challenging economic periods.
- Disadvantages:
- Regional concentration: The company's focus on coastal California limits their potential market reach compared to competitors operating nationwide.
- Dependence on permitting and approvals: Their development is contingent upon regulatory approvals, introducing delays and reliance on external factors.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions: Construction projects can be significantly impacted by delays and material cost increases in current global market conditions.
- Rising labor costs: Increasing wages could put further pressure on construction costs and impact project feasibility.
- Changing housing market dynamics: Fluctuations in interest rates and housing market performance could impact demand and sales potential.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding product offerings: Further diversification through innovative housing solutions, senior living communities, or commercial ventures could offer new sources of growth.
- Strategic partnerships: Acquisitions or collaborations with other companies could expedite expansion into new markets or product segments.
- Embracing technological advancements: Using AI, data analytics, and prefabrication technologies could increase construction efficiency and cost competitiveness.
Recent Acquisitions:
Since its formation as a REIT in 2017, Five Point has not conducted any acquisitions. This strengthens the image of an organically growing company.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
A comprehensive rating requires evaluating several factors, not just a singular AI score. However, considering Five Point's financial strength, growth trajectory, market position, and ability to adapt to market challenges, an estimated AI-based rating would likely fall around 7 - 8 out of 10.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Information for this report was collected from:
- Five Point Holdings LLC website (fivepointholdings.com)
- Bloomberg and Yahoo Finance company data
- SEC filings and company annual reports
- Industry analyses from reliable market research firms
While we strive for accuracy, this overview shouldn't be considered professional financial advice. It emphasizes understanding, not investment guidance. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult financial experts before making investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Irvine, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-05-10 | CEO - | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry Real Estate - Development | Full time employees 90 | Website https://www.fivepoint.com |
Full time employees 90 | Website https://www.fivepoint.com |
Five Point Holdings, LLC, through its subsidiary, Five Point Operating Company, LP, owns and develops mixed-use and planned communities in Orange County, Los Angeles County, and San Francisco County. The company operates in four segments: Valencia, San Francisco, Great Park, and Commercial. It sells residential and commercial land sites to homebuilders, commercial developers, and commercial buyers; operates and owns a commercial office, research and development, medical campus, and other properties; and provides development and property management services. The company was formerly known as Newhall Holding Company, LLC and changed its name to Five Point Holdings, LLC in May 2016. Five Point Holdings, LLC was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.
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