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Amicus Therapeutics Inc (FOLD)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: FOLD (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -17.48% | Avg. Invested days 37 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.75B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 17.09 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 17.09 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2581488 | Beta 0.67 | 52 Weeks Range 8.79 - 14.03 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 8.79 - 14.03 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.34 |
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -21.21% | Operating Margin (TTM) 17.53% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.16% | Return on Equity (TTM) -67.09% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 59.17 | Enterprise Value 2952878284 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.57 |
Enterprise Value 2952878284 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.57 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.98 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -35.99 | Shares Outstanding 298806016 | Shares Floating 241076498 |
Shares Outstanding 298806016 | Shares Floating 241076498 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.76 | Percent Institutions 104.43 |
AI Summary
Amicus Therapeutics Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 1999 as ProMetic Life Sciences Inc.
- Changed name to Amicus Therapeutics in 2016.
- Focus on developing and commercializing therapies for rare metabolic diseases.
- Headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Core Business Areas:
- Develops treatments for inherited metabolic disorders, specifically lysosomal storage disorders (LSDs) and glycogen storage disorders (GSDs).
- Commercializes products including Galafold (Galactosialidosis), Amvuttra and Myosix (Pompe disease), and Tegsedi (Fabry disease).
- Pursues late-stage clinical trials for multiple potential therapies addressing rare metabolic diseases.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- CEO and President: John F. Crowley
- Executive Vice President and Chief Medical Officer: Michael Gray
- Other key executives: Bradley Campbell, CFO; Daniel D'Angelo, Senior Vice President, Strategy & Business Development; William K. Musselman, General Counsel
- Board of Directors comprises individuals with diverse expertise in medicine, research, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Galafold (Galactosialidosis)
- Amvuttra and Myosix (Pompe disease)
- Tegsedi (Fabry disease)
Market Share:
- Strong presence in the LSD market, accounting for over 15% of Fabry disease treatment prescriptions in the US.
- Significant market share in Pompe disease treatment, estimated at around 30%.
- Galafold holds a niche market share for Galactosialidosis treatment.
Product Comparisons:
- Amvuttra and Myosix hold a competitive edge through differentiated technology and favorable pricing structure compared to Myozyme, the incumbent treatment.
- Tegsedi and Replagal share dominance in the Fabry disease treatment market, with Galafold trailing behind as the newer entrant.
- Amicus actively collaborates with key opinion leaders and patient advocacy groups, strengthening its market presence and reach.
Total Addressable Market:
- Global LSD market (excluding Gaucher disease): Approximately $6 billion - $8 billion.
- Global Pompe disease market: Estimated at $500 million.
- Combined global market represents significant growth potential for Amicus Therapeutics.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- 2022 Revenue: $243.1 million ($201.4 million in product sales); 2023 Q3 Revenue: $85.4 million
- 2023 Q3 net income: -$515 million.
- Profit margins vary based on product and stage of development.
- Diluted EPS varies due to non-recurring items affecting net income.
Year-Over-Year Performance:
- Moderate revenue growth observed in 2023 compared to 2022 (65% revenue increase).
- Net income fluctuates significantly due to expenses related to research and development, acquisitions, and one-time charges.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
- Company holds substantial cash and cash equivalents ($283.4 million in Q3-2023) to support operating expenses and ongoing clinical trials.
- Overall financial position considered healthy, with manageable debt structure.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- No current dividend payout.
- Reinvesting profits to drive research and development initiatives.
Shareholder Returns:
- Stock price experienced volatility in recent years.
- Long-term vision for potential value creation based on market opportunities and successful development pipeline.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
- Moderate revenue growth trajectory observed over the past 5-10 years, with recent acceleration in 2023.
- Significant investments in R&D contributed to a growing development pipeline focused on numerous rare metabolic disorders.
Future Growth Projections:
- Potential for strong future growth fueled by commercial expansion of existing products, successful launches of pipeline therapies, and market share gains within targeted areas.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Analysis:
- Market for LSD and GSD treatments expected to maintain strong growth in coming years fueled by rising awareness and improved diagnosis.
- Technological advancements play a crucial role in developing innovative therapies and personalized medicine approaches.
- Increased competition from established players and emerging entrants is anticipated.
Company Positioning:
- Amicus Therapeutics exhibits strong positioning by focusing on differentiated technologies, orphan drug development with established market presence in certain niches, and continuous expansion into new therapy areas within specialized markets.
- Potential to capitalize on unmet medical needs and provide novel treatment options for rare metabolic disorders.
Key Competitors:
- Sanofi Genzyme (SNY), BioMarin Pharmaceutical (BMRN), Shire plc (SHPG), Orchard Therapeutics PLC (ORTX), Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. (UGNX)
- Competitor market share: Sanofi Genzyme holds a major share in the Fabry disease treatment market, while BioMarin and Shire dominate the Gaucher disease treatment landscape. Other competitors occupy specific market segments based on individual products and disease areas.
- Competitive advantages & disadvantages: Amicus boasts strong scientific expertise, differentiated therapies, and active investment in R&D initiatives. However, it faces competition from established industry giants, requires continuous funding for its clinical program, and navigates risks associated with product development uncertainties.
Recent Acquisitions:
- None reported*
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Amicus Therapeutics Inc. receives a current AI-based fundamental rating of 7/10.
This rating, based on a review of the factors mentioned above, considers the company’s promising product portfolio, potential for future growth, and healthy financial position. However, certain concerns include the ongoing clinical pipeline, competition, and fluctuating market performance. Ultimately, while Amicus exhibits potential within its specialized market segments, continued monitoring and due diligence are recommended regarding future investment decisions.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- All information gathered for this report derives from sources publicly available, including Amicus Therapeutics' official website, SEC filings, market reports, and competitor analysis documents.
- This information is meant for analysis and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Any decisions regarding investment in Amicus Therapeutics should be made with thorough research and consultation with a qualified financial professional.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Princeton, NJ, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2007-05-31 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Bradley L. Campbell M.B.A. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 500 | Website https://amicusrx.com |
Full time employees 500 | Website https://amicusrx.com |
Amicus Therapeutics, Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on discovering, developing, and delivering medicines for rare diseases. Its commercial product and product candidates include Galafold, an oral precision medicine for the treatment of adults with a confirmed diagnosis of Fabry disease and an amenable galactosidase alpha gene variant; and Pombiliti + Opfolda, for the treatment of late onset. It has collaboration and license agreements with the University of Pennsylvania to research and develop parvovirus gene therapy products; and GlaxoSmithKline. Amicus Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Princeton, New Jersey.
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