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FibroGen Inc (FGEN)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/11/2024: FGEN (3-star) is a WEAK-BUY. BUY since 9 days. Profits (-16.67%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Historic Profit: 157.86% | Upturn Advisory Performance 5 | Avg. Invested days: 39 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 5 | Last Close 12/11/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Historic Profit: 157.86% | Avg. Invested days: 39 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 5 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/11/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 5 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 35.64M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 10 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.23 |
Volume (30-day avg) 1217747 | Beta 0.73 |
52 Weeks Range 0.18 - 2.93 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 35.64M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 10 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.23 | Volume (30-day avg) 1217747 | Beta 0.73 |
52 Weeks Range 0.18 - 2.93 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -96.84% | Operating Margin (TTM) -21.56% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -26.55% | Return on Equity (TTM) -1015.79% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 61.35 |
Enterprise Value -16023597 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.21 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.27 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.17 |
Shares Outstanding 100770000 | Shares Floating 90523357 |
Percent Insiders 0.85 | Percent Institutions 55.04 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 61.35 | Enterprise Value -16023597 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.21 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.27 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.17 | Shares Outstanding 100770000 | Shares Floating 90523357 |
Percent Insiders 0.85 | Percent Institutions 55.04 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 2.5 | Target Price 2.17 | Buy - |
Strong Buy - | Hold 1 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 2.5 | Target Price 2.17 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Hold 1 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
FibroGen Inc. Overview
Company Profile
History and Background: FibroGen Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company founded in 1993 and headquartered in San Francisco, California. The company focuses on developing and commercializing therapeutics for severe and life-threatening medical conditions.
Core Business Areas: FibroGen's core business areas are:
- Hypoxia-inducible factor (HIF) prolyl hydroxylase inhibitors (PHIs): These drugs stabilize HIF, a protein that plays a critical role in regulating oxygen homeostasis. FibroGen's lead PHI product, roxadustat, is approved for the treatment of anemia in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) in multiple countries, including the United States.
- Connective tissue growth factor (CTGF) antagonists: CTGF is a protein involved in fibrosis, a condition characterized by excessive scar tissue formation. FibroGen's CTGF antagonist, pamrevlumab, is in late-stage development for the treatment of Dupuytren's contracture, a condition that causes hand contractures.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure: FibroGen's leadership team includes:
- President and CEO: Enrique Conterno
- Chief Medical Officer: Ronald Schechter
- Chief Financial Officer: Elizabeth Woo
- Executive Vice President, Research and Development: Elias Koumenis
The company operates through a Board of Directors and several committees, including an Audit Committee, a Compensation Committee, and a Nominating and Governance Committee.
Top Products and Market Share:
- Roxadustat (Evrenzo): Roxadustat is a HIF-PHI approved for the treatment of anemia in adult patients with CKD not on dialysis in the United States, Europe, Japan, and other countries. It is also approved for the treatment of anemia in adult patients with CKD on dialysis in China. As of 2023, roxadustat holds a market share of approximately 10% in the US CKD-related anemia market.
- Pamrevlumab (FG-3019): Pamrevlumab is a CTGF antagonist in late-stage development for the treatment of Dupuytren's contracture. It is currently undergoing Phase III clinical trials.
Total Addressable Market: The global market for CKD-related anemia is estimated to be around $10 billion, with the US market alone valued at approximately $4 billion. The market for Dupuytren's contracture treatment is estimated to be around $1 billion globally.
Financial Performance:
- Revenue: FibroGen's revenue has been steadily increasing over the past few years. In 2022, the company generated $374 million in revenue, compared to $127 million in 2021.
- Net Income: FibroGen has not yet achieved profitability. The company reported a net loss of $277 million in 2022.
- Profit Margins: FibroGen's gross profit margin has been improving, reaching 84% in 2022. However, the company's operating margin and net profit margin remain negative.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): FibroGen's EPS has been negative in recent years, reflecting the company's ongoing investments in research and development.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns: FibroGen does not currently pay dividends to shareholders. The company's stock price has been volatile in recent years, with a cumulative shareholder return of -50% over the past five years.
Growth Trajectory: FibroGen has experienced significant growth in recent years, driven by the commercialization of roxadustat. The company expects continued growth in the future, with potential new product approvals and market expansion.
Market Dynamics: The market for CKD-related anemia is highly competitive, with several established players, including Amgen, Johnson & Johnson, and Akebia Therapeutics. The market for Dupuytren's contracture treatment is less competitive, with only a few companies developing potential therapies.
Competitors:
- Amgen (AMGN): Market leader in CKD-related anemia with its drug Aranesp.
- Johnson & Johnson (JNJ): Major player in CKD-related anemia with its drug Procrit.
- Akebia Therapeutics (AKBA): Competitor in CKD-related anemia with its drug Vadadustat.
- Hyalex Orthopaedics (HYLX): Competitor in Dupuytren's contracture treatment with its drug Xiaflex.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Competition from established players in the CKD-related anemia market.
- Regulatory hurdles and delays in the approval of pamrevlumab for Dupuytren's contracture.
- Maintaining profitability as the company scales up its commercial operations.
Opportunities:
- Expansion into new markets for roxadustat.
- Development and commercialization of new products, such as pamrevlumab.
- Partnerships with other pharmaceutical companies to expand its reach and capabilities.
Recent Acquisitions:
FibroGen has not made any acquisitions in the past 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based analysis of FibroGen's fundamentals, the company receives a rating of 7 out of 10. The rating considers factors such as the company's strong revenue growth, improving gross profit margin, and promising product pipeline. However, the company's lack of profitability and high debt levels are viewed as risks.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Information for this analysis was gathered from the following sources:
- FibroGen Inc. website (www.fibrogen.com)
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (www.sec.gov)
- Bloomberg Terminal
- Zacks Investment Research
- This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About FibroGen Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | San Francisco, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2014-11-14 | CEO & Director | Mr. Thane Wettig |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.fibrogen.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 486 |
Headquaters | San Francisco, CA, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. Thane Wettig | ||
Website | https://www.fibrogen.com | ||
Website | https://www.fibrogen.com | ||
Full time employees | 486 |
FibroGen, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes therapeutics to treat serious unmet medical needs. Its lead product candidates are Pamrevlumab, a human monoclonal antibody targeting connective tissue growth factor that is in Phase III clinical development for the treatment of locally advanced pancreatic cancer; and Roxadustat, an oral small molecule inhibitor of hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase activity, which has completed Phase III clinical development for the treatment of anemia in chronic kidney disease in China, Europe, Japan, and other countries, as well as in Phase III clinical development for anemia related with myelodysplastic syndromes. The company has collaboration agreements with Astellas Pharma Inc. and AstraZeneca AB. FibroGen, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
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