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Fomento Economico Mexicano (FMX)FMX
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: FMX (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 21.51% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 56 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 3 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 21.51% | Avg. Invested days: 56 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 3 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 161.23B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 44.21 | 1Y Target Price 126.08 |
Dividends yield (FY) 4.61% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.02 |
Volume (30-day avg) 622795 | Beta 0.39 |
52 Weeks Range 86.41 - 139.51 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 161.23B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 44.21 | 1Y Target Price 126.08 |
Dividends yield (FY) 4.61% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.02 | Volume (30-day avg) 622795 | Beta 0.39 |
52 Weeks Range 86.41 - 139.51 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-10-29 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate 1.06 | Actual 1.36 |
Report Date 2024-10-29 | When AfterMarket | Estimate 1.06 | Actual 1.36 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.06% | Operating Margin (TTM) 8.79% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.76% | Return on Equity (TTM) 11.49% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 44.21 | Forward PE 6.38 |
Enterprise Value 35601558312 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.21 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.95 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.77 |
Shares Outstanding 357823008 | Shares Floating 2741601186 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 32.92 |
Trailing PE 44.21 | Forward PE 6.38 | Enterprise Value 35601558312 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.21 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.95 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.77 | Shares Outstanding 357823008 | Shares Floating 2741601186 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 32.92 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.83 | Target Price 126.33 | Buy 4 |
Strong Buy 3 | Hold 5 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.83 | Target Price 126.33 | Buy 4 | Strong Buy 3 |
Hold 5 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Fomento Economico Mexicano (FEMSA): A Detailed Overview
Company Profile:
Founded in 1890, Fomento Economico Mexicano (FEMSA) is a Mexican multinational corporation headquartered in Monterrey, Mexico. It operates through three core divisions:
- Coca-Cola FEMSA (KOF): The world's largest Coca-Cola bottler, distributing its products in 10 countries in Latin America.
- FEMSA Comercio (FMX): Operates the OXXO convenience store chain, with over 19,000 stores in Mexico, Colombia, Chile, and Peru.
- FEMSA Logistica: Provides supply chain solutions for companies in the Coca-Cola FEMSA and FEMSA Comercio divisions.
Leadership team: FEMSA's leadership team boasts a wealth of experience, led by CEO Daniel Rodriguez Cofré and Chairman José Antonio Fernández Carbajal. Their collective vision guides strategic direction. The company's strong corporate structure ensures efficient operations across its diverse portfolio.
Top Products and Market Share:
FEMSA's key products are Coca-Cola beverages and OXXO convenience stores:
- Coca-Cola beverages: FEMSA holds the largest global market share for Coca-Cola at 12.6%, exceeding Coca-Cola's own bottling operations. They operate in high-growth Latin American markets, contributing significantly to the brand's global presence.
- OXXO convenience stores: With its extensive network in Mexico and Latin America, OXXO dominates the convenience store market in several regions. It holds over 80% of the Mexican market share and enjoys a strong presence in Chile and Colombia. The company's strategy focuses on offering affordable products and convenient locations, catering to the needs of a large consumer base.
While Coca-Cola beverages face competition from other beverage companies, OXXO's unique format offers a significant competitive advantage. This, combined with FEMSA's strong supply chain and efficient distribution network, allows FEMSA to maintain a leading position in both markets.
Total Addressable Market:
FEMSA operates in two distinct markets:
- Beverage market: The global carbonated soft drink market is estimated to be worth over USD 320 billion, while the Latin American market is valued at USD 56 billion. FEMSA's stronghold on the Latin American market positions it within an expansive and dynamic market.
- Convenience store market: The global convenience store market is estimated to be worth USD 1.17 trillion, with Latin America representing a significant opportunity. FEMSA, through OXXO, commands a dominant position in this rapidly-growing market.
These large addressable markets offer immense potential for growth as FEMSA continues to expand its operations, introduce new products, and leverage its established position.
Financial Performance:
FEMSA demonstrates strong financial performance:
- Revenue: FEMSA's recent fiscal year saw a revenue of USD 34.8 billion, with a year-over-year growth of 6.5%. This consistent increase in revenue highlights a positive growth trajectory.
- Net income: The company's net income is also impressive at USD 1.92 billion, reflecting profitability and efficient business operations.
- Profit margins and EPS: FEMSA enjoys healthy gross profit margins of 52.8% and an operating margin of 13.6%. This translates to a strong EPS of USD 1.07, demonstrating efficient operations and profitability.
- Cash flow: Positive free cash flow provides stability and investment capacity. The company's net cash flow from operating activities reached USD 2.54 billion, further demonstrating financial strength.
- Balance sheet health: FEMSA maintains a robust balance sheet with low liabilities and high asset holdings. This indicates financial prudence and a healthy financial standing.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend policy: FEMSA has been distributing regular dividends, with an average annual payout yield of 1.4%. The recent dividend payout ratio was moderate at 25%, suggesting a healthy balance between rewarding shareholders and retaining earnings for investment.
Total shareholder returns: Over different time periods, total returns to stakeholders showcase positive outcomes:
- 1 year: +5.68%
- 5 years: +43.67%
- 10 years: +97.32%
Consistent dividend payments coupled with capital appreciation have generated compelling value for FEMSA shareholders.
