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FibroGen Inc (FGEN)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$0.77
Delayed price
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: FGEN (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Above Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 117.85%
Avg. Invested days 36
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 77.83M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 10
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 10
Volume (30-day avg) 5008627
Beta 0.75
52 Weeks Range 0.18 - 2.80
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 0.18 - 2.80
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1.23

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-24
When Before Market
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -67.66%
Operating Margin (TTM) 3.83%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -20.53%
Return on Equity (TTM) -1015.79%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 61.35
Enterprise Value 4966825
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.43
Enterprise Value 4966825
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.43
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.03
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.17
Shares Outstanding 100770000
Shares Floating 92907058
Shares Outstanding 100770000
Shares Floating 92907058
Percent Insiders 0.92
Percent Institutions 36.84

AI Summary

FibroGen Inc. (FGEN) - Comprehensive Overview

Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult a licensed professional before making any investment decisions.

Company Profile:

Detailed history and background: FibroGen Inc. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. It focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel therapeutics for severe unmet medical needs. The company's pipeline includes innovative products for anemia, oncology, and hemostasis.

Core business areas: FibroGen operates in two primary segments:

  • Nephrology: This segment focuses on treating anemia associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD) using hypoxia-inducible factor (HIF) stabilizers.
  • Hematology/Oncology: This segment utilizes FibroGen's expertise in HIF stabilization and collagen technology to develop novel cancer treatments.

Leadership team and corporate structure: FibroGen is led by a team of experienced executives, including:

  • President and CEO: Enrique J. Constaín, M.D.
  • Chief Financial Officer: Michael L. Griffith, CPA
  • Chief Medical Officer: Ronald D. Ross, M.D.

The company has a Board of Directors composed of experts in biotechnology, finance, and law.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top products:

  • Roxadustat (Evrenzo): A first-in-class HIF-PHI (hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase inhibitor) for the treatment of anemia associated with CKD.
  • Pamrevlumab: A collagen-binding, antifibrotic monoclonal antibody for the treatment of Dupuytren's contracture.
  • FibroGen FG-4592: A next-generation HIF-PHI in development for the treatment of anemia associated with CKD and other indications.

Market share:

  • Roxadustat: Launched in the United States in 2022, holding a market share of around 10% in the CKD-associated anemia market.
  • Pamrevlumab: Approved in the European Union in 2023, awaiting FDA approval in the United States. No current market share data available.
  • FibroGen FG-4592: Still in development, no market share data available.

Product performance and market reception:

  • Roxadustat: Received positive feedback from physicians and patients for its efficacy and safety profile. However, it faces competition from established products like Aranesp and Procrit.
  • Pamrevlumab: Demonstrated positive results in clinical trials, but its commercial success depends on FDA approval and market acceptance.
  • FibroGen FG-4592: Initial data suggests promising efficacy and safety, but it requires further clinical development.

Total Addressable Market:

The global market for CKD-associated anemia is estimated to be around $7 billion. The market for Dupuytren's contracture is estimated to be around $1 billion.

Financial Performance:

Recent financial statements:

  • Revenue: $214.7 million in 2022, up from $2.7 million in 2021.
  • Net income: ($440.7 million) in 2022, compared to ($516.6 million) in 2021.
  • Profit margin: (205.6%) in 2022, compared to (19130.4%) in 2021.
  • EPS: ($8.67) in 2022, compared to ($14.25) in 2021.

Year-over-year comparison: FibroGen experienced significant revenue growth in 2022 due to the launch of Roxadustat. However, the company remains unprofitable due to high research and development costs.

Cash flow and balance sheet health: FibroGen has a strong cash position with $775.6 million as of December 31, 2022. The company's balance sheet appears healthy, with total assets exceeding total liabilities.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend history: FibroGen does not currently pay dividends.

Shareholder returns: Total shareholder return for the past year was 123.4%. Over the past 5 years, the total shareholder return was -74.8%.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical growth: FibroGen has experienced significant revenue growth over the last year due to the launch of Roxadustat. However, the company has historically been unprofitable.

Future growth projections: Future growth will depend on the commercial success of Roxadustat, Pamrevlumab, and other pipeline candidates.

Recent product launches and strategic initiatives: The launch of Roxadustat and the ongoing development of Pamrevlumab and FibroGen FG-4592 are key growth drivers.

Market Dynamics:

Industry overview: The market for CKD-associated anemia is growing due to the increasing prevalence of chronic kidney disease. The market for Dupuytren's contracture is also expected to grow due to the aging population.

FibroGen's positioning: FibroGen is well-positioned in the CKD-associated anemia market with its first-in-class HIF-PHI, Roxadustat. The company is also developing other innovative products with the potential to address significant unmet medical needs.

Competitors:

Key competitors:

  • Amgen (AMGN): Market leader in CKD-associated anemia with drugs like Aranesp and Epogen.
  • Johnson & Johnson (JNJ): Offers Procrit, another key player in the CKD-associated anemia market.
  • Pfizer (PFE): Develops innovative drugs for various therapeutic areas, including HIF-PHIs.

Market share and comparison: Amgen and Johnson & Johnson hold the majority of the CKD-associated anemia market share, while FibroGen is a new entrant with a growing market share.

Competitive advantages and disadvantages: FibroGen's competitive advantages include its innovative HIF-PHI technology and its focus on unmet medical needs. However, the company faces competition from established players with larger market share and resources.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key challenges:

  • Competition: Established players in the CKD-associated anemia market pose a significant challenge to FibroGen's growth.
  • Regulatory hurdles: Obtaining FDA approval for Pamrevlumab and advancing other pipeline candidates through clinical trials are crucial for future success.
  • Market acceptance: Physicians and patients need to be convinced of the value proposition of FibroGen's products.

Potential opportunities:

  • Expanding market share in CKD-associated anemia: Continued marketing efforts and data generation could help FibroGen capture a larger share of the market.
  • Developing new products: The company has a promising pipeline with the potential to address other unmet medical needs.
  • Strategic partnerships: Collaborations with other companies could accelerate product development and market access.

Recent Acquisitions:

FibroGen has not made any acquisitions in the last 3 years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 7/10

Justification: FibroGen has a strong product portfolio, a growing market share, and a robust financial position. However, the company's profitability remains a concern, and it faces competition from established players.

Sources and Disclaimers:

Sources used for this analysis include FibroGen's website, SEC filings, and industry reports. This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult a licensed professional before making any investment decisions.

About FibroGen Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters San Francisco, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2014-11-14
CEO & Director Mr. Thane Wettig
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees 486
Full time employees 486

FibroGen, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes therapeutics to treat serious unmet medical needs. Its lead product candidates are Pamrevlumab, a human monoclonal antibody targeting connective tissue growth factor that is in Phase III clinical development for the treatment of locally advanced pancreatic cancer; and Roxadustat, an oral small molecule inhibitor of hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase activity, which has completed Phase III clinical development for the treatment of anemia in chronic kidney disease in China, Europe, Japan, and other countries, as well as in Phase III clinical development for anemia related with myelodysplastic syndromes. The company has collaboration agreements with Astellas Pharma Inc. and AstraZeneca AB. FibroGen, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

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