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Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV)FNV

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Franco-Nevada Corporation
$123.93
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

09/18/2024: FNV (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: -9.68%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3
Avg. Invested days: 34
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 09/18/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: -9.68%
Avg. Invested days: 34
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 24.00B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 138.16
Dividends yield (FY) 1.16%
Basic EPS (TTM) -3.04
Volume (30-day avg) 581699
Beta 0.68
52 Weeks Range 101.36 - 141.27
Updated Date 09/17/2024
Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 24.00B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 138.16
Dividends yield (FY) 1.16%
Basic EPS (TTM) -3.04
Volume (30-day avg) 581699
Beta 0.68
52 Weeks Range 101.36 - 141.27
Updated Date 09/17/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -
Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -51.92%
Operating Margin (TTM) 64.81%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -4.57%
Return on Equity (TTM) -9.32%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 32.57
Enterprise Value 22573878718
Price to Sales(TTM) 21.36
Enterprise Value to Revenue 19.98
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 20.19
Shares Outstanding 192427008
Shares Floating 190966178
Percent Insiders 0.69
Percent Institutions 77.58
Trailing PE -
Forward PE 32.57
Enterprise Value 22573878718
Price to Sales(TTM) 21.36
Enterprise Value to Revenue 19.98
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 20.19
Shares Outstanding 192427008
Shares Floating 190966178
Percent Insiders 0.69
Percent Institutions 77.58

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.86
Target Price 165.75
Buy 3
Strong Buy 5
Hold 5
Sell 1
Strong Sell -
Rating 3.86
Target Price 165.75
Buy 3
Strong Buy 5
Hold 5
Sell 1
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Franco-Nevada Corporation: A Detailed Overview

Company Profile:

Detailed History and Background:

  • Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) was founded in 1982 by Pierre Lassonde and Seymour Schulich as a gold exploration company.
  • The company transitioned to focusing on royalty and streaming agreements in 1987, pioneering this business model in the mining industry.
  • Today, FNV is a leading global royalty and streaming company, owning interests in over 450 royalty and streaming agreements involving 37 different mining properties and 95 underlying mines across various commodities like gold, silver, platinum, and copper.

Core Business Areas:

  • Royalties: FNV receives payments based on the production or sales of metals from a mine in exchange for upfront capital.
  • Streaming Agreements: FNV purchases a predetermined percentage of metal output from a mine at a fixed price, which is typically lower than the market price, over the life of the mine.

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:

  • Leadership: David Harquail (President & CEO), Paul Brink (CFO).
  • Board of Directors: 9 members, including 4 independent directors.
  • Headquarters: Toronto, Canada.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products and Offerings:

  • Portfolio of 37 royalty and streaming agreements across various commodities.
  • No single asset contributes more than 16% of attributable metal deliveries, highlighting diversification.

Market Share:

  • FNV is the world's largest gold-focused royalty and streaming company with a market share exceeding 20%.
  • Leading market positions in platinum (30% market share) and copper (12% market share).

Product Performance and Market Reception:

  • Strong operating metrics: 13% growth in attributable gold equivalent ounces (GEO) produced in 2023 compared to 2022.
  • Favourable market reception: FNV consistently outperforms the broader mining industry in terms of share price performance.

Total Addressable Market:

Market Size:

  • Global mining royalty and streaming market estimated at approximately $30 billion in 2022.
  • Expected to grow at a CAGR of 5-7% in the next five years driven by increasing demand for precious metals and rising capital costs in the mining sector.

Financial Performance:

Revenue and Net Income:

  • Strong revenue growth: $824.4 million in 2023 compared to $712.4 million in 2022.
  • Net income of $605.8 million in 2023 compared to $344.3 million in 2022.

Profit Margins and EPS:

  • Gross margins consistently exceeding 85%, highlighting efficient business model.
  • EPS of $5.14 in 2023 compared to $2.95 in 2022, demonstrating significant profit growth.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:

  • Strong cash flow generation: Operating cash flow of $717.6 million in 2023.
  • Robust balance sheet with comfortable debt levels.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

  • Consistent dividend payout since 2007.
  • Current annual dividend yield of 2.5%.
  • Payout ratio of approximately 20%, indicating room for future dividend increases.

Shareholder Returns:

  • Total shareholder return (TSR) of over 800% in the past 10 years, significantly outperforming the S&P 500.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

  • Revenue has grown at a CAGR of over 20% in the past 5 years.
  • EPS has increased at a CAGR of over 30% in the past 5 years.

Future Growth Projections:

  • Projected to grow at a CAGR of 10-15% in the next five years driven by organic production growth and accretive acquisitions.
  • Expansion into new commodities and regions expected to contribute further to growth.

Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:

  • Recent acquisition of a gold royalty in Brazil, expanding its geographical footprint.
  • Investing in digital innovation projects and partnerships to optimize mine performance and royalty payments.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Trends:

  • Increasing demand for precious metals due to their use in technology and jewelry, as well as inflation-hedge characteristics.
  • Growing awareness of responsible and sustainable mining practices, which aligns with FNV's ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) commitments.

Industry Position and Adaptability:

  • FNV is well-positioned to benefit from these trends with its diversified royalty portfolio and ESG-focused strategy.
  • Demonstrated ability to adapt to market changes, like securing additional royalties during precious metal price fluctuations.

Competitors:

  • Major competitors: Royal Gold (RGLD), Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM), Sandstorm Gold (SAND)
  • FNV has the largest market share and most diversified portfolio compared to its competitors.
  • Competitive advantages: Strong financial health, experienced management team, and proven track record of acquiring and managing valuable royalties.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Challenges:

  • Commodity price volatility and potential cost inflation in the mining sector.
  • Competition from other royalty and streaming companies.

Opportunities:

  • Expansion into new commodities like lithium and battery metals.
  • Increasing royalty and streaming agreements through accretive acquisitions.

Recent Acquisitions:

  • Cobre Panama royalty (2022): Strategic investment in a large copper mine, diversifying FNV's commodity mix.
  • Canadian Malartic royalty (2021): Enlarged FNV's existing gold royalty position by 34%.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 8.5/10

Justification:

  • Strong financial performance and consistent dividend payouts.
  • Dominant market position and resilient business model.
  • Attractive growth prospects driven by industry trends and strategic initiatives.

Sources and Disclaimers:

Sources:

Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and is not intended as financial advice. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Franco-Nevada Corporation

Exchange NYSE Headquaters Toronto, ON, Canada
IPO Launch date 2007-12-03 President, CEO & Director Mr. Paul Brink
Sector Basic Materials Website https://www.franco-nevada.com
Industry Gold Full time employees -
Headquaters Toronto, ON, Canada
President, CEO & Director Mr. Paul Brink
Website https://www.franco-nevada.com
Website https://www.franco-nevada.com
Full time employees -

Franco-Nevada Corporation operates as a gold-focused royalty and streaming company in South America, Central America, Mexico, the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through Mining and Energy segments. The company manages its portfolio with a focus on precious metals, such as gold, silver, and platinum group metals; and engages in the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids through a third-party marketing agent. Franco-Nevada Corporation was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

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