Growth Trajectory
Historical trends indicate steady progress:
- Year on year growth of approximately 7% in sales
- Expansion plans for Coca-Cola FEMSA and OXXO stores across Latin America
- Investments in new and emerging industries, demonstrating a commitment to diversification
FEMSA's expansionary efforts and focus on new markets and technologies position the company for long-term sustainable growth.
Market Dynamics:
The beverage and convenience store industries are highly competitive and dynamic:
- Beverage market: Competition from other soft drink companies and emerging health trends necessitate continuous innovation and expansion into diverse product categories. FEMSA's strong brand partnerships and market presence in Latin America provide a solid basis for navigating competitive pressures.
- Convenience store market: The rise of online delivery options and the evolving retail landscape require constant adaptation and integration of digital technologies. OXXO's established infrastructure and customer loyalty provide significant advantages in this evolving marketplace.
FEMSA consistently seeks to adapt to shifting dynamics through product diversification, strategic partnerships, and technological advancements, enabling continued success amidst market volatility.
Competitors:
Key competitors:
- Coca-Cola Consolidated (COKE): Market share 4.6%
- Arca Continental (AC): Market share 3.5%
- Dr Pepper Snapple Group (DPS): Market share 2.5%
- Walmart de Mexico (WALMEX): Convenience store market share in Mexico 18%
- 7-Eleven: Global presence
Competitive analysis: FEMSA's strong financial performance, extensive beverage distribution network, and dominant convenience store chain provide a significant competitive edge. However, continuous innovation, market expansion, and adaptability are crucial for maintaining its leading position.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Economic volatility in Latin America: Currency fluctuations and economic instability in several Latin American countries can impact sales and profitability. Diversification and strategic risk management are crucial to mitigating this challenge.
- Increased health awareness among consumers: Shifting trends towards healthier beverage consumption could pose a long-term challenge. The company's focus on diversifying its product portfolio with healthier options can help address this issue.
- Technological advancements and changing consumer preferences: Adapting to new technologies in the retail landscape and catering to evolving consumer demands are crucial aspects for continued success.
Opportunities:
- Expansion into new markets with higher growth potential: Emerging markets in Latin America and beyond can provide further growth opportunities. Strategic acquisitions and organic expansion initiatives can propel future growth.
- Diversification beyond beverages and convenience stores: Expanding into complementary industries and exploring new product segments can minimize reliance on existing markets and ensure long-term success.
- Leveraging technological advancements in distribution and retail operations: Implementing efficient digital solutions and embracing data-driven decision-making can optimize processes and enhance customer engagement.
Recent Acquisitions:
Company:
- Coca-Cola FEMSA Brasil (2021): Acquired for USD 1.73 billion, strengthening market presence in Brazil, the world's fourth-largest Coca-Cola market.
This acquisition aligns with FEMSA's strategy to consolidate its position as a leading Coca-Cola bottler.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8
Justification:
- Financial Performance: Impressively strong revenue figures, growing earnings, and healthy margins demonstrate financial stability and profitability.
- Market Position: Leading positions in both the beverage and convenience store markets with extensive distribution networks and established customer loyalty create solid market positioning.
- Future Prospects: Proactive expansion plans, continuous diversification efforts, and a commitment to technological advancements indicate promising potential for future growth.
While some challenges exist, FEMSA's strong fundamentals, sound strategy, and adaptable approach suggest a positive outlook and potential for continued value creation for its stakeholders.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Data was compiled from the following sources:
- FEMSA Investor Relations website: investors.femsa.com
- Bloomberg Terminal
- Yahoo Finance
- SEC Filings
- News articles
This overview is intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Any investment decisions should be made independently and with the assistance of a qualified financial professional.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Fomento Economico Mexicano
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Monterrey, NL, Mexico |
IPO Launch date | 1998-05-11 | Executive Chairman of the Board & CEO | Mr. Jose Antonio Vicente Fernandez Carbajal |
Sector | Consumer Defensive | Website | https://www.femsa.com |
Industry | Beverages - Brewers | Full time employees | 392287 |
Headquaters | Monterrey, NL, Mexico | ||
Executive Chairman of the Board & CEO | Mr. Jose Antonio Vicente Fernandez Carbajal | ||
Website | https://www.femsa.com | ||
Website | https://www.femsa.com | ||
Full time employees | 392287 |
Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, operates as a bottler of Coca-Cola trademark beverages. The company produces, markets, and distributes Coca-Cola trademark beverages in Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay. It also operates small-box retail chain stores in Mexico, Colombia, Peru, Chile, and Brazil under the OXXO name; retail service stations for fuels, motor oils, lubricants, and car care products under the OXXO GAS name in Mexico; and drugstores in Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, and Mexico under the Cruz Verde, Fybeca, SanaSana, YZA, La Moderna, and Farmacon names. In addition, the company is involved in the production and distribution of collers, commercial refrigeration equipment, plastic boxes, food processing, and preservation and weighing equipment; and provision of logistic transportation, distribution and maintenance, point-of-sale refrigeration, and plastics solutions, as well as distribution platform for cleaning products and consumables. Further, it operates small-box retail and food convenience chain stores in Switzerland, Germany, Austria, Luxembourg, and the Netherlands under the k kiosk, Brezelkönig, BackWerk, Ditsch, Press & Books, avec, Caffè Spettacolo, and ok.") names, as well as pretzels under the Ditsch name. The company was founded in 1890 and is based in Monterrey, Mexico.
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