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Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
03/03/2025: FICO (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 203.64% | Avg. Invested days 86 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 46.19B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 86.45 | 1Y Target Price 2040.57 |
Price to earnings Ratio 86.45 | 1Y Target Price 2040.57 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 242303 | Beta 1.41 | 52 Weeks Range 1105.65 - 2402.52 | Updated Date 04/2/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1105.65 - 2402.52 | Updated Date 04/2/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 21.86 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 30.66% | Operating Margin (TTM) 40.81% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 28.86% | Return on Equity (TTM) 35.62% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 86.45 | Forward PE 64.94 | Enterprise Value 47882285308 | Price to Sales(TTM) 26.02 |
Enterprise Value 47882285308 | Price to Sales(TTM) 26.02 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 26.97 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 60.84 | Shares Outstanding 24442800 | Shares Floating 23725640 |
Shares Outstanding 24442800 | Shares Floating 23725640 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.53 | Percent Institutions 88.56 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.53 | Target Price 2166.41 | Buy 3 | Strong Buy 5 |
Buy 3 | Strong Buy 5 | ||
Hold 7 | Sell - | Strong Sell 2 | |
Strong Sell 2 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Fair Isaac Corporation

Company Overview
History and Background
Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) was founded in 1956 by Bill Fair and Earl Isaac. Initially focused on applying mathematics to solve business problems, FICO pioneered credit scoring and risk management solutions. Over time, it has expanded its offerings to cover various industries and decision-making processes.
Core Business Areas
- Scores: Provides credit scores used by lenders to assess credit risk. FICO scores are widely used in lending decisions.
- Software: Offers enterprise decision management software for various industries, enabling automated and optimized decision-making processes. This includes tools for fraud detection, customer management, and regulatory compliance.
- Applications: Provides applications designed for financial institutions.
Leadership and Structure
Will Lansing serves as the Chief Executive Officer. The company has a structured leadership team with executives overseeing different business segments and functions. FICO's organizational structure is designed to support its focus on innovation and customer service.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- FICO Platform: The FICO Platform provides organizations with the capabilities they need to design, build, and deploy sophisticated decision management applications. Market share data is not readily available. Competitors include Pegasystems, Oracle, and SAS Institute.
- FICO Score: The FICO Score is the flagship product, a credit risk score used by over 90% of top U.S. lenders. FICO has a dominant market share in consumer credit scoring. Competitors include VantageScore (Equifax, Experian, TransUnion), which uses similar but different scoring algorithms. Revenue is not specifically broken out but FICO scores generated $1.38B in 2023.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The credit scoring and decision management industry is driven by the need for businesses to make informed decisions based on data. It is a growing market, driven by increasing data availability and the need for risk management and automation.
Positioning
FICO is a leader in the credit scoring and decision management space. Its competitive advantages include its established brand, large data sets, and sophisticated algorithms. FICO's FICO score is an industry standard.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
Estimates vary, but the global decision intelligence market, in which FICO participates, is projected to reach hundreds of billions of dollars. FICO is well-positioned to capture a significant share through its credit scoring, platform, and applications businesses.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition
- High market share in credit scoring
- Proprietary algorithms and data analytics capabilities
- Long-standing relationships with lenders
- Diversified product portfolio
Weaknesses
- Dependence on the financial services industry
- Potential for regulatory scrutiny
- Price sensitivity from customers
- Reliance on third-party data sources
Opportunities
- Expansion into new markets and industries
- Growth in demand for fraud detection and risk management solutions
- Development of new products and services leveraging AI and machine learning
- Partnerships and acquisitions to expand capabilities
- Increased use of data analytics for decision-making
Threats
- Competition from other credit scoring and decision management providers
- Changes in regulations and compliance requirements
- Economic downturns impacting the financial services industry
- Data breaches and security threats
- Adoption of alternative credit scoring models
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Equifax (EFX)
- Experian (EXPGY)
- TransUnion (TRU)
Competitive Landscape
FICO maintains an advantage due to its widespread adoption, predictive power, and established brand, but is facing pressure from other companies entering the credit scoring industry. The three Credit Bureaus are now making the VantageScore, a direct FICO competitor, part of the loan process per new FHFA rules.
Major Acquisitions
ThreatMetrix
- Year: 2018
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 830
- Strategic Rationale: Enhanced fraud detection and authentication capabilities, expanded FICO's presence in digital identity and security.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: FICO has demonstrated consistent growth, driven by its strong market position and demand for its products and services.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth for FICO, driven by expansion into new markets and product innovation.
Recent Initiatives: FICO continues to invest in research and development, focusing on AI and machine learning. FICO has been focused on improving its cloud-based platform, expanding its product offerings, and acquiring complementary businesses.
Summary
Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) stands as a robust leader in credit scoring, underscored by its strong brand recognition and proprietary algorithms. While FICO exhibits financial stability with continuous revenue growth, the competitive environment, particularly pressures on the FICO score and the regulatory scrutiny, requires proactive management. FICO's prospects are enhanced through strategic acquisitions and the capacity to capitalize on emerging prospects in fraud detection and AI. A diversified approach and persistent innovation are essential for maintaining and growing its market position.
Similar Companies

EFX

Equifax Inc



EFX

Equifax Inc

PEGA

Pegasystems Inc



PEGA

Pegasystems Inc

TRU

TransUnion



TRU

TransUnion
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- FICO's investor relations website
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
- Company press releases
- Industry news sources
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is intended for informational purposes only. It should not be considered as financial advice. Market data, forecasts and statements of growth may be incorrect, inaccurate, and subject to change without notice. Consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Fair Isaac Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Bozeman, MT, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1987-07-22 | President, CEO & Director Mr. William J. Lansing | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Application | Full time employees 3604 | Website https://www.fico.com |
Full time employees 3604 | Website https://www.fico.com |
Fair Isaac Corporation develops software with analytics and digital decisioning technologies that enable businesses to automate, enhance, and connect decisions in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates in two segments, Scores and Software. The Scores segment provides business-to-business scoring solutions and services for consumers that give clients access to predictive credit and other scores that can be integrated into their transaction streams and decision-making processes, as well as business-to-consumer scoring solutions comprising myFICO.com subscription offerings. The Software segment provides pre-configured analytic and decision management solution designed for various business needs or processes, such as account origination, customer management, customer engagement, fraud detection, and marketing, as well as associated professional services. This segment also offers FICO Platform, a modular software offering designed to support advanced analytic and decision use cases, as well as stand-alone analytic and decisioning software that can be configured by customers to address a wide range of business use cases. It offers FICO® Decision Modeler and FICO Blaze Advisor, FICO Xpress Optimization, FICO Analytics Workbench, FICO Data Orchestrator, FICO DMP Streaming, FICO Business Outcome Simulator, FICO Decision Optimizer, FICO TRIAD Customer Manager, FICO Fraud Solutions, FICO Originations, FICO Customer Communication Service, FICO Strategy Director, FICO Analytic Services, FICO Advisors, and FICO Blaze Advisor, as well as software implementation and configuration services. The company markets its products and services primarily through its direct sales organization and indirect channels, as well as online. The company was formerly known as Fair Isaac & Company, Inc. and changed its name to Fair Isaac Corporation in July 1992. Fair Isaac Corporation was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Bozeman, Montana.
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