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FibroGen Inc (FGEN)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
03/10/2025: FGEN (2-star) is a SELL. SELL since 5 days. Profits (-49.30%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 10.46% | Avg. Invested days 32 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 31.67M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 10 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 10 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 5583605 | Beta 0.83 | 52 Weeks Range 0.18 - 2.40 | Updated Date 03/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.18 - 2.40 | Updated Date 03/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.53 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -160.63% | Operating Margin (TTM) -198.79% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -25.66% | Return on Equity (TTM) -1015.79% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 61.35 | Enterprise Value 54277740 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.07 |
Enterprise Value 54277740 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.07 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.83 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.17 | Shares Outstanding 100917000 | Shares Floating 92572133 |
Shares Outstanding 100917000 | Shares Floating 92572133 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.03 | Percent Institutions 36.89 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3 | Target Price 10 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Buy - | Strong Buy - | ||
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
FibroGen Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
FibroGen, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company founded in 1993. Initially focused on connective tissue growth factor (CTGF), the company has evolved to focus on hypoxia-inducible factor (HIF) biology. They develop and commercialize therapeutics for anemia, fibrosis, and cancer.
Core Business Areas
- Anemia: Development and commercialization of roxadustat, an oral HIF prolyl hydroxylase (HIF-PH) inhibitor, for the treatment of anemia associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD).
- Fibrosis: Research and development of pamrevlumab, an anti-CTGF antibody, for the treatment of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and pancreatic cancer.
- Research and Development: Ongoing research and development of other novel therapies based on HIF biology and connective tissue growth factor.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team includes Enrique Conterno (CEO). The company structure is typical for a biopharmaceutical company, encompassing R&D, clinical development, manufacturing, and commercial operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Roxadustat: An oral HIF-PH inhibitor used for anemia treatment in CKD patients. Roxadustat is approved in China, Japan, Europe and other countries. The competitors include erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) such as epoetin alfa and darbepoetin alfa, and iron supplements. Market share is variable by region, with significant penetration in China.
- Pamrevlumab: An anti-CTGF antibody in clinical development for IPF and pancreatic cancer. There is no current revenue from this product. Current standard of care therapies for IPF are Ofev (nintedanib) from Boehringer Ingelheim and Esbriet (pirfenidone) from Roche.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The biopharmaceutical industry is characterized by high R&D costs, lengthy regulatory approval processes, and intense competition. The market for anemia and fibrosis treatments is substantial and growing.
Positioning
FibroGen is positioned as an innovator in HIF biology, with roxadustat as its lead product. They aim to address unmet needs in anemia and fibrosis treatment.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for anemia in CKD is estimated to be billions of dollars globally. FibroGen is positioned to capture a portion of this TAM with roxadustat. The IPF market size is also substantial and growing.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Novel HIF technology platform
- Approved product (roxadustat) in multiple markets
- Experienced management team
Weaknesses
- Reliance on roxadustat
- Clinical trial setbacks (roxadustat cardiovascular safety data)
- High cash burn rate
Opportunities
- Expansion of roxadustat into new markets
- Positive clinical trial results for pamrevlumab
- Partnerships and collaborations
Threats
- Competition from existing and emerging anemia treatments
- Regulatory risks
- Patent challenges
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- AMGN
- MRK
- BIIB
- GILD
Competitive Landscape
FibroGen faces competition from established pharmaceutical companies with existing anemia and fibrosis treatments. Their HIF technology provides a competitive advantage, but they need to demonstrate long-term safety and efficacy.
Major Acquisitions
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Growth has been dependent on regulatory approvals and commercialization of roxadustat.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates vary widely depending on the success of roxadustat and pamrevlumab.
Recent Initiatives: Focusing on commercializing roxadustat and advancing pamrevlumab clinical trials.
Summary
FibroGen's strength lies in its novel HIF technology and approved roxadustat product, but they face challenges with clinical trial outcomes and competition. Successful commercialization of roxadustat is crucial for growth, and positive pamrevlumab data would be a significant boost. The company needs to manage its cash burn and navigate regulatory hurdles effectively. Recent setbacks have dampened investor confidence, and further positive developments are needed to regain momentum.
Similar Companies
- AMGN
- MRK
- BIIB
- GILD
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Publications
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. Consult with a financial professional before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About FibroGen Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters San Francisco, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2014-11-14 | CEO & Director Mr. Thane Wettig | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 225 | Website https://www.fibrogen.com |
Full time employees 225 | Website https://www.fibrogen.com |
FibroGen, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes therapeutics to treat serious unmet medical needs. Its lead product candidates are Pamrevlumab, a human monoclonal antibody targeting connective tissue growth factor that is in Phase III clinical development for the treatment of locally advanced pancreatic cancer; and Roxadustat, an oral small molecule inhibitor of hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase activity, which has completed Phase III clinical development for the treatment of anemia in chronic kidney disease in China, Europe, Japan, and other countries, as well as in Phase III clinical development for anemia related with myelodysplastic syndromes. The company has collaboration agreements with Astellas Pharma Inc. and AstraZeneca AB. FibroGen, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
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