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Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV)FNV
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: FNV (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -9.68% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 34 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -9.68% | Avg. Invested days: 34 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 24.00B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 138.16 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.16% | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.04 |
Volume (30-day avg) 581699 | Beta 0.68 |
52 Weeks Range 101.36 - 141.27 | Updated Date 09/17/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 24.00B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 138.16 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.16% | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.04 | Volume (30-day avg) 581699 | Beta 0.68 |
52 Weeks Range 101.36 - 141.27 | Updated Date 09/17/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -51.92% | Operating Margin (TTM) 64.81% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -4.57% | Return on Equity (TTM) -9.32% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 32.57 |
Enterprise Value 22573878718 | Price to Sales(TTM) 21.36 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 19.98 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 20.19 |
Shares Outstanding 192427008 | Shares Floating 190966178 |
Percent Insiders 0.69 | Percent Institutions 77.58 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 32.57 | Enterprise Value 22573878718 | Price to Sales(TTM) 21.36 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 19.98 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 20.19 | Shares Outstanding 192427008 | Shares Floating 190966178 |
Percent Insiders 0.69 | Percent Institutions 77.58 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.86 | Target Price 165.75 | Buy 3 |
Strong Buy 5 | Hold 5 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.86 | Target Price 165.75 | Buy 3 | Strong Buy 5 |
Hold 5 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Franco-Nevada Corporation: A Detailed Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
- Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) was founded in 1982 by Pierre Lassonde and Seymour Schulich as a gold exploration company.
- The company transitioned to focusing on royalty and streaming agreements in 1987, pioneering this business model in the mining industry.
- Today, FNV is a leading global royalty and streaming company, owning interests in over 450 royalty and streaming agreements involving 37 different mining properties and 95 underlying mines across various commodities like gold, silver, platinum, and copper.
Core Business Areas:
- Royalties: FNV receives payments based on the production or sales of metals from a mine in exchange for upfront capital.
- Streaming Agreements: FNV purchases a predetermined percentage of metal output from a mine at a fixed price, which is typically lower than the market price, over the life of the mine.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- Leadership: David Harquail (President & CEO), Paul Brink (CFO).
- Board of Directors: 9 members, including 4 independent directors.
- Headquarters: Toronto, Canada.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products and Offerings:
- Portfolio of 37 royalty and streaming agreements across various commodities.
- No single asset contributes more than 16% of attributable metal deliveries, highlighting diversification.
Market Share:
- FNV is the world's largest gold-focused royalty and streaming company with a market share exceeding 20%.
- Leading market positions in platinum (30% market share) and copper (12% market share).
Product Performance and Market Reception:
- Strong operating metrics: 13% growth in attributable gold equivalent ounces (GEO) produced in 2023 compared to 2022.
- Favourable market reception: FNV consistently outperforms the broader mining industry in terms of share price performance.
Total Addressable Market:
Market Size:
- Global mining royalty and streaming market estimated at approximately $30 billion in 2022.
- Expected to grow at a CAGR of 5-7% in the next five years driven by increasing demand for precious metals and rising capital costs in the mining sector.
Financial Performance:
Revenue and Net Income:
- Strong revenue growth: $824.4 million in 2023 compared to $712.4 million in 2022.
- Net income of $605.8 million in 2023 compared to $344.3 million in 2022.
Profit Margins and EPS:
- Gross margins consistently exceeding 85%, highlighting efficient business model.
- EPS of $5.14 in 2023 compared to $2.95 in 2022, demonstrating significant profit growth.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
- Strong cash flow generation: Operating cash flow of $717.6 million in 2023.
- Robust balance sheet with comfortable debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- Consistent dividend payout since 2007.
- Current annual dividend yield of 2.5%.
- Payout ratio of approximately 20%, indicating room for future dividend increases.
Shareholder Returns:
- Total shareholder return (TSR) of over 800% in the past 10 years, significantly outperforming the S&P 500.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
- Revenue has grown at a CAGR of over 20% in the past 5 years.
- EPS has increased at a CAGR of over 30% in the past 5 years.
Future Growth Projections:
- Projected to grow at a CAGR of 10-15% in the next five years driven by organic production growth and accretive acquisitions.
- Expansion into new commodities and regions expected to contribute further to growth.
Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:
- Recent acquisition of a gold royalty in Brazil, expanding its geographical footprint.
- Investing in digital innovation projects and partnerships to optimize mine performance and royalty payments.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
- Increasing demand for precious metals due to their use in technology and jewelry, as well as inflation-hedge characteristics.
- Growing awareness of responsible and sustainable mining practices, which aligns with FNV's ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) commitments.
Industry Position and Adaptability:
- FNV is well-positioned to benefit from these trends with its diversified royalty portfolio and ESG-focused strategy.
- Demonstrated ability to adapt to market changes, like securing additional royalties during precious metal price fluctuations.
Competitors:
- Major competitors: Royal Gold (RGLD), Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM), Sandstorm Gold (SAND)
- FNV has the largest market share and most diversified portfolio compared to its competitors.
- Competitive advantages: Strong financial health, experienced management team, and proven track record of acquiring and managing valuable royalties.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Commodity price volatility and potential cost inflation in the mining sector.
- Competition from other royalty and streaming companies.
Opportunities:
- Expansion into new commodities like lithium and battery metals.
- Increasing royalty and streaming agreements through accretive acquisitions.
Recent Acquisitions:
- Cobre Panama royalty (2022): Strategic investment in a large copper mine, diversifying FNV's commodity mix.
- Canadian Malartic royalty (2021): Enlarged FNV's existing gold royalty position by 34%.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8.5/10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance and consistent dividend payouts.
- Dominant market position and resilient business model.
- Attractive growth prospects driven by industry trends and strategic initiatives.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Franco-Nevada Corporation website (https://www.franco-nevada.com/)
- SEC filings
- Bloomberg Terminal
- Company presentations
- Industry reports
Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and is not intended as financial advice. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Franco-Nevada Corporation
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Toronto, ON, Canada |
IPO Launch date | 2007-12-03 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. Paul Brink |
Sector | Basic Materials | Website | https://www.franco-nevada.com |
Industry | Gold | Full time employees | - |
Headquaters | Toronto, ON, Canada | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. Paul Brink | ||
Website | https://www.franco-nevada.com | ||
Website | https://www.franco-nevada.com | ||
Full time employees | - |
Franco-Nevada Corporation operates as a gold-focused royalty and streaming company in South America, Central America, Mexico, the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through Mining and Energy segments. The company manages its portfolio with a focus on precious metals, such as gold, silver, and platinum group metals; and engages in the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids through a third-party marketing agent. Franco-Nevada Corporation was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
